Interviews with 1,002 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on January 21-24, 2016. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The sample also includes 907 interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 3.5 percentage points). This sample includes 602 interviews among landline respondents and 400 interviews among cell phone respondents. EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Tuesday, January 26 at 6:00 a.m. 3. How well do you feel the government in Washington represents the views of people like yourself? Very well Somewhat well Not too well Not at well No opinion POLL 3 3 Jan. 21-24 2016 Oct. 14-17 2015 July 22-25 2015 4% 16% 39% 40% 1% 3% 22% 35% 40% * 5% 25% 30% 38% * -2- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.) 4. How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER) Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Terrorism 45% 36% 15% 4% * The economy 42% 46% 11% 1% * Health care 35% 41% 18% 6% * Government spending 35% 45% 15% 5% * Gun policy 32% 36% 19% 12% * Foreign policy 30% 42% 21% 6% 1% The income gap between rich and poor 30% 32% 21% 16% * Illegal immigration 27% 34% 24% 14% 1% Climate change 18% 26% 22% 34% * POLL 3 3 -3- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 152 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 405 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 4. How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER) Registered Republicans Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Terrorism 49% 40% 9% 1% * The economy 45% 45% 10% * * Government spending 41% 47% 10% 2% * Foreign policy 34% 40% 21% 4% * Illegal immigration 32% 42% 20% 6% * Gun policy 31% 37% 19% 13% 1% Health care 30% 39% 23% 8% * The income gap between rich and poor 18% 24% 27% 30% 1% Climate change 3% 18% 19% 59% * POLL 3 3 -4- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 304 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 136 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A TOTAL OF 440 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. Registered Democrats 4. How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER) Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion The income gap between rich and poor 42% 41% 14% 2% * Health care 40% 43% 16% 1% * The economy 38% 48% 13% 1% * Terrorism 38% 35% 21% 5% * Climate change 33% 34% 22% 11% * Gun policy 33% 37% 19% 11% * Government spending 28% 44% 20% 8% * Foreign policy 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% Illegal immigration 22% 28% 29% 21% * POLL 3 3 -5- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.) 4. How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER) Extremely Very Moderately Not that No important important important important opinion The economy Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV) 42% 46% 11% 1% * Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV) 43% 45% 11% 1% * Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV) 52% 36% 10% 2% * June 26-28, 2015 47% 41% 11% 2% * June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 48% 41% 10% 1% * Feb. 12-15, 2015 41% 47% 11% 1% * Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV) 42% 45% 12% 1% * Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV) 58% 35% 6% 1% * June 28-July 1, 2012 51% 41% 6% 2% * October 14-16, 2011 54% 39% 6% 1% * June 3-7, 2011 51% 41% 6% 2% * October 17-19, 2008 61% 33% 5% 2% * June 26-29, 2008 58% 35% 6% 1% * Jan. 14-17, 2008 45% 41% 12% 2% * Nov. 2-4, 2007 34% 48% 16% 2% * May 4-6, 2007 33% 46% 16% 4% * Illegal immigration Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV) Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV) Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV) June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV) Feb. 12-15, 2015 Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV) June 28 – July 1, 2012 October 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 October 17-19, 2008 June 26-29, 2008 Jan. 14-17, 2008 Nov. 2-4, 2007 May 4-6, 2007 27% 33% 39% 30% 30% 29% 30% 28% 24% 29% 29% 34% 31% 23% 31% 34% 34% 29% 32% 33% 35% 35% 31% 28% 33% 31% 33% 34% 38% 32% 24% 21% 21% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 27% 26% 28% 24% 23% 26% 26% 14% 11% 11% 12% 11% 10% 9% 14% 19% 12% 12% 9% 11% 13% 10% 1% * * * * * * * * * * 1% * * 1% (RV) = Registered voter POLL 3 3 -6- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.) 4. How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER) Extremely Very Moderately Not that No important important important important opinion Foreign policy Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV) 30% 42% 21% 6% 1% Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV) 37% 39% 20% 4% * Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV) 35% 35% 24% 6% * June 26-28, 2015 32% 39% 22% 7% 1% June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 33% 40% 22% 5% 1% Feb. 12-15, 2015 28% 39% 25% 7% * Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV) 29% 39% 25% 6% * Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV) 41% 31% 21% 6% 1% June 28-July 1, 2012 24% 39% 26% 11% * October 14-16, 2011 23% 33% 32% 11% 1% Terrorism Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV) Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV) Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV) June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV) Feb. 12-15, 2015 Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV) June 28 – July 1, 2012 October 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 October 17-19, 2008 June 26-29, 2008 Jan. 14-17, 2008 Nov. 2-4, 2007 May 4-6, 2007 45% 50% 49% 48% 49% 42% 44% 41% 36% 42% 50% 45% 42% 32% 45% 36% 35% 31% 33% 32% 38% 37% 30% 36% 33% 33% 32% 34% 44% 35% 15% 10% 13% 14% 14% 14% 15% 18% 19% 16% 14% 18% 19% 18% 14% 4% 5% 7% 5% 5% 6% 4% 10% 9% 8% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% * * * * * * * * * 1% * * * * * (RV) = Registered voter *Asked of a half sample. POLL 3 3 -7- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.) 4. How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER) Extremely Very Moderately Not that No important important important important opinion Health care Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV) 35% 41% 18% 6% * Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV) 40% 38% 18% 4% * Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV) 47% 36% 13% 3% * June 26-28, 2015 44% 39% 13% 4% * June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 44% 39% 13% 4% * Feb. 12-15, 2015 39% 40% 16% 5% * Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV) 41% 39% 17% 4% * Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV) 49% 33% 14% 3% * June 28-July 1, 2012 47% 40% 10% 3% * October 14-16, 2011 42% 38% 16% 3% * June 3-7, 2011 45% 41% 10% 3% * October 17-19, 2008 44% 38% 13% 4% * June 26-29, 2008 47% 36% 14% 3% * Jan. 14-17, 2008 41% 36% 19% 4% * Nov. 2-4, 2007 35% 41% 19% 5% * May 4-6, 2007 43% 35% 18% 4% * (RV) = Registered voter Climate Change Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV) Nov. 27 -Dec. 1, 2015 (RV) 18% 20% 26% 26% 22% 27% 34% 26% * 1% FOR COMPARISON: Global warming Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV) Feb. 12-15, 2015 Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV) Nov. 2-4, 2007 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion 23% 22% 23% 19% 24% 23% 21% 29% 30% 26% 26% 27% 23% 29% 30% 25% * * * * (RV) = Registered voter *Asked of half sample QUESTION WORDING: How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? POLL 3 3 -8- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.) 4. How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER) Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion 32% 42% 22% 21% 26% 20% 26% 36% 26% 28% 27% 27% 26% 26% 19% 24% 28% 30% 28% 29% 29% 12% 8% 22% 20% 19% 26% 17% * * 1% 1% * * 2% The income gap between rich and poor Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV) Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV) Feb. 12-15, 2015 Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV) 30% 33% 29% 30% 32% 28% 32% 30% 21% 24% 24% 25% 16% 15% 15% 15% * * * * Government spending Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV) 35% 45% 15% 5% * Gun policy Jan. 21-24, 2016(RV) Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV) June 28 – July 1, 2012* June 3-7, 2011 June 26-29, 2008 Nov. 2-4, 2007 May 4-6, 2007 (RV) = Registered voter *Asked of a half sample. POLL 3 3 -9- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS. 5. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this year’s election-- extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Extremely enthusiastic Very Somewhat Not too Not at all No enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion Registered Voters Jan. 21-24, 2016 32% 24% 21% 13% 9% * Sept. 17-19, 2015 Sept. 4-8, 2015 August 13-16, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 Nov. 2-4, 2012 Sept. 28-30, 2012 Sept. 7-9, 2012 Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 Mar. 24-25, 2012 Feb. 10-13, 2012 Jan. 11-12, 2012 Oct. 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 Oct. 5-7, 2010* Sept. 21-23, 2010* Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008 Oct. 17-19, 2008 Sept. 5-7, 2008 June 23-24, 2007 Oct. 14-16 2004 Sept. 3-5 2004 Oct. 24-26 2003 31% 30% 29% 22% 38% 37% 30% 32% 31% 28% 24% 22% 24% 28% 29% 28% 20% 23% 37% 34% 30% 26% 36% 32% 19% 24% 24% 27% 26% 30% 25% 27% 25% 27% 25% 23% 26% 27% 23% 25% 30% 22% 17% 32% 24% 30% 28% 34% 32% 34% 24% 25% 23% 27% 17% 20% 22% 20% 23% 25% 29% 26% 27% 28% 25% 24% 30% 31% 16% 23% 23% 27% 17% 23% 31% 10% 10% 10% 13% 9% 9% 15% 11% 10% 13% 11% 13% 10% 9% 10% 11% 16% 17% 7% 11% 11% 13% 8% 9% 11% 10% 12% 10% 11% 5% 9% 6% 11% 9% 9% 12% 13% 12% 12% 10% 7% 12% 12% 8% 8% 6% 6% 4% 4% 4% 1% * * * 1% * * * 1% * * * * * 1% * * * * * * * 1% * 1% POLL 3 3 -10- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 304 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 136 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A TOTAL OF 440 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 5. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this year’s election-- extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Extremely enthusiastic Very Somewhat Not too Not at all No enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion Registered Democrats Jan. 21-24, 2016 28% 24% 26% 14% 8% * Sept. 17-19, 2015 Sept. 4-8, 2015 August 13-16, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 Nov. 2-4, 2012 Sept. 28-30, 2012 Sept. 7-9, 2012 Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 Mar. 24-25, 2012 Feb. 10-13, 2012 Jan. 11-12, 2012 Oct. 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 Oct. 5-7, 2010* Sept. 21-23, 2010* Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008 Oct. 17-19, 2008 Sept. 5-7, 2008 June 23-24, 2007 Oct. 14-16 2004 Sept. 3-5 2004 Oct. 24-26 2003 30% 28% 33% 18% 37% 39% 30% 32% 29% 27% 25% 20% 21% 21% 26% 26% 13% 16% 45% 45% 36% 28% 38% 31% 19% 21% 24% 22% 28% 33% 25% 29% 24% 29% 32% 21% 29% 28% 22% 29% 30% 21% 14% 34% 23% 30% 32% 27% 26% 29% 26% 26% 23% 28% 17% 21% 23% 23% 24% 26% 33% 27% 31% 34% 29% 27% 35% 36% 13% 20% 21% 27% 19% 23% 31% 13% 9% 11% 15% 6% 8% 13% 9% 11% 9% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 12% 18% 19% 4% 7% 6% 9% 8% 10% 16% 10% 13% 11% 11% 5% 7% 6% 12% 6% 6% 10% 12% 9% 12% 6% 5% 12% 15% 3% 5% 6% 4% 7% 10% 5% * * * 1% 1% * * * 1% * * * 1% * 2% * * * * * * * 1% * * POLL 3 3 -11- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 152 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 405 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 5. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this year’s election-- extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Extremely enthusiastic Very Somewhat Not too Not at all No enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion Registered Republicans Jan. 21-24, 2016 39% 27% 16% 11% 7% * Sept. 17-19, 2015 Sept. 4-8, 2015 August 13-16, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 Nov. 2-4, 2012 Sept. 28-30, 2012 Sept. 7-9, 2012 Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 Mar. 24-25, 2012 Feb. 10-13, 2012 Jan. 11-12, 2012 Oct. 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 Oct. 5-7, 2010* Sept. 21-23, 2010* Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008 Oct. 17-19, 2008 Sept. 5-7, 2008 June 23-24, 2007 Oct. 14-16 2004 Sept. 3-5 2004 Oct. 24-26 2003 35% 34% 28% 28% 42% 38% 32% 35% 35% 31% 25% 26% 26% 38% 38% 33% 29% 31% 28% 24% 26% 27% 35% 31% 19% 30% 25% 33% 27% 28% 27% 25% 27% 26% 20% 27% 25% 28% 26% 23% 31% 25% 22% 32% 26% 28% 25% 42% 39% 39% 22% 24% 23% 27% 17% 17% 19% 17% 22% 24% 25% 25% 25% 20% 18% 19% 25% 27% 19% 27% 26% 27% 15% 21% 32% 6% 9% 9% 9% 9% 11% 17% 12% 8% 15% 13% 15% 12% 7% 10% 10% 13% 13% 9% 12% 15% 16% 6% 6% 7% 5% 7% 7% 10% 4% 7% 7% 8% 10% 9% 11% 10% 9% 9% 10% 6% 8% 7% 12% 10% 4% 6% 2% 3% 2% 1% * * * 1% * * 1% * 1% * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1% POLL 3 3 -12- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 152 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 405 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 6. I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, or Donald Trump. (RANDOM ORDER) Trump Cruz Rubio Carson Bush Christie Huckabee Paul Fiorina Kasich Santorum Gilmore Graham Jindal Pataki Perry Walker Someone else (vol.) None/No one (vol.) No opinion Jan. 21-24 2016 Dec. 17-21 2015 Nov. 27Dec. 1 2015 Oct. 14-17 2015 Sept 17-19 2015 Sept. 4-8 2015 41% 19% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% * * NA NA NA NA NA 3% 1% 4% 39% 18% 10% 10% 3% 5% 2% 4% 1% 2% * * 1% NA * NA NA 3% 1% 1% 36% 16% 12% 14% 3% 4% 2% 1% 3% 2% * * * NA * NA NA 1% 4% 2% 27% 4% 8% 22% 8% 4% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% * 1% * * NA NA 1% 2% 4% 24% 6% 11% 14% 9% 3% 6% 4% 15% 2% 1% * * * * NA * * 1% 3% 32% 7% 3% 19% 9% 2% 5% 3% 3% 2% 1% * 1% 1% * * 5% 3% 2% 2% (QUESTION 6 CONTINUED ON THE NEXT PAGE) POLL 3 3 -13- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 152 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 405 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 6. I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, or Donald Trump. (RANDOM ORDER) Trump Cruz Rubio Carson Bush Christie Huckabee Paul Fiorina Kasich Santorum Gilmore Graham Jindal Pataki Perry Walker Someone else (vol.) None/No one (vol.) No opinion 7. Aug. 13-16 2015 July 22-25 2015 June 26-28 2015 24% 5% 8% 9% 13% 3% 4% 6% 5% 5% 1% * * * * 2% 8% 4% 3% 1% 18% 7% 6% 4% 15% 4% 5% 6% 1% 4% 2% * 1% 2% 1% 3% 10% 4% 4% 3% 12% 3% 7% 8% 17% 3% 5% 8% 1% 3% 4% NA 1% 2% * 4% 6% 5% 6% 3% Would you say you will definitely will support that candidate, or is it possible you would change your mind? Jan. 21-24 2016 Definitely support Might change mind No opinion POLL 3 3 53% 46% * -14- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 152 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 405 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 8. Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each of them won the Republican presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if that person were the Republican nominee? (RANDOM ORDER) Enthusiastic Satisfied but not enthusiastic Donald Trump January 21-24, 2016 September 4-8, 2015 40% 40% 28% 27% 12% 13% 19% 19% 1% * Ted Cruz January 21-24, 2016 September 4-8, 2015 25% 21% 43% 42% 22% 22% 9% 10% 1% 6% Marco Rubio January 21-24, 2016 September 4-8, 2015 18% 21% 44% 48% 26% 21% 11% 7% 1% 3% POLL 3 3 -15- Dissatisfied but not upset Upset No opinion January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 152 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 405 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 9. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: The economy Trump Cruz Rubio Bush Paul Fiorina Carson Christie Kasich Huckabee Santorum Gilmore Graham Jindal Pataki Perry Walker Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion Jan. 21-24 2016 Dec. 17-21 2015 Nov. 27-Dec. 1 2015 Sept. 17-19 2015 Aug. 13-16 2015 June 26-28 2015 60% 12% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% * * NA NA NA NA NA 1% 2% 1% 57% 8% 7% 5% 2% 2% 6% 2% 4% 1% * * 1% NA * NA NA 1% 1% 2% 55% 9% 7% 3% 3% 5% 7% 3% 2% * * * * NA * NA NA 1% 3% 2% 44% 3% 10% 8% 2% 11% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% * * * * NA 2% * 2% 2% 45% 5% 3% 9% 2% 6% 5% 2% 5% 2% * * 1% * * 1% 6% 2% 1% 3% 20% 2% 6% 16% 7% 2% 3% 3% 2% 4% 4% NA * 1% 1% 4% 8% 2% 6% 9% Jan. 21-24 2016 Dec. 17-21 2015 Nov. 27-Dec. 1 2015 Sept. 17-19 2015 Aug. 13-16 2015 June 26-28 2015 55% 16% 11% 6% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% * * * NA NA NA NA NA 2% 2% 1% 55% 15% 10% 3% 4% 2% 2% 1% * 1% 1% * * NA * NA NA 2% 2% 2% 48% 11% 14% 4% 9% * 4% 1% 1% * * * * NA * NA NA 1% 1% 4% 47% 5% 15% 9% 6% 2% 1% 4% 2% 1% * * * * * NA 1% 1% 3% 5% 44% 7% 7% 13% 4% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% * * * * 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 14% 6% 9% 18% 3% 6% 3% 1% 5% 1% 1% NA 1% 1% * 8% 3% 2% 6% 9% Illegal immigration Trump Cruz Rubio Bush Carson Paul Christie Fiorina Huckabee Kasich Santorum Gilmore Graham Jindal Pataki Perry Walker Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 3 3 -16- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 152 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 405 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 9. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: Foreign policy Trump Cruz Rubio Bush Carson Paul Christie Fiorina Huckabee Kasich Santorum Gilmore Graham Jindal Pataki Walker Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion Jan. 21-24 2016 Nov. 27-Dec. 1 2015 Sept. 17-19 2015 35% 22% 13% 9% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% * * NA NA NA NA 2% 2% 2% 30% 17% 14% 7% 8% 3% 5% 3% 2% 1% * * 2% NA * NA 1% 3% 4% 22% 7% 17% 11% 7% 5% 3% 8% 4% 1% 1% * 2% * * * 2% 3% 7% Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Trump Cruz Carson Rubio Bush Huckabee Fiorina Christie Kasich Paul Santorum Gilmore Graham Jindal Pataki Perry Walker Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 3 3 Jan. 21-24 2016 Sept. 17-19 2015 Aug. 13-16 2015 June 26-28 2015 28% 24% 11% 7% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% * NA NA NA NA NA 2% 3% 6% 15% 7% 17% 7% 6% 9% 14% 4% 2% 3% * * 1% * * NA * 2% 5% 6% 19% 5% 12% 7% 15% 7% 6% 3% 4% 4% 2% * 1% * * 1% 4% 3% 4% 3% 7% 5% 8% 6% 13% 9% 2% 5% 1% 7% 4% NA 2% 2% * 4% 5% 2% 8% 12% -17- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 152 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 405 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 10. Now I’m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER) Jan. 21-24 Nov. 27-Dec. 1 2016 2015 Has the best chance of winning in the general election in November Trump Cruz Rubio Bush Carson Christie Fiorina Kasich Huckabee Paul Santorum Gilmore Graham Pataki Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion 63% 16% 10% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * NA NA 1% * 3% 52% 11% 15% 3% 10% 1% 1% * * 1% * * * * 1% 2% 2% Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself Trump Cruz Carson Rubio Bush Paul Huckabee Christie Fiorina Kasich Santorum Gilmore Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 3 3 34% 25% 9% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 2% 2% -18- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.) 16. Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president next year? (RANDOM ORDER) Jan. 21-24 2016 Trump 56% Cruz 17% Rubio 8% Bush 5% Kasich 3% Carson 2% Christie 1% Fiorina 1% Paul 1% Santorum 1% Gilmore * Huckabee * Graham NA Jindal NA Pataki NA Perry NA Walker NA Someone else (vol.) 1% No opinion 4% Sept. 4-8 July 22-25 2015 2015 41% 3% 4% 22% 2% 9% 2% 1% 2% 1% * 1% 1% * * 1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 4% 6% 39% 1% 2% 3% * 3% 1% * 2% 1% * * 1% 11% 2% 6% FOR COMPARISON QUESTION WORDING: Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president this year? Romney Santorum Gingrich Paul Someone else (vol.) Bachmann Cain Huntsman Perry None/ No one (vol.) No opinion Feb. 10-13 2012 Dec. 16-18 2011 Oct. 14-16 2011 Sept. 9-11 2011 68% 13% 11% 5% * N/A N/A N/A N/A 1% 2% 41% 2% 37% 4% * 6% N/A * 4% 2% 3% 51% 1% 3% 3% * 3% 18% * 14% N/A 8% 28% 1% 6% 4% * 3% 5% 1% 41% 3% 2% DATA SHOWN PRIOR TO SEPTEMBER 2015 IS FOR ALL ADULTS NOT REGISTERED VOTERS POLL 3 3 -19- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.) (QUESTIONS 17 THROUGH 19 ROTATED) 17a. 17b. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER) (IF NEITHER OR DON’T KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --? Jan. 21-24, 2016 Dec. 17-21, 2015 Nov. 27-Dec. 1, 2015 Oct. 14-17, 2015 Clinton Trump Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion 48% 49% 49% 50% 47% 47% 46% 45% 1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 3% 3% 4% * * * * FOR COMPARISON For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER) Businessman Donald Trump Registered Voters Sept. 4-8, 2015 Aug. 13-16, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 POLL 3 3 Clinton Trump Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion 48% 51% 56% 59% 48% 45% 40% 35% * * * * 3% 4% 4% 6% * * * * -20- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.) 18a. 18b. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Marco Rubio were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER) (IF NEITHER OR DON’T KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --? Jan. 21-24, 2016 Dec. 17-21, 2015 Nov. 27-Dec. 1, 2015 Clinton Rubio Other (vol.) 47% 46% 48% 50% 49% 49% 1% 2% 1% Neither (vol.) No opinion 2% 3% 2% 1% * * FOR COMPARISON For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER) Florida Senator Marco Rubio Clinton Rubio Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion Registered Voters June 26-28, 2015 56% 40% * 3% * All Adults May 29-31, 2015 Apr. 16-19, 2015 Mar. 13-15, 2015 Dec. 16-19, 2013 49% 55% 55% 57% 46% 41% 42% 36% * * * 1% 4% 3% 3% 4% 1% 1% * 2% 19a. 19b. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER) (IF NEITHER OR DON’T KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --? Jan. 21-24, 2016 Dec. 17-21, 2015 Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 Clinton Cruz Other (vol.) 47% 46% 50% 50% 48% 47% 1% 1% 1% Neither (vol.) No opinion 2% 4% 2% * * * FOR COMPARISON For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER) Texas Senator Ted Cruz All Adults May 29-31, 2015 Apr. 16-19, 2015 Dec. 18-21, 2014 POLL 3 3 Clinton Cruz Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion 52% 60% 60% 43% 36% 35% * * 1% 4% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% -21- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.) (QUESTIONS 20 THROUGH 22 ROTATED) 20a. 20b. If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER) (IF NEITHER OR DON’T KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --? Jan. 21-24, 2016 Oct. 14-17, 2015 Sanders Trump Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion 50% 53% 47% 44% * * 3% 3% * * FOR COMPARISON And now, let’s assume Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Bernie Sanders. (RANDOM ORDER) Businessman Donald Trump Registered Voters July 22-25, 2015 21a. 21b. 22b. Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion 59% 38% * 3% * Sanders Rubio Other (vol.) 49% 48% * Neither (vol.) No opinion 2% 1% If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER) (IF NEITHER OR DON’T KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --? Jan. 21-24, 2016 POLL 3 3 Trump If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Marco Rubio were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER) (IF NEITHER OR DON’T KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --? Jan. 21-24, 2016 22a. Sanders Sanders Cruz Other (vol.) 50% 47% * -22- Neither (vol.) No opinion 3% * January 21-24, 2016 23. We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) All Americans Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion Bernie Sanders 50% 33% 8% 9% Hillary Clinton 45% 52% * 3% Ted Cruz 45% 37% 9% 8% Marco Rubio 44% 33% 12% 11% Ben Carson 43% 34% 14% 10% Donald Trump 40% 55% 1% 3% Chris Christie 36% 40% 15% 9% Jeb Bush 35% 51% 6% 8% John Kasich 24% 26% 36% 15% The Democratic Party 45% 46% 1% 8% The Republican Party 40% 50% 1% 9% POLL 3 3 -23- January 21-24, 2016 BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 152 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 405 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 23. We’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) Registered Republicans Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion Ted Cruz 77% 20% 2% 1% Ben Carson 71% 19% 6% 4% Marco Rubio 69% 19% 5% 6% Donald Trump 69% 26% * 4% Chris Christie 57% 30% 8% 6% Jeb Bush 48% 46% 2% 4% John Kasich 34% 28% 25% 14% The Republican Party 73% 24% * 3% POLL 3 3 -24- January 21-24, 2016 23. We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) Jeb Bush January 21-24, 2016 December 17-21, 2015 September 17-19, 2015 August 13-16, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 March 13-15, 2015 May 14-17, 2009 Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion 35% 51% 6% 8% 34% 34% 34% 33% 31% 33% 57% 46% 56% 43% 47% 40% 4% 7% 6% 11% 14% 8% 5% 13% 4% 12% 9% 19% CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TREND 2005 Apr 1-2 Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion 44 38 5 13 QUESTION WORDING MAY, 2009: "Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush"; APRIL, 2005: "Florida Governor Jeb Bush" Ben Carson January 21-24, 2016 December 17-21, 2015 September 17-19, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 March 13-15, 2015 Chris Christie January 21-24, 2016 December 17-21, 2015 September 17-19, 2015 March 13-15, 2015 August 7-8, 2012 43% 34% 14% 10% 43% 40% 20% 22% 40% 20% 19% 14% 10% 28% 48% 56% 8% 12% 14% 8% 36% 40% 15% 9% 37% 32% 25% 37% 46% 39% 44% 21% 10% 21% 24% 27% 7% 8% 6% 15% QUESTION WORDING PRIOR TO 2015: "New Jersey Governor Chris Christie" POLL 3 3 -25- January 21-24, 2016 23. We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion January 21-24, 2016 45% 52% * 3% December 17-21, 2015 October 14-17, 2015 August 13-16, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 May 29-31, 2015 March 13-15, 2015 November 21-23, 2014 May 29-June 1, 2014 March 7-9, 2014 October 18-20, 2013 May 17-18, 2013 March 15-17, 2013 November 16-18, 2012 May 29-31, 2012 September 23-35, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 January 14-16, 2011 October 27-30, 2010 April 9-11, 2010 January 22-24, 2010 December 16-20, 2009 October 16-18, 2009 July 31-Aug. 3, 2009 April 23-26, 2009 December 1-2, 2008 August 29-31, 2008 August 23-24, 2008 July 27-29, 2008 June 26-29, 2008 April 28-30, 2008 February 1-3, 2008 January 9-10, 2008 September 7-9, 2007 June 23-24, 2007 March 9-11, 2007 November 3-5, 2006 September 22-24, 2006 47% 46% 44% 45% 46% 53% 59% 55% 57% 59% 61% 63% 67% 67% 69% 65% 66% 62% 61% 62% 64% 65% 61% 64% 66% 58% 56% 56% 53% 51% 52% 53% 53% 51% 49% 51% 50% 51% 50% 53% 48% 50% 44% 38% 42% 41% 37% 36% 33% 28% 29% 26% 31% 31% 34% 35% 35% 30% 32% 35% 34% 33% 40% 40% 42% 44% 46% 44% 39% 39% 44% 44% 40% 45% 1% 1% * 1% * 1% 1% * * * 1% 1% 1% * * * * * * 1% 1% * * 1% * * * * * * * 1% 1% * 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 6% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 5% 2% 5% 3% 4% 2% 1% 1% 4% 2% 3% 3% * 7% 7% 4% 5% 7% 4% Hillary Clinton CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS ON NEXT PAGE POLL 3 3 -26- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Fav. 2006 2006 Apr 21-23 2005 2005 Oct 21-23 2005 Jul 25-28 2005 May 20-22 2005 Feb 25-27 2004 2004 Jul 19-21* 2003 2003 Oct 24-26 2003 Sep 19-21 2003 Jun 27-29* 2003 Jun 9-10 2003 Mar 14-15 2002 2002 Dec 16-17 2002 Sep 23-26 2001 2001 Aug 3-5 2001 Mar 5-7 2001 Feb 19-21 2001 Feb 1-4 2000 2000 Nov 13-15 2000 Oct 25-28 2000 Aug 4-5 2000 Feb 4-6 1999 1999 Dec 9-12 1999 Sep 23-26 1999 Aug 3-4 1999 Jul 22-24 1999 Jun 25-27 1999 Mar 5-7 1999 Feb 19-21 1999 Feb 4-8 1998 1998 Dec 28-29 1998 Oct 9-12*** 1998 Sep 14-15 1998 Aug 21-23 1998 Aug 10-12 1998 Aug 7-8 1998 Feb 13-15 1998 Jan 30-Feb 1 1998 Jan 24-25 1998 Jan 23-24 Unfav. DK 50 42 8 54 53 55 53 41 43 39 41 5 4 6 6 56 38 6 51 54 52 53 45 44 40 44 43 46 5 6 4 4 9 48 47 46 44 6 9 51 44 49 52 44 53 44 43 5 3 7 5 56 52 45 55 39 43 50 39 5 5 5 6 48 56 56 62 56 65 65 66 48 40 41 35 42 31 30 31 4 4 3 3 2 4 5 3 67 63 61 61 60 60 60 64 61 60 29 33 33 33 36 35 36 34 33 35 4 4 6 6 4 5 4 2 6 5 1997 1997 Dec 18-21 1997 Oct 27-29 1997 Jun 26-29 1997 Feb 24-26 1997 Jan 31-Feb 2 1997 Jan 10-13 1996 1996 Oct 26-29*** 1996 Aug 28-29** 1996 Aug 16-18** 1996 Aug 5-7** 1996 Jun 18-19 1996 Mar 15-17 1996 Jan 12-15 1995 1995 Jul 7-9 1995 Mar 17-19 1995 Jan 16-18 1994 1994 Nov 28-29 1994 Sep 6-7 1994 Jul 15-17 1994 Apr 23-24 1994 Mar 25-27 1994 Mar 7-8 1994 Jan. 15-17 1993 1993 Nov. 2-4 1993 Sept. 24-26 1993 Aug. 8-10 1993 July 19-21 1993 June 5-6 1993 April 22-24 1993 March 22-24 1993 Jan. 29-31 1992 1992 Nov. 10-11 1992 Aug 31-Sept 2 1992 Aug. 19-20 1992 July 17-18 1992 July 6-8 1992 April 20-22 1992 March 20-22 Fav. 60 56 61 51 51 55 56 Unfav. 35 38 34 42 42 39 37 DK 5 6 5 7 6 6 7 49 51 47 48 46 47 43 43 41 48 45 47 48 51 8 8 5 7 6 5 6 50 49 50 44 44 44 6 7 6 50 48 48 56 52 55 57 44 47 46 40 42 40 36 6 5 6 4 6 5 7 58 62 57 56 50 61 61 67 34 27 33 34 31 27 31 22 8 11 10 10 19 12 8 11 49 56 48 51 45 38 39 30 25 31 24 30 39 26 21 19 21 25 25 23 35 *Asked of a half sample. **Based on likely voters. ***Based on registered voters. 2002-March 2003 WORDING: New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton. POLL 3 3 -27- January 21-24, 2016 23. We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion 45% 37% 9% 8% 45% 27% 22% 39% 35% 34% 8% 24% 31% 9% 14% 13% 24% 26% 36% 15% 22% 21% 23% 31% 22% 22% 29% 39% 44% 18% 18% 11% 44% 33% 12% 11% 46% 32% 24% 25% 32% 28% 34% 29% 27% 26% 22% 22% 9% 27% 33% 39% 30% 36% 10% 12% 16% 9% 16% 14% Ted Cruz January 21-24, 2016 December 17-21, 2015 September 17-19, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 John Kasich January 21-24, 2016 December 17-21, 2015 September 17-19, 2015 August 13-16, 2015 Marco Rubio January 21-24, 2016 December 17-21, 2015 September 17-19, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 March 13-15, 2015 August 7-8, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 QUESTION WORDING PRIOR TO 2015: "Florida Senator Mario Rubio" Bernie Sanders January 21-24, 2016 50% 33% 8% 9% December 17-21, 2015 October 14-17, 2015 August 13-16, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 46% 41% 35% 23% 36% 29% 27% 22% 10% 19% 28% 41% 7% 11% 10% 13% Donald Trump January 21-24, 2016 40% 55% 1% 3% 39% 31% 36% 33% 31% 57% 59% 59% 58% 64% 1% 1% 1% 2% * 2% 9% 3% 7% 4% December 17-21, 2015 September 17-19, 2015 August 13-16, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 April 29-May 1, 2011 CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS 2005 Jun 16-19 1999 Oct 8-10 1999 Sep 23-26 POLL 3 3 Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion 50 33 41 38 58 47 2 2 3 10 7 9 -28- January 21-24, 2016 23. We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion January 21-24, 2016 45% 46% 1% 8% August 13-16, 2015 May 29-31, 2015 November 21-23, 2014 October 18-20, 2013 September 27-29, 2013 May 17-18, 2013 March 15-17, 2013 Nov. 16-18, 2012 Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV) Sept. 7-9, 2012 (RV) August 22-23, 2012 (RV) April 13-15, 2012 March 24-25, 2012 September 23-25, 2011 August 5-7, 2011 July 18-20, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 December 17-19, 2010 November 11-14, 2010 October 27-30, 2010 September 1-2, 2010 April 9-11, 2010 January 22-24, 2010 October 16-18, 2009 July 31-Aug. 3, 2009 April 23-26, 2009 February 18-19, 2009 December 1-2, 2008 November 6-9, 2008 October 17-19, 2008 (RV) Sept. 5-7, 2008 (RV) Aug. 29-31, 2008 (RV) Aug. 23-24, 2008 (RV) April 28-30, 2008 January 9-10, 2008 June 22-24, 2007 March 9-11, 2007 November 3-5, 2006 September 22-24, 2006 47% 47% 44% 43% 43% 52% 46% 51% 52% 52% 49% 46% 48% 44% 47% 45% 46% 47% 46% 46% 44% 49% 46% 53% 52% 51% 58% 60% 62% 53% 51% 59% 52% 56% 55% 51% 51% 53% 56% 48% 45% 50% 51% 52% 43% 48% 41% 43% 43% 45% 46% 45% 48% 47% 49% 48% 47% 48% 47% 49% 46% 46% 41% 39% 44% 36% 34% 31% 42% 40% 36% 40% 35% 34% 38% 34% 35% 39% * 1% 1% 1% * 2% 1% 1% * * * 1% 1% 1% * 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 1% * * 1% * * * 1% * 1% * 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% * * 5% 7% 5% 6% 5% 4% 5% 7% 4% 5% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 7% 6% 5% 7% 6% 5% 8% 6% 8% 4% 5% 5% 6% 5% 8% 4% 7% 8% 8% 9% 13% 11% 5% The Democratic Party POLL 3 3 -29- January 21-24, 2016 23. We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion January 21-24, 2016 40% 50% 1% 9% August 13-16, 2015 May 29-31, 2015 November 21-23, 2014 October 18-20, 2013 September 27-29, 2013 May 17-18, 2013 March 15-17, 2013 Nov. 16-18, 2012 Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV) Sept. 7-9, 2012 (RV) August 22-23, 2012 (RV) April 13-15, 2012 March 24-25, 2012 September 23-25, 2011 August 5-7, 2011 July 18-20, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 December 17-19, 2010 November 11-14, 2010 October 27-30, 2010 September 1-2, 2010 April 9-11, 2010 January 22-24, 2010 October 16-18, 2009 July 31-Aug. 3, 2009 April 23-26, 2009 February 18-19, 2009 December 1-2, 2008 November 6-9, 2008 October 17-19, 2008 (RV) Sept. 5-7, 2008 (RV) Aug. 29-31, 2008 (RV) Aug. 23-24, 2008 (RV) April 28-30, 2008 January 9-10, 2008 June 22-24, 2007 March 9-11, 2007 November 3-5, 2006 September 22-24, 2006 41% 41% 41% 30% 32% 35% 38% 38% 45% 38% 41% 41% 35% 39% 33% 41% 44% 42% 43% 44% 45% 47% 44% 36% 41% 39% 39% 41% 38% 43% 48% 43% 48% 38% 41% 36% 42% 38% 44% 54% 49% 52% 64% 62% 59% 54% 53% 49% 55% 52% 51% 58% 54% 59% 55% 48% 50% 48% 43% 49% 47% 45% 54% 50% 55% 54% 52% 54% 51% 45% 50% 46% 53% 48% 53% 45% 52% 51% * 1% 1% * * 2% 1% * * * * * 1% 1% 1% 1% * * 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% * * * 1% * * * * 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% * 5% 9% 5% 6% 5% 4% 7% 9% 7% 7% 7% 8% 6% 6% 7% 3% 7% 8% 8% 12% 6% 6% 10% 8% 8% 6% 7% 6% 8% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 10% 9% 12% 10% 5% The Republican Party TRENDS CONTINUE ON NEXT PAGE POLL 3 3 -30- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS The Democratic Party Favorable 46 52 47 52 50 52 46 49 50 54 55 48 59 47 49 49 52 52 48 58 56 2005 Dec 16-18 2005 Oct 13-16 2005 Sep 8-11 2005 Jul 22-24 2005 Apr 1-2 2005 Feb 25-27 2005 Feb 4-6 2004 Sep 13-15 2004 Sep 3-5 2004 Aug 23-25* 2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 2004 Jul 19-21* 2004 Jan 29-Feb 1 2004 Jan 2-5 2003 Sep 8-10 2003 Mar 29-30 2003 Jan 3-5 2002 Dec 16-17 2002 Nov 8-10 2002 Oct 21-22 2002 Sep 5-8 Unfavorable 45 36 41 38 42 41 47 45 41 36 37 41 34 44 45 39 36 37 42 30 38 Never heard of * 2 1 1 * 1 * -* 1 1 1 * * -1 1 1 0 * 0 No opinion 9 10 11 9 8 6 7 6 9 9 7 10 7 9 6 11 11 10 10 12 6 Favorable 55 55 56 53 53 56 61 51 53 55 56 57 57 57 58 54 60 55 57 55 51 54 2002 Jul 26-28 2002 Jan 11-14 2001 Sep 7-10 2000 Nov 13-15 2000 Aug 4-5 2000 Jul 25-26 2000 Jan 7-10 1999 Nov 18-21 1999 Apr 30-May 2 1999 Feb 19-21 1999 Feb 12-13 1999 Feb 4-8 1999 Jan 8-10 1998 Dec 19-20 1998 Dec 15-16 1997 Oct 27-29 1996 Aug 30-Sep 1** 1996 Aug 16-18** 1996 Aug 5-7** 1996 Apr 9-10 1995 Apr 17-19 1992 Jul 6-8** Unfavorable 34 33 38 38 38 35 33 41 37 37 38 37 35 30 32 39 36 41 38 38 43 38 Never heard of * * * 1 1 * * * 1 0 * * * * 2 * * 1 1 0 * * Never heard of * * * * 1 * * * * 0 1 * * * 2 * * 1 * * * * No opinion 9 9 5 8 8 12 6 6 9 9 5 8 8 12 8 8 5 2 5 7 6 8 No opinion 11 12 6 8 8 9 6 8 9 8 6 6 8 13 8 7 4 3 4 7 6 8 *Asked of a half sample **Based on registered voters. The Republican Party 2005 Dec 16-18 2005 Oct 13-16 2005 Sep 8-11 2005 Jul 22-24 2005 Apr 1-2 2005 Feb 25-27 2005 Feb 4-6 2004 Sep 13-15 2004 Sep 3-5 2004 Aug 23-25* 2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 2004 Jul 19-21* 2004 Jan 29-Feb 1 2004 Jan 2-5 2003 Sep 8-10 2003 Mar 29-30 2003 Jan 3-5 2002 Dec 16-17 2002 Nov 8-10 2002 Oct 21-22 2002 Sep 5-8 Favorable 45 40 45 46 50 51 56 55 53 50 47 50 48 52 50 56 51 51 54 53 54 Unfavor able 48 50 45 45 44 42 39 41 40 41 45 43 45 40 44 33 38 38 38 35 40 Never heard of * 2 1 1 1 1 1 * * 1 1 * * 1 -1 1 1 * * 0 No opinion 7 8 9 8 5 6 4 4 7 8 7 7 7 7 6 10 10 10 8 12 6 2002 Jul 26-28 2002 Jan 11-14 2001 Sep 7-10 2000 Nov 13-15 2000 Aug 4-5 2000 Jul 25-26 2000 Jan 7-10 1999 Nov 18-21 1999 Apr 30-May 2 1999 Feb 19-21 1999 Feb 12-13 1999 Feb 4-8 1999 Jan 8-10 1998 Dec 19-20 1998 Dec 15-16 1997 Oct 27-29 1996 Aug 30-Sep 1** 1996 Aug 16-18** 1996 Aug 5-7** 1996 Apr 9-10 1995 Apr 17-19 1992 Jul 6-8** Favor able 55 61 47 49 54 49 53 50 47 45 40 45 40 31 43 50 50 55 51 52 52 53 Unfavorable 36 30 48 43 37 39 41 44 44 46 54 47 52 57 47 42 45 41 44 41 42 39 *Asked of a half sample. **Based on registered voters. POLL 3 3 -31- January 21-24, 2016 METHODOLOGY A total of 1,002 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Among the entire sample, 28% described themselves as Democrats, 24% described themselves as Republicans, and 48% described themselves as independents or members of another party. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage. Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "NA". POLL 3 3 -32- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 3 How well do you feel the government in Washington represents the views of people like yourself? Base = Total Sample Very well Somewhat well Not too well Not at all well No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------4% 5% 3% 2% 16% 14% 17% 14% 39% 36% 41% 39% 40% 43% 38% 44% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Very well Somewhat well Not too well Not at all well No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 16% 39% 40% 1% +/-3.0 Very well Somewhat well Not too well Not at all well No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------4% 4% 16% 12% 39% 42% 40% 41% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Very well Somewhat well Not too well Not at all well No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 16% 39% 40% 1% +/-3.0 Democrat ----10% 27% 41% 21% 2% +/-5.5 Very well Somewhat well Not too well Not at all well No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 16% 39% 40% 1% +/-3.0 North east ----6% 19% 35% 38% 2% +/-6.5 Midwest ----5% 17% 40% 39% * +/-6.5 South ----5% 12% 43% 39% 1% +/-5.5 Very well Somewhat well Not too well Not at all well No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 16% 39% 40% 1% +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------2% 6% 35% 57% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------6% 17% 40% 37% 1% +/-4.5 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----3% 1% 5% N/A N/A 19% 13% 17% N/A N/A 41% 31% 41% N/A N/A 36% 54% 37% N/A N/A 1% 1% 1% N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----3% 9% 43% 44% 1% +/-7.0 Non-White --------10% 18% 40% 32% * +/-6.5 5064 ----3% 18% 33% 45% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------4% 20% 36% 40% 1% +/-4.5 65+ ----5% 14% 37% 44% 1% +/-5.0 College Grad ------6% 17% 43% 33% 2% +/-4.5 Independent -----3% 14% 37% 46% 1% +/-5.0 Republican -----1% 7% 40% 52% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----5% 16% 41% 37% 1% +/-5.0 Non College Grad -------4% 15% 37% 43% * +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----7% 23% 40% 29% 1% +/-4.5 Liberal ----3% 26% 42% 28% 2% +/-6.5 Moderate ----6% 16% 42% 37% * +/-5.0 West ----1% 18% 34% 47% * +/-6.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----4% 15% 35% 46% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----2% 8% 38% 52% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------4% 9% 35% 53% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -33- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 4A How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? A. The economy Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------42% 44% 39% 42% 46% 44% 48% 44% 11% 11% 12% 12% 1% 1% 1% 2% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----42% 46% 11% 1% * +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------42% 40% 46% 45% 11% 14% 1% 1% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----42% 46% 11% 1% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----36% 54% 9% 1% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----42% 46% 11% 1% * +/-3.5 North east ----45% 39% 14% 2% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----43% 44% 11% 1% * +/-7.0 South ----42% 49% 9% * * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----42% 46% 11% 1% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------47% 41% 11% 1% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------42% 48% 9% 1% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----36% 47% 40% N/A N/A 46% 43% 47% N/A N/A 17% 9% 12% N/A N/A 1% * 1% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----45% 44% 11% * * +/-7.5 Non-White --------41% 50% 9% * * +/-7.0 5064 ----43% 48% 8% 1% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------45% 45% 9% 1% * +/-4.5 65+ ----41% 46% 11% 1% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------36% 50% 13% 1% * +/-5.0 Independent -----45% 38% 15% 2% * +/-5.0 Republican -----42% 51% 7% * * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----41% 46% 12% 1% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------44% 45% 10% 1% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----38% 48% 13% 1% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----34% 45% 20% * * +/-7.0 Moderate ----42% 46% 10% 3% * +/-5.5 West ----37% 50% 12% 1% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----43% 47% 10% 1% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----45% 45% 10% * * +/-5.0 Conservative ------47% 45% 7% * * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -34- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 4B How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? B. Illegal immigration Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------27% 27% 28% 28% 34% 33% 35% 33% 24% 25% 24% 26% 14% 15% 12% 12% 1% * 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 34% 24% 14% 1% +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------27% 28% 34% 35% 24% 21% 14% 14% 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 34% 24% 14% 1% +/-3.5 Democrat ----24% 30% 25% 20% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 34% 24% 14% 1% +/-3.5 North east ----31% 31% 23% 14% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----24% 36% 26% 12% 2% +/-7.0 South ----27% 35% 25% 13% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 34% 24% 14% 1% +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------41% 38% 20% 1% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------27% 38% 23% 10% 1% +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----16% 28% 27% N/A N/A 23% 43% 31% N/A N/A 33% 23% 25% N/A N/A 28% 4% 17% N/A N/A * 2% * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----25% 30% 26% 17% 2% +/-7.5 Non-White --------25% 36% 22% 17% * +/-7.0 5064 ----29% 36% 24% 11% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------26% 30% 29% 15% * +/-4.5 65+ ----31% 36% 25% 8% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------19% 34% 28% 20% * +/-5.0 Independent -----27% 31% 26% 14% 1% +/-5.0 Republican -----31% 43% 21% 5% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----26% 32% 24% 17% 1% +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------31% 33% 23% 11% 1% +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----22% 28% 29% 21% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----15% 29% 26% 30% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----30% 33% 24% 13% * +/-5.5 West ----26% 34% 24% 15% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----30% 36% 25% 9% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----32% 42% 20% 6% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------34% 39% 22% 4% 1% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -35- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 4C How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? C. Foreign policy Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------30% 28% 32% 30% 42% 43% 41% 42% 21% 23% 19% 22% 6% 6% 6% 5% 1% * 2% 1% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 42% 21% 6% 1% +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------30% 29% 42% 40% 21% 23% 6% 7% 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 42% 21% 6% 1% +/-3.5 Democrat ----25% 45% 23% 5% 2% +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 42% 21% 6% 1% +/-3.5 North east ----32% 47% 19% 2% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----30% 39% 22% 7% 2% +/-7.0 South ----32% 37% 25% 5% 2% +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 42% 21% 6% 1% +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------43% 36% 19% 2% 1% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------26% 41% 25% 6% 2% +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----29% 34% 29% N/A N/A 48% 42% 42% N/A N/A 17% 20% 22% N/A N/A 7% 3% 6% N/A N/A * 2% 1% N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----26% 39% 26% 5% 4% +/-7.5 Non-White --------30% 41% 21% 6% 2% +/-7.0 5064 ----34% 42% 18% 5% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------31% 44% 20% 4% 2% +/-4.5 65+ ----35% 49% 11% 4% 1% +/-5.5 College Grad ------33% 45% 19% 3% * +/-5.0 Independent -----32% 42% 18% 7% 1% +/-5.0 Republican -----32% 38% 26% 5% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----26% 40% 25% 6% 2% +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------29% 40% 23% 7% 2% +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----27% 44% 23% 5% 1% +/-4.5 Liberal ----23% 46% 21% 8% 3% +/-7.0 Moderate ----30% 41% 21% 8% * +/-5.5 West ----25% 47% 18% 9% 1% +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----35% 45% 15% 5% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----34% 40% 21% 4% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------36% 41% 20% 2% 2% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -36- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 4D How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? D. Terrorism Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------45% 44% 45% 44% 36% 33% 39% 34% 15% 16% 15% 17% 4% 7% 1% 5% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----45% 36% 15% 4% * +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------45% 42% 36% 41% 15% 12% 4% 4% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----45% 36% 15% 4% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----40% 37% 18% 5% 1% +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----45% 36% 15% 4% * +/-3.5 North east ----43% 35% 18% 3% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----46% 36% 12% 6% * +/-7.0 South ----46% 33% 17% 4% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----45% 36% 15% 4% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------50% 39% 11% * * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------50% 37% 9% 4% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----29% 51% 43% N/A N/A 35% 37% 36% N/A N/A 30% 11% 16% N/A N/A 6% * 5% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----49% 33% 16% 3% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------44% 42% 11% 3% * +/-7.0 5064 ----44% 37% 15% 3% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------45% 32% 19% 3% * +/-4.5 65+ ----46% 41% 10% 1% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------36% 35% 20% 8% * +/-5.0 Independent -----47% 32% 16% 5% * +/-5.0 Republican -----47% 42% 10% 2% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----43% 35% 17% 5% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------48% 37% 13% 2% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----38% 35% 21% 5% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----32% 31% 29% 9% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----46% 38% 13% 3% * +/-5.5 West ----43% 42% 13% 3% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----46% 39% 13% 2% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----49% 40% 9% 1% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------52% 39% 8% 1% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -37- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 4E How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? E. Health care Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------35% 33% 38% 33% 41% 35% 47% 40% 18% 25% 12% 21% 6% 8% 4% 6% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 41% 18% 6% * +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------35% 36% 41% 44% 18% 15% 6% 5% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 41% 18% 6% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----39% 46% 14% 1% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 41% 18% 6% * +/-3.5 North east ----40% 42% 14% 5% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----37% 40% 16% 7% * +/-7.0 South ----34% 39% 23% 5% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 41% 18% 6% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------34% 38% 22% 6% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------35% 41% 18% 6% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----36% 30% 37% N/A N/A 43% 46% 39% N/A N/A 16% 18% 18% N/A N/A 6% 6% 6% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----34% 36% 21% 9% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------42% 42% 11% 5% * +/-7.0 5064 ----38% 43% 16% 3% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------36% 36% 22% 6% * +/-4.5 65+ ----36% 45% 13% 6% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------32% 44% 17% 6% * +/-5.0 Independent -----36% 38% 19% 7% * +/-5.0 Republican -----29% 40% 21% 9% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----34% 39% 20% 7% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------38% 38% 18% 6% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----40% 43% 16% 1% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----41% 42% 12% 5% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----36% 43% 16% 5% * +/-5.5 West ----32% 43% 18% 7% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----38% 43% 14% 5% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----30% 39% 23% 8% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------34% 35% 23% 8% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -38- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 4F How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? F. Climate change Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------18% 16% 20% 14% 26% 20% 32% 24% 22% 21% 24% 23% 34% 43% 24% 39% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----18% 26% 22% 34% * +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------18% 17% 26% 30% 22% 26% 34% 27% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----18% 26% 22% 34% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----28% 39% 21% 11% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----18% 26% 22% 34% * +/-3.5 North east ----28% 30% 16% 25% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----15% 26% 27% 32% * +/-7.0 South ----16% 22% 21% 41% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----18% 26% 22% 34% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------3% 19% 16% 62% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------14% 23% 26% 37% 1% +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----34% 4% 22% N/A N/A 38% 24% 27% N/A N/A 19% 24% 22% N/A N/A 9% 47% 29% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----15% 30% 20% 34% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------26% 33% 21% 19% * +/-7.0 5064 ----19% 24% 22% 35% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------20% 24% 18% 38% * +/-4.5 65+ ----17% 28% 23% 32% 1% +/-5.5 College Grad ------22% 24% 24% 29% * +/-5.0 Independent -----19% 24% 26% 31% * +/-5.0 Republican -----3% 15% 17% 64% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----19% 27% 21% 33% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------16% 28% 22% 34% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----33% 34% 22% 11% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----36% 33% 18% 13% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----19% 34% 26% 20% 1% +/-5.5 West ----15% 30% 24% 31% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----16% 26% 24% 33% 1% +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----3% 18% 19% 59% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------6% 15% 21% 58% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -39- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 4G How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? G. Gun policy Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------32% 32% 32% 33% 36% 34% 38% 33% 19% 19% 20% 21% 12% 14% 10% 12% * * * 1% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----32% 36% 19% 12% * +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------32% 31% 36% 38% 19% 21% 12% 10% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----32% 36% 19% 12% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----37% 36% 17% 10% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----32% 36% 19% 12% * +/-3.5 North east ----41% 34% 16% 9% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----32% 40% 19% 8% * +/-7.0 South ----30% 37% 20% 13% 1% +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----32% 36% 19% 12% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------34% 39% 17% 10% 1% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------31% 35% 21% 13% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----32% 36% 31% N/A N/A 35% 35% 36% N/A N/A 20% 21% 19% N/A N/A 12% 8% 13% N/A N/A * * 1% N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----29% 34% 24% 11% 1% +/-7.5 Non-White --------31% 40% 17% 12% * +/-7.0 5064 ----37% 34% 15% 14% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------34% 34% 18% 14% * +/-4.5 65+ ----33% 39% 20% 7% 1% +/-5.5 College Grad ------27% 35% 23% 14% * +/-5.0 Independent -----29% 32% 22% 16% * +/-5.0 Republican -----33% 42% 17% 7% 1% +/-6.0 Under 55 ----30% 37% 20% 13% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------34% 36% 18% 11% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----33% 37% 19% 11% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----33% 31% 19% 17% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----29% 38% 21% 11% * +/-5.5 West ----28% 33% 22% 17% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----35% 34% 19% 11% 1% +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----31% 37% 19% 13% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------34% 36% 18% 11% 1% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -40- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 4H How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? H. The income gap between rich and poor Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------30% 28% 32% 27% 32% 30% 34% 27% 21% 19% 23% 25% 16% 23% 10% 20% * 1% * 1% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 32% 21% 16% * +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------30% 34% 32% 40% 21% 14% 16% 11% * 1% +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 32% 21% 16% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----37% 46% 14% 2% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 32% 21% 16% * +/-3.5 North east ----39% 27% 20% 15% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----28% 39% 17% 15% * +/-7.0 South ----33% 30% 25% 11% 1% +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 32% 21% 16% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------14% 22% 29% 35% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------29% 33% 23% 14% 1% +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----42% 24% 32% N/A N/A 39% 24% 34% N/A N/A 12% 28% 19% N/A N/A 7% 22% 14% N/A N/A * 1% * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----30% 32% 19% 19% 1% +/-7.5 Non-White --------36% 47% 11% 6% * +/-7.0 5064 ----31% 31% 20% 18% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------29% 25% 25% 21% * +/-4.5 65+ ----29% 32% 24% 14% 1% +/-5.5 College Grad ------29% 28% 26% 17% 1% +/-5.0 Independent -----34% 28% 20% 19% * +/-5.0 Republican -----16% 23% 31% 28% 1% +/-6.0 Under 55 ----31% 33% 21% 16% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------31% 34% 19% 16% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----42% 41% 14% 2% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----44% 41% 11% 4% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----34% 37% 20% 9% * +/-5.5 West ----20% 34% 19% 26% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----30% 31% 21% 17% 1% +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----18% 24% 27% 30% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------18% 21% 30% 30% 1% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -41- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 4I How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? I. Government spending Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------35% 36% 33% 36% 45% 42% 47% 42% 15% 16% 15% 17% 5% 6% 5% 5% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 45% 15% 5% * +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------35% 33% 45% 51% 15% 11% 5% 5% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 45% 15% 5% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----26% 45% 21% 9% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 45% 15% 5% * +/-3.5 North east ----32% 41% 17% 11% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----34% 46% 14% 6% * +/-7.0 South ----39% 43% 17% 1% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 45% 15% 5% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------49% 41% 9% 1% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------34% 52% 11% 3% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----27% 45% 31% N/A N/A 33% 41% 46% N/A N/A 28% 12% 16% N/A N/A 12% 2% 6% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----39% 41% 16% 3% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------31% 52% 12% 5% * +/-7.0 5064 ----36% 45% 17% 2% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------37% 37% 20% 6% * +/-4.5 65+ ----36% 47% 13% 3% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------32% 37% 24% 7% * +/-5.0 Independent -----37% 43% 14% 5% * +/-5.0 Republican -----40% 47% 12% 1% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----34% 43% 16% 7% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------36% 48% 11% 4% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----28% 44% 20% 8% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----26% 41% 23% 11% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----34% 44% 16% 5% * +/-5.5 West ----32% 50% 13% 5% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----36% 46% 15% 3% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----41% 47% 10% 2% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------43% 45% 10% 2% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -42- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 5 How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this year's election -extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic or not at all enthusiastic? Base = Registered Voters Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------32% 32% 33% 33% 24% 26% 23% 26% 21% 21% 21% 20% 13% 12% 14% 13% 9% 8% 9% 7% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----32% 24% 21% 13% 9% * +/-3.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------32% 25% 24% 26% 21% 22% 13% 15% 9% 12% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----32% 24% 21% 13% 9% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----29% 26% 25% 10% 10% * +/-5.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----32% 24% 21% 13% 9% * +/-3.5 North east ----31% 30% 21% 12% 5% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----25% 27% 19% 15% 15% * +/-7.0 South ----35% 22% 23% 12% 7% * +/-5.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----32% 24% 21% 13% 9% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------41% 33% 14% 8% 5% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------30% 22% 24% 15% 8% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----31% 35% 31% N/A N/A 22% 25% 24% N/A N/A 23% 16% 23% N/A N/A 13% 10% 14% N/A N/A 12% 13% 7% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----31% 22% 23% 13% 11% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------29% 19% 26% 13% 13% * +/-7.0 5064 ----37% 22% 21% 13% 7% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------39% 23% 22% 11% 5% * +/-4.5 65+ ----37% 25% 18% 12% 7% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------37% 24% 21% 12% 7% * +/-5.0 Independent -----30% 22% 24% 16% 9% * +/-5.0 Republican -----41% 27% 13% 12% 8% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----29% 25% 23% 13% 10% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------30% 24% 22% 14% 10% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----28% 24% 26% 14% 8% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----39% 22% 22% 11% 7% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----22% 25% 26% 15% 11% * +/-5.5 West ----36% 21% 21% 14% 9% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----38% 24% 18% 13% 7% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----39% 27% 16% 11% 7% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------39% 27% 16% 11% 7% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -43- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 6 I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else. Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------5% 6% 2% 5% 6% 5% 8% 7% 4% 3% 4% 3% 19% 17% 21% 20% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 1% 4% 8% 5% 11% 8% * * 1% * 41% 44% 37% 39% * * * * 3% * 5% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 4% 5% 3% 5% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 6% 4% 19% 2% 3% 1% 3% 8% * 41% * 3% 1% 4% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------5% 2% 6% 7% 4% 5% 19% 14% 2% 1% 3% 5% 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 4% * 1% 41% 43% * * 3% 5% 1% 3% 4% 4% +/-5.0 +/-8.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------7% 4% 3% 23% 3% * 1% 2% 9% * 42% * 1% * 4% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----7% 3% 1% 20% 3% 4% 2% * 7% * 43% * 2% 5% 3% +/-8.5 College Grad ------4% 12% 5% 20% 4% * 2% 8% 11% 1% 26% * 1% 1% 4% +/-7.5 65+ ----3% 5% 5% 25% 1% 4% 1% 2% 10% 1% 38% * 1% * 4% +/-8.0 Under 55 ----5% 9% 4% 15% 2% 3% * 5% 7% * 41% * 3% * 5% +/-8.0 Non College Grad -------5% 4% 2% 18% 1% 4% 1% 1% 6% * 47% * 3% 2% 4% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----4% 4% 3% 23% 1% 3% 2% 1% 9% 1% 41% * 2% 3% 3% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----5% 6% 4% 19% 2% 3% 1% 3% 8% * 41% * 3% 1% 4% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -44- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 6 I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else. Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 6% 4% 19% 2% 3% 1% 3% 8% * 41% * 3% 1% 4% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 6% 4% 19% 2% 3% 1% 3% 8% * 41% * 3% 1% 4% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 6% 4% 19% 2% 3% 1% 3% 8% * 41% * 3% 1% 4% +/-5.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----6% 5% 8% 19% 2% 1% 1% 4% 8% * 39% * 2% 2% 3% +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------1% 10% 2% 34% 2% 1% * 4% 7% * 37% * * * * +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------4% 5% 3% 12% 1% 4% 1% 3% 7% 1% 45% * 5% 2% 6% +/-7.0 Republican -----4% 7% 1% 18% 1% 5% 1% 3% 8% 1% 42% * 3% 1% 5% +/-6.0 South ----6% 6% 3% 21% 1% 6% * 1% 6% 1% 41% * 1% * 7% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------2% 8% 2% 26% 1% 2% 1% 3% 7% 1% 42% * * * 6% +/-6.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Gun Owner Evang. Others Yes No ----- ------ ----- ----3% 6% N/A N/A 11% 4% N/A N/A 1% 6% N/A N/A 25% 15% N/A N/A 1% 2% N/A N/A 3% 3% N/A N/A 1% 1% N/A N/A 1% 5% N/A N/A 7% 9% N/A N/A 1% * N/A N/A 39% 42% N/A N/A * * N/A N/A 2% 3% N/A N/A * 2% N/A N/A 7% 3% N/A N/A +/-8.0 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -45- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 7 Would you say you will definitely support that candidate, or is it possible you would change your mind? Base = Registered Republicans who support a candidate Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------53% 51% 56% 52% 46% 48% 44% 48% * 1% * 1% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.5 +/-5.5 Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error Total ----53% 46% * +/-5.0 Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error Total ----53% 46% * +/-5.0 Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error Total ----53% 46% * +/-5.0 Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error Total ----53% 46% * +/-5.0 Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error Total ----53% 46% * +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------54% 46% * +/-7.0 65+ ----57% 42% * +/-8.0 College Grad ------43% 57% * +/-7.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A Independent -----46% 53% 1% +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------61% 37% 1% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------52% 48% * +/-7.0 Republican -----58% 42% * +/-6.5 South ----51% 49% * +/-8.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A Under 55 ----50% 50% 1% +/-8.0 Non College Grad -------58% 41% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----58% 41% * +/-6.5 Lean Republican -----53% 46% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------56% 43% 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A White All Gun Owner Evang. Others Yes No ----- ------ ----- ----52% 54% N/A N/A 47% 46% N/A N/A 1% * N/A N/A +/-8.0 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -46- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 8A Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each of them won the Republican presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if that person were the Republican nominee? A. Donald Trump Base = Registered Republicans Total Men Women White ----------------Enthusiastic 40% 39% 42% 38% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 28% 33% 22% 29% Dissatisfied but not upset 12% 13% 10% 13% Upset 19% 13% 26% 18% No opinion 1% 1% * 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 40% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 28% Dissatisfied but not upset 12% Upset 19% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under Total $50K --------Enthusiastic 40% 47% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 28% 24% Dissatisfied but not upset 12% 13% Upset 19% 15% No opinion 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Total ----Enthusiastic 40% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 28% Dissatisfied but not upset 12% Upset 19% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 40% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 28% Dissatisfied but not upset 12% Upset 19% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 40% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 28% Dissatisfied but not upset 12% Upset 19% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----46% 31% 3% 20% * +/-8.5 $50K or more ------37% 28% 11% 23% * +/-6.5 65+ ----41% 25% 17% 14% 3% +/-8.0 College Grad ------30% 26% 15% 29% * +/-7.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----39% 27% 10% 23% * +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------44% 29% 15% 12% * +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------40% 29% 9% 21% 1% +/-7.0 Republican -----41% 28% 13% 16% 1% +/-6.0 South ----34% 37% 9% 18% 1% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 55 ----36% 29% 12% 23% * +/-8.0 Non College Grad -------45% 29% 11% 15% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----45% 26% 12% 16% 1% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----40% 28% 12% 19% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------40% 33% 10% 17% * +/-6.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Gun Owner Evang. Others Yes No ----- ------ ----- ----40% 41% N/A N/A 34% 24% N/A N/A 11% 13% N/A N/A 15% 22% N/A N/A 1% 1% N/A N/A +/-8.0 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -47- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 8B Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each of them won the Republican presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if that person were the Republican nominee? B. Ted Cruz Base = Registered Republicans Total Men Women White ----------------Enthusiastic 25% 23% 26% 24% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 43% 45% 41% 45% Dissatisfied but not upset 22% 21% 22% 23% Upset 9% 9% 9% 7% No opinion 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 25% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 43% Dissatisfied but not upset 22% Upset 9% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under Total $50K --------Enthusiastic 25% 28% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 43% 39% Dissatisfied but not upset 22% 25% Upset 9% 8% No opinion 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Total ----Enthusiastic 25% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 43% Dissatisfied but not upset 22% Upset 9% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 25% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 43% Dissatisfied but not upset 22% Upset 9% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 25% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 43% Dissatisfied but not upset 22% Upset 9% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----25% 38% 21% 15% 1% +/-8.5 $50K or more ------24% 45% 19% 11% 1% +/-6.5 65+ ----27% 50% 17% 3% 3% +/-8.0 College Grad ------25% 45% 21% 7% 1% +/-7.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----28% 40% 22% 9% * +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------41% 47% 8% 4% * +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------19% 46% 25% 8% 2% +/-7.0 Republican -----22% 46% 21% 9% 2% +/-6.0 South ----22% 47% 22% 7% 2% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 55 ----25% 43% 24% 8% 1% +/-8.0 Non College Grad -------26% 42% 22% 9% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----26% 44% 18% 11% 1% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----25% 43% 22% 9% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------32% 49% 13% 6% * +/-6.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Gun Owner Evang. Others Yes No ----- ------ ----- ----27% 23% N/A N/A 47% 41% N/A N/A 16% 25% N/A N/A 9% 9% N/A N/A 2% 1% N/A N/A +/-8.0 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -48- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 8C Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each of them won the Republican presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if that person were the Republican nominee? C. Marco Rubio Base = Registered Republicans Total Men Women White ----------------Enthusiastic 18% 15% 21% 17% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 44% 48% 39% 45% Dissatisfied but not upset 26% 28% 25% 28% Upset 11% 8% 14% 9% No opinion 1% * 2% 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 18% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 44% Dissatisfied but not upset 26% Upset 11% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under Total $50K --------Enthusiastic 18% 15% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 44% 42% Dissatisfied but not upset 26% 25% Upset 11% 17% No opinion 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Total ----Enthusiastic 18% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 44% Dissatisfied but not upset 26% Upset 11% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 18% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 44% Dissatisfied but not upset 26% Upset 11% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 18% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 44% Dissatisfied but not upset 26% Upset 11% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----17% 47% 20% 15% 1% +/-8.5 $50K or more ------18% 45% 28% 8% 1% +/-6.5 65+ ----24% 39% 25% 9% 3% +/-8.0 College Grad ------26% 46% 21% 5% 2% +/-7.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----17% 47% 25% 11% 1% +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------19% 47% 25% 8% 1% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------16% 46% 24% 12% 1% +/-7.0 Republican -----19% 42% 28% 11% 1% +/-6.0 South ----13% 45% 29% 11% 2% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 55 ----15% 46% 29% 9% 1% +/-8.0 Non College Grad -------14% 43% 28% 14% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----21% 42% 22% 14% 2% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----18% 44% 26% 11% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------18% 49% 23% 9% * +/-6.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Gun Owner Evang. Others Yes No ----- ------ ----- ----13% 21% N/A N/A 49% 41% N/A N/A 23% 29% N/A N/A 13% 9% N/A N/A 2% 1% N/A N/A +/-8.0 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -49- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 9A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------4% 5% 2% 4% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 12% 9% 15% 11% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 4% 4% 3% 4% 5% 4% 6% 5% * * 1% * 60% 64% 55% 59% * * * * 1% * 3% 2% 2% 1% 4% 2% 1% * 1% 1% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 2% 2% 12% 3% 1% 2% 4% 5% * 60% * 1% 2% 1% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 12% 12% 3% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 4% 7% 5% 5% * 1% 60% 60% * * 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% * +/-5.0 +/-8.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------4% 2% 3% 14% 4% * 3% 2% 4% * 61% * 1% 1% * +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----7% 2% * 13% 4% 2% 5% * 1% * 62% * 1% 1% 1% +/-8.5 College Grad ------2% 4% 3% 13% 5% 1% 3% 8% 8% 1% 47% * * 6% * +/-7.5 65+ ----6% 1% 4% 15% 4% 4% 1% 2% 6% 1% 53% * * 1% 2% +/-8.0 Under 55 ----2% 3% 3% 11% 3% 1% 1% 6% 5% * 60% * 2% 3% * +/-8.0 Non College Grad -------4% 1% 2% 12% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% * 65% * 2% 1% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----6% 1% 2% 14% 4% 3% 4% 1% 4% 1% 58% * 1% 1% 1% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----4% 2% 2% 12% 3% 1% 2% 4% 5% * 60% * 1% 2% 1% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -50- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 9A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 2% 2% 12% 3% 1% 2% 4% 5% * 60% * 1% 2% 1% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 2% 2% 12% 3% 1% 2% 4% 5% * 60% * 1% 2% 1% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 2% 2% 12% 3% 1% 2% 4% 5% * 60% * 1% 2% 1% +/-5.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----5% 2% 4% 12% 3% 2% 1% 6% 4% * 60% * * * 1% +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------1% 3% 1% 18% 3% 2% 2% 8% 5% * 54% * * 3% * +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------4% 1% 3% 10% 3% 2% 2% 3% 5% 1% 62% * 3% 2% 1% +/-7.0 Republican -----3% 2% 1% 12% 3% 1% 3% 2% 5% 1% 60% * 3% 3% * +/-6.0 South ----8% 3% 2% 10% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% 1% 60% * 1% 2% 1% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------2% 2% 2% 13% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4% 1% 62% * * 2% 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Gun Owner Evang. Others Yes No ----- ------ ----- ----3% 4% N/A N/A 3% 2% N/A N/A 1% 3% N/A N/A 14% 11% N/A N/A 2% 4% N/A N/A 2% 1% N/A N/A 2% 2% N/A N/A 4% 4% N/A N/A 3% 5% N/A N/A 1% * N/A N/A 60% 60% N/A N/A * * N/A N/A 1% 2% N/A N/A 4% 1% N/A N/A 1% 1% N/A N/A +/-8.0 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -51- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 9B Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: B. Illegal immigration Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------6% 8% 4% 7% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% * 1% 16% 13% 19% 16% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * 2% 2% 1% 2% 11% 9% 14% 11% * * * * 55% 60% 50% 54% * * * * 2% * 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% * 2% 1% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 2% 1% 16% 1% 1% * 2% 11% * 55% * 2% 2% 1% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 16% 15% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * 2% 4% 11% 8% * 1% 55% 61% * * 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% * +/-5.0 +/-8.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------8% 4% 1% 17% 1% 2% * * 13% * 52% * 1% 1% * +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----8% 2% 1% 16% 1% 1% * 1% 11% * 57% * 1% * * +/-8.5 College Grad ------6% 2% 2% 18% 2% 2% * 4% 18% * 39% * * 6% 1% +/-7.5 65+ ----8% 1% 1% 16% 1% 2% * 2% 13% 1% 51% * * 1% 4% +/-8.0 Under 55 ----5% 3% 1% 16% 1% 1% * 2% 11% * 56% * 2% 3% * +/-8.0 Non College Grad -------6% 2% * 15% * 1% * 1% 9% * 62% * 2% * 1% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----8% 1% 1% 16% 1% 1% * 2% 12% 1% 53% * 1% 1% 2% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----6% 2% 1% 16% 1% 1% * 2% 11% * 55% * 2% 2% 1% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -52- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 9B Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: B. Illegal immigration Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 2% 1% 16% 1% 1% * 2% 11% * 55% * 2% 2% 1% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 2% 1% 16% 1% 1% * 2% 11% * 55% * 2% 2% 1% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 2% 1% 16% 1% 1% * 2% 11% * 55% * 2% 2% 1% +/-5.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----9% 1% 1% 18% 1% 1% * 2% 15% * 51% * * * 1% +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------1% 1% * 26% 1% 2% * 1% 11% * 53% * * 3% 1% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------5% 3% 1% 12% 1% 1% * 2% 10% * 58% * 3% 2% 1% +/-7.0 Republican -----4% 3% 1% 14% 1% 1% * 1% 9% * 58% * 3% 3% 1% +/-6.0 South ----8% 3% 1% 14% 1% 1% * 1% 13% 1% 53% * 1% 2% 1% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------4% 3% 1% 19% 1% 1% * 2% 10% * 57% * * 2% 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Gun Owner Evang. Others Yes No ----- ------ ----- ----4% 8% N/A N/A 3% 2% N/A N/A * 1% N/A N/A 20% 13% N/A N/A 1% 1% N/A N/A 1% 2% N/A N/A * * N/A N/A 1% 2% N/A N/A 11% 12% N/A N/A 1% * N/A N/A 53% 57% N/A N/A * * N/A N/A 1% 2% N/A N/A 4% * N/A N/A 1% 1% N/A N/A +/-8.0 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -53- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 9C Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: C. Foreign policy Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------9% 9% 8% 9% 4% 4% 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% 2% 22% 21% 23% 22% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 13% 13% 14% 14% * * * * 35% 36% 34% 32% * * * * 2% * 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 4% 2% 22% 2% 2% 2% 3% 13% * 35% * 2% 2% 2% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------9% 8% 4% 5% 2% 2% 22% 22% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 13% 7% * 1% 35% 39% * * 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% +/-5.0 +/-8.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------8% 4% 3% 23% 2% 2% 2% 3% 17% * 33% * 1% 1% 3% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----10% 4% 3% 21% 3% 3% 3% 1% 11% * 38% * 1% 1% * +/-8.5 College Grad ------10% 5% 4% 25% 3% 1% 1% 5% 17% * 21% * * 6% * +/-7.5 65+ ----11% 3% 2% 17% 3% 4% 1% 2% 19% 1% 32% * * 1% 4% +/-8.0 Under 55 ----8% 5% 2% 27% 2% 1% 1% 4% 12% * 32% * 2% 3% 2% +/-8.0 Non College Grad -------7% 4% 1% 22% 2% 2% 2% 2% 12% * 39% * 2% 1% 3% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----11% 3% 3% 17% 2% 4% 3% 1% 15% 1% 36% * 1% 1% 2% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----9% 4% 2% 22% 2% 2% 2% 3% 13% * 35% * 2% 2% 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -54- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 9C Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: C. Foreign policy Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 4% 2% 22% 2% 2% 2% 3% 13% * 35% * 2% 2% 2% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 4% 2% 22% 2% 2% 2% 3% 13% * 35% * 2% 2% 2% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 4% 2% 22% 2% 2% 2% 3% 13% * 35% * 2% 2% 2% +/-5.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----11% 5% 2% 25% 2% 3% 2% 5% 14% * 29% * * * 1% +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------5% 5% 1% 31% 2% 3% 2% 2% 13% * 33% * * 3% * +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------9% 4% 2% 20% 1% 2% 2% 3% 10% * 36% * 3% 2% 4% +/-7.0 Republican -----7% 3% 2% 20% 2% 2% 2% 1% 13% * 39% * 3% 4% 4% +/-6.0 South ----12% 6% 3% 15% 2% 4% 1% 2% 9% 1% 37% * 1% 2% 5% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------8% 3% 1% 24% 2% 2% 2% 3% 14% * 36% * * 2% 3% +/-6.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Gun Owner Evang. Others Yes No ----- ------ ----- ----9% 9% N/A N/A 7% 2% N/A N/A 1% 3% N/A N/A 23% 21% N/A N/A 2% 2% N/A N/A 2% 3% N/A N/A 1% 2% N/A N/A 2% 4% N/A N/A 11% 15% N/A N/A 1% * N/A N/A 30% 38% N/A N/A * * N/A N/A 1% 2% N/A N/A 6% * N/A N/A 5% 1% N/A N/A +/-8.0 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -55- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 9D Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marraige Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------4% 6% 3% 5% 11% 12% 9% 12% 2% 2% 2% 3% 24% 24% 24% 21% 3% 2% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% * 2% 7% 8% 5% 7% 1% 1% 1% 1% 28% 27% 31% 29% * * * * 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 6% 5% 8% 5% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 11% 2% 24% 3% 4% 2% 2% 7% 1% 28% * 2% 3% 6% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------4% 2% 11% 11% 2% 1% 24% 26% 3% 1% 4% 5% 2% 2% 2% 4% 7% 3% 1% 2% 28% 33% * * 2% 3% 3% 3% 6% 3% +/-5.0 +/-8.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------6% 12% 3% 23% 5% 4% 2% * 9% 1% 28% * * 3% 4% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----4% 11% 2% 24% 5% 6% 2% * 11% 1% 26% * * 2% 5% +/-8.5 College Grad ------4% 16% 6% 19% 6% 4% 4% 4% 8% 3% 16% * * 5% 6% +/-7.5 65+ ----5% 4% 3% 21% 3% 7% 1% * 8% 1% 33% * 3% 4% 6% +/-8.0 Under 55 ----4% 15% 2% 24% 2% 2% 2% 3% 6% 1% 27% * 2% 3% 7% +/-8.0 Non College Grad -------5% 9% 1% 26% 2% 4% 1% 1% 6% 1% 35% * 2% 2% 5% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----6% 5% 3% 23% 5% 7% 2% * 8% 1% 32% * 1% 4% 4% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----4% 11% 2% 24% 3% 4% 2% 2% 7% 1% 28% * 2% 3% 6% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -56- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 9D Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marraige Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 11% 2% 24% 3% 4% 2% 2% 7% 1% 28% * 2% 3% 6% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 11% 2% 24% 3% 4% 2% 2% 7% 1% 28% * 2% 3% 6% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 11% 2% 24% 3% 4% 2% 2% 7% 1% 28% * 2% 3% 6% +/-5.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----7% 10% 3% 22% 4% 5% 3% 2% 10% * 19% * 2% 2% 10% +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------1% 12% 2% 36% 2% 5% * 1% 5% 1% 28% * * 3% 4% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------4% 11% 2% 20% 4% 4% 2% 3% 7% 2% 30% * 2% 2% 7% +/-7.0 Republican -----2% 11% 2% 25% 2% 3% 1% 1% 5% 2% 35% * 2% 4% 4% +/-6.0 South ----4% 11% 2% 27% 3% 5% * * 7% 2% 30% * 2% 4% 3% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------2% 12% 1% 31% 3% 3% 2% 2% 8% 1% 26% * 1% 3% 5% +/-6.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Gun Owner Evang. Others Yes No ----- ------ ----- ----2% 6% N/A N/A 11% 11% N/A N/A 1% 3% N/A N/A 28% 21% N/A N/A 2% 4% N/A N/A 4% 4% N/A N/A * 3% N/A N/A * 3% N/A N/A 7% 7% N/A N/A 3% * N/A N/A 34% 25% N/A N/A * * N/A N/A * 3% N/A N/A 4% 2% N/A N/A 5% 7% N/A N/A +/-8.0 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -57- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 10A Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: A. Has the best chance of winning in the general election in November Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------3% 5% 1% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% * 2% 16% 14% 18% 16% 1% * 1% 1% * * * * 1% 1% * 1% * 1% * * 10% 9% 10% 10% * * 1% * 63% 63% 62% 61% * * * * 1% * 2% 1% * * * * 3% 2% 4% 3% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 1% 1% 16% 1% * 1% * 10% * 63% * 1% * 3% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 16% 16% 1% * * 1% 1% 1% * 1% 10% 7% * 1% 63% 68% * * 1% * * 1% 3% 2% +/-5.0 +/-8.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------5% 1% 1% 16% 2% * * * 10% * 61% * * * 2% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----5% 1% * 16% 1% 1% 1% 1% 8% * 65% * * * * +/-8.5 College Grad ------5% 1% 1% 15% 2% * 1% * 20% 1% 48% * 3% 1% 2% +/-7.5 65+ ----2% 2% 4% 24% * * 1% 1% 12% 1% 47% * * 1% 6% +/-8.0 Under 55 ----3% 1% 1% 13% 1% * * 1% 9% * 68% * 1% * 2% +/-8.0 Non College Grad -------3% 1% * 17% * * * 1% 5% * 68% * * * 3% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----3% 2% 2% 20% 1% * 1% * 10% 1% 55% * * 1% 3% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----3% 1% 1% 16% 1% * 1% * 10% * 63% * 1% * 3% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -58- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 10A Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: A. Has the best chance of winning in the general election in November Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 1% 1% 16% 1% * 1% * 10% * 63% * 1% * 3% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 1% 1% 16% 1% * 1% * 10% * 63% * 1% * 3% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 1% 1% 16% 1% * 1% * 10% * 63% * 1% * 3% +/-5.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----4% 1% 3% 15% 2% * 1% 1% 9% * 63% * * * 3% +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------1% * * 27% 1% 1% 1% * 10% * 56% * 3% * 1% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------5% 2% 1% 13% 1% * * 1% 7% 1% 66% * * * 3% +/-7.0 Republican -----3% 1% * 17% * * * * 10% 1% 62% * 1% 1% 2% +/-6.0 South ----7% 1% 2% 18% 1% * 1% 1% 8% 1% 58% * * 1% 2% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------3% 2% 1% 19% 1% * 1% * 10% 1% 58% * 1% * 4% +/-6.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Gun Owner Evang. Others Yes No ----- ------ ----- ----2% 4% N/A N/A 3% * N/A N/A * 2% N/A N/A 19% 14% N/A N/A * 1% N/A N/A * * N/A N/A 1% * N/A N/A * 1% N/A N/A 8% 11% N/A N/A 1% * N/A N/A 62% 63% N/A N/A * * N/A N/A 2% * N/A N/A 1% * N/A N/A 1% 3% N/A N/A +/-8.0 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -59- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 10B Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: B. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------6% 6% 7% 6% 9% 9% 8% 9% 2% 3% 1% 2% 25% 24% 26% 26% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 4% 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 4% 5% 2% 4% 9% 9% 10% 9% 1% 1% * 1% 34% 35% 32% 31% * * * * 1% * 3% 1% 2% * 4% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 9% 2% 25% 1% 3% 1% 4% 9% 1% 34% * 1% 2% 2% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------6% 3% 9% 10% 2% 1% 25% 24% 1% 1% 3% 6% 1% 1% 4% 6% 9% 7% 1% 1% 34% 35% * * 1% * 2% 4% 2% 2% +/-5.0 +/-8.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------6% 8% 3% 29% 2% 1% 2% 3% 10% * 34% * 1% 1% 1% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----9% 6% 1% 27% 3% 5% 3% 1% 9% 1% 29% * 1% 1% 2% +/-8.5 College Grad ------9% 9% 5% 22% 2% * 2% 9% 16% 2% 18% * 3% 1% 2% +/-7.5 65+ ----7% 4% 3% 23% 1% 5% 1% 3% 12% * 34% * * 1% 6% +/-8.0 Under 55 ----4% 12% 2% 26% 1% 1% * 6% 8% 1% 35% * 1% 2% 1% +/-8.0 Non College Grad -------3% 9% 1% 27% 1% 4% 1% 2% 6% * 40% * * 2% 2% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----8% 5% 1% 25% 2% 6% 3% 2% 10% 1% 32% * 1% 1% 4% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----6% 9% 2% 25% 1% 3% 1% 4% 9% 1% 34% * 1% 2% 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -60- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 10B Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: B. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 9% 2% 25% 1% 3% 1% 4% 9% 1% 34% * 1% 2% 2% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 9% 2% 25% 1% 3% 1% 4% 9% 1% 34% * 1% 2% 2% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Mike Huckabee John Kasich Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 9% 2% 25% 1% 3% 1% 4% 9% 1% 34% * 1% 2% 2% +/-5.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----8% 8% 2% 32% 2% 3% 2% 5% 10% * 26% * * * 2% +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------1% 12% 2% 36% 1% 1% * 5% 9% * 28% * 3% * 1% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------6% 8% 2% 21% 2% 4% 1% 3% 8% 1% 38% * * 3% 3% +/-7.0 Republican -----5% 9% 2% 20% 1% 3% 1% 3% 9% 1% 39% * 2% 3% 2% +/-6.0 South ----12% 10% 2% 21% 1% 3% * 2% 10% 1% 34% * 1% 1% 3% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------3% 9% 1% 30% 2% 2% 1% 4% 8% * 36% * 1% * 2% +/-6.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Gun Owner Evang. Others Yes No ----- ------ ----- ----3% 8% N/A N/A 12% 7% N/A N/A 2% 2% N/A N/A 30% 22% N/A N/A 1% 1% N/A N/A 2% 4% N/A N/A 1% 2% N/A N/A 2% 5% N/A N/A 8% 10% N/A N/A 2% * N/A N/A 32% 34% N/A N/A * * N/A N/A 3% * N/A N/A 1% 2% N/A N/A 2% 2% N/A N/A +/-8.0 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -61- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 17A/17B Q17A. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ? Q17B. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ? Base = Registered Voters Total Men Women White ----------------Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 48% 39% 57% 38% Donald Trump, the Republican 47% 57% 37% 57% Other 1% * 2% 1% Neither 4% 4% 4% 5% No opinion * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Total ----Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 48% Donald Trump, the Republican 47% Other 1% Neither 4% No opinion * Sampling Error +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under Total $50K --------Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 48% 49% Donald Trump, the Republican 47% 44% Other 1% 1% Neither 4% 5% No opinion * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-5.5 3549 ----47% 47% 3% 1% 1% +/-7.5 Non-White --------72% 22% 2% 3% 1% +/-7.0 5064 ----43% 51% 1% 5% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------49% 47% 1% 3% * +/-4.5 65+ ----43% 53% * 4% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------56% 37% 2% 5% 1% +/-5.0 Independent -----43% 47% 2% 7% 1% +/-5.0 Republican -----4% 92% 1% 4% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----51% 43% 2% 4% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------45% 50% 1% 4% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----87% 10% 1% 2% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----77% 15% 3% 6% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----58% 38% * 4% * +/-5.5 55 and Older -----44% 52% * 4% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----9% 87% 1% 3% * +/-5.0 Total ----Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 48% Donald Trump, the Republican 47% Other 1% Neither 4% No opinion * Sampling Error +/-3.5 Democrat ----93% 6% * 1% * +/-5.5 Total ----Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 48% Donald Trump, the Republican 47% Other 1% Neither 4% No opinion * Sampling Error +/-3.5 North east ----60% 39% * 1% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----49% 44% * 6% * +/-7.0 South ----43% 51% 1% 5% * +/-5.5 Total ----Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 48% Donald Trump, the Republican 47% Other 1% Neither 4% No opinion * Sampling Error +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------13% 82% * 4% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------43% 51% 1% 6% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----80% 23% 56% N/A N/A 15% 74% 38% N/A N/A 2% * 1% N/A N/A 2% 3% 4% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 West ----43% 50% 2% 5% 1% +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------21% 77% 1% 1% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -62- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 18A/18B Q18A. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Marco Rubio were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ? Q18B. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ? Base = Registered Voters Total Men Women White ----------------Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 47% 39% 54% 37% Marco Rubio, the Republican 50% 59% 41% 60% Other 1% * 1% * Neither 2% 1% 2% 2% No opinion 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Total ----Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 47% Marco Rubio, the Republican 50% Other 1% Neither 2% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under Total $50K --------Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 47% 51% Marco Rubio, the Republican 50% 44% Other 1% 1% Neither 2% 2% No opinion 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-5.5 3549 ----44% 51% 1% 1% 3% +/-7.5 Non-White --------72% 24% 1% 2% 1% +/-7.0 5064 ----45% 52% * 3% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------46% 52% * 2% * +/-4.5 65+ ----42% 55% 1% 1% 1% +/-5.5 College Grad ------52% 44% 1% 2% 1% +/-5.0 Independent -----42% 53% 1% 3% 2% +/-5.0 Republican -----6% 92% 1% 2% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----50% 47% 1% 1% 1% +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------45% 52% * 2% 1% +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----87% 11% 1% * * +/-4.5 Liberal ----81% 15% 2% 2% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----59% 39% * 1% 1% +/-5.5 55 and Older -----43% 53% * 3% 1% +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----9% 90% * 2% * +/-5.0 Total ----Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 47% Marco Rubio, the Republican 50% Other 1% Neither 2% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-3.5 Democrat ----91% 9% * * * +/-5.5 Total ----Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 47% Marco Rubio, the Republican 50% Other 1% Neither 2% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-3.5 North east ----59% 40% * 1% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----48% 49% * 1% 3% +/-7.0 South ----43% 55% 1% 1% * +/-5.5 Total ----Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 47% Marco Rubio, the Republican 50% Other 1% Neither 2% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------14% 82% 1% 3% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------40% 57% * 2% 1% +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----82% 21% 55% N/A N/A 16% 75% 42% N/A N/A 1% * 1% N/A N/A * 1% 2% N/A N/A * 2% 1% N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 West ----42% 51% 1% 5% 1% +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------15% 81% * 1% 2% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -63- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 19A/19B Q19A. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ? Q19B. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ? Base = Registered Voters Total Men Women White ----------------Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 47% 42% 52% 37% Ted Cruz, the Republican 50% 55% 44% 60% Other 1% * 1% * Neither 2% 2% 3% 2% No opinion * * * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Total ----Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 47% Ted Cruz, the Republican 50% Other 1% Neither 2% No opinion * Sampling Error +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under Total $50K --------Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 47% 47% Ted Cruz, the Republican 50% 50% Other 1% 1% Neither 2% 2% No opinion * * Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-5.5 3549 ----42% 54% 1% 2% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------70% 25% 1% 3% * +/-7.0 5064 ----48% 48% * 4% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------48% 50% * 2% * +/-4.5 65+ ----43% 55% 1% 1% 1% +/-5.5 College Grad ------54% 41% 1% 3% * +/-5.0 Independent -----40% 55% 1% 4% * +/-5.0 Republican -----6% 90% 1% 2% 1% +/-6.0 Under 55 ----49% 49% 1% 2% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------44% 53% * 2% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----87% 12% 1% * * +/-4.5 Liberal ----78% 19% 2% 1% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----60% 37% * 3% * +/-5.5 55 and Older -----45% 51% * 3% 1% +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----8% 89% * 2% * +/-5.0 Total ----Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 47% Ted Cruz, the Republican 50% Other 1% Neither 2% No opinion * Sampling Error +/-3.5 Democrat ----93% 7% * * * +/-5.5 Total ----Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 47% Ted Cruz, the Republican 50% Other 1% Neither 2% No opinion * Sampling Error +/-3.5 North east ----60% 39% * * * +/-7.0 Midwest ----49% 50% * 1% * +/-7.0 South ----41% 56% 1% 2% * +/-5.5 Total ----Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 47% Ted Cruz, the Republican 50% Other 1% Neither 2% No opinion * Sampling Error +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------14% 82% 1% 3% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------39% 57% * 3% 1% +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----82% 19% 56% N/A N/A 16% 79% 41% N/A N/A 1% * 1% N/A N/A 1% 2% 2% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 West ----42% 51% 1% 6% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------16% 82% * 1% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -64- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 20A/20B Q20A. If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ? Q20B. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ? Base = Registered Voters Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Donald Trump, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------50% 41% 58% 41% 47% 56% 37% 55% * * * 1% 3% 3% 4% 3% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Donald Trump, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 47% * 3% * +/-3.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Donald Trump, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------50% 52% 47% 44% * * 3% 4% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Donald Trump, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 47% * 3% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----88% 11% * * * +/-5.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Donald Trump, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 47% * 3% * +/-3.5 North east ----52% 45% * 2% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----53% 44% * 3% * +/-7.0 South ----49% 47% 1% 3% * +/-5.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Donald Trump, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 47% * 3% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------17% 80% * 3% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------44% 51% 1% 4% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----82% 25% 57% N/A N/A 16% 72% 39% N/A N/A * 1% * N/A N/A 2% 3% 4% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----50% 47% * 4% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------73% 24% * 3% * +/-7.0 5064 ----48% 47% 1% 4% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------49% 48% * 2% * +/-4.5 65+ ----47% 51% * 1% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------60% 35% * 4% * +/-5.0 Independent -----49% 47% * 4% * +/-5.0 Republican -----8% 86% 1% 5% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----53% 43% * 4% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------45% 52% * 3% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----88% 12% * 1% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----80% 16% * 3% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----59% 37% 1% 3% * +/-5.5 West ----46% 49% * 5% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----46% 51% 1% 2% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----12% 84% * 3% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------22% 76% * 1% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -65- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 21A/21B Q21A. If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Marco Rubio were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ? Q21B. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ? Base = Registered Voters Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Marco Rubio, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------49% 47% 51% 41% 48% 51% 46% 56% * * * * 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Marco Rubio, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----49% 48% * 2% 1% +/-3.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Marco Rubio, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------49% 54% 48% 43% * * 2% 2% 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Marco Rubio, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----49% 48% * 2% 1% +/-3.5 Democrat ----84% 14% * 1% 1% +/-5.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Marco Rubio, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----49% 48% * 2% 1% +/-3.5 North east ----57% 42% * 1% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----48% 50% * 1% 1% +/-7.0 South ----48% 51% * 1% * +/-5.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Marco Rubio, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----49% 48% * 2% 1% +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------22% 74% 1% 3% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------45% 52% * 2% 1% +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----74% 25% 56% N/A N/A 24% 73% 41% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A 1% 2% 2% N/A N/A * 1% * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----50% 48% * 1% 1% +/-7.5 Non-White --------69% 28% * 2% 1% +/-7.0 5064 ----48% 49% * 2% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------47% 51% * 2% * +/-4.5 65+ ----44% 52% 1% 2% 1% +/-5.5 College Grad ------52% 44% * 2% 1% +/-5.0 Independent -----48% 49% * 3% 1% +/-5.0 Republican -----11% 87% 1% 2% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----51% 47% * 1% 1% +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------47% 50% * 2% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----83% 16% * * * +/-4.5 Liberal ----77% 20% * 2% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----58% 39% * 2% 1% +/-5.5 West ----44% 49% 1% 5% 1% +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----46% 50% 1% 3% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----15% 84% * 1% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------21% 77% * 1% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -66- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 22A/22B Q22A. If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ? Q22B. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ? Base = Registered Voters Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Ted Cruz, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------50% 49% 51% 43% 47% 49% 45% 54% * 1% * 1% 3% 1% 4% 2% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Ted Cruz, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 47% * 3% * +/-3.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Ted Cruz, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------50% 54% 47% 43% * 1% 3% 2% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Ted Cruz, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 47% * 3% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----85% 12% 1% 3% * +/-5.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Ted Cruz, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 47% * 3% * +/-3.5 North east ----56% 43% * 2% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----54% 45% 1% * * +/-7.0 South ----46% 51% * 3% * +/-5.5 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Ted Cruz, the Republican Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 47% * 3% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------19% 77% 1% 3% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------44% 52% * 3% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----82% 26% 57% N/A N/A 17% 73% 39% N/A N/A * * 1% N/A N/A 1% 1% 3% N/A N/A * * 1% N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----45% 50% * 4% 1% +/-7.5 Non-White --------67% 28% * 4% 1% +/-7.0 5064 ----53% 44% 1% 2% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------47% 49% * 3% * +/-4.5 65+ ----45% 52% 1% 2% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------57% 39% * 3% 1% +/-5.0 Independent -----46% 50% * 3% 1% +/-5.0 Republican -----16% 82% * 2% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----51% 45% * 3% 1% +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------46% 51% 1% 3% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----84% 13% * 2% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----83% 12% * 4% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----59% 39% 1% 2% * +/-5.5 West ----47% 46% 1% 5% 1% +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----48% 48% 1% 3% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----15% 83% * 1% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------20% 78% * 2% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -67- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23A We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. A. Jeb Bush Base = Total Sample Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------35% 37% 34% 39% 51% 52% 50% 47% 8% 7% 9% 8% 6% 4% 7% 5% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 51% 8% 6% * +/-3.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------35% 30% 51% 53% 8% 9% 6% 8% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 51% 8% 6% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----29% 58% 7% 6% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 51% 8% 6% * +/-3.0 North east ----29% 58% 8% 4% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----32% 48% 9% 10% * +/-6.5 South ----37% 52% 7% 4% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 51% 8% 6% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------34% 54% 5% 7% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------37% 45% 10% 8% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----35% 42% 34% N/A N/A 59% 44% 53% N/A N/A 5% 11% 7% N/A N/A * 3% 6% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----32% 52% 12% 4% * +/-7.0 Non-White --------28% 57% 7% 8% * +/-6.5 5064 ----38% 54% 6% 2% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------42% 50% 6% 2% * +/-4.5 65+ ----49% 45% 5% 1% * +/-5.0 College Grad ------43% 47% 8% 2% * +/-4.5 Independent -----33% 52% 10% 5% * +/-5.0 Republican -----47% 40% 6% 7% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----30% 51% 10% 8% * +/-5.0 Non College Grad -------32% 53% 8% 7% * +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----29% 57% 10% 4% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----30% 53% 10% 7% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----37% 53% 6% 4% * +/-5.0 West ----40% 45% 9% 5% * +/-6.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----45% 50% 4% 1% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----44% 45% 5% 7% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------40% 48% 9% 3% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -68- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23A We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. A. Jeb Bush Base = Registered Voters Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------39% 40% 37% 44% 52% 52% 53% 48% 7% 7% 7% 6% 2% 1% 3% 2% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----39% 52% 7% 2% * +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------39% 35% 52% 55% 7% 7% 2% 3% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----39% 52% 7% 2% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----31% 58% 7% 4% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----39% 52% 7% 2% * +/-3.5 North east ----34% 59% 6% 1% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----37% 51% 7% 6% * +/-7.0 South ----40% 53% 5% 1% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----39% 52% 7% 2% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------38% 55% 5% 2% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------41% 47% 9% 3% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----39% 45% 37% N/A N/A 59% 46% 54% N/A N/A 2% 6% 7% N/A N/A * 2% 2% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----34% 55% 9% 3% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------27% 61% 9% 2% * +/-7.0 5064 ----38% 56% 6% 1% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------43% 52% 5% * * +/-4.5 65+ ----51% 44% 5% 1% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------45% 46% 7% 1% * +/-5.0 Independent -----38% 54% 9% * * +/-5.0 Republican -----50% 43% 4% 3% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----34% 54% 9% 3% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------35% 55% 7% 2% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----31% 59% 8% 3% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----30% 58% 10% 2% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----41% 53% 4% 3% * +/-5.5 West ----43% 46% 11% * * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----46% 49% 4% 1% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----48% 46% 4% 2% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------44% 49% 7% * * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -69- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23B We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. B. Ben Carson Base = Total Sample Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------43% 46% 39% 50% 34% 33% 34% 31% 10% 11% 9% 7% 14% 10% 18% 13% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 34% 10% 14% * +/-3.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------43% 38% 34% 31% 10% 11% 14% 20% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 34% 10% 14% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----24% 54% 9% 13% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 34% 10% 14% * +/-3.0 North east ----41% 43% 7% 8% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----43% 33% 8% 15% * +/-6.5 South ----47% 31% 10% 12% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 34% 10% 14% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------70% 17% 5% 8% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------45% 26% 10% 19% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----22% 63% 37% N/A N/A 60% 16% 38% N/A N/A 10% 8% 11% N/A N/A 8% 13% 14% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----43% 33% 11% 13% * +/-7.0 Non-White --------28% 39% 15% 18% * +/-6.5 5064 ----43% 37% 11% 10% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------45% 38% 8% 9% * +/-4.5 65+ ----52% 31% 8% 9% * +/-5.0 College Grad ------45% 43% 7% 6% * +/-4.5 Independent -----40% 31% 12% 16% * +/-5.0 Republican -----69% 14% 6% 11% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----39% 33% 10% 17% * +/-5.0 Non College Grad -------41% 30% 11% 18% * +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----25% 50% 12% 14% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----22% 47% 10% 20% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----37% 39% 12% 12% * +/-5.0 West ----36% 29% 14% 20% * +/-6.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----48% 34% 9% 8% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----67% 17% 5% 11% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------66% 19% 8% 7% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -70- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23B We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. B. Ben Carson Base = Registered Voters Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------46% 51% 42% 52% 35% 33% 38% 33% 9% 8% 10% 7% 9% 8% 10% 9% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----46% 35% 9% 9% * +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------46% 44% 35% 32% 9% 11% 9% 13% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----46% 35% 9% 9% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----26% 54% 10% 10% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----46% 35% 9% 9% * +/-3.5 North east ----44% 44% 7% 5% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----49% 37% 8% 6% * +/-7.0 South ----50% 32% 8% 10% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----46% 35% 9% 9% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------74% 19% 5% 2% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------49% 28% 9% 14% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----25% 65% 41% N/A N/A 60% 17% 41% N/A N/A 9% 7% 10% N/A N/A 6% 11% 9% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----43% 36% 10% 11% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------34% 41% 14% 11% * +/-7.0 5064 ----45% 40% 10% 5% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------47% 40% 6% 7% * +/-4.5 65+ ----52% 32% 8% 8% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------49% 41% 6% 4% * +/-5.0 Independent -----44% 34% 12% 9% * +/-5.0 Republican -----73% 16% 4% 7% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----44% 36% 10% 10% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------45% 33% 11% 12% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----27% 51% 12% 10% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----23% 51% 12% 13% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----42% 41% 9% 8% * +/-5.5 West ----41% 32% 13% 13% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----50% 35% 8% 7% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----71% 19% 4% 6% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------70% 18% 7% 5% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -71- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23C We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. C. Chris Christie Base = Total Sample Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------36% 38% 34% 42% 40% 43% 37% 38% 9% 8% 11% 9% 15% 11% 18% 11% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----36% 40% 9% 15% * +/-3.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------36% 31% 40% 40% 9% 10% 15% 19% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----36% 40% 9% 15% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----28% 45% 10% 16% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----36% 40% 9% 15% * +/-3.0 North east ----37% 46% 9% 8% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----35% 38% 11% 17% * +/-6.5 South ----35% 40% 10% 16% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----36% 40% 9% 15% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------50% 29% 8% 13% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------34% 36% 10% 20% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----31% 48% 32% N/A N/A 55% 28% 43% N/A N/A 7% 13% 9% N/A N/A 7% 11% 16% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----36% 35% 13% 16% * +/-7.0 Non-White --------22% 43% 11% 24% * +/-6.5 5064 ----39% 42% 11% 8% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------38% 43% 8% 11% * +/-4.5 65+ ----49% 36% 9% 6% * +/-5.0 College Grad ------40% 47% 9% 4% * +/-4.5 Independent -----32% 44% 8% 15% * +/-5.0 Republican -----52% 24% 11% 13% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----30% 41% 9% 20% * +/-5.0 Non College Grad -------34% 37% 10% 20% * +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----25% 49% 9% 17% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----22% 49% 8% 21% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----32% 44% 9% 15% * +/-5.0 West ----37% 36% 8% 19% * +/-6.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----47% 38% 9% 5% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----51% 30% 7% 11% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------54% 28% 11% 7% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -72- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23C We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. C. Chris Christie Base = Registered Voters Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------41% 44% 38% 46% 40% 41% 38% 38% 9% 7% 11% 8% 11% 8% 14% 7% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 40% 9% 11% * +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------41% 37% 40% 38% 9% 10% 11% 14% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 40% 9% 11% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----31% 45% 10% 14% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 40% 9% 11% * +/-3.5 North east ----42% 45% 10% 3% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----39% 42% 11% 9% * +/-7.0 South ----40% 38% 8% 14% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 40% 9% 11% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------55% 29% 8% 8% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------39% 36% 9% 15% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----35% 52% 37% N/A N/A 53% 26% 44% N/A N/A 7% 13% 8% N/A N/A 5% 10% 11% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----40% 37% 11% 13% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------26% 42% 12% 19% * +/-7.0 5064 ----42% 44% 10% 3% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------42% 44% 7% 7% * +/-4.5 65+ ----50% 36% 8% 5% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------42% 46% 9% 3% * +/-5.0 Independent -----38% 45% 8% 9% * +/-5.0 Republican -----56% 25% 9% 10% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----36% 39% 10% 15% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------40% 36% 9% 15% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----29% 49% 9% 13% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----26% 52% 9% 12% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----36% 43% 9% 12% * +/-5.5 West ----42% 35% 9% 14% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----48% 39% 8% 4% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----57% 30% 6% 8% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------58% 27% 10% 5% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -73- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23E We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. E. Ted Cruz Base = Total Sample Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------45% 46% 44% 50% 37% 41% 33% 35% 8% 5% 12% 8% 9% 8% 11% 7% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----45% 37% 8% 9% * +/-3.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------45% 43% 37% 34% 8% 11% 9% 12% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----45% 37% 8% 9% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----23% 55% 10% 12% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----45% 37% 8% 9% * +/-3.0 North east ----40% 43% 9% 7% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----36% 41% 9% 13% * +/-6.5 South ----51% 34% 6% 9% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----45% 37% 8% 9% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------72% 15% 5% 8% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------47% 29% 10% 14% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----25% 66% 39% N/A N/A 69% 20% 42% N/A N/A 5% 8% 8% N/A N/A 1% 6% 10% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----50% 32% 6% 12% * +/-7.0 Non-White --------35% 41% 10% 14% * +/-6.5 5064 ----44% 41% 10% 5% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------47% 42% 6% 5% * +/-4.5 65+ ----53% 35% 8% 4% * +/-5.0 College Grad ------42% 48% 7% 3% * +/-4.5 Independent -----43% 37% 10% 9% * +/-5.0 Republican -----73% 17% 3% 7% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----42% 37% 8% 13% * +/-5.0 Non College Grad -------46% 33% 9% 12% * +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----24% 54% 11% 10% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----26% 51% 10% 13% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----36% 44% 12% 8% * +/-5.0 West ----48% 33% 10% 9% * +/-6.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----48% 37% 10% 4% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----69% 21% 2% 8% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------71% 20% 2% 6% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -74- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23E We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. E. Ted Cruz Base = Registered Voters Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------50% 52% 49% 55% 38% 40% 36% 37% 6% 5% 8% 5% 5% 3% 6% 4% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 38% 6% 5% * +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------50% 51% 38% 34% 6% 7% 5% 8% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 38% 6% 5% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----23% 57% 11% 8% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 38% 6% 5% * +/-3.5 North east ----47% 43% 8% 2% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----42% 46% 5% 6% * +/-7.0 South ----55% 34% 5% 6% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 38% 6% 5% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------79% 13% 3% 5% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------54% 30% 8% 8% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----26% 72% 44% N/A N/A 71% 21% 44% N/A N/A 3% 3% 7% N/A N/A * 4% 5% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----54% 34% 5% 7% 1% +/-7.5 Non-White --------39% 42% 10% 8% * +/-7.0 5064 ----47% 43% 8% 2% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------50% 43% 4% 2% * +/-4.5 65+ ----55% 35% 7% 2% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------45% 47% 6% 1% * +/-5.0 Independent -----53% 37% 6% 3% * +/-5.0 Republican -----77% 18% 1% 3% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----49% 39% 5% 6% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------53% 34% 7% 7% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----24% 58% 10% 7% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----27% 56% 9% 7% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----40% 47% 8% 5% * +/-5.5 West ----54% 33% 8% 4% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----51% 38% 8% 2% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----77% 20% 1% 2% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------77% 19% 2% 2% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -75- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23F We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. F. John Kasich Base = Total Sample Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------24% 28% 19% 30% 26% 30% 21% 26% 15% 13% 16% 12% 36% 28% 44% 32% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----24% 26% 15% 36% * +/-3.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------24% 16% 26% 26% 15% 13% 36% 45% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----24% 26% 15% 36% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----22% 28% 15% 35% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----24% 26% 15% 36% * +/-3.0 North east ----29% 27% 14% 30% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----30% 33% 12% 26% * +/-6.5 South ----21% 23% 13% 43% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----24% 26% 15% 36% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------35% 25% 12% 28% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------17% 25% 14% 44% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----32% 24% 24% N/A N/A 26% 27% 25% N/A N/A 16% 11% 16% N/A N/A 26% 38% 35% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----17% 26% 11% 45% * +/-7.0 Non-White --------11% 24% 18% 47% * +/-6.5 5064 ----32% 22% 15% 31% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------31% 26% 13% 29% * +/-4.5 65+ ----38% 24% 15% 23% * +/-5.0 College Grad ------35% 26% 15% 23% * +/-4.5 Independent -----24% 22% 14% 39% * +/-5.0 Republican -----25% 29% 15% 31% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----17% 27% 14% 42% * +/-5.0 Non College Grad -------19% 25% 14% 42% * +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----20% 28% 15% 37% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----17% 25% 15% 43% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----28% 23% 16% 34% * +/-5.0 West ----19% 21% 20% 40% * +/-6.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----37% 23% 14% 26% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----30% 25% 14% 31% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------27% 30% 11% 31% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -76- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23F We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. F. John Kasich Base = Registered Voters Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------27% 33% 21% 33% 27% 31% 24% 27% 14% 11% 17% 13% 31% 25% 38% 27% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 27% 14% 31% * +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------27% 19% 27% 28% 14% 11% 31% 42% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 27% 14% 31% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----23% 28% 16% 33% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 27% 14% 31% * +/-3.5 North east ----34% 28% 13% 24% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----30% 38% 13% 20% * +/-7.0 South ----25% 23% 13% 39% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 27% 14% 31% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------38% 28% 11% 23% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------19% 28% 14% 39% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----37% 26% 28% N/A N/A 26% 28% 27% N/A N/A 12% 11% 15% N/A N/A 25% 35% 30% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----20% 28% 11% 42% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------13% 26% 16% 44% * +/-7.0 5064 ----36% 24% 14% 27% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------34% 28% 14% 24% * +/-4.5 65+ ----39% 25% 15% 20% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------38% 25% 15% 21% * +/-5.0 Independent -----29% 24% 12% 35% * +/-5.0 Republican -----28% 32% 16% 24% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----20% 29% 14% 37% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------22% 28% 13% 37% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----23% 28% 14% 34% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----20% 30% 13% 38% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----32% 22% 15% 32% * +/-5.5 West ----23% 23% 18% 37% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----38% 25% 14% 24% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----34% 28% 14% 25% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------30% 32% 12% 27% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -77- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23G We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. G. Marco Rubio Base = Total Sample Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------44% 47% 41% 51% 33% 38% 28% 30% 11% 7% 16% 10% 12% 8% 15% 9% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----44% 33% 11% 12% * +/-3.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------44% 38% 33% 35% 11% 10% 12% 17% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----44% 33% 11% 12% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----28% 46% 12% 13% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----44% 33% 11% 12% * +/-3.0 North east ----42% 42% 9% 8% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----41% 33% 11% 16% * +/-6.5 South ----45% 33% 11% 11% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----44% 33% 11% 12% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------66% 12% 9% 13% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------43% 29% 13% 15% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----36% 57% 41% N/A N/A 53% 24% 36% N/A N/A 8% 9% 12% N/A N/A 4% 10% 12% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----45% 29% 16% 11% * +/-7.0 Non-White --------30% 39% 14% 17% * +/-6.5 5064 ----52% 31% 11% 5% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------51% 32% 12% 6% * +/-4.5 65+ ----55% 31% 10% 4% * +/-5.0 College Grad ------51% 36% 10% 3% * +/-4.5 Independent -----43% 35% 10% 12% * +/-5.0 Republican -----64% 14% 12% 9% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----39% 33% 12% 16% * +/-5.0 Non College Grad -------41% 32% 12% 15% * +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----29% 47% 11% 12% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----27% 43% 11% 18% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----41% 38% 11% 10% * +/-5.0 West ----47% 26% 14% 12% * +/-6.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----53% 32% 11% 4% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----62% 21% 7% 9% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------64% 19% 12% 6% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -78- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23G We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. G. Marco Rubio Base = Registered Voters Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------50% 53% 47% 56% 33% 37% 30% 30% 11% 6% 16% 9% 6% 5% 7% 4% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 33% 11% 6% * +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------50% 47% 33% 36% 11% 9% 6% 8% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 33% 11% 6% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----30% 48% 14% 8% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 33% 11% 6% * +/-3.5 North east ----50% 38% 9% 3% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----47% 37% 9% 7% * +/-7.0 South ----51% 33% 10% 6% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 33% 11% 6% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------72% 14% 10% 4% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------50% 28% 12% 10% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----37% 62% 46% N/A N/A 54% 22% 37% N/A N/A 8% 9% 11% N/A N/A 1% 7% 5% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----48% 31% 15% 6% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------36% 40% 15% 10% * +/-7.0 5064 ----57% 31% 10% 2% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------53% 33% 11% 3% * +/-4.5 65+ ----57% 32% 8% 2% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------55% 34% 10% 1% * +/-5.0 Independent -----52% 35% 9% 4% * +/-5.0 Republican -----70% 14% 11% 6% * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----46% 34% 12% 8% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------48% 33% 11% 8% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----31% 49% 13% 7% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----31% 47% 14% 7% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----47% 38% 9% 6% * +/-5.5 West ----50% 26% 16% 7% * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----57% 32% 9% 2% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----69% 19% 6% 5% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------69% 17% 10% 4% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -79- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23I We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. I. Donald Trump Base = Total Sample Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------40% 49% 32% 46% 55% 47% 64% 49% 3% 3% 3% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 55% 3% 1% * +/-3.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------40% 41% 55% 56% 3% 3% 1% 1% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 55% 3% 1% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----14% 83% 2% 1% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 55% 3% 1% * +/-3.0 North east ----39% 57% * 3% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----34% 59% 6% * * +/-6.5 South ----42% 54% 4% 1% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 55% 3% 1% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------63% 30% 5% 2% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------44% 50% 4% 1% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----14% 57% 36% N/A N/A 85% 33% 62% N/A N/A * 9% 2% N/A N/A * * 1% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----43% 53% 3% * * +/-7.0 Non-White --------28% 69% 2% 1% * +/-6.5 5064 ----45% 52% 3% * * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------41% 56% 2% 1% * +/-4.5 65+ ----50% 46% 2% 1% * +/-5.0 College Grad ------27% 70% 3% * * +/-4.5 Independent -----40% 57% 2% 1% * +/-5.0 Republican -----72% 20% 8% * * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----35% 60% 4% 1% * +/-5.0 Non College Grad -------46% 50% 4% 1% * +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----16% 83% 1% 1% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----20% 78% 1% 1% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----36% 62% 1% 1% * +/-5.0 West ----45% 52% 3% * * +/-6.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----49% 48% 2% 1% * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----68% 26% 5% * * +/-4.5 Conservative ------58% 34% 8% * * +/-5.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -80- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23I We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. I. Donald Trump Base = Registered Voters Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------41% 52% 31% 47% 55% 44% 65% 49% 3% 4% 3% 4% 1% * 1% 1% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 55% 3% 1% * +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------41% 43% 55% 54% 3% 2% 1% 1% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 55% 3% 1% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----14% 84% 2% * * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 55% 3% 1% * +/-3.5 North east ----42% 55% * 2% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----37% 57% 5% * * +/-7.0 South ----40% 55% 4% * * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 55% 3% 1% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------66% 28% 6% 1% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------45% 51% 4% 1% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----15% 58% 36% N/A N/A 84% 32% 62% N/A N/A * 10% 1% N/A N/A * * 1% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----41% 55% 4% * * +/-7.5 Non-White --------26% 71% 2% * * +/-7.0 5064 ----43% 54% 3% * * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------40% 57% 2% * * +/-4.5 65+ ----48% 48% 2% 1% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------28% 70% 3% * * +/-5.0 Independent -----41% 55% 3% 1% * +/-5.0 Republican -----71% 22% 6% * * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----36% 59% 4% 1% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------47% 48% 4% 1% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----15% 83% 1% * * +/-4.5 Liberal ----18% 81% 1% * * +/-7.0 Moderate ----37% 61% 1% 1% * +/-5.5 West ----44% 53% 3% * * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----47% 50% 3% * * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----69% 26% 4% * * +/-5.0 Conservative ------59% 33% 7% * * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -81- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23K We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. K. The Republican Party Base = Total Sample Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------40% 41% 39% 45% 50% 50% 51% 45% 9% 8% 9% 9% 1% * 1% * * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 50% 9% 1% * +/-3.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------40% 40% 50% 49% 9% 11% 1% 1% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 50% 9% 1% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----13% 80% 6% 1% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 50% 9% 1% * +/-3.0 North east ----32% 62% 6% * * +/-6.5 Midwest ----42% 49% 7% 2% * +/-6.5 South ----46% 45% 9% * * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 50% 9% 1% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------65% 25% 7% 2% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------45% 42% 12% 1% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----14% 59% 35% N/A N/A 83% 36% 55% N/A N/A 2% 5% 10% N/A N/A * * 1% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----38% 52% 8% 1% * +/-7.0 Non-White --------30% 59% 8% 2% * +/-6.5 5064 ----39% 52% 9% * * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------39% 55% 6% * * +/-4.5 65+ ----49% 44% 6% * * +/-5.0 College Grad ------35% 61% 4% * * +/-4.5 Independent -----36% 51% 12% 1% * +/-5.0 Republican -----80% 14% 5% * * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----37% 52% 10% 1% * +/-5.0 Non College Grad -------42% 46% 11% 1% * +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----15% 79% 5% 1% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----24% 69% 7% * * +/-6.5 Moderate ----33% 56% 10% 1% * +/-5.0 West ----36% 51% 12% 1% * +/-6.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----45% 47% 8% * * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----73% 23% 4% * * +/-4.5 Conservative ------61% 33% 5% 1% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -82- January 21-24, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016 Question 23K We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. K. The Republican Party Base = Registered Voters Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------42% 45% 38% 47% 52% 49% 54% 46% 6% 5% 7% 7% * * 1% * * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----42% 52% 6% * * +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------42% 43% 52% 49% 6% 7% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----42% 52% 6% * * +/-3.5 Democrat ----12% 82% 4% 1% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----42% 52% 6% * * +/-3.5 North east ----34% 61% 5% * * +/-7.0 Midwest ----44% 50% 4% 2% * +/-7.0 South ----49% 46% 5% * * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----42% 52% 6% * * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------66% 28% 3% 2% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------48% 43% 9% * * +/-5.0 Tea Pty White All Gun Owner Oppose Evang. Others Yes No ------- ----- ------ ----- ----15% 60% 36% N/A N/A 83% 34% 57% N/A N/A 2% 6% 6% N/A N/A * * 1% N/A N/A * * * N/A N/A +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----38% 54% 7% 2% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------30% 64% 4% 2% * +/-7.0 5064 ----38% 57% 5% * * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------39% 57% 4% * * +/-4.5 65+ ----49% 45% 6% * * +/-5.5 College Grad ------36% 60% 4% * * +/-5.0 Independent -----38% 54% 8% * * +/-5.0 Republican -----82% 14% 4% * * +/-6.0 Under 55 ----39% 54% 6% 1% * +/-5.5 Non College Grad -------44% 48% 7% 1% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----14% 80% 4% 1% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----19% 75% 6% * * +/-7.0 Moderate ----35% 58% 6% 1% * +/-5.5 West ----36% 54% 10% * * +/-7.0 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 55 and Older -----46% 48% 6% * * +/-4.0 Lean Republican -----73% 24% 3% * * +/-5.0 Conservative ------65% 30% 5% * * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 3 -83- January 21-24, 2016