Interviews with 1,020 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on November 27 – December 1, 2015. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The sample also includes 930 interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 3 percentage points). This sample includes 620 interviews among landline respondents and 400 interviews among cell phone respondents. EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Friday, December 4 at 6:00 a.m. BASED ON 919 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 11 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 930 REGISTERED VOTERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS. 5. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Extremely enthusiastic Very Somewhat Not too Not at all No enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion Registered Voters Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 27% 23% 30% 10% 11% * Oct. 14-17, 2015 Sept. 17-19, 2015 Sept. 4-8, 2015 August 13-16, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 Nov. 2-4, 2012 Sept. 28-30, 2012 Sept. 7-9, 2012 Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 Mar. 24-25, 2012 Feb. 10-13, 2012 Jan. 11-12, 2012 Oct. 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 Oct. 5-7, 2010* Sept. 21-23, 2010* Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008 Oct. 17-19, 2008 Sept. 5-7, 2008 June 23-24, 2007 Oct. 14-16 2004 Sept. 3-5 2004 Oct. 24-26 2003 34% 31% 30% 29% 22% 38% 37% 30% 32% 31% 28% 24% 22% 24% 28% 29% 28% 20% 23% 37% 34% 30% 26% 36% 32% 19% 27% 24% 24% 27% 26% 30% 25% 27% 25% 27% 25% 23% 26% 27% 23% 25% 30% 22% 17% 32% 24% 30% 28% 34% 32% 34% 21% 24% 25% 23% 27% 17% 20% 22% 20% 23% 25% 29% 26% 27% 28% 25% 24% 30% 31% 16% 23% 23% 27% 17% 23% 31% 9% 10% 10% 10% 13% 9% 9% 15% 11% 10% 13% 11% 13% 10% 9% 10% 11% 16% 17% 7% 11% 11% 13% 8% 9% 11% 9% 10% 12% 10% 11% 5% 9% 6% 11% 9% 9% 12% 13% 12% 12% 10% 7% 12% 12% 8% 8% 6% 6% 4% 4% 4% 1% 1% * * * 1% * * * 1% * * * * * 1% * * * * * * * 1% * 1% POLL 12 3 -2- November 27 – December 1, 2015 BASED ON 276 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 127 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A TOTAL OF 403 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS-- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5% PTS. 5. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Extremely enthusiastic Very Somewhat Not too Not at all No enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion Registered Democrats Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 20% 26% 32% 11% 11% 1% Oct. 14-17, 2015 Sept. 17-19, 2015 Sept. 4-8, 2015 August 13-16, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 Nov. 2-4, 2012 Sept. 28-30, 2012 Sept. 7-9, 2012 Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 Mar. 24-25, 2012 Feb. 10-13, 2012 Jan. 11-12, 2012 Oct. 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 Oct. 5-7, 2010* Sept. 21-23, 2010* Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008 Oct. 17-19, 2008 Sept. 5-7, 2008 June 23-24, 2007 Oct. 14-16 2004 Sept. 3-5 2004 Oct. 24-26 2003 32% 30% 28% 33% 18% 37% 39% 30% 32% 29% 27% 25% 20% 21% 21% 26% 26% 13% 16% 45% 45% 36% 28% 38% 31% 19% 26% 21% 24% 22% 28% 33% 25% 29% 24% 29% 32% 21% 29% 28% 22% 29% 30% 21% 14% 34% 23% 30% 32% 27% 26% 29% 22% 26% 26% 23% 28% 17% 21% 23% 23% 24% 26% 33% 27% 31% 34% 29% 27% 35% 36% 13% 20% 21% 27% 19% 23% 31% 10% 13% 9% 11% 15% 6% 8% 13% 9% 11% 9% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 12% 18% 19% 4% 7% 6% 9% 8% 10% 16% 11% 10% 13% 11% 11% 5% 7% 6% 12% 6% 6% 10% 12% 9% 12% 6% 5% 12% 15% 3% 5% 6% 4% 7% 10% 5% * * * * 1% 1% * * * 1% * * * 1% * 2% * * * * * * * 1% * * POLL 12 3 -3- November 27 – December 1, 2015 BASED ON 278 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 167 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 445 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS-- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS. 5. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Extremely enthusiastic Very Somewhat Not too Not at all No enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion Registered Republicans Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 37% 26% 26% 6% 6% * Oct. 14-17, 2015 Sept. 17-19, 2015 Sept. 4-8, 2015 August 13-16, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 Nov. 2-4, 2012 Sept. 28-30, 2012 Sept. 7-9, 2012 Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 Mar. 24-25, 2012 Feb. 10-13, 2012 Jan. 11-12, 2012 Oct. 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 Oct. 5-7, 2010* Sept. 21-23, 2010* Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008 Oct. 17-19, 2008 Sept. 5-7, 2008 June 23-24, 2007 Oct. 14-16 2004 Sept. 3-5 2004 Oct. 24-26 2003 39% 35% 34% 28% 28% 42% 38% 32% 35% 35% 31% 25% 26% 26% 38% 38% 33% 29% 31% 28% 24% 26% 27% 35% 31% 19% 29% 30% 25% 33% 27% 28% 27% 25% 27% 26% 20% 27% 25% 28% 26% 23% 31% 25% 22% 32% 26% 28% 25% 42% 39% 39% 18% 22% 24% 23% 27% 17% 17% 19% 17% 22% 24% 25% 25% 25% 20% 18% 19% 25% 27% 19% 27% 26% 27% 15% 21% 32% 7% 6% 9% 9% 9% 9% 11% 17% 12% 8% 15% 13% 15% 12% 7% 10% 10% 13% 13% 9% 12% 15% 16% 6% 6% 7% 5% 5% 7% 7% 10% 4% 7% 7% 8% 10% 9% 11% 10% 9% 9% 10% 6% 8% 7% 12% 10% 4% 6% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% * * * 1% * * 1% * 1% * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1% POLL 12 3 -4- November 27 – December 1, 2015 BASED ON 919 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 11 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 930 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.) 6. How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER) Extremely Very Moderately Not that No important important important important opinion The economy Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 43% 45% 11% 1% * Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV) 52% 36% 10% 2% * June 26-28, 2015 47% 41% 11% 2% * June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 48% 41% 10% 1% * Feb. 12-15, 2015 41% 47% 11% 1% * Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV) 42% 45% 12% 1% * Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV) 58% 35% 6% 1% * June 28-July 1, 2012 51% 41% 6% 2% * October 14-16, 2011 54% 39% 6% 1% * June 3-7, 2011 51% 41% 6% 2% * October 17-19, 2008 61% 33% 5% 2% * June 26-29, 2008 58% 35% 6% 1% * Jan. 14-17, 2008 45% 41% 12% 2% * Nov. 2-4, 2007 34% 48% 16% 2% * May 4-6, 2007 33% 46% 16% 4% * Illegal immigration Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV) June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV) Feb. 12-15, 2015 Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV) June 28 – July 1, 2012 October 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 October 17-19, 2008 June 26-29, 2008 Jan. 14-17, 2008 Nov. 2-4, 2007 May 4-6, 2007 33% 39% 30% 30% 29% 30% 28% 24% 29% 29% 34% 31% 23% 31% 34% 29% 32% 33% 35% 35% 31% 28% 33% 31% 33% 34% 38% 32% 21% 21% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 27% 26% 28% 24% 23% 26% 26% 11% 11% 12% 11% 10% 9% 14% 19% 12% 12% 9% 11% 13% 10% * * * * * * * * * * 1% * * 1% (RV) = Registered voter POLL 12 3 -5- November 27 – December 1, 2015 BASED ON 919 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 11 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 930 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.) 6. How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER) Extremely Very Moderately Not that No important important important important opinion Foreign policy Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 37% 39% 20% 4% * Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV) 35% 35% 24% 6% * June 26-28, 2015 32% 39% 22% 7% 1% June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 33% 40% 22% 5% 1% Feb. 12-15, 2015 28% 39% 25% 7% * Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV) 29% 39% 25% 6% * Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV) 41% 31% 21% 6% 1% June 28-July 1, 2012 24% 39% 26% 11% * October 14-16, 2011 23% 33% 32% 11% 1% Terrorism Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV) June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV) Feb. 12-15, 2015 Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV) June 28 – July 1, 2012 October 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 October 17-19, 2008 June 26-29, 2008 Jan. 14-17, 2008 Nov. 2-4, 2007 May 4-6, 2007 50% 49% 48% 49% 42% 44% 41% 36% 42% 50% 45% 42% 32% 45% 35% 31% 33% 32% 38% 37% 30% 36% 33% 33% 32% 34% 44% 35% 10% 13% 14% 14% 14% 15% 18% 19% 16% 14% 18% 19% 18% 14% 5% 7% 5% 5% 6% 4% 10% 9% 8% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% * * * * * * * * 1% * * * * * (RV) = Registered voter *Asked of a half sample. POLL 12 3 -6- November 27 – December 1, 2015 BASED ON 919 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 11 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 930 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.) 6. How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER) Extremely Very Moderately Not that No important important important important opinion Health care Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 40% 38% 18% 4% * Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV) 47% 36% 13% 3% * June 26-28, 2015 44% 39% 13% 4% * June 26-28, 2015 (RV) 44% 39% 13% 4% * Feb. 12-15, 2015 39% 40% 16% 5% * Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV) 41% 39% 17% 4% * Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV) 49% 33% 14% 3% * June 28-July 1, 2012 47% 40% 10% 3% * October 14-16, 2011 42% 38% 16% 3% * June 3-7, 2011 45% 41% 10% 3% * October 17-19, 2008 44% 38% 13% 4% * June 26-29, 2008 47% 36% 14% 3% * Jan. 14-17, 2008 41% 36% 19% 4% * Nov. 2-4, 2007 35% 41% 19% 5% * May 4-6, 2007 43% 35% 18% 4% * (RV) = Registered voter Climate Change Nov. 27 -Dec. 1, 2015 20% 26% 27% 26% 1% FOR COMPARISON: CNN/ORC INTERNATIONAL TRENDS Global warming Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV) Feb. 12-15, 2015 Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV) Nov. 2-4, 2007 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion 23% 22% 23% 19% 24% 23% 21% 29% 30% 26% 26% 27% 23% 29% 30% 25% * * * * (RV) = Registered voter *Asked of half sample QUESTION WORDING: How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? POLL 12 3 -7- November 27 – December 1, 2015 14. Thinking about the way the U.S. government deals with the issue of illegal immigration, which of the following policy goals should be the government’s top priority: (RANDOM ORDER) Nov. 27-Dec.1 2015 13% Sept. 4-8 2015 14% Developing a plan to stop immigrants from entering the U.S. illegally 37% 39% Developing a plan to allow those in the U.S. illegally who have jobs to become legal residents 49% 46% No opinion 1% 1% Deporting immigrants already in the U.S. illegally 15. 14. 15. And which of those should be the government’s next priority in dealing with the issue of illegal immigration? (RANDOM ORDER) Nov. 27-Dec.1 Sept. 4-8 2015 2015 Deporting immigrants already in the U.S. illegally 23% 24% Developing a plan to stop immigrants from entering the U.S. illegally 52% 50% Developing a plan to allow those in the U.S. illegally who have jobs to become legal residents 21% 24% No opinion 4% 2% Thinking about the way the U.S. government deals with the issue of illegal immigration, which of the following policy goals should be the government’s top priority: And which of those should be the government’s next priority in dealing with the issue of illegal immigration? QUESTIONS 14 AND 15 COMBINED Nov. 27-Dec. 1 2015 36% Sept. 4-8 2015 37% Developing a plan to stop immigrants from entering the U.S. illegally 88% 88% Developing a plan to allow those in the U.S. illegally who have jobs to become legal residents 70% 70% No opinion 5% 4% Deporting immigrants already in the U.S. illegally POLL 12 3 -8- November 27 – December 1, 2015 16. Do you think the government should attempt to deport all people currently living in the country illegally or should the government not attempt to do that? Nov. 27-Dec.1 2015 Should Should not No opinion 17. 35% 63% 2% Do you think it would be possible for the government to deport all people currently living in the country illegally or would it not be possible for the government to deport all of them? Nov. 27-Dec.1 2015 Possible Not possible No opinion 18. 19% 81% * If the government did attempt to deport all people currently living in the country illegally, do you think that would help the U.S. economy, hurt the U.S. economy or not make any difference to the country’s economy? Nov. 27-Dec. 1 2015 Help the economy Hurt the economy Not make any difference No opinion POLL 12 3 29% 47% 23% 1% -9- November 27 – December 1, 2015 BASED ON 278 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 167 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 445 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS-- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS. 22. I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, or Donald Trump. (RANDOM ORDER) Trump Cruz Carson Rubio Christie Bush Fiorina Huckabee Kasich Paul Gilmore Graham Pataki Santorum Jindal Perry Walker Someone else (vol.) None/No one (vol.) No opinion POLL 12 3 Nov. 27Dec. 1 2015 Oct. 14-17 2015 Sept 17-19 2015 Sept. 4-8 2015 Aug. 13-16 2015 July 22-25 2015 June 26-28 2015 36% 16% 14% 12% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% * * * * NA NA NA 1% 4% 2% 27% 4% 22% 8% 4% 8% 4% 5% 3% 5% * 1% * 2% * NA NA 1% 2% 4% 24% 6% 14% 11% 3% 9% 15% 6% 2% 4% * * * 1% * NA * * 1% 3% 32% 7% 19% 3% 2% 9% 3% 5% 2% 3% * 1% * 1% 1% * 5% 3% 2% 2% 24% 5% 9% 8% 3% 13% 5% 4% 5% 6% * * * 1% * 2% 8% 4% 3% 1% 18% 7% 4% 6% 4% 15% 1% 5% 4% 6% * 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 10% 4% 4% 3% 12% 3% 8% 7% 3% 17% 1% 5% 3% 8% NA 1% * 4% 2% 4% 6% 5% 6% 3% -10- November 27 – December 1, 2015 BASED ON 278 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 167 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 445 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS. 23. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: The economy Trump Cruz Carson Rubio Fiorina Bush Christie Paul Kasich Gilmore Graham Huckabee Pataki Santorum Jindal Perry Walker Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion Nov. 27-Dec. 1 2015 Sept. 17-19 2015 Aug. 13-16 2015 June 26-28 2015 55% 9% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% * * * * * NA NA NA 1% 3% 2% 44% 3% 5% 10% 11% 8% 3% 2% 2% * * 2% * 1% * NA 2% * 2% 2% 45% 5% 5% 3% 6% 9% 2% 2% 5% * 1% 2% * * * 1% 6% 2% 1% 3% 20% 2% 3% 6% 2% 16% 3% 7% 2% NA * 4% 1% 4% 1% 4% 8% 2% 6% 9% Nov. 27-Dec. 1 2015 Sept. 17-19 2015 Aug. 13-16 2015 June 26-28 2015 48% 14% 11% 9% 4% 4% 1% 1% * * * * * * NA NA NA 1% 1% 4% 47% 15% 5% 6% 9% 1% 4% 2% * * 1% * 2% * * NA 1% 1% 3% 5% 44% 7% 7% 4% 13% 3% 3% 2% * * 1% * 2% 1% * 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 14% 9% 6% 3% 18% 3% 1% 5% NA 1% 1% * 6% 1% 1% 8% 3% 2% 6% 9% Illegal immigration Trump Rubio Cruz Carson Bush Christie Fiorina Huckabee Gilmore Graham Kasich Pataki Paul Santorum Jindal Perry Walker Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 12 3 -11- November 27 – December 1, 2015 BASED ON 278 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 167 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 445 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS. 23. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: Foreign policy Nov. 27-Dec. 1 2015 Sept. 17-19 2015 30% 17% 14% 8% 7% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% * * * NA NA 1% 3% 4% 22% 7% 17% 7% 11% 3% 8% 5% 2% 4% 1% * * 1% * * 2% 3% 7% Trump Cruz Rubio Carson Bush Christie Fiorina Paul Graham Huckabee Kasich Gilmore Pataki Santorum Jindal Walker Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion ISIS Nov. 27-Dec. 1 Aug. 13-16 2015 2015 Trump Cruz Rubio Carson Bush Christie Fiorina Graham Huckabee Kasich Paul Gilmore Pataki Santorum Jindal Perry Walker Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 12 3 46% 15% 8% 7% 6% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * NA NA NA 1% 4% 4% 32% 7% 5% 5% 16% 3% 3% 1% 2% 4% 3% * * * * 1% 4% 3% 3% 9% -12- November 27 – December 1, 2015 BASED ON 278 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 167 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 445 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS. 23. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: The federal budget Nov. 27-Dec. 1 2015 Trump Cruz Carson Rubio Bush Fiorina Paul Christie Kasich Gilmore Graham Huckabee Pataki Santorum Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 12 3 51% 10% 8% 6% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% * * * * * 1% 3% 1% -13- November 27 – December 1, 2015 BASED ON 278 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 167 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 445 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS. 24. Now I’m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER) Nov. 27-Dec. 1 2015 Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November Trump Rubio Cruz Carson Bush Christie Fiorina Paul Gilmore Graham Huckabee Kasich Pataki Santorum Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion 52% 15% 11% 10% 3% 1% 1% 1% * * * * * * 1% 2% 2% Would be most effective at solving the country’s problems Trump Carson Cruz Rubio Bush Christie Fiorina Graham Huckabee Kasich Paul Gilmore Pataki Santorum Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 12 3 42% 14% 12% 10% 4% 4% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * 1% 3% 2% -14- November 27 – December 1, 2015 BASED ON 278 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 167 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 445 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS. 24. Now I’m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER) Nov. 27-Dec. 1 2015 Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief Trump Cruz Carson Rubio Bush Christie Fiorina Huckabee Paul Graham Kasich Gilmore Pataki Santorum Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 12 3 37% 16% 11% 10% 8% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% * * * * 2% 4% -15- November 27 – December 1, 2015 METHODOLOGY A total of 1,020 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Among the entire sample, 30% described themselves as Democrats, 26% described themselves as Republicans, and 44% described themselves as independents or members of another party. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage. Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "N/A". POLL 12 3 -16- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 5 How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year's election -extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Base = Registered Voters Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------27% 28% 25% 30% 23% 21% 25% 26% 30% 33% 27% 27% 10% 9% 10% 9% 11% 8% 13% 8% * 1% * 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 23% 30% 10% 11% * +/-3.0 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------27% 21% 23% 21% 30% 31% 10% 13% 11% 14% * 1% +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 23% 30% 10% 11% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----20% 27% 31% 8% 13% 1% +/-6.0 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 23% 30% 10% 11% * +/-3.0 North east ----31% 21% 26% 7% 15% 1% +/-7.0 Midwest ----21% 21% 37% 9% 11% 1% +/-7.0 South ----31% 24% 26% 11% 8% * +/-5.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 23% 30% 10% 11% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------49% 22% 20% 2% 7% * +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------21% 22% 34% 12% 12% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------28% 26% 26% 10% 10% * +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----30% 19% 29% 6% 15% * +/-8.0 Non-White --------21% 16% 36% 12% 15% * +/-6.5 5064 ----27% 28% 24% 13% 8% * +/-5.5 65+ ----24% 28% 26% 10% 10% 1% +/-5.0 No College Degree ------24% 22% 31% 11% 12% 1% +/-4.5 $50K or more ------32% 24% 30% 7% 7% * +/-4.5 Independent -----22% 18% 34% 14% 12% * +/-5.0 Republican -----41% 26% 22% 5% 6% * +/-6.0 Under 50 ----28% 17% 35% 8% 12% * +/-6.0 50 and Older -----26% 28% 25% 12% 9% 1% +/-4.0 College Degree -------34% 23% 27% 8% 8% * +/-5.0 Lean Democrat -----20% 26% 32% 11% 11% 1% +/-5.0 Liberal ----31% 22% 26% 11% 10% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----18% 18% 36% 14% 14% * +/-5.5 West ----22% 26% 30% 10% 11% * +/-7.0 Urban ----23% 24% 32% 9% 13% * +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----37% 26% 26% 6% 6% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------31% 27% 27% 5% 8% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----31% 22% 31% 10% 7% * +/-5.0 Rural ----24% 26% 26% 10% 13% 2% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -17- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 6A How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? A. The economy Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------43% 40% 45% 42% 45% 47% 42% 47% 11% 12% 10% 11% 1% 1% 2% 1% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 45% 11% 1% * +/-3.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------43% 40% 45% 46% 11% 11% 1% 3% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 45% 11% 1% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----46% 40% 13% 1% * +/-6.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 45% 11% 1% * +/-3.0 North east ----44% 43% 12% 2% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----44% 46% 9% 1% * +/-7.0 South ----41% 47% 11% 1% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 45% 11% 1% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------61% 36% 3% * * +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------43% 46% 10% 2% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------38% 46% 16% 1% * +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----54% 36% 11% * * +/-8.0 Non-White --------48% 39% 11% 3% * +/-6.5 5064 ----41% 49% 7% 3% * +/-5.5 65+ ----38% 51% 9% 2% * +/-5.0 No College Degree ------43% 45% 10% 2% * +/-4.5 $50K or more ------47% 43% 10% * * +/-4.5 Independent -----34% 51% 12% 2% * +/-5.0 Republican -----52% 41% 7% 1% * +/-6.0 Under 50 ----47% 38% 14% 1% * +/-6.0 50 and Older -----40% 50% 8% 2% * +/-4.0 College Degree -------45% 41% 13% 1% * +/-5.0 Lean Democrat -----41% 44% 14% 1% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----37% 42% 16% 5% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----39% 45% 15% 1% * +/-5.5 West ----44% 42% 13% 2% * +/-7.0 Urban ----44% 42% 11% 4% * +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----49% 42% 9% 1% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------51% 45% 4% * * +/-5.0 Suburban ----44% 45% 10% 1% * +/-5.0 Rural ----41% 47% 12% 1% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -18- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 6A How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? A. The economy Base = Registered Republicans Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------49% 44% 54% 50% 42% 45% 39% 42% 9% 12% 5% 8% 1% * 2% * * * * * +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----49% 42% 9% 1% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------49% 40% 42% 52% 9% 6% 1% 2% * * +/-4.5 +/-8.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----49% 42% 9% 1% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----49% 42% 9% 1% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----49% 42% 9% 1% * +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----48% 44% 8% * * +/-8.5 65+ ----43% 49% 7% 1% * +/-7.0 No College Degree ------45% 46% 8% 1% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------56% 35% 9% * * +/-6.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----43% 44% 12% 1% * +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------64% 32% 4% * * +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------42% 46% 10% 2% * +/-6.5 Republican -----52% 41% 7% 1% * +/-6.0 South ----44% 48% 9% * * +/-8.0 College Degree -------57% 33% 10% * * +/-7.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----46% 46% 7% 1% * +/-5.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----43% 39% 17% 1% * +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----49% 42% 9% 1% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------53% 42% 5% * * +/-5.5 Suburban ----53% 37% 10% * * +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -19- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 6B How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? B. Illegal immigration Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------33% 29% 37% 34% 34% 37% 31% 34% 21% 21% 21% 22% 11% 12% 10% 9% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----33% 34% 21% 11% * +/-3.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------33% 34% 34% 34% 21% 18% 11% 13% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----33% 34% 21% 11% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----25% 35% 24% 17% * +/-6.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----33% 34% 21% 11% * +/-3.0 North east ----24% 34% 28% 14% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----35% 35% 19% 11% * +/-7.0 South ----36% 37% 19% 8% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----33% 34% 21% 11% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------55% 32% 10% 3% * +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------36% 36% 17% 10% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------20% 30% 31% 18% * +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----31% 32% 24% 12% * +/-8.0 Non-White --------33% 34% 18% 15% * +/-6.5 5064 ----37% 35% 18% 11% * +/-5.5 65+ ----34% 38% 19% 8% 1% +/-5.0 No College Degree ------36% 36% 18% 10% * +/-4.5 $50K or more ------32% 35% 25% 9% * +/-4.5 Independent -----33% 35% 21% 12% * +/-5.0 Republican -----44% 34% 18% 4% * +/-6.0 Under 50 ----32% 32% 23% 13% * +/-6.0 50 and Older -----35% 36% 19% 10% * +/-4.0 College Degree -------29% 30% 27% 13% * +/-5.0 Lean Democrat -----24% 33% 27% 17% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----19% 31% 30% 19% 1% +/-7.0 Moderate ----30% 31% 26% 14% * +/-5.5 West ----37% 31% 19% 13% * +/-7.0 Urban ----28% 33% 22% 16% * +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----43% 35% 17% 4% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------46% 38% 12% 5% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----34% 34% 22% 10% * +/-5.0 Rural ----36% 37% 19% 8% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -20- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 6B How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? B. Illegal immigration Base = Registered Republicans Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------43% 39% 49% 44% 35% 40% 31% 36% 17% 18% 16% 17% 4% 4% 4% 3% * * * * +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 35% 17% 4% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------43% 46% 35% 34% 17% 16% 4% 4% * * +/-4.5 +/-8.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 35% 17% 4% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 35% 17% 4% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 35% 17% 4% * +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----51% 33% 14% 2% * +/-8.5 65+ ----41% 40% 14% 4% 1% +/-7.0 No College Degree ------46% 37% 14% 3% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------40% 38% 19% 3% * +/-6.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----42% 39% 15% 3% * +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------60% 29% 10% 1% * +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------38% 37% 21% 4% * +/-6.5 Republican -----44% 34% 18% 4% * +/-6.0 South ----46% 38% 15% 1% * +/-8.0 College Degree -------41% 31% 22% 6% * +/-7.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----46% 36% 14% 3% * +/-5.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----32% 36% 26% 5% * +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----43% 35% 17% 4% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------51% 34% 13% 2% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----47% 32% 17% 4% * +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -21- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 6C How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? C. Foreign policy Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------37% 34% 40% 35% 39% 39% 39% 41% 20% 22% 19% 21% 4% 5% 2% 3% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----37% 39% 20% 4% * +/-3.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------37% 36% 39% 38% 20% 21% 4% 5% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----37% 39% 20% 4% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----35% 37% 24% 4% * +/-6.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----37% 39% 20% 4% * +/-3.0 North east ----30% 47% 20% 2% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----40% 39% 17% 4% * +/-7.0 South ----41% 34% 21% 4% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----37% 39% 20% 4% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------52% 35% 11% 2% * +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------37% 39% 21% 3% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------33% 41% 21% 5% * +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----40% 40% 19% 1% * +/-8.0 Non-White --------42% 35% 18% 6% * +/-6.5 5064 ----38% 40% 18% 5% * +/-5.5 65+ ----36% 45% 15% 3% * +/-5.0 No College Degree ------37% 38% 20% 5% * +/-4.5 $50K or more ------38% 39% 20% 3% * +/-4.5 Independent -----32% 42% 22% 4% * +/-5.0 Republican -----47% 37% 15% 2% * +/-6.0 Under 50 ----37% 36% 23% 3% * +/-6.0 50 and Older -----37% 42% 16% 4% * +/-4.0 College Degree -------38% 42% 19% 1% * +/-5.0 Lean Democrat -----33% 41% 23% 3% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----32% 36% 27% 5% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----32% 42% 24% 2% * +/-5.5 West ----35% 40% 22% 4% * +/-7.0 Urban ----32% 43% 19% 6% * +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----43% 39% 16% 3% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------45% 39% 12% 4% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----39% 39% 20% 3% * +/-5.0 Rural ----40% 38% 20% 2% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -22- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 6C How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? C. Foreign policy Base = Registered Republicans Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------43% 39% 47% 42% 39% 38% 41% 39% 16% 21% 10% 15% 3% 2% 3% 3% * * * * +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 39% 16% 3% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------43% 38% 39% 41% 16% 16% 3% 5% * * +/-4.5 +/-8.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 39% 16% 3% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 39% 16% 3% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 39% 16% 3% * +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----45% 40% 15% 1% * +/-8.5 65+ ----41% 47% 11% 1% * +/-7.0 No College Degree ------42% 38% 16% 3% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------45% 36% 17% 2% * +/-6.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----35% 44% 17% 4% * +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------57% 36% 7% * * +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------37% 41% 19% 3% * +/-6.5 Republican -----47% 37% 15% 2% * +/-6.0 South ----47% 39% 13% 1% * +/-8.0 College Degree -------44% 38% 16% 2% * +/-7.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----43% 43% 13% 1% * +/-5.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----38% 32% 28% 3% * +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----43% 39% 16% 3% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------46% 41% 10% 2% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----45% 37% 16% 2% * +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -23- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 6D How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? D. Terrorism Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------50% 47% 53% 50% 35% 37% 33% 36% 10% 12% 8% 9% 5% 4% 6% 4% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 35% 10% 5% * +/-3.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------50% 51% 35% 31% 10% 9% 5% 9% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 35% 10% 5% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----50% 32% 12% 5% * +/-6.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 35% 10% 5% * +/-3.0 North east ----45% 36% 11% 8% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----56% 34% 5% 4% 1% +/-7.0 South ----53% 35% 8% 4% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----50% 35% 10% 5% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------63% 29% 6% 2% * +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------55% 33% 6% 5% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------39% 36% 19% 7% * +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----50% 32% 12% 6% * +/-8.0 Non-White --------54% 28% 11% 8% * +/-6.5 5064 ----55% 34% 7% 5% * +/-5.5 65+ ----52% 37% 7% 3% 1% +/-5.0 No College Degree ------55% 33% 7% 5% * +/-4.5 $50K or more ------51% 36% 11% 2% * +/-4.5 Independent -----45% 37% 10% 7% * +/-5.0 Republican -----58% 35% 6% 2% * +/-6.0 Under 50 ----49% 32% 13% 7% * +/-6.0 50 and Older -----54% 35% 7% 4% 1% +/-4.0 College Degree -------45% 34% 16% 5% * +/-5.0 Lean Democrat -----46% 33% 13% 7% 1% +/-5.0 Liberal ----36% 35% 18% 12% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----46% 35% 13% 6% * +/-5.5 West ----46% 33% 16% 4% * +/-7.0 Urban ----45% 34% 11% 9% * +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----56% 37% 6% 2% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------65% 31% 3% 1% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----54% 34% 10% 2% * +/-5.0 Rural ----52% 35% 8% 5% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -24- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 6D How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? D. Terrorism Base = Registered Republicans Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------56% 49% 62% 56% 37% 41% 32% 37% 6% 8% 4% 6% 2% 2% 2% 1% * * * * +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----56% 37% 6% 2% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------56% 57% 37% 35% 6% 4% 2% 4% * * +/-4.5 +/-8.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----56% 37% 6% 2% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----56% 37% 6% 2% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----56% 37% 6% 2% * +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----67% 29% 4% * * +/-8.5 65+ ----53% 39% 7% 1% * +/-7.0 No College Degree ------57% 39% 3% 2% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------56% 36% 8% 1% * +/-6.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----51% 40% 7% 2% * +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------65% 29% 6% * * +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------54% 38% 6% 2% * +/-6.5 Republican -----58% 35% 6% 2% * +/-6.0 South ----59% 34% 6% 1% * +/-8.0 College Degree -------55% 31% 12% 2% * +/-7.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----60% 34% 5% 1% * +/-5.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----49% 37% 10% 3% * +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----56% 37% 6% 2% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------61% 34% 4% * * +/-5.5 Suburban ----62% 31% 5% 1% * +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -25- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 6E How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? E. Health care Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------40% 33% 46% 38% 38% 36% 40% 38% 18% 24% 12% 19% 4% 7% 2% 5% * * 1% * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 38% 18% 4% * +/-3.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------40% 41% 38% 39% 18% 18% 4% 2% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 38% 18% 4% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----50% 37% 10% 2% 1% +/-6.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 38% 18% 4% * +/-3.0 North east ----32% 37% 22% 7% 2% +/-7.0 Midwest ----43% 41% 13% 3% * +/-7.0 South ----41% 38% 17% 3% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 38% 18% 4% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------53% 27% 19% 1% * +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------37% 37% 21% 5% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------40% 43% 12% 5% * +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----42% 31% 21% 6% * +/-8.0 Non-White --------46% 37% 14% 2% 1% +/-6.5 5064 ----44% 40% 12% 5% * +/-5.5 65+ ----35% 45% 18% 2% * +/-5.0 No College Degree ------40% 40% 16% 3% 1% +/-4.5 $50K or more ------39% 36% 18% 7% 1% +/-4.5 Independent -----33% 41% 22% 5% * +/-5.0 Republican -----39% 35% 21% 5% * +/-6.0 Under 50 ----41% 33% 21% 5% 1% +/-6.0 50 and Older -----40% 42% 14% 4% * +/-4.0 College Degree -------40% 34% 20% 6% * +/-5.0 Lean Democrat -----43% 40% 13% 3% 1% +/-5.0 Liberal ----45% 42% 8% 3% 2% +/-7.0 Moderate ----32% 41% 22% 5% * +/-5.5 West ----42% 36% 18% 3% * +/-7.0 Urban ----44% 42% 12% 2% 1% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----38% 34% 23% 4% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------44% 33% 19% 4% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----37% 34% 23% 6% * +/-5.0 Rural ----40% 41% 17% 1% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -26- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 6E How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? E. Health care Base = Registered Republicans Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------38% 27% 49% 39% 34% 37% 32% 33% 23% 30% 16% 24% 4% 6% 2% 4% * * * * +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 34% 23% 4% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------38% 38% 34% 35% 23% 25% 4% 1% * * +/-4.5 +/-8.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 34% 23% 4% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 34% 23% 4% * +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 34% 23% 4% * +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----41% 36% 17% 6% * +/-8.5 65+ ----33% 43% 20% 3% 1% +/-7.0 No College Degree ------37% 39% 20% 3% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------38% 32% 23% 7% * +/-6.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----35% 34% 29% 3% * +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------56% 25% 19% 1% * +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------29% 39% 27% 5% * +/-6.5 Republican -----39% 35% 21% 5% * +/-6.0 South ----38% 37% 22% 2% * +/-8.0 College Degree -------40% 26% 29% 6% * +/-7.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----37% 39% 19% 4% * +/-5.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----30% 35% 28% 7% * +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----38% 34% 23% 4% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------42% 32% 23% 3% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----38% 27% 28% 7% * +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -27- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 6F How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? F. Climate change Base = Registered Voters Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------20% 17% 22% 16% 26% 20% 33% 25% 27% 29% 25% 28% 26% 34% 19% 30% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----20% 26% 27% 26% 1% +/-3.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------20% 21% 26% 30% 27% 27% 26% 21% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----20% 26% 27% 26% 1% +/-3.0 Democrat ----34% 37% 22% 7% 1% +/-6.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----20% 26% 27% 26% 1% +/-3.0 North east ----16% 21% 36% 25% 2% +/-7.0 Midwest ----20% 29% 21% 28% 2% +/-7.0 South ----18% 28% 27% 28% * +/-5.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----20% 26% 27% 26% 1% +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------17% 17% 19% 46% * +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------16% 23% 30% 31% 1% +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------29% 38% 25% 9% * +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----19% 21% 32% 28% * +/-8.0 Non-White --------28% 30% 23% 18% 2% +/-6.5 5064 ----23% 25% 23% 29% * +/-5.5 65+ ----18% 29% 29% 22% 2% +/-5.0 No College Degree ------19% 27% 27% 26% 1% +/-4.5 $50K or more ------21% 23% 26% 29% 1% +/-4.5 Independent -----17% 23% 30% 29% 1% +/-5.0 Republican -----9% 21% 27% 43% 1% +/-6.0 Under 50 ----19% 27% 28% 26% 1% +/-6.0 50 and Older -----21% 26% 25% 26% 1% +/-4.0 College Degree -------22% 24% 25% 27% 1% +/-5.0 Lean Democrat -----30% 36% 26% 7% 1% +/-5.0 Liberal ----29% 33% 28% 9% 2% +/-7.0 Moderate ----17% 24% 35% 23% 1% +/-5.5 West ----27% 27% 23% 22% 1% +/-7.0 Urban ----22% 33% 23% 21% 1% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----9% 20% 28% 43% 1% +/-4.5 Conservative ------16% 25% 20% 38% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----18% 23% 30% 29% * +/-5.0 Rural ----20% 26% 28% 24% 2% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -28- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 6F How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? F. Climate change Base = Registered Republicans Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------9% 5% 13% 8% 20% 13% 27% 21% 28% 31% 25% 29% 43% 50% 35% 41% 1% 2% * 1% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 20% 28% 43% 1% +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------9% 8% 20% 26% 28% 28% 43% 36% 1% 2% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 20% 28% 43% 1% +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 20% 28% 43% 1% +/-4.5 Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 20% 28% 43% 1% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----10% 17% 25% 47% 1% +/-8.5 65+ ----8% 22% 33% 35% 2% +/-7.0 No College Degree ------9% 25% 28% 38% 1% +/-6.5 $50K or more ------11% 16% 29% 43% * +/-6.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----9% 18% 29% 43% 1% +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------16% 16% 19% 50% 1% +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------6% 21% 31% 41% 1% +/-6.5 Republican -----9% 21% 27% 43% 1% +/-6.0 South ----10% 20% 26% 43% * +/-8.0 College Degree -------9% 11% 28% 50% 1% +/-7.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----9% 19% 29% 42% 2% +/-5.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----5% 16% 39% 39% 1% +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----9% 20% 28% 43% 1% +/-4.5 Conservative ------10% 21% 23% 44% 1% +/-5.5 Suburban ----8% 14% 34% 44% 1% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -29- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 14 Thinking about the way the U.S. government deals with the issue of illegal immigration, which of the following policy goals should be the government's top priority: Base = Total Sample Total Men Women White ----------------Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 13% 18% 8% 14% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 37% 37% 37% 45% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 49% 45% 53% 41% No opinion 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Total ----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 13% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 37% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 49% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 1834 ----9% 26% 64% 1% +/-8.0 Under Total $50K --------Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 13% 16% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 37% 38% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 49% 45% No opinion 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.0 3549 ----14% 43% 42% 1% +/-8.0 Non-White --------11% 23% 65% 1% +/-6.0 5064 ----15% 41% 44% * +/-5.5 65+ ----15% 42% 42% 1% +/-5.0 No College Degree ------15% 40% 44% 1% +/-4.0 $50K or more ------10% 36% 54% * +/-4.5 Total ----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 13% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 37% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 49% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 Democrat ----6% 25% 69% 1% +/-5.5 Independent -----13% 38% 47% 1% +/-4.5 Republican -----21% 50% 29% * +/-5.5 Total ----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 13% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 37% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 49% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 North east ----12% 38% 48% 2% +/-6.5 Midwest ----15% 42% 42% * +/-6.5 South ----14% 35% 50% * +/-5.5 Total ----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 13% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 37% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 49% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------24% 50% 26% * +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------13% 43% 44% 1% +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------7% 20% 73% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----11% 34% 54% 1% +/-5.5 50 and Older -----15% 41% 43% 1% +/-3.5 College Degree -------8% 32% 60% 1% +/-5.0 Lean Democrat -----7% 24% 68% 1% +/-4.5 Liberal ----4% 18% 77% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----13% 38% 48% 1% +/-5.0 West ----10% 35% 54% 1% +/-6.5 Urban ----8% 29% 62% 1% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----19% 49% 31% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------19% 50% 30% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----14% 38% 48% 1% +/-4.5 Rural ----19% 46% 34% 1% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -30- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 15 And which of those should be the government's next priority in dealing with the issue of illegal immigration? Base = Those with a top priority Total Men Women White ----------------Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 23% 24% 22% 25% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 52% 51% 52% 47% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 21% 22% 21% 24% No opinion 4% 3% 6% 4% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Total ----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 23% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 52% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 21% No opinion 4% Sampling Error +/-3.0 1834 ----21% 61% 16% 3% +/-8.0 Under Total $50K --------Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 23% 22% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 52% 50% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 21% 24% No opinion 4% 5% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.0 3549 ----29% 46% 22% 3% +/-8.0 Non-White --------18% 60% 16% 5% +/-6.0 5064 ----21% 48% 25% 6% +/-5.5 65+ ----22% 48% 23% 7% +/-5.0 No College Degree ------26% 48% 22% 4% +/-4.0 $50K or more ------22% 55% 19% 4% +/-4.5 Total ----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 23% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 52% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 21% No opinion 4% Sampling Error +/-3.0 Democrat ----18% 63% 14% 5% +/-5.5 Independent -----21% 50% 23% 5% +/-5.0 Republican -----31% 40% 27% 3% +/-5.5 Total ----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 23% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 52% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 21% No opinion 4% Sampling Error +/-3.0 North east ----22% 50% 24% 4% +/-6.5 Midwest ----28% 50% 18% 3% +/-6.5 South ----24% 50% 20% 6% +/-5.5 Total ----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 23% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 52% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 21% No opinion 4% Sampling Error +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------29% 42% 26% 3% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------27% 47% 24% 2% +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------11% 65% 15% 9% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----24% 54% 19% 3% +/-5.5 50 and Older -----21% 48% 24% 6% +/-3.5 College Degree -------15% 60% 20% 5% +/-5.0 Lean Democrat -----17% 62% 16% 5% +/-4.5 Liberal ----16% 65% 10% 9% +/-6.5 Moderate ----19% 54% 23% 3% +/-5.5 West ----17% 57% 23% 4% +/-6.5 Urban ----16% 61% 18% 6% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----28% 42% 27% 3% +/-4.5 Conservative ------30% 40% 28% 2% +/-5.0 Suburban ----24% 50% 22% 4% +/-4.5 Rural ----27% 43% 25% 5% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -31- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 14/15 Q14. Thinking about the way the U.S. government deals with the issue of illegal immigration, which of the following policy goals should be the government's top priority: Q15. And which of those should be the government's next priority in dealing with the issue of illegal immigration? Base = Total Sample Total Men Women White ----------------Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 36% 42% 30% 39% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 88% 88% 89% 91% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 70% 66% 74% 65% No opinion 5% 4% 6% 5% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Total ----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 36% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 88% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 70% No opinion 5% Sampling Error +/-3.0 1834 ----30% 86% 79% 4% +/-8.0 Under Total $50K --------Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 36% 37% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 88% 88% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 70% 69% No opinion 5% 5% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.0 3549 ----42% 89% 65% 3% +/-8.0 Non-White --------29% 83% 81% 6% +/-6.0 5064 ----36% 89% 69% 6% +/-5.5 65+ ----36% 89% 65% 9% +/-5.0 No College Degree ------41% 87% 66% 5% +/-4.0 $50K or more ------32% 90% 73% 4% +/-4.5 Total ----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 36% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 88% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 70% No opinion 5% Sampling Error +/-3.0 Democrat ----23% 87% 83% 6% +/-5.5 Independent -----35% 88% 70% 6% +/-4.5 Republican -----52% 90% 55% 3% +/-5.5 Total ----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 36% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 88% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 70% No opinion 5% Sampling Error +/-3.0 North east ----33% 87% 72% 6% +/-6.5 Midwest ----43% 92% 61% 4% +/-6.5 South ----38% 85% 71% 6% +/-5.5 Total ----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants 36% Plan to stop ill. immigrants 88% Allow those w/jobs to be legal 70% No opinion 5% Sampling Error +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------52% 92% 52% 3% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------39% 90% 67% 3% +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------19% 84% 87% 9% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----35% 87% 73% 4% +/-5.5 50 and Older -----36% 89% 67% 7% +/-3.5 College Degree -------22% 91% 81% 6% +/-5.0 Lean Democrat -----23% 86% 84% 6% +/-4.5 Liberal ----20% 83% 87% 9% +/-6.5 Moderate ----32% 91% 71% 4% +/-5.0 West ----26% 91% 77% 5% +/-6.5 Urban ----24% 89% 80% 6% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----47% 91% 58% 3% +/-4.5 Conservative ------49% 89% 58% 3% +/-5.0 Suburban ----38% 87% 70% 5% +/-4.5 Rural ----45% 89% 60% 6% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -32- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 16 Do you think the government should attempt to deport all people currently living in the country illegally or should the government not attempt to do that? Base = Total Sample Should Should not No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------35% 41% 30% 39% 63% 57% 69% 59% 2% 1% 2% 2% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Should Should not No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 63% 2% +/-3.0 Should Should not No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------35% 37% 63% 61% 2% 2% +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Should Should not No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 63% 2% +/-3.0 Democrat ----27% 71% 1% +/-5.5 Should Should not No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 63% 2% +/-3.0 North east ----37% 61% 3% +/-6.5 Midwest ----44% 54% 1% +/-6.5 South ----36% 64% 1% +/-5.5 Should Should not No opinion Sampling Error Total ----35% 63% 2% +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------52% 47% 1% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------41% 57% 2% +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------15% 84% 1% +/-5.5 1834 ----23% 76% 1% +/-8.0 3549 ----45% 55% * +/-8.0 Non-White --------29% 70% 1% +/-6.0 5064 ----40% 59% 2% +/-5.5 65+ ----37% 59% 4% +/-5.0 No College Degree ------40% 58% 2% +/-4.0 $50K or more ------34% 65% 1% +/-4.5 Independent -----30% 68% 1% +/-4.5 Republican -----53% 45% 2% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----33% 67% 1% +/-5.5 50 and Older -----39% 59% 3% +/-3.5 College Degree -------24% 75% 1% +/-5.0 Lean Democrat -----23% 75% 1% +/-4.5 Liberal ----18% 81% 1% +/-6.5 Moderate ----31% 67% 2% +/-5.0 West ----25% 73% 2% +/-6.5 Urban ----27% 72% 1% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----48% 51% 2% +/-4.5 Conservative ------51% 47% 2% +/-5.0 Suburban ----35% 63% 2% +/-4.5 Rural ----47% 51% 1% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -33- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 17 Do you think it would be possible for the government to deport all people currently living in the country illegally or would it not be possible for the government to deport all of them? Base = Total Sample Possible Not possible No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------19% 23% 15% 21% 81% 77% 84% 79% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Possible Not possible No opinion Sampling Error Total ----19% 81% * +/-3.0 Possible Not possible No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------19% 21% 81% 79% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Possible Not possible No opinion Sampling Error Total ----19% 81% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----14% 86% * +/-5.5 Possible Not possible No opinion Sampling Error Total ----19% 81% * +/-3.0 North east ----14% 86% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----21% 79% * +/-6.5 South ----23% 77% * +/-5.5 Possible Not possible No opinion Sampling Error Total ----19% 81% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------36% 63% * +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------20% 80% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------7% 93% * +/-5.5 1834 ----9% 91% * +/-8.0 3549 ----24% 76% * +/-8.0 Non-White --------13% 87% * +/-6.0 5064 ----23% 76% 1% +/-5.5 65+ ----18% 81% * +/-5.0 No College Degree ------20% 79% * +/-4.0 $50K or more ------15% 84% * +/-4.5 Independent -----18% 82% * +/-4.5 Republican -----27% 73% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----16% 84% * +/-5.5 50 and Older -----21% 78% * +/-3.5 College Degree -------14% 86% * +/-5.0 Lean Democrat -----11% 89% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----7% 93% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----15% 85% * +/-5.0 West ----15% 84% * +/-6.5 Urban ----12% 87% 1% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----26% 73% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------29% 70% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----19% 81% * +/-4.5 Rural ----28% 72% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -34- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 18 If the government did attempt to deport all people currently living in the country illegally, do you think that would help the U.S. economy, hurt the U.S. economy or not make any difference to the country's economy? Base = Total Sample Help the economy Hurt the economy Not make any difference No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------29% 31% 28% 35% 47% 46% 48% 40% 23% 23% 23% 23% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Help the economy Hurt the economy Not make any difference No opinion Sampling Error Total ----29% 47% 23% 1% +/-3.0 Help the economy Hurt the economy Not make any difference No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------29% 32% 47% 44% 23% 24% 1% * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Help the economy Hurt the economy Not make any difference No opinion Sampling Error Total ----29% 47% 23% 1% +/-3.0 Democrat ----18% 57% 24% 1% +/-5.5 Help the economy Hurt the economy Not make any difference No opinion Sampling Error Total ----29% 47% 23% 1% +/-3.0 North east ----32% 46% 22% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----35% 37% 27% 1% +/-6.5 South ----28% 49% 22% 1% +/-5.5 Help the economy Hurt the economy Not make any difference No opinion Sampling Error Total ----29% 47% 23% 1% +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------48% 32% 19% 1% +/-8.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------33% 39% 27% 1% +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------10% 70% 19% 1% +/-5.5 1834 ----19% 62% 18% * +/-8.0 3549 ----31% 46% 23% * +/-8.0 Non-White --------18% 60% 22% 1% +/-6.0 5064 ----35% 42% 22% 1% +/-5.5 65+ ----33% 32% 33% 2% +/-5.0 No College Degree ------32% 44% 23% 1% +/-4.0 $50K or more ------26% 52% 21% 1% +/-4.5 Independent -----28% 50% 22% * +/-4.5 Republican -----44% 30% 24% 2% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----25% 55% 20% * +/-5.5 50 and Older -----34% 38% 26% 1% +/-3.5 College Degree -------22% 54% 23% 1% +/-5.0 Lean Democrat -----17% 59% 22% 1% +/-4.5 Liberal ----13% 71% 15% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----24% 44% 31% 1% +/-5.0 West ----23% 54% 22% 1% +/-6.5 Urban ----24% 53% 23% 1% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----42% 31% 26% 1% +/-4.5 Conservative ------44% 34% 21% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----28% 47% 24% 1% +/-4.5 Rural ----40% 34% 25% 1% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -35- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 22 I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------3% 4% 1% 3% 14% 14% 14% 13% 4% 4% 5% 4% 16% 16% 15% 16% 3% 2% 4% 3% * * * * 2% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% * * * * 1% 2% 1% 1% 12% 13% 11% 12% * * 1% * 36% 38% 33% 37% * * * * 1% 1% 2% 1% 4% 2% 6% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 14% 4% 16% 3% * 2% 2% * 1% 12% * 36% * 1% 4% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------3% 2% 14% 13% 4% 4% 16% 14% 3% 2% * * 2% 2% 2% 2% * * 1% 2% 12% 10% * * 36% 40% * * 1% * 4% 6% 2% 2% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------3% 15% 4% 18% 3% * 3% 1% * 2% 13% * 33% * 1% 2% 1% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----3% 7% 6% 16% 3% * 2% 3% * 2% 9% 1% 43% * 1% 2% 2% +/-8.5 No College Degree ------3% 11% 4% 12% 2% * 4% 2% * 2% 8% * 46% * 1% 4% 1% +/-6.5 65+ ----5% 13% 4% 15% 4% 1% 2% 1% * 2% 18% * 28% * 1% 3% 3% +/-7.0 College Degree -------3% 19% 6% 22% 3% * * 2% * * 19% * 18% * 2% 2% 3% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----4% 10% 5% 15% 4% * 2% 2% * 2% 13% 1% 36% * 1% 2% 2% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----3% 14% 4% 16% 3% * 2% 2% * 1% 12% * 36% * 1% 4% 2% +/-4.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -36- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 22 I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 14% 4% 16% 3% * 2% 2% * 1% 12% * 36% * 1% 4% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 14% 4% 16% 3% * 2% 2% * 1% 12% * 36% * 1% 4% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 14% 4% 16% 3% * 2% 2% * 1% 12% * 36% * 1% 4% 2% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----6% 8% 2% 18% 4% 1% 1% 3% * 3% 13% * 35% * 3% 2% 2% +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------1% 14% 2% 28% * * 6% 1% * * 9% * 32% * 1% 3% 3% +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------3% 15% 5% 13% 3% * 1% 1% * 2% 13% * 39% * 2% 3% 1% +/-6.5 Republican -----1% 17% 6% 14% 2% * 3% 1% * 1% 11% * 36% * 1% 4% 2% +/-6.0 South ----1% 12% 4% 17% 2% * 5% 2% * 1% 11% * 41% * 1% 1% 2% +/-8.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----6% 11% 8% 2% 6% 1% 1% 3% * 3% 14% 1% 33% * 1% 6% 3% +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------2% 15% 2% 22% 1% * 3% 1% * 1% 11% * 35% * 2% 2% 2% +/-5.5 Suburban ----2% 12% 5% 16% 1% * 2% 2% * 1% 16% * 35% * 3% 2% 2% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -37- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 23A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------3% 4% 2% 3% 7% 8% 6% 8% 3% 3% 3% 4% 9% 10% 9% 10% 5% 3% 6% 5% * * * * * * * * 2% 3% 1% 2% * * * * 3% 2% 3% 2% 7% 6% 7% 7% * * * * 55% 56% 54% 54% * * * * 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% * 5% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 7% 3% 9% 5% * * 2% * 3% 7% * 55% * 1% 3% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------3% 3% 7% 8% 3% 1% 9% 8% 5% 2% * * * * 2% 1% * * 3% 5% 7% 6% * * 55% 59% * * 1% * 3% 3% 2% 3% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------3% 8% 4% 10% 7% * * 3% * 1% 7% * 54% * 1% 3% * +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----4% 3% 3% 8% 5% * 1% 2% * 5% 6% * 56% 1% 2% 2% 3% +/-8.5 No College Degree ------3% 7% 3% 8% 2% * 1% 1% * 3% 5% * 61% * 1% 4% 2% +/-6.5 65+ ----7% 9% 3% 6% 4% 1% 1% 3% * 3% 9% * 47% * 1% 2% 3% +/-7.0 College Degree -------4% 8% 4% 12% 9% * * 3% * 2% 9% * 45% * 1% 1% 2% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----5% 6% 3% 7% 5% * 1% 2% * 4% 7% * 52% * 2% 2% 3% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----3% 7% 3% 9% 5% * * 2% * 3% 7% * 55% * 1% 3% 2% +/-4.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -38- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 23A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 7% 3% 9% 5% * * 2% * 3% 7% * 55% * 1% 3% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 7% 3% 9% 5% * * 2% * 3% 7% * 55% * 1% 3% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 7% 3% 9% 5% * * 2% * 3% 7% * 55% * 1% 3% 2% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----5% 6% 3% 11% 8% * * 1% * 1% 5% * 55% * 2% * 2% +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------1% 4% 1% 16% 4% * * 1% * 4% 4% * 58% * 2% 3% 1% +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------4% 9% 4% 7% 4% * * 1% * 2% 7% * 55% * * 3% 2% +/-6.5 Republican -----3% 8% 3% 8% 3% * 1% 2% * 3% 8% * 55% * * 4% 2% +/-6.0 South ----4% 6% 3% 9% 3% * * 1% * 4% 5% * 64% * * 1% 1% +/-8.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----5% 5% 4% 1% 7% 1% 1% 3% * 4% 10% * 53% 1% 1% 2% 4% +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------3% 8% 2% 13% 4% * * 2% * 2% 5% * 56% * 1% 2% 1% +/-5.5 Suburban ----3% 7% 3% 7% 4% * * 1% * 1% 9% * 60% * 2% 1% 2% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -39- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 23B Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: B. Illegal immigration Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------4% 5% 3% 5% 9% 10% 9% 9% 4% 2% 6% 4% 11% 12% 10% 12% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * 1% * 2% 1% * * 1% * * * * * * 1% * * 14% 14% 14% 15% * * * * 48% 52% 44% 48% * * * * 1% * 2% * 1% * 2% 1% 4% 1% 6% 4% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 9% 4% 11% 1% * 1% * * * 14% * 48% * 1% 1% 4% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------4% 2% 9% 11% 4% 4% 11% 8% 1% 2% * * 1% 1% * * * * * * 14% 13% * * 48% 53% * * 1% 2% 1% * 4% 3% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------7% 9% 4% 13% 1% * 1% * * 1% 16% * 45% * * 1% 3% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----4% 7% 5% 11% 2% * 1% * * * 14% * 50% * * 1% 4% +/-8.5 No College Degree ------2% 8% 3% 8% 1% * 1% * * 1% 13% * 56% * 1% * 4% +/-6.5 65+ ----7% 8% 3% 10% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 21% * 39% * 1% 2% 4% +/-7.0 College Degree -------9% 12% 5% 16% 1% * 1% 1% * * 17% * 32% * 1% 2% 2% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----5% 8% 4% 11% 2% * 1% 1% * * 17% * 45% * 1% 1% 4% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----4% 9% 4% 11% 1% * 1% * * * 14% * 48% * 1% 1% 4% +/-4.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -40- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 23B Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: B. Illegal immigration Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 9% 4% 11% 1% * 1% * * * 14% * 48% * 1% 1% 4% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 9% 4% 11% 1% * 1% * * * 14% * 48% * 1% 1% 4% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 9% 4% 11% 1% * 1% * * * 14% * 48% * 1% 1% 4% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----6% 4% 2% 13% 2% * 1% 1% * 1% 18% * 47% * 1% 1% 4% +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------3% 10% 1% 20% 1% * 2% * * * 7% * 52% * * * 3% +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------5% 11% 3% 9% 1% * * * * * 16% * 47% * 1% 1% 4% +/-6.5 Republican -----4% 12% 5% 10% 1% * 1% * * * 13% * 49% * 1% 1% 3% +/-6.0 South ----1% 8% 3% 10% 1% * 2% * * * 14% * 57% * * 1% 1% +/-8.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----9% 5% 11% 3% 1% 1% * 1% * * 23% * 41% * 1% 1% 4% +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------3% 12% 1% 15% 1% * 1% * * * 11% * 49% * * 1% 4% +/-5.5 Suburban ----5% 10% 4% 10% 1% * 1% * * * 16% * 48% * 1% 1% 2% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -41- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 23C Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: C. Foreign policy Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------7% 10% 4% 7% 8% 10% 7% 9% 5% 4% 5% 5% 17% 19% 15% 17% 3% 2% 5% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% * 1% * * * * 3% 2% 4% 2% 14% 14% 14% 14% * * * * 30% 32% 28% 30% * * * * 1% 1% 1% * 3% 1% 6% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 8% 5% 17% 3% 2% 2% 1% * 3% 14% * 30% * 1% 3% 4% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------7% 3% 8% 11% 5% 5% 17% 18% 3% 2% 2% * 2% 2% 1% 1% * * 3% 2% 14% 8% * * 30% 34% * * 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 7% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------10% 7% 4% 17% 4% 2% 1% * * 2% 18% * 30% * * 3% 2% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----9% 5% 5% 17% 3% * 2% 2% * 1% 12% * 33% * * 6% 4% +/-8.5 No College Degree ------6% 7% 6% 14% 2% 1% 2% 1% * 4% 10% * 38% * 1% 4% 4% +/-6.5 65+ ----8% 10% 4% 16% 4% 3% 3% * * 2% 20% 1% 21% * 1% 2% 5% +/-7.0 College Degree -------9% 11% 2% 22% 4% 3% 2% 1% * 1% 22% * 16% * 1% 2% 5% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----8% 7% 4% 17% 3% 1% 3% 1% * 2% 15% * 28% * 1% 4% 4% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----7% 8% 5% 17% 3% 2% 2% 1% * 3% 14% * 30% * 1% 3% 4% +/-4.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -42- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 23C Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: C. Foreign policy Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 8% 5% 17% 3% 2% 2% 1% * 3% 14% * 30% * 1% 3% 4% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 8% 5% 17% 3% 2% 2% 1% * 3% 14% * 30% * 1% 3% 4% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 8% 5% 17% 3% 2% 2% 1% * 3% 14% * 30% * 1% 3% 4% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----9% 5% 1% 18% 3% 4% 2% 1% * 7% 13% * 24% * * 3% 7% +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------2% 7% 1% 29% 2% * 5% * * 1% 13% * 36% * * 3% 1% +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------8% 10% 6% 15% 2% 2% 1% 1% * 3% 14% * 29% * 1% 3% 6% +/-6.5 Republican -----6% 10% 6% 16% 3% * 2% * * 1% 15% * 34% * 1% 4% 3% +/-6.0 South ----7% 7% 5% 18% 3% 1% 3% 1% * 5% 12% * 34% * * 1% 4% +/-8.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----11% 6% 10% 8% 4% 2% * * * 9% 18% * 24% * 1% 3% 3% +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------5% 9% 3% 22% 3% 1% 3% 1% * * 13% * 33% * * 2% 5% +/-5.5 Suburban ----6% 9% 5% 17% 2% 1% 1% * * 4% 20% * 28% * 1% 3% 5% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -43- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 23D Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: D. ISIS Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 8% 6% 7% 4% 3% 5% 4% 15% 17% 13% 16% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * 1% 1% 1% 1% 8% 9% 6% 8% * * * * 46% 46% 46% 45% * * * * 1% 1% 2% * 4% 3% 5% 4% 4% 2% 6% 4% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 7% 4% 15% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 8% * 46% * 1% 4% 4% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------6% 2% 7% 10% 4% 4% 15% 14% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * 1% 2% 8% 6% * * 46% 49% * * 1% 2% 4% 3% 4% 4% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------7% 7% 4% 16% 1% 2% 1% * * 1% 8% * 47% * * 5% 2% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----5% 5% 3% 16% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 8% * 47% * 1% 6% 3% +/-8.5 No College Degree ------4% 7% 4% 11% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 2% 6% * 52% * 1% 5% 3% +/-6.5 65+ ----4% 4% 4% 12% 3% 2% 1% 2% * 3% 13% * 40% * 1% 3% 6% +/-7.0 College Degree -------9% 8% 6% 22% * 2% * * * * 10% * 36% * 1% 2% 5% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----4% 5% 4% 14% 2% 1% 1% 1% * 2% 10% * 44% * 1% 5% 5% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----6% 7% 4% 15% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 8% * 46% * 1% 4% 4% +/-4.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -44- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 23D Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: D. ISIS Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 7% 4% 15% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 8% * 46% * 1% 4% 4% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 7% 4% 15% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 8% * 46% * 1% 4% 4% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 7% 4% 15% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 8% * 46% * 1% 4% 4% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----8% 6% 1% 20% 2% 2% 1% 1% * 1% 9% * 41% * 1% 2% 6% +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------2% 5% 1% 29% * 1% 1% 1% * 2% 8% * 47% * * 3% 1% +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------7% 9% 4% 11% 1% 1% 1% * * 1% 6% * 47% * 2% 5% 5% +/-6.5 Republican -----4% 8% 6% 13% * 1% 1% * * 1% 7% * 49% * 1% 5% 3% +/-6.0 South ----6% 5% 3% 17% 1% 2% 1% 1% * 1% 5% * 52% * * 2% 4% +/-8.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----12% 4% 10% 4% 1% 3% * 1% * 1% 8% * 46% * 1% 6% 2% +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------3% 9% 2% 21% 1% 1% 1% * * 1% 8% * 45% * * 3% 5% +/-5.5 Suburban ----6% 8% 4% 13% * 2% * 1% * 1% 10% * 48% * 1% 2% 5% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -45- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 23E Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: E. The federal budget Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------4% 3% 5% 4% 8% 8% 7% 8% 3% 2% 3% 3% 10% 12% 8% 10% 4% 3% 6% 4% * 1% * * * * * * 3% 4% 1% 2% * * * * 4% 5% 3% 4% 6% 7% 6% 6% * * 1% 1% 51% 52% 51% 51% * * * * 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 5% 3% 1% * 3% 1% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 8% 3% 10% 4% * * 3% * 4% 6% * 51% * 1% 3% 1% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------4% 2% 8% 10% 3% 2% 10% 10% 4% 2% * * * * 3% 1% * * 4% 6% 6% 5% * 1% 51% 52% * * 1% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------5% 7% 4% 10% 6% * * 4% * 4% 6% * 49% * * 3% 1% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----4% 3% 2% 10% 5% * 1% 3% * 8% 5% 1% 54% * * 2% 1% +/-8.5 No College Degree ------2% 7% 2% 10% 2% 1% 1% 2% * 5% 5% * 58% * 2% 3% 1% +/-6.5 65+ ----6% 6% 3% 11% 4% 1% 1% 4% * 3% 7% * 44% * 2% 4% 3% +/-7.0 College Degree -------8% 8% 4% 11% 9% * * 5% * 2% 9% 1% 38% * 1% 2% 2% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----5% 5% 3% 11% 5% * 1% 3% * 6% 6% 1% 49% * 1% 3% 2% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----4% 8% 3% 10% 4% * * 3% * 4% 6% * 51% * 1% 3% 1% +/-4.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -46- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 23E Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: E. The federal budget Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 8% 3% 10% 4% * * 3% * 4% 6% * 51% * 1% 3% 1% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 8% 3% 10% 4% * * 3% * 4% 6% * 51% * 1% 3% 1% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 8% 3% 10% 4% * * 3% * 4% 6% * 51% * 1% 3% 1% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----4% 4% 2% 12% 6% 1% * 3% * 6% 5% 1% 51% * 1% 2% 2% +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------2% 6% 1% 21% 4% * * 2% * 4% 5% * 52% * * 3% * +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------5% 10% 3% 6% 4% * * 1% * 4% 6% 1% 51% * 2% 3% 2% +/-6.5 Republican -----4% 10% 3% 9% 3% * 1% 2% * 3% 7% * 51% * 2% 4% 1% +/-6.0 South ----4% 6% 3% 8% 4% 1% * 2% * 5% 3% * 61% * * 3% * +/-8.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----7% 7% 5% 2% 6% 1% 1% 4% 1% 6% 8% * 48% * 1% 3% 1% +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------3% 8% 2% 14% 4% * * 2% * 3% 6% 1% 51% * 1% 3% 2% +/-5.5 Suburban ----5% 8% 2% 10% 3% * * 3% * 3% 7% * 54% * 2% 2% 1% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -47- November 27 – December 1, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 24A Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: A. Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------3% 5% 2% 3% 10% 11% 9% 11% 1% 2% * 1% 11% 11% 12% 11% 1% 2% * 1% * * * * * * * * * 1% * * * * * * 1% 1% 2% 1% 15% 17% 13% 15% * * * * 52% 50% 54% 51% * * * * 1% 1% 1% * 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 10% 1% 11% 1% * * * * 1% 15% * 52% * 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------3% * 10% 11% 1% 1% 11% 15% 1% 1% * * * * * * * * 1% 3% 15% 8% * * 52% 55% * * 1% * 2% 2% 2% 3% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------5% 9% 2% 10% 1% * * * * 1% 20% * 49% * 1% 2% 1% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----3% 6% 3% 13% 1% * * 1% * 3% 12% * 55% * * 3% 1% +/-8.5 No College Degree ------2% 10% 1% 11% 1% * * * * 2% 12% * 56% * * 3% 2% +/-6.5 65+ ----2% 12% 1% 12% 1% 1% * * * 1% 21% * 42% * 1% 2% 3% +/-7.0 College Degree -------5% 10% 2% 12% 2% * * * * * 20% * 43% * 2% 1% 2% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----3% 9% 2% 13% 1% * * 1% * 2% 16% * 50% * 1% 2% 2% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----3% 10% 1% 11% 1% * * * * 1% 15% * 52% * 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 POLL 12 3 -48- November 27 – December 1, 2015 Question 24A Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: A. Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 10% 1% 11% 1% * * * * 1% 15% * 52% * 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 10% 1% 11% 1% * * * * 1% 15% * 52% * 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----3% 10% 1% 11% 1% * * * * 1% 15% * 52% * 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----4% 6% 2% 13% 3% * * * * * 20% * 49% * 1% * 1% +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------3% 8% * 22% 2% * * * * * 12% * 47% * 1% 3% 2% +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------3% 12% 1% 8% 1% * * * * 2% 16% * 52% * * 2% 3% +/-6.5 Republican -----3% 12% 1% 10% * * * * * 2% 12% * 54% * * 3% 2% +/-6.0 South ----2% 8% * 9% 1% * * * * 2% 14% * 61% * 1% 1% 1% +/-8.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----7% 8% 2% 4% * 1% * * * 4% 15% * 54% * 1% 2% 2% +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------1% 11% 1% 15% 2% * * * * * 16% * 50% * 1% 2% 1% +/-5.5 Suburban ----3% 9% * 9% 2% * * 1% * * 17% * 57% * 1% 1% 1% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 24B POLL 12 3 -49- November 27 – December 1, 2015 Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: B. Would be most effective at solving the country's problems Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------4% 6% 2% 4% 14% 15% 13% 15% 4% 4% 4% 4% 12% 14% 11% 13% 3% 2% 5% 3% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * 1% * 2% 1% 10% 12% 8% 11% * * * * 42% 41% 43% 41% * * * * 1% * 1% * 3% 1% 4% 2% 2% * 4% 2% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 14% 4% 12% 3% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 10% * 42% * 1% 3% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------4% 2% 14% 13% 4% 4% 12% 14% 3% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% * * * 1% 1% 10% 8% * * 42% 49% * * 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------4% 15% 4% 12% 4% * 1% 1% * 2% 12% * 40% * * 3% 1% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----5% 9% 5% 13% 3% * 2% 1% * 2% 8% * 48% * * 2% 2% +/-8.5 No College Degree ------5% 12% 5% 11% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 2% 7% * 50% * 1% 3% 2% +/-6.5 65+ ----7% 14% 3% 14% 4% 2% * 3% * 2% 14% * 30% * 1% 4% 3% +/-7.0 College Degree -------3% 19% 4% 16% 6% * 1% 2% * * 16% * 28% * 1% 2% 1% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----6% 11% 4% 14% 3% 1% 1% 2% * 2% 11% * 40% * * 2% 3% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----4% 14% 4% 12% 3% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 10% * 42% * 1% 3% 2% +/-4.5 * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 24B POLL 12 3 -50- November 27 – December 1, 2015 Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: B. Would be most effective at solving the country's problems Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 14% 4% 12% 3% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 10% * 42% * 1% 3% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 14% 4% 12% 3% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 10% * 42% * 1% 3% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 14% 4% 12% 3% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 10% * 42% * 1% 3% 2% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----6% 9% 3% 17% 5% 1% 2% 1% * 2% 10% * 40% * * 2% 2% +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------2% 14% * 26% 2% * 3% 1% * * 10% * 39% * * 3% 1% +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------5% 16% 5% 8% 3% * * 1% * 1% 10% * 44% * 1% 3% 3% +/-6.5 Republican -----3% 17% 5% 10% 2% * 1% 1% * 1% 11% * 43% * 1% 3% 2% +/-6.0 South ----4% 13% 4% 12% 4% 1% 2% 1% * 2% 9% * 47% * * 1% 1% +/-8.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----5% 13% 9% 3% 6% 1% * 2% * 2% 13% * 40% * 1% 4% 1% +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------4% 15% 2% 17% 2% * 1% 1% * 1% 9% * 42% * * 2% 2% +/-5.5 Suburban ----5% 13% 3% 10% 3% * * 2% * 1% 14% * 46% * * 1% 2% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 24C POLL 12 3 -51- November 27 – December 1, 2015 Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: C. Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------8% 8% 7% 8% 11% 13% 9% 11% 4% 4% 3% 4% 16% 18% 14% 17% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% * 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * 2% 2% 1% 1% 10% 10% 11% 10% * * * * 37% 37% 38% 37% * * * * * 1% * * 2% 1% 4% 2% 4% 2% 7% 4% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 11% 4% 16% 2% 1% 2% 1% * 2% 10% * 37% * * 2% 4% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------8% 4% 11% 13% 4% 3% 16% 16% 2% 1% 1% * 2% 3% 1% * * * 2% 2% 10% 8% * 1% 37% 39% * * * * 2% 2% 4% 9% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------10% 10% 5% 16% 2% 1% 2% 1% * 2% 11% * 36% * * 3% 1% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----9% 6% 4% 16% 3% * 2% 2% * 1% 6% 1% 43% * * 2% 4% +/-8.5 No College Degree ------6% 10% 4% 13% 2% * 2% 1% * 2% 7% 1% 46% * * 3% 4% +/-6.5 65+ ----7% 12% 3% 17% 3% 1% 4% 1% * 2% 16% 1% 26% * 1% 2% 3% +/-7.0 College Degree -------12% 12% 4% 22% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 15% * 22% * 1% 1% 4% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----8% 9% 4% 16% 3% 1% 3% 2% * 1% 11% 1% 36% * 1% 2% 3% +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----8% 11% 4% 16% 2% 1% 2% 1% * 2% 10% * 37% * * 2% 4% +/-4.5 * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015 Question 24C POLL 12 3 -52- November 27 – December 1, 2015 Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: C. Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief Base = Registered Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 11% 4% 16% 2% 1% 2% 1% * 2% 10% * 37% * * 2% 4% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 11% 4% 16% 2% 1% 2% 1% * 2% 10% * 37% * * 2% 4% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 11% 4% 16% 2% 1% 2% 1% * 2% 10% * 37% * * 2% 4% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----10% 7% * 21% 3% 1% 2% 1% * 2% 12% 1% 30% * * 1% 7% +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------1% 12% 1% 28% 1% * 2% 1% * 1% 10% * 40% * * 3% * +/-8.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------10% 11% 4% 13% 2% * 2% * * 1% 10% 1% 39% * * 2% 5% +/-6.5 Republican -----7% 13% 6% 14% 1% * 2% 1% * 1% 9% * 41% * * 3% 2% +/-6.0 South ----5% 9% 3% 18% 2% * 2% 1% * 3% 9% * 45% * * 1% 2% +/-8.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----12% 9% 8% 5% 3% 1% 2% 1% * 3% 10% 1% 38% * 1% 3% 1% +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------6% 12% 2% 22% 1% * 2% 1% * 1% 10% * 37% * * 2% 4% +/-5.5 Suburban ----8% 10% 3% 15% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 12% * 39% * * 1% 6% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 12 3 -53- November 27 – December 1, 2015