Interviews with 1,028 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC
International on October 14 - 17, 2015. The margin of sampling error for
results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
The sample also includes 956 interviews among registered voters (plus or
minus 3 percentage points).
This sample includes 628 interviews among landline respondents and 400
interviews among cell phone respondents.

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:
Tuesday, October 20 at 6:00 a.m.

 BASED ON 936 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 20 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO
VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 956 REGISTERED VOTERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.
23.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all
enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Voters
Oct. 14-17, 2015

34%

27%

21%

9%

9%

1%

Sept. 17-19, 2015
Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

31%
30%
29%
22%
38%
37%
30%
32%
31%
28%
24%
22%
24%
28%
29%
28%
20%
23%
37%
34%
30%
26%
36%
32%
19%

24%
24%
27%
26%
30%
25%
27%
25%
27%
25%
23%
26%
27%
23%
25%
30%
22%
17%
32%
24%
30%
28%
34%
32%
34%

24%
25%
23%
27%
17%
20%
22%
20%
23%
25%
29%
26%
27%
28%
25%
24%
30%
31%
16%
23%
23%
27%
17%
23%
31%

10%
10%
10%
13%
9%
9%
15%
11%
10%
13%
11%
13%
10%
9%
10%
11%
16%
17%
7%
11%
11%
13%
8%
9%
11%

10%
12%
10%
11%
5%
9%
6%
11%
9%
9%
12%
13%
12%
12%
10%
7%
12%
12%
8%
8%
6%
6%
4%
4%
4%

1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%

POLL 11
3

-2-

October 14-17, 2015

 BASED ON 291 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND
134 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN
DEMOCRATIC, FOR A TOTAL OF 425 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS-- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5%
PTS.
23.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all
enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Democrats
Oct. 14-17, 2015

32%

26%

22%

10%

11%

*

Sept. 17-19, 2015
Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

30%
28%
33%
18%
37%
39%
30%
32%
29%
27%
25%
20%
21%
21%
26%
26%
13%
16%
45%
45%
36%
28%
38%
31%
19%

21%
24%
22%
28%
33%
25%
29%
24%
29%
32%
21%
29%
28%
22%
29%
30%
21%
14%
34%
23%
30%
32%
27%
26%
29%

26%
26%
23%
28%
17%
21%
23%
23%
24%
26%
33%
27%
31%
34%
29%
27%
35%
36%
13%
20%
21%
27%
19%
23%
31%

13%
9%
11%
15%
6%
8%
13%
9%
11%
9%
10%
11%
10%
10%
9%
12%
18%
19%
4%
7%
6%
9%
8%
10%
16%

10%
13%
11%
11%
5%
7%
6%
12%
6%
6%
10%
12%
9%
12%
6%
5%
12%
15%
3%
5%
6%
4%
7%
10%
5%

*
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*

POLL 11
3

-3-

October 14-17, 2015

 BASED ON 298 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND
167 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 465 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
23.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all
enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Republicans
Oct. 14-17, 2015

39%

29%

18%

7%

5%

1%

Sept. 17-19, 2015
Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

35%
34%
28%
28%
42%
38%
32%
35%
35%
31%
25%
26%
26%
38%
38%
33%
29%
31%
28%
24%
26%
27%
35%
31%
19%

30%
25%
33%
27%
28%
27%
25%
27%
26%
20%
27%
25%
28%
26%
23%
31%
25%
22%
32%
26%
28%
25%
42%
39%
39%

22%
24%
23%
27%
17%
17%
19%
17%
22%
24%
25%
25%
25%
20%
18%
19%
25%
27%
19%
27%
26%
27%
15%
21%
32%

6%
9%
9%
9%
9%
11%
17%
12%
8%
15%
13%
15%
12%
7%
10%
10%
13%
13%
9%
12%
15%
16%
6%
6%
7%

5%
7%
7%
10%
4%
7%
7%
8%
10%
9%
11%
10%
9%
9%
10%
6%
8%
7%
12%
10%
4%
6%
2%
3%
2%

1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%

POLL 11
3

-4-

October 14-17, 2015

 BASED ON 298 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND
167 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 465 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
32.

I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in
2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely
to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone
else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham,
Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick
Santorum, or Donald Trump. (RANDOM ORDER)
Oct. 14-17
2015
Trump
Carson
Bush
Rubio
Huckabee
Paul
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Kasich
Santorum
Graham
Gilmore
Jindal
Pataki
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one (vol.)
No opinion

POLL 11
3

27%
22%
8%
8%
5%
5%
4%
4%
4%
3%
2%
1%
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
4%

Sept 17-19
2015

Sept. 4-8
2015

Aug. 13-16
2015

24%
14%
9%
11%
6%
4%
3%
6%
15%
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
N/A
*
*
1%
3%

32%
19%
9%
3%
5%
3%
2%
7%
3%
2%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
*
5%
3%
2%
2%

24%
9%
13%
8%
4%
6%
3%
5%
5%
5%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
8%
4%
3%
1%

-5-

July 22-25 June 26-28
2015
2015
18%
4%
15%
6%
5%
6%
4%
7%
1%
4%
2%
1%
*
2%
1%
3%
10%
4%
4%
3%

12%
8%
17%
7%
5%
8%
3%
3%
1%
3%
4%
1%
N/A
2%
*
4%
6%
5%
6%
3%

October 14-17, 2015

 BASED ON 298 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND
167 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 465 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
33.

And who would be your second choice?
FIRST CHOICE SECOND CHOICE
(Question 32)
(Question 33)
Trump
Carson
Bush
Rubio
Huckabee
Paul
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Kasich
Santorum
Graham
Gilmore
Jindal
Pataki
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one (vol.)
No opinion

34.

17%
18%
10%
10%
4%
4%
5%
8%
6%
3%
1%
2%
*
1%
*
2%
6%
3%

How satisfied are you with the field of Republican candidates running for President? Are you very
satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied, or not satisfied at all?

Very satisfied
Fairly satisfied
Not very satisfied
Not satisfied at all
No opinion

Very satisfied
Fairly satisfied
Not very satisfied
Not satisfied at all
No opinion

POLL 11
3

27%
22%
8%
8%
5%
5%
4%
4%
4%
3%
2%
1%
*
*
*
1%
2%
4%

Oct. 14-17
2015

July 22-25
2015

July 22-25
2015 (RV)

32%
43%
15%
9%
1%

24%
51%
18%
6%
1%

23%
51%
19%
6%
1%

Feb. 10-13
2012

Oct. 14-16
2011

July 18-20
2011

May 24-26
2011

Sep. 7-9
2007

May 4-6
2007

9%
46%
31%
13%
1%

18%
48%
23%
10%
*

14%
52%
25%
9%
*

16%
45%
28%
11%
1%

19%
54%
19%
6%
1%

20%
50%
21%
5%
3%

-6-

October 14-17, 2015

 METHODOLOGY
A total of 1,028 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones.
Among the entire sample, 31% described themselves as Democrats, 26% described themselves as Republicans, and 43% described
themselves as independents or members of another party.
All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national
Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of
+/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with
an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error
larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "N/A".

POLL 11
3

-7-

October 14-17, 2015

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- October 14 to 17, 2015
Question 23
How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year's election -extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic or not at
all enthusiastic?
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------34%
35%
32%
37%
27%
25%
29%
27%
21%
22%
19%
20%
9%
8%
10%
9%
9%
9%
9%
6%
1%
1%
1%
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----34%
27%
21%
9%
9%
1%
+/-3.0

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------34%
28%
27%
27%
21%
22%
9%
9%
9%
14%
1%
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----34%
27%
21%
9%
9%
1%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----34%
32%
15%
8%
10%
*
+/-6.0

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----34%
27%
21%
9%
9%
1%
+/-3.0

North
east
----30%
26%
19%
12%
12%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----39%
21%
21%
9%
10%
*
+/-6.5

South
----34%
26%
23%
10%
8%
1%
+/-5.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----34%
27%
21%
9%
9%
1%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------50%
25%
17%
6%
1%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------25%
27%
26%
10%
12%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------40%
27%
15%
9%
8%
*
+/-5.5

1834
----19%
27%
32%
10%
12%
*
+/-8.0

3549
----32%
25%
19%
12%
12%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------38%
29%
20%
9%
5%
*
+/-4.5

Non-White
--------25%
27%
22%
9%
16%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----44%
26%
17%
9%
5%
*
+/-5.5

65+
----41%
32%
14%
4%
8%
1%
+/-5.0

No
College
------25%
27%
25%
11%
12%
*
+/-6.0

Independent
-----28%
22%
26%
12%
12%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----42%
28%
19%
5%
3%
2%
+/-5.5

Under
50
----25%
26%
26%
11%
12%
*
+/-5.5

50 and
Older
-----43%
28%
16%
7%
6%
*
+/-4.0

Attended
College
-------39%
28%
18%
8%
7%
*
+/-3.5

Lean
Democrat
-----32%
26%
22%
10%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----32%
31%
20%
10%
6%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----26%
22%
25%
12%
14%
*
+/-5.5

West
----32%
35%
19%
5%
8%
2%
+/-7.0

Urban
----34%
28%
21%
7%
10%
1%
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----39%
29%
18%
7%
5%
1%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------42%
29%
18%
5%
7%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----37%
24%
20%
11%
8%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----28%
33%
19%
10%
8%
2%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 11
3

-8-

October 14-17, 2015

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- October 14 to 17, 2015
Question 23
How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year's election -extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic or not at
all enthusiastic?
Base = Registered Democrats

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------32%
31%
32%
37%
26%
23%
28%
23%
22%
30%
16%
22%
10%
7%
12%
11%
11%
9%
12%
7%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
26%
22%
10%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------32%
25%
26%
27%
22%
22%
10%
9%
11%
17%
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-7.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
26%
22%
10%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
26%
22%
10%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
26%
22%
10%
11%
*
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----34%
32%
15%
8%
10%
*
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------37%
25%
22%
11%
4%
*
+/-6.5

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----41%
26%
19%
10%
4%
*
+/-8.5

65+
----42%
30%
16%
4%
8%
1%
+/-8.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----26%
14%
37%
12%
11%
*
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------17%
21%
30%
13%
19%
*
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------42%
28%
17%
8%
5%
*
+/-6.0

Under
50
----24%
25%
25%
11%
15%
*
+/-8.0

50 and
Older
-----41%
27%
18%
8%
5%
*
+/-6.0

Attended
College
-------36%
27%
18%
9%
10%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Democrat
-----32%
26%
22%
10%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----36%
31%
20%
10%
3%
*
+/-7.5

Moderate
----27%
19%
28%
11%
15%
*
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----33%
26%
22%
8%
12%
*
+/-8.0

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----31%
26%
22%
11%
10%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 11
3

-9-

October 14-17, 2015

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- October 14 to 17, 2015
Question 23
How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year's election -extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic or not at
all enthusiastic?
Base = Registered Republicans

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------39%
42%
36%
40%
29%
28%
30%
31%
18%
15%
21%
17%
7%
7%
7%
8%
5%
6%
5%
5%
1%
2%
1%
*
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----39%
29%
18%
7%
5%
1%
+/-4.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------39%
36%
29%
28%
18%
21%
7%
8%
5%
7%
1%
*
+/-4.5 +/-8.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----39%
29%
18%
7%
5%
1%
+/-4.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----39%
29%
18%
7%
5%
1%
+/-4.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----39%
29%
18%
7%
5%
1%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----50%
28%
11%
8%
4%
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------40%
32%
18%
7%
3%
*
+/-6.0

65+
----43%
35%
13%
5%
5%
*
+/-7.0

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----34%
31%
16%
10%
8%
*
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------53%
24%
15%
6%
1%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------34%
33%
21%
8%
4%
*
+/-6.5

Republican
-----42%
28%
19%
5%
3%
2%
+/-5.5
South
----37%
31%
22%
7%
2%
1%
+/-7.5

Attended
College
-------43%
30%
19%
5%
3%
*
+/-5.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----47%
31%
12%
7%
4%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----39%
29%
18%
7%
5%
1%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------45%
28%
19%
5%
3%
*
+/-5.5

Suburban
----45%
24%
16%
8%
7%
*
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 11
3

-10-

October 14-17, 2015

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- October 14 to 17, 2015
Question 32
I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After
I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else.
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------8%
7%
9%
7%
22%
21%
23%
22%
4%
4%
4%
4%
4%
6%
2%
4%
4%
2%
6%
5%
1%
*
1%
1%
5%
4%
7%
4%
*
*
*
*
3%
4%
3%
4%
*
*
*
*
5%
5%
5%
5%
8%
10%
6%
8%
2%
1%
3%
2%
27%
31%
23%
26%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
3%
2%
4%
3%
5%
4%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
22%
4%
4%
4%
1%
5%
*
3%
*
5%
8%
2%
27%
*
1%
2%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------8%
7%
22%
22%
4%
4%
4%
1%
4%
3%
1%
2%
5%
8%
*
*
3%
4%
*
*
5%
4%
8%
7%
2%
1%
27%
30%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
4%
4%
+/-4.5 +/-8.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------6%
22%
4%
6%
5%
*
5%
*
3%
*
7%
9%
2%
24%
*
1%
3%
4%
+/-6.0

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----6%
29%
5%
4%
4%
*
8%
*
3%
*
1%
10%
*
24%
*
2%
1%
4%
+/-8.0
No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----6%
26%
1%
3%
4%
1%
4%
*
4%
1%
2%
12%
1%
27%
*
1%
*
7%
+/-7.0
Attended
College
-------7%
25%
3%
3%
6%
*
4%
*
3%
*
7%
9%
*
27%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-5.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----6%
28%
3%
4%
4%
1%
6%
*
3%
*
1%
11%
*
25%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-5.5
Lean
Republican
-----8%
22%
4%
4%
4%
1%
5%
*
3%
*
5%
8%
2%
27%
*
1%
2%
4%
+/-4.5

* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- October 14 to 17, 2015
Question 32

POLL 11
3

-11-

October 14-17, 2015

 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After
I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else.
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
22%
4%
4%
4%
1%
5%
*
3%
*
5%
8%
2%
27%
*
1%
2%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
22%
4%
4%
4%
1%
5%
*
3%
*
5%
8%
2%
27%
*
1%
2%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
22%
4%
4%
4%
1%
5%
*
3%
*
5%
8%
2%
27%
*
1%
2%
4%
+/-4.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----3%
19%
3%
5%
3%
1%
5%
*
2%
*
9%
9%
4%
32%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------3%
28%
3%
6%
4%
1%
1%
*
4%
*
3%
6%
*
35%
*
*
1%
4%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------10%
18%
4%
3%
3%
*
7%
*
2%
*
7%
9%
2%
26%
*
1%
3%
4%
+/-6.5

Republican
-----11%
24%
4%
3%
5%
*
5%
*
4%
*
2%
7%
*
24%
*
*
2%
5%
+/-5.5
South
----10%
24%
1%
3%
3%
*
5%
*
5%
*
4%
12%
1%
24%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-7.5

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------5%
26%
5%
4%
4%
1%
6%
*
3%
*
4%
9%
1%
26%
*
*
2%
4%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----5%
23%
6%
5%
8%
*
5%
*
5%
*
3%
5%
*
29%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- October 14 to 17, 2015
Question 33
And who would be your second choice?

POLL 11
3

-12-

October 14-17, 2015

 Base = Registered Republicans with a first choice

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------10%
7%
13%
10%
18%
22%
15%
18%
5%
3%
7%
5%
8%
10%
6%
7%
6%
7%
5%
8%
2%
*
3%
1%
4%
4%
3%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
3%
2%
5%
4%
*
*
*
*
4%
5%
2%
4%
10%
12%
8%
10%
1%
1%
1%
1%
17%
17%
17%
18%
*
*
1%
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
6%
5%
7%
6%
3%
2%
4%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
18%
5%
8%
6%
2%
4%
1%
3%
*
4%
10%
1%
17%
*
2%
6%
3%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------10%
8%
18%
18%
5%
2%
8%
9%
6%
6%
2%
4%
4%
7%
1%
*
3%
3%
*
*
4%
3%
10%
11%
1%
*
17%
17%
*
1%
2%
1%
6%
8%
3%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-8.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------13%
19%
6%
7%
7%
1%
3%
1%
4%
*
4%
9%
2%
20%
*
2%
4%
2%
+/-6.5

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----7%
20%
6%
8%
6%
*
3%
1%
4%
*
8%
12%
1%
19%
*
2%
2%
1%
+/-8.0
No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----8%
17%
5%
8%
9%
*
4%
1%
6%
*
3%
16%
1%
14%
*
2%
3%
4%
+/-7.5
Attended
College
-------11%
19%
3%
9%
7%
1%
4%
1%
4%
*
3%
11%
1%
18%
*
3%
5%
1%
+/-5.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----7%
19%
5%
8%
7%
*
3%
1%
5%
*
6%
14%
1%
17%
*
2%
2%
2%
+/-5.5
Lean
Republican
-----10%
18%
5%
8%
6%
2%
4%
1%
3%
*
4%
10%
1%
17%
*
2%
6%
3%
+/-4.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 11
3

-13-

October 14-17, 2015

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- October 14 to 17, 2015
Question 33
And who would be your second choice?
Base = Registered Republicans with a first choice

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
18%
5%
8%
6%
2%
4%
1%
3%
*
4%
10%
1%
17%
*
2%
6%
3%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
18%
5%
8%
6%
2%
4%
1%
3%
*
4%
10%
1%
17%
*
2%
6%
3%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
18%
5%
8%
6%
2%
4%
1%
3%
*
4%
10%
1%
17%
*
2%
6%
3%
+/-4.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----9%
23%
6%
9%
5%
2%
4%
1%
*
*
5%
4%
2%
17%
1%
2%
8%
1%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------10%
24%
*
12%
6%
5%
6%
2%
2%
*
4%
12%
*
13%
*
1%
2%
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------8%
17%
8%
7%
6%
*
2%
*
4%
*
4%
9%
2%
21%
1%
3%
6%
2%
+/-6.5

Republican
-----11%
15%
4%
7%
7%
2%
3%
*
6%
*
3%
14%
*
17%
*
2%
5%
5%
+/-6.0
South
----13%
16%
2%
8%
7%
4%
4%
*
3%
*
2%
17%
*
16%
*
3%
3%
2%
+/-7.5

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------8%
19%
4%
10%
8%
1%
4%
1%
5%
*
4%
11%
*
18%
*
2%
4%
1%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----12%
20%
3%
8%
6%
1%
2%
*
3%
*
5%
10%
2%
18%
*
3%
5%
3%
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 11
3

-14-

October 14-17, 2015

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- October 14 to 17, 2015
Question 34
How satisfied are you with the field of Republican candidates running for president? Are you very
satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied, or not satisfied at all?
Base = Registered Republicans

Very satisfied
Fairly satisfied
Not very satisfied
Not satisfied at all
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------32%
38%
27%
32%
43%
40%
45%
44%
15%
12%
19%
16%
9%
9%
9%
8%
1%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Very satisfied
Fairly satisfied
Not very satisfied
Not satisfied at all
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
43%
15%
9%
1%
+/-4.5

Very satisfied
Fairly satisfied
Not very satisfied
Not satisfied at all
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------32%
37%
43%
41%
15%
14%
9%
8%
1%
*
+/-4.5 +/-8.5

Very satisfied
Fairly satisfied
Not very satisfied
Not satisfied at all
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
43%
15%
9%
1%
+/-4.5

Very satisfied
Fairly satisfied
Not very satisfied
Not satisfied at all
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
43%
15%
9%
1%
+/-4.5

Very satisfied
Fairly satisfied
Not very satisfied
Not satisfied at all
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
43%
15%
9%
1%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----35%
44%
15%
6%
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------31%
44%
15%
9%
*
+/-6.0

65+
----43%
33%
17%
7%
1%
+/-7.0

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----34%
44%
14%
9%
*
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------42%
43%
10%
5%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------29%
44%
16%
11%
*
+/-6.5

Republican
-----32%
42%
16%
9%
1%
+/-5.5
South
----32%
49%
11%
8%
*
+/-7.5

Attended
College
-------34%
45%
14%
7%
*
+/-5.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----38%
39%
16%
6%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----32%
43%
15%
9%
1%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------35%
43%
14%
7%
*
+/-5.5

Suburban
----33%
44%
16%
7%
*
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 11
3

-15-

October 14-17, 2015