Interviews with 1,001 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on August 13-16, 2015. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The sample also includes 897 interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 3.5 percentage points). This sample includes 601 interviews among landline respondents and 400 interviews among cell phone respondents. EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Tuesday, August 18 at 6:00 a.m. 6. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Extremely enthusiastic Very Somewhat Not too Not at all No enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion All Americans August 13-16, 2015 27% 26% 23% 11% 13% * July 22-25, 2015 June 28 – July 1, 2012 Mar. 24-25, 2012 Feb. 10-13, 2012 Jan. 11-12, 2012 Oct. 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 Oct. 5-7, 2010* Sept. 21-23, 2010* 20% 25% 22% 20% 22% 26% 28% 25% 18% 21% 24% 24% 22% 26% 25% 21% 24% 27% 21% 17% 27% 25% 30% 26% 26% 27% 24% 24% 31% 31% 12% 13% 12% 13% 11% 11% 10% 13% 16% 17% 15% 13% 15% 15% 15% 15% 13% 11% 13% 13% 1% * * * * * 1% * * * Registered Voters August 13-16, 2015 29% 27% 23% 10% 10% * July 22-25, 2015 Nov. 2-4, 2012 Sept. 28-30, 2012 Sept. 7-9, 2012 Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 Mar. 24-25, 2012 Feb. 10-13, 2012 Jan. 11-12, 2012 Oct. 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 Oct. 5-7, 2010* Sept. 21-23, 2010* Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008 Oct. 17-19, 2008 Sept. 5-7, 2008 June 23-24, 2007 Oct. 14-16 2004 Sept. 3-5 2004 Oct. 24-26 2003 22% 38% 37% 30% 32% 31% 28% 24% 22% 24% 28% 29% 28% 20% 23% 37% 34% 30% 26% 36% 32% 19% 26% 30% 25% 27% 25% 27% 25% 23% 26% 27% 23% 25% 30% 22% 17% 32% 24% 30% 28% 34% 32% 34% 27% 17% 20% 22% 20% 23% 25% 29% 26% 27% 28% 25% 24% 30% 31% 16% 23% 23% 27% 17% 23% 31% 13% 9% 9% 15% 11% 10% 13% 11% 13% 10% 9% 10% 11% 16% 17% 7% 11% 11% 13% 8% 9% 11% 11% 5% 9% 6% 11% 9% 9% 12% 13% 12% 12% 10% 7% 12% 12% 8% 8% 6% 6% 4% 4% 4% * 1% * * * 1% * * * * * 1% * * * * * * * 1% * 1% POLL 8 3 -2- August 13-16, 2015 BASED ON 230 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 128 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A TOTAL OF 358 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS-- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5% PTS.) 6. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Extremely enthusiastic Very Somewhat Not too Not at all No enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion Registered Democrats August 13-16, 2015 33% 22% 23% 11% 11% * July 22-25, 2015 Nov. 2-4, 2012 Sept. 28-30, 2012 Sept. 7-9, 2012 Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 Mar. 24-25, 2012 Feb. 10-13, 2012 Jan. 11-12, 2012 Oct. 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 Oct. 5-7, 2010* Sept. 21-23, 2010* Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008 Oct. 17-19, 2008 Sept. 5-7, 2008 June 23-24, 2007 Oct. 14-16 2004 Sept. 3-5 2004 Oct. 24-26 2003 18% 37% 39% 30% 32% 29% 27% 25% 20% 21% 21% 26% 26% 13% 16% 45% 45% 36% 28% 38% 31% 19% 28% 33% 25% 29% 24% 29% 32% 21% 29% 28% 22% 29% 30% 21% 14% 34% 23% 30% 32% 27% 26% 29% 28% 17% 21% 23% 23% 24% 26% 33% 27% 31% 34% 29% 27% 35% 36% 13% 20% 21% 27% 19% 23% 31% 15% 6% 8% 13% 9% 11% 9% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 12% 18% 19% 4% 7% 6% 9% 8% 10% 16% 11% 5% 7% 6% 12% 6% 6% 10% 12% 9% 12% 6% 5% 12% 15% 3% 5% 6% 4% 7% 10% 5% 1% 1% * * * 1% * * * 1% * 2% * * * * * * * 1% * * POLL 8 3 -3- August 13-16, 2015 BASED ON 283 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 183 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 466 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/4.5% PTS.) 6. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Extremely enthusiastic Very Somewhat Not too Not at all No enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion Registered Republicans August 13-16, 2015 28% 33% 23% 9% 7% * July 22-25, 2015 Nov. 2-4, 2012 Sept. 28-30, 2012 Sept. 7-9, 2012 Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 Mar. 24-25, 2012 Feb. 10-13, 2012 Jan. 11-12, 2012 Oct. 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 Oct. 5-7, 2010* Sept. 21-23, 2010* Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008 Oct. 17-19, 2008 Sept. 5-7, 2008 June 23-24, 2007 Oct. 14-16 2004 Sept. 3-5 2004 Oct. 24-26 2003 28% 42% 38% 32% 35% 35% 31% 25% 26% 26% 38% 38% 33% 29% 31% 28% 24% 26% 27% 35% 31% 19% 27% 28% 27% 25% 27% 26% 20% 27% 25% 28% 26% 23% 31% 25% 22% 32% 26% 28% 25% 42% 39% 39% 27% 17% 17% 19% 17% 22% 24% 25% 25% 25% 20% 18% 19% 25% 27% 19% 27% 26% 27% 15% 21% 32% 9% 9% 11% 17% 12% 8% 15% 13% 15% 12% 7% 10% 10% 13% 13% 9% 12% 15% 16% 6% 6% 7% 10% 4% 7% 7% 8% 10% 9% 11% 10% 9% 9% 10% 6% 8% 7% 12% 10% 4% 6% 2% 3% 2% * 1% * * 1% * 1% * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1% *QUESTION WORDING: How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for Congress this year -- extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? POLL 8 3 -4- August 13-16, 2015 11. We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) All Americans Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion Donald Trump 36% 59% 1% 3% Jeb Bush 34% 56% 6% 4% Carly Fiorina 27% 19% 43% 10% Scott Walker 23% 31% 37% 9% John Kasich 23% 22% 44% 11% Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion Donald Trump 38% 58% 1% 3% Jeb Bush 35% 57% 4% 3% Carly Fiorina 29% 20% 39% 11% Scott Walker 25% 32% 33% 10% John Kasich 25% 22% 41% 11% Registered Voters (FULL TRENDS ON FOLLOWING PAGES) POLL 8 3 -5- August 13-16, 2015 11. We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion 34% 56% 6% 4% 33% 31% 33% 43% 47% 40% 11% 14% 8% 12% 9% 19% Jeb Bush August 13-16, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 March 13-15, 2015 May 14-17, 2009 QUESTION WORDING MAY, 2009: "Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush" CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion 44 38 5 13 2005 Apr 1-2 ^ QUESTION WORDING: “Florida Governor Jeb Bush” Donald Trump August 13-16, 2015 July 22-25, 2015 April 29-May 1, 2011 36% 59% 1% 3% 33% 31% 58% 64% 2% * 7% 4% CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Donald Trump 2005 Jun 16-19 1999 Oct 8-10 1999 Sep 23-26 Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion 50 33 41 38 58 47 2 2 3 10 7 9 Scott Walker August 13-16, 2015 23% 31% 37% 9% July 22-25, 2015 March 13-15, 2015 21% 21% 23% 21% 42% 48% 13% 10% Carly Fiorina August 13-16, 2015 27% 19% 43% 10% John Kasich August 13-16, 2015 23% 22% 44% 11% POLL 8 3 -6- August 13-16, 2015 BASED ON 302 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 204 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 506 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. Bush Carson Walker Rubio Paul Fiorina Kasich Christie Cruz Huckabee Perry Santorum Graham Jindal Pataki Gilmore Someone else (vol.) None/No one (vol.) No opinion I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, or Scott Walker. (RANDOM ORDER) Trump 19. Aug. 13-16, 2015 24% 13% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 2% 1% * * * * 4% 5% 1% July 22-25, 2015 19% 15% 4% 10% 7% 6% 1% 4% 4% 6% 5% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% * 3% 4% 3% June 26-28, 2015 12% 19% 7% 6% 6% 7% 1% 2% 3% 3% 8% 4% 3% 1% 2% * N/A 7% 6% 3% May 29-31, 2015 3% 13% 7% 10% 14% 8% 1% 1% 4% 8% 10% 5% 2% 1% 1% 3% N/A 5% 2% 1% Apr. 16-19, 2015 N/A 17% 4% 12% 11% 11% 2% 2% 4% 7% 9% 3% 3% 2% 2% * N/A 5% 5% 2% Mar. 13-15, 2015 N/A 16% 9% 13% 7% 12% * 2% 7% 4% 10% 4% 1% 1% 1% N/A N/A 4% 6% 3% Feb. 12-15, 2015 N/A 14% 8% 11% 5% 10% 1% 2% 7% 3% 16% 3% 3% 1% 1% N/A N/A 4% 7% 3% Dec. 18-21, 2014 N/A 23% 7% 4% 5% 6% N/A 3% 13% 4% 6% 4% 2% N/A 4% N/A N/A 5% 5% 3% Nov. 21-23, 2014 N/A 14% 11% 5% 3% 8% N/A 3% 9% 7% 10% 5% 2% N/A 1% N/A N/A 6% 2% 4% November 2014 results show second choice of respondents who initially supported Mitt Romney when his name was included in the list. POLL 8 3 -7- August 13-16, 2015 BASED ON 283 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 183 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 466 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 19. I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, or Scott Walker. (RANDOM ORDER) Trump Bush Carson Rubio Walker Paul Cruz Fiorina Kasich Huckabee Christie Perry Santorum Gilmore Graham Jindal Pataki Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion Aug. 13-16 2015 July 22-25 2015 June 26-28 2015 24% 13% 9% 8% 8% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% * * * * 4% 3% 1% 18% 15% 4% 6% 10% 6% 7% 1% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% * 1% 2% 1% 4% 4% 3% 12% 17% 8% 7% 6% 8% 3% 1% 3% 5% 3% 4% 4% N/A 1% 2% * 5% 6% 3% (RV) = Registered voter POLL 8 3 -8- August 13-16, 2015 BASED ON 302 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 204 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 506 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 20. And who would be your second choice? FIRST CHOICE SECOND CHOICE (Question 19) (Question 20) Trump Bush Carson Rubio Walker Paul Fiorina Kasich Christie Cruz Huckabee Perry Santorum Gilmore Graham Jindal Pataki Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 8 3 24% 13% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 2% 1% * * * * 4% 5% 1% 14% 10% 10% 8% 8% 5% 8% 4% 5% 7% 5% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 5% 3% 1% -9- August 13-16, 2015 BASED ON 302 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 204 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 506 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 283 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 183 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 466 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 21. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: The economy All Republicans Trump Bush Fiorina Kasich Carson Walker Christie Cruz Rubio Huckabee Paul Graham Perry Gilmore Jindal Pataki Santorum Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 8 3 Registered Voters Aug. 13-16 2015 June 26-28 2015 Aug. 13-16 2015 June 26-28 2015 45% 8% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% * * * * 4% 1% 2% 19% 20% 1% 2% 4% 7% 2% 2% 5% 5% 6% 1% 4% NA 2% 1% 3% 1% 6% 9% 45% 9% 6% 5% 5% 6% 2% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% * * * * 2% 1% 3% 20% 16% 2% 2% 3% 8% 3% 2% 6% 4% 7% * 4% NA 1% 1% 4% 2% 6% 9% -10- August 13-16, 2015 BASED ON 302 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 204 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 506 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 283 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 183 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 466 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 21. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: Illegal immigration All Republicans Trump Bush Rubio Cruz Perry Carson Christie Fiorina Huckabee Paul Walker Kasich Santorum Graham Jindal Pataki Gilmore Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 8 3 Registered Voters Aug. 13-16 2015 June 26-28 2015 Aug. 13-16 2015 June 26-28 2015 44% 12% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% * * * * 3% 4% 2% 13% 21% 8% 5% 9% 3% 3% 1% 5% 5% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% * NA 2% 6% 10% 44% 13% 7% 7% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% * * * * 2% 2% 2% 14% 18% 9% 6% 8% 3% 3% 1% 5% 6% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% * NA 2% 6% 9% -11- August 13-16, 2015 BASED ON 302 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 204 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 506 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 283 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 183 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 466 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 21. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: ISIS All Republicans Trump Bush Cruz Carson Kasich Rubio Walker Christie Paul Fiorina Huckabee Graham Perry Gilmore Jindal Pataki Santorum Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 8 3 Registered Voters Aug. 13-16 2016 Aug. 13-16 2015 32% 16% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% * * * * 4% 3% 8% 32% 16% 7% 5% 4% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% * * * * 3% 3% 9% -12- August 13-16, 2015 BASED ON 302 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 204 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 506 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 283 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 183 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 466 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 21. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage All Republicans Trump Bush Carson Huckabee Fiorina Rubio Paul Christie Cruz Kasich Walker Santorum Graham Perry Gilmore Jindal Pataki Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 8 3 Registered Voters Aug. 13-16 2015 June 26-28 2015 Aug. 13-16 2015 June 26-28 2015 18% 14% 12% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 2% 1% 1% * * * 4% 4% 4% 8% 17% 6% 9% 3% 5% 6% 5% 4% 1% 4% 4% 3% 4% NA 2% * 2% 7% 12% 19% 15% 12% 7% 6% 7% 4% 3% 5% 4% 4% 2% 1% 1% * * * 3% 4% 3% 7% 13% 8% 9% 2% 6% 7% 5% 5% 1% 5% 4% 2% 4% NA 2% * 2% 8% 12% -13- August 13-16, 2015 BASED ON 302 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 204 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 506 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 283 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 183 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 466 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 22. Do you think Republicans have a better chance of winning the presidency in 2016 if Donald Trump is the party’s nominee or do they have a better chance of winning with someone else as the party’s nominee? All Republicans Better chance with Donald Trump Better chance with someone else No opinion POLL 8 3 Registered Voters Aug 13-16 2016 Aug 13-16 2016 38% 58% 4% 38% 58% 4% -14- August 13-16, 2015 METHODOLOGY A total of 1,001 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Among the entire sample, 27% described themselves as Democrats, 23% described themselves as Republicans, and 50% described themselves as independents or members of another party. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage. Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "N/A". s are not displayed and instead are denoted with "N/A". POLL 8 3 -15- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 6 How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year's election -extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Base = Total Sample Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------27% 27% 26% 28% 26% 27% 24% 28% 23% 22% 23% 23% 11% 12% 11% 10% 13% 11% 15% 11% * 1% * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 26% 23% 11% 13% * +/-3.0 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------27% 23% 26% 22% 23% 24% 11% 14% 13% 17% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 26% 23% 11% 13% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----32% 23% 25% 11% 8% * +/-6.0 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 26% 23% 11% 13% * +/-3.0 North east ----28% 29% 21% 15% 8% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----23% 25% 29% 7% 16% * +/-6.5 South ----28% 24% 21% 12% 15% * +/-5.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 26% 23% 11% 13% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------36% 31% 19% 9% 4% * +/-7.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------20% 23% 26% 14% 18% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------34% 27% 19% 10% 10% * +/-5.5 1834 ----24% 25% 20% 12% 19% * +/-7.5 3549 ----31% 19% 24% 10% 15% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------25% 20% 23% 14% 17% * +/-6.5 5064 ----27% 29% 25% 14% 6% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------30% 27% 22% 10% 10% * +/-4.5 65+ ----26% 32% 21% 10% 11% * +/-5.5 No College ------21% 25% 23% 12% 19% * +/-5.5 Independent -----20% 23% 22% 14% 20% 1% +/-4.5 Republican -----34% 34% 22% 6% 4% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----27% 22% 22% 11% 17% * +/-5.5 50 and Older -----26% 30% 23% 12% 8% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------31% 26% 22% 12% 9% * +/-3.5 Lean Democrat -----29% 22% 23% 12% 13% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----33% 28% 20% 8% 10% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----21% 21% 28% 15% 14% * +/-5.5 West ----27% 26% 21% 11% 14% 2% +/-6.5 Urban ----28% 23% 21% 13% 16% * +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----27% 32% 23% 10% 9% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------29% 30% 19% 11% 12% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----25% 28% 24% 10% 12% 1% +/-4.5 Rural ----28% 26% 22% 13% 11% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 6 POLL 8 3 -16- August 13-16, 2015 How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year's election -extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Base = Registered voters Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------29% 29% 30% 30% 27% 29% 25% 29% 23% 22% 23% 22% 10% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 12% 8% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----29% 27% 23% 10% 10% * +/-3.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------29% 26% 27% 23% 23% 26% 10% 13% 10% 13% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----29% 27% 23% 10% 10% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----35% 22% 24% 11% 8% * +/-6.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----29% 27% 23% 10% 10% * +/-3.5 North east ----29% 30% 21% 12% 7% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----26% 27% 29% 7% 10% * +/-7.0 South ----32% 23% 22% 11% 11% * +/-5.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----29% 27% 23% 10% 10% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------36% 31% 19% 10% 3% * +/-7.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------23% 25% 26% 12% 14% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------36% 27% 19% 9% 9% * +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----32% 21% 24% 10% 13% * +/-8.0 Non-White --------29% 21% 24% 11% 15% * +/-7.0 5064 ----29% 30% 25% 13% 4% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------32% 28% 22% 9% 9% * +/-4.5 65+ ----27% 33% 21% 9% 11% * +/-5.5 No College ------23% 26% 26% 12% 14% * +/-6.0 Independent -----24% 26% 23% 13% 15% * +/-5.0 Republican -----34% 35% 21% 5% 4% * +/-6.0 Under 50 ----31% 23% 22% 10% 14% * +/-6.0 50 and Older -----28% 31% 23% 11% 7% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------34% 28% 21% 10% 8% * +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----33% 22% 23% 11% 11% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----38% 29% 19% 7% 8% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----23% 22% 29% 13% 12% * +/-5.5 West ----29% 28% 20% 11% 12% * +/-7.0 Urban ----31% 26% 22% 9% 12% * +/-6.5 Lean Republican -----28% 33% 23% 9% 7% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------30% 31% 18% 11% 9% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----28% 28% 23% 10% 11% * +/-4.5 Rural ----30% 27% 23% 14% 6% * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 11D We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of POLL 8 3 -17- August 13-16, 2015 them. D. Jeb Bush Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------34% 33% 35% 37% 56% 56% 55% 54% 4% 4% 4% 4% 6% 6% 6% 5% * 1% * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----34% 56% 4% 6% * +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------34% 32% 56% 53% 4% 5% 6% 9% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----34% 56% 4% 6% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----22% 69% 2% 6% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----34% 56% 4% 6% * +/-3.0 North east ----31% 55% 7% 8% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----31% 58% 4% 8% * +/-6.5 South ----40% 51% 3% 6% * +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----34% 56% 4% 6% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------35% 53% 5% 8% * +/-7.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------40% 48% 5% 7% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------24% 71% 2% 3% * +/-5.5 1834 ----22% 58% 4% 16% * +/-7.5 3549 ----31% 63% 4% 3% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------27% 60% 4% 9% * +/-6.5 5064 ----38% 55% 5% 2% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------35% 59% 2% 3% * +/-4.5 65+ ----49% 47% 3% 1% * +/-5.5 No College ------34% 54% 3% 9% * +/-5.5 Independent -----30% 58% 5% 7% 1% +/-4.5 Republican -----57% 34% 4% 5% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----26% 60% 4% 10% * +/-5.5 50 and Older -----43% 52% 4% 1% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------33% 58% 5% 4% * +/-3.5 Lean Democrat -----24% 68% 2% 6% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----20% 74% 2% 4% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----30% 57% 4% 8% * +/-5.5 West ----31% 61% 4% 3% 1% +/-6.5 Urban ----25% 63% 3% 9% * +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----46% 43% 5% 6% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------48% 44% 4% 4% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----36% 54% 4% 5% 1% +/-4.5 Rural ----44% 47% 4% 5% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -18- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 11D We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. D. Jeb Bush Base = Registered Voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------35% 35% 36% 40% 57% 59% 55% 54% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 4% 5% 3% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----35% 57% 3% 4% * +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------35% 35% 57% 54% 3% 4% 4% 6% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----35% 57% 3% 4% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----23% 69% 3% 5% * +/-6.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----35% 57% 3% 4% * +/-3.5 North east ----30% 54% 7% 8% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----35% 60% 2% 4% * +/-7.0 South ----41% 52% 2% 5% * +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----35% 57% 3% 4% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------37% 51% 4% 7% * +/-7.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------44% 47% 4% 5% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------23% 73% 2% 2% * +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----31% 65% 2% 1% * +/-8.0 Non-White --------26% 62% 4% 7% * +/-7.0 5064 ----40% 55% 5% 1% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------35% 60% 2% 3% * +/-4.5 65+ ----50% 46% 3% 1% * +/-5.5 No College ------37% 55% 2% 6% * +/-6.0 Independent -----30% 62% 4% 4% * +/-5.0 Republican -----61% 31% 3% 5% * +/-6.0 Under 50 ----27% 62% 3% 7% * +/-6.0 50 and Older -----44% 51% 4% 1% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------35% 58% 4% 3% * +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----24% 70% 2% 4% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----20% 76% 2% 2% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----33% 57% 4% 6% * +/-5.5 West ----32% 64% 3% 1% * +/-7.0 Urban ----27% 64% 3% 6% * +/-6.5 Lean Republican -----49% 42% 4% 5% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------50% 43% 3% 3% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----37% 56% 2% 4% * +/-4.5 Rural ----44% 49% 4% 2% * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -19- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 11E We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. E. Donald Trump Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------36% 41% 31% 44% 59% 53% 65% 51% 3% 3% 3% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----36% 59% 3% 1% * +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------36% 34% 59% 60% 3% 4% 1% 3% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----36% 59% 3% 1% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----16% 80% 3% 2% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----36% 59% 3% 1% * +/-3.0 North east ----35% 61% 2% 1% * +/-6.5 Midwest ----39% 53% 4% 3% * +/-6.5 South ----34% 62% 3% 1% * +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----36% 59% 3% 1% * +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------66% 27% 4% 3% * +/-7.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------40% 55% 3% 2% * +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------16% 81% 2% 1% * +/-5.5 1834 ----28% 68% 2% 2% * +/-7.5 3549 ----34% 61% 2% 3% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------24% 73% 1% 2% * +/-6.5 5064 ----46% 50% 3% 1% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------38% 59% 2% * * +/-4.5 65+ ----42% 53% 5% * * +/-5.5 No College ------43% 51% 4% 2% * +/-5.5 Independent -----33% 61% 3% 2% 1% +/-4.5 Republican -----68% 29% 3% * * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----31% 65% 2% 2% * +/-5.5 50 and Older -----44% 52% 4% * * +/-4.0 Attended College -------33% 65% 2% 1% * +/-3.5 Lean Democrat -----16% 81% 2% 1% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----20% 76% 1% 2% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----32% 64% 3% 1% * +/-5.5 West ----38% 58% 2% * 1% +/-6.5 Urban ----31% 63% 3% 3% * +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----56% 40% 3% 1% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------56% 41% 3% * * +/-5.0 Suburban ----36% 60% 3% * 1% +/-4.5 Rural ----45% 49% 4% 2% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -20- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 11E We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. E. Donald Trump Base = Registered Voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------38% 43% 33% 45% 58% 52% 63% 50% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----38% 58% 3% 1% * +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------38% 36% 58% 58% 3% 3% 1% 3% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----38% 58% 3% 1% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----16% 79% 3% 2% * +/-6.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----38% 58% 3% 1% * +/-3.5 North east ----35% 62% 2% 1% * +/-7.0 Midwest ----41% 53% 2% 4% * +/-7.0 South ----36% 59% 4% 1% * +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----38% 58% 3% 1% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------67% 27% 3% 3% * +/-7.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------45% 50% 3% 2% * +/-5.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------14% 83% 2% 1% * +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----35% 60% 2% 3% * +/-8.0 Non-White --------25% 72% 1% 2% * +/-7.0 5064 ----48% 49% 3% 1% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------38% 59% 3% * * +/-4.5 65+ ----43% 52% 5% * * +/-5.5 No College ------44% 49% 4% 3% * +/-6.0 Independent -----36% 60% 2% 2% * +/-5.0 Republican -----69% 28% 3% * * +/-6.0 Under 50 ----31% 65% 2% 3% * +/-6.0 50 and Older -----46% 50% 4% * * +/-4.0 Attended College -------34% 64% 2% * * +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----15% 81% 2% 1% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----20% 76% 1% 2% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----33% 63% 3% 1% * +/-5.5 West ----41% 57% 2% * * +/-7.0 Urban ----34% 61% 2% 3% * +/-6.5 Lean Republican -----58% 38% 3% * * +/-4.5 Conservative ------57% 39% 3% * * +/-5.0 Suburban ----38% 59% 3% * * +/-4.5 Rural ----44% 49% 4% 2% * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -21- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 11F We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. F. Scott Walker Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------23% 27% 19% 29% 31% 33% 29% 32% 8% 7% 9% 9% 37% 31% 42% 29% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----23% 31% 8% 37% 1% +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------23% 18% 31% 30% 8% 7% 37% 43% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----23% 31% 8% 37% 1% +/-3.0 Democrat ----6% 49% 11% 34% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----23% 31% 8% 37% 1% +/-3.0 North east ----17% 36% 12% 32% 2% +/-6.5 Midwest ----29% 34% 6% 31% * +/-6.5 South ----21% 24% 8% 47% * +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----23% 31% 8% 37% 1% +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------50% 20% 5% 25% * +/-7.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------24% 21% 8% 46% 1% +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------9% 53% 8% 30% * +/-5.5 1834 ----14% 32% 6% 48% * +/-7.5 3549 ----22% 34% 6% 37% 1% +/-7.5 Non-White --------12% 30% 7% 51% * +/-6.5 5064 ----26% 30% 10% 34% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------27% 34% 8% 31% * +/-4.5 65+ ----35% 29% 12% 23% 1% +/-5.5 No College ------20% 27% 6% 47% 1% +/-5.5 Independent -----22% 29% 8% 40% 2% +/-4.5 Republican -----44% 15% 6% 34% 1% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----18% 33% 6% 43% 1% +/-5.5 50 and Older -----30% 29% 11% 30% 1% +/-4.0 Attended College -------25% 35% 9% 30% 1% +/-3.5 Lean Democrat -----6% 49% 9% 36% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----6% 54% 6% 34% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----17% 32% 10% 40% 1% +/-5.5 West ----24% 34% 8% 31% 3% +/-6.5 Urban ----17% 31% 8% 43% 1% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----41% 16% 7% 36% 1% +/-4.5 Conservative ------43% 15% 6% 35% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----23% 33% 10% 33% 1% +/-4.5 Rural ----28% 28% 4% 37% 2% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -22- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 11F We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. F. Scott Walker Base = Registered Voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------25% 31% 20% 32% 32% 34% 31% 32% 9% 8% 9% 9% 33% 27% 39% 26% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----25% 32% 9% 33% 1% +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------25% 21% 32% 31% 9% 8% 33% 38% 1% 2% +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----25% 32% 9% 33% 1% +/-3.5 Democrat ----6% 51% 9% 34% * +/-6.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----25% 32% 9% 33% 1% +/-3.5 North east ----19% 37% 13% 30% 1% +/-7.0 Midwest ----32% 35% 7% 26% * +/-7.0 South ----24% 25% 7% 44% * +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----25% 32% 9% 33% 1% +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------52% 20% 6% 23% * +/-7.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------27% 21% 9% 42% 2% +/-5.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------9% 54% 9% 29% * +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----24% 35% 6% 34% 2% +/-8.0 Non-White --------12% 33% 7% 47% * +/-7.0 5064 ----28% 30% 10% 33% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------27% 35% 9% 28% * +/-4.5 65+ ----37% 29% 12% 22% 1% +/-5.5 No College ------23% 26% 7% 44% 1% +/-6.0 Independent -----25% 31% 9% 34% 1% +/-5.0 Republican -----47% 14% 6% 31% 1% +/-6.0 Under 50 ----19% 35% 7% 38% 1% +/-6.0 50 and Older -----32% 29% 11% 28% 1% +/-4.0 Attended College -------26% 37% 10% 26% 1% +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----6% 52% 8% 34% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----5% 55% 7% 33% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----18% 34% 10% 36% 1% +/-5.5 West ----26% 37% 8% 27% 2% +/-7.0 Urban ----19% 36% 9% 35% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Republican -----44% 15% 8% 33% 1% +/-4.5 Conservative ------47% 15% 6% 31% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----26% 34% 9% 30% * +/-4.5 Rural ----31% 26% 5% 37% 1% +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -23- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 11G We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. G. Carly Fiorina Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------27% 29% 25% 33% 19% 21% 18% 20% 9% 8% 11% 10% 43% 41% 46% 36% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----27% 19% 9% 43% 1% +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------27% 21% 19% 15% 9% 8% 43% 54% 1% 2% +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----27% 19% 9% 43% 1% +/-3.0 Democrat ----17% 30% 10% 42% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----27% 19% 9% 43% 1% +/-3.0 North east ----27% 16% 13% 43% 1% +/-6.5 Midwest ----27% 19% 8% 46% 1% +/-6.5 South ----24% 18% 9% 49% * +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----27% 19% 9% 43% 1% +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------54% 10% 7% 29% * +/-7.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------21% 14% 10% 53% 1% +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------21% 31% 9% 39% * +/-5.5 1834 ----18% 13% 7% 61% * +/-7.5 3549 ----18% 22% 12% 46% 1% +/-7.5 Non-White --------17% 17% 8% 58% * +/-6.5 5064 ----34% 24% 9% 33% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------31% 23% 11% 36% * +/-4.5 65+ ----42% 18% 10% 28% 1% +/-5.5 No College ------18% 18% 10% 53% * +/-5.5 Independent -----25% 17% 11% 45% 1% +/-4.5 Republican -----43% 11% 5% 40% 1% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----18% 17% 9% 55% 1% +/-5.5 50 and Older -----37% 21% 10% 31% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------33% 20% 9% 37% 1% +/-3.5 Lean Democrat -----17% 28% 10% 44% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----17% 26% 9% 47% 1% +/-6.5 Moderate ----23% 21% 12% 43% 1% +/-5.5 West ----30% 25% 10% 32% 3% +/-6.5 Urban ----24% 22% 7% 46% 1% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----41% 12% 7% 40% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------39% 12% 7% 42% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----27% 19% 11% 41% 1% +/-4.5 Rural ----30% 18% 8% 43% 1% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -24- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 11G We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. G. Carly Fiorina Base = Registered Voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------29% 33% 26% 35% 20% 21% 19% 20% 10% 10% 11% 11% 39% 36% 42% 32% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----29% 20% 10% 39% 1% +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------29% 23% 20% 16% 10% 9% 39% 49% 1% 2% +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----29% 20% 10% 39% 1% +/-3.5 Democrat ----16% 31% 11% 41% 1% +/-6.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----29% 20% 10% 39% 1% +/-3.5 North east ----29% 17% 13% 40% 1% +/-7.0 Midwest ----30% 18% 8% 43% 1% +/-7.0 South ----27% 19% 10% 45% * +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----29% 20% 10% 39% 1% +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------58% 10% 6% 27% * +/-7.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------24% 15% 12% 46% 2% +/-5.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------22% 31% 10% 37% * +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----20% 23% 12% 43% 2% +/-8.0 Non-White --------19% 19% 9% 54% * +/-7.0 5064 ----34% 25% 10% 31% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------33% 23% 12% 32% * +/-4.5 65+ ----43% 18% 11% 27% 1% +/-5.5 No College ------20% 19% 11% 50% 1% +/-6.0 Independent -----29% 18% 12% 39% 1% +/-5.0 Republican -----46% 10% 6% 37% 1% +/-6.0 Under 50 ----21% 18% 11% 49% 1% +/-6.0 50 and Older -----38% 22% 10% 30% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------36% 21% 10% 33% 1% +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----17% 29% 11% 42% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----19% 27% 10% 44% 1% +/-7.0 Moderate ----25% 23% 13% 39% 1% +/-5.5 West ----33% 26% 12% 28% 2% +/-7.0 Urban ----28% 23% 9% 39% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Republican -----45% 11% 7% 36% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------42% 12% 7% 38% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----29% 19% 12% 39% 1% +/-4.5 Rural ----33% 17% 8% 41% 1% +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -25- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 11H We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. H. John Kasich Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------23% 24% 22% 29% 22% 26% 19% 23% 10% 9% 11% 12% 44% 39% 48% 35% 1% 1% * 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----23% 22% 10% 44% 1% +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------23% 16% 22% 23% 10% 9% 44% 51% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----23% 22% 10% 44% 1% +/-3.0 Democrat ----14% 29% 11% 45% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----23% 22% 10% 44% 1% +/-3.0 North east ----23% 19% 14% 43% 1% +/-6.5 Midwest ----27% 23% 11% 39% * +/-6.5 South ----20% 19% 10% 50% * +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----23% 22% 10% 44% 1% +/-3.0 Tea Pty Support ------34% 28% 12% 26% * +/-7.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------19% 20% 9% 51% 1% +/-4.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------25% 23% 10% 43% * +/-5.5 1834 ----15% 20% 8% 57% * +/-7.5 3549 ----18% 26% 6% 49% 1% +/-7.5 Non-White --------13% 21% 6% 61% * +/-6.5 5064 ----27% 26% 15% 32% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------29% 22% 11% 38% * +/-4.5 65+ ----38% 18% 11% 33% * +/-5.5 No College ------16% 25% 9% 49% 1% +/-5.5 Independent -----22% 22% 11% 44% 1% +/-4.5 Republican -----34% 15% 9% 41% 1% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----16% 22% 7% 53% 1% +/-5.5 50 and Older -----32% 23% 13% 32% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------28% 21% 11% 40% * +/-3.5 Lean Democrat -----18% 25% 11% 46% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----17% 28% 9% 46% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----21% 20% 12% 47% * +/-5.5 West ----22% 29% 8% 39% 2% +/-6.5 Urban ----21% 23% 9% 47% * +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----29% 21% 10% 40% 1% +/-4.5 Conservative ------32% 21% 8% 38% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----23% 21% 11% 44% 1% +/-4.5 Rural ----27% 24% 9% 39% 1% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -26- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 11H We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. H. John Kasich Base = Registered Voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------25% 27% 23% 31% 22% 27% 18% 23% 11% 10% 11% 13% 41% 36% 47% 33% * 1% * 1% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----25% 22% 11% 41% * +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------25% 17% 22% 23% 11% 10% 41% 49% * 1% +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----25% 22% 11% 41% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----15% 29% 10% 46% * +/-6.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----25% 22% 11% 41% * +/-3.5 North east ----25% 19% 14% 41% 1% +/-7.0 Midwest ----30% 25% 11% 34% * +/-7.0 South ----22% 18% 10% 50% * +/-5.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----25% 22% 11% 41% * +/-3.5 Tea Pty Support ------36% 29% 12% 23% * +/-7.0 Tea Pty Neutral ------20% 19% 11% 49% 1% +/-5.0 Tea Pty Oppose ------26% 23% 10% 41% * +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----17% 27% 6% 49% 2% +/-8.0 Non-White --------14% 21% 7% 58% * +/-7.0 5064 ----28% 25% 16% 31% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------31% 22% 11% 35% * +/-4.5 65+ ----39% 19% 10% 32% * +/-5.5 No College ------17% 25% 10% 47% 1% +/-6.0 Independent -----25% 22% 13% 39% * +/-5.0 Republican -----36% 14% 8% 40% 1% +/-6.0 Under 50 ----17% 22% 8% 51% 1% +/-6.0 50 and Older -----33% 22% 13% 31% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------30% 21% 11% 38% * +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----20% 25% 11% 44% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----18% 27% 9% 46% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----23% 21% 13% 42% 1% +/-5.5 West ----25% 28% 9% 37% 1% +/-7.0 Urban ----23% 22% 11% 44% * +/-6.5 Lean Republican -----32% 20% 10% 38% 1% +/-4.5 Conservative ------33% 20% 8% 38% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----25% 21% 10% 42% * +/-4.5 Rural ----28% 23% 10% 37% 1% +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -27- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 19 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------13% 11% 16% 13% 8% 8% 9% 9% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% * * * * 4% 3% 5% 4% * * * * 5% 7% 2% 6% * * * * 6% 4% 8% 5% 2% 1% 2% * 7% 6% 8% 8% 1% 1% * 1% 24% 28% 20% 26% 7% 7% 7% 6% * * * * 4% 2% 6% 3% 5% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 8% 4% 4% 5% * 4% * 5% * 6% 2% 7% 1% 24% 7% * 4% 5% 1% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----17% 9% 4% 5% 6% * 5% * 4% * 2% 2% 9% 2% 28% 4% * 2% 2% 1% +/-7.5 65+ ----14% 13% 3% 6% 7% * 6% * 5% * 1% 1% 8% * 23% 7% * 2% 1% 3% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----10% 6% 5% 3% 3% * 2% * 6% * 9% 2% 6% * 23% 9% * 6% 8% 1% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----16% 11% 3% 5% 6% * 6% * 4% * 1% 1% 9% 1% 26% 5% * 2% 2% 2% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -28- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 19 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------13% 13% 8% 6% 4% 3% 4% 3% 5% 2% * * 4% 6% * * 5% 4% * * 6% 5% 2% 1% 7% 8% 1% 1% 24% 28% 7% 5% * * 4% 6% 5% 7% 1% 1% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 8% 4% 4% 5% * 4% * 5% * 6% 2% 7% 1% 24% 7% * 4% 5% 1% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------12% 9% 6% 5% 6% * 3% * 6% * 6% 2% 7% * 22% 9% * 2% 3% 1% +/-6.0 No College ------17% 5% 3% 1% 5% * 5% * 7% * 3% 3% 4% 1% 30% 4% * 4% 8% 1% +/-8.0 Independent -----12% 8% 6% 3% 6% * 2% * 5% * 8% 1% 4% * 22% 8% * 5% 8% 1% +/-7.0 Republican -----14% 8% 3% 5% 4% * 6% * 5% * 4% 2% 10% 1% 27% 6% * 3% 2% 2% +/-5.5 Attended College -------10% 11% 5% 6% 4% * 3% * 4% * 8% 1% 9% * 21% 9% * 4% 2% 2% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----11% 6% 6% 3% 5% * 5% * 3% * 9% 3% 6% * 22% 9% * 7% 4% 1% +/-8.0 Lean Republican -----13% 8% 4% 4% 5% * 4% * 5% * 6% 2% 7% 1% 24% 7% * 4% 5% 1% +/-4.5 Conservative ------14% 10% 3% 6% 5% * 3% * 5% * 4% * 8% 1% 25% 7% * 2% 5% 2% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -29- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 19 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 8% 4% 4% 5% * 4% * 5% * 6% 2% 7% 1% 24% 7% * 4% 5% 1% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 8% 4% 4% 5% * 4% * 5% * 6% 2% 7% 1% 24% 7% * 4% 5% 1% +/-4.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------7% 11% 3% 10% 9% * 3% * 2% * 5% 1% 7% 1% 27% 10% * * 2% 2% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------14% 8% 6% 2% 3% * 6% * 6% * 6% 2% 8% * 24% 5% * 3% 6% 1% +/-6.0 South ----19% 10% 3% 5% 2% * 6% * 3% * 5% 4% 8% * 21% 3% * 6% 4% 2% +/-7.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----13% 6% 5% 4% 4% * 3% * 2% * 6% 2% 9% * 22% 4% * 5% 13% * +/-8.5 Suburban ----13% 10% 5% 2% 5% * 4% * 7% * 8% 3% 6% 1% 21% 8% * 3% 2% 1% +/-6.5 Rural ----14% 8% 2% 5% 4% * 6% * 5% * 2% * 7% * 32% 7% * 4% 1% 2% +/-8.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -30- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 19 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------13% 10% 17% 14% 9% 8% 10% 10% 3% 4% 2% 2% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% * * * * 4% 4% 4% 4% * * * * 5% 7% 2% 6% * * * * 6% 4% 8% 5% 2% 2% 2% * 8% 7% 9% 8% 1% 1% * 1% 24% 27% 20% 26% 8% 8% 8% 7% * * * * 4% 3% 6% 3% 3% 5% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 9% 3% 5% 5% * 4% * 5% * 6% 2% 8% 1% 24% 8% * 4% 3% 1% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----17% 9% 3% 5% 6% * 6% * 4% * 2% 1% 10% 2% 28% 4% * 2% * 1% +/-8.0 65+ ----14% 13% 2% 6% 7% * 6% * 5% * 1% 1% 8% * 23% 8% * 2% 1% 3% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----10% 7% 4% 4% 3% * 2% * 5% * 10% 2% 6% * 22% 11% * 7% 6% * +/-8.5 50 and Older -----16% 11% 3% 5% 7% * 6% * 5% * 1% 1% 9% 1% 26% 6% * 2% * 2% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -31- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 19 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------13% 15% 9% 6% 3% 2% 5% 4% 5% 2% * * 4% 7% * * 5% 3% * * 6% 5% 2% 1% 8% 8% 1% 1% 24% 30% 8% 6% * * 4% 8% 3% 2% 1% * +/-4.5 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 9% 3% 5% 5% * 4% * 5% * 6% 2% 8% 1% 24% 8% * 4% 3% 1% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------11% 10% 5% 6% 6% * 2% * 7% * 5% 2% 7% * 22% 10% * 2% 3% 1% +/-6.5 No College ------18% 6% 3% 1% 5% * 6% * 6% * 3% 3% 5% 1% 29% 5% * 4% 3% * +/-8.0 Independent -----11% 9% 4% 4% 6% * 3% * 5% * 8% 1% 5% * 22% 10% * 6% 6% 1% +/-7.0 Republican -----15% 9% 2% 6% 4% * 5% * 5% * 4% 2% 10% 1% 26% 7% * 3% * 1% +/-6.0 Attended College -------10% 11% 3% 7% 5% * 3% * 4% * 7% 1% 10% * 21% 10% * 4% 3% 2% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----12% 7% 6% 3% 5% * 4% * 4% * 8% 4% 6% * 20% 11% * 8% 2% 1% +/-8.5 Lean Republican -----13% 9% 3% 5% 5% * 4% * 5% * 6% 2% 8% 1% 24% 8% * 4% 3% 1% +/-4.5 Conservative ------14% 10% 2% 6% 5% * 3% * 5% * 5% 1% 9% 1% 26% 7% * 2% 3% 1% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -32- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 19 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 9% 3% 5% 5% * 4% * 5% * 6% 2% 8% 1% 24% 8% * 4% 3% 1% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 9% 3% 5% 5% * 4% * 5% * 6% 2% 8% 1% 24% 8% * 4% 3% 1% +/-4.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------8% 12% 1% 10% 9% * 3% * 3% * 5% 1% 6% 2% 27% 11% * * 2% 2% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------15% 9% 5% 2% 3% * 6% * 5% * 6% 2% 9% * 24% 6% * 3% 3% * +/-6.5 South ----18% 11% 3% 6% 2% * 5% * 3% * 6% 4% 9% * 21% 3% * 6% 1% 1% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----14% 10% 3% 2% 5% * 3% * 8% * 8% 3% 7% 1% 23% 8% * 3% 2% 1% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -33- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 20 And who would be your second choice? Base = Republicans with a first choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------10% 9% 12% 11% 10% 12% 8% 11% 5% 4% 5% 4% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 12% 4% 10% 1% * 2% * 5% 5% 5% 6% 2% 3% 1% 1% 4% 2% 6% 5% 1% * 2% * 5% 5% 4% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 8% 7% 8% 9% 2% 3% 2% 2% 14% 12% 16% 13% 8% 10% 5% 8% 1% * 2% 1% 5% 4% 6% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 10% 5% 7% 8% 1% 5% 2% 4% 1% 5% 1% 8% 2% 14% 8% 1% 5% 3% 1% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----9% 9% 5% 6% 8% * 7% 1% 4% 1% 1% * 11% 3% 17% 7% 2% 1% 4% 2% +/-7.5 65+ ----11% 9% 2% 8% 9% * 5% 2% 7% * 4% 1% 8% * 12% 15% * 2% 3% 2% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----10% 11% 6% 7% 8% 2% 4% 2% 3% 1% 7% 2% 6% 3% 13% 4% * 8% 2% * +/-8.0 50 and Older -----10% 9% 4% 7% 9% * 6% 1% 5% * 2% * 10% 2% 14% 11% 1% 1% 4% 2% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -34- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 20 And who would be your second choice? Base = Republicans with a first choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------10% 9% 10% 10% 5% 7% 7% 6% 8% 6% 1% 3% 5% 4% 2% * 4% 5% 1% 2% 5% 4% 1% 1% 8% 7% 2% 2% 14% 14% 8% 6% 1% 2% 5% 9% 3% 3% 1% 1% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 10% 5% 7% 8% 1% 5% 2% 4% 1% 5% 1% 8% 2% 14% 8% 1% 5% 3% 1% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------11% 10% 4% 8% 10% * 7% 3% 3% * 6% 1% 9% 3% 13% 6% * 2% 4% * +/-6.0 No College ------12% 7% 6% 8% 7% * 8% 1% 1% * 6% * 8% 3% 10% 9% 2% 6% 5% 1% +/-8.0 Independent -----8% 12% 4% 5% 8% 2% 2% 3% 4% 2% 5% 1% 7% 3% 11% 8% 1% 6% 4% 2% +/-7.0 Republican -----12% 8% 5% 8% 9% * 9% 1% 4% * 5% 1% 9% 2% 16% 7% * 3% 2% * +/-5.5 Attended College -------9% 12% 3% 5% 10% 2% 4% 2% 5% 2% 4% 1% 8% 2% 16% 7% * 4% 2% 1% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----9% 13% 8% 2% 8% 3% 2% 2% 5% 2% 7% 2% 8% 3% 11% 3% * 7% 1% 3% +/-8.5 Lean Republican -----10% 10% 5% 7% 8% 1% 5% 2% 4% 1% 5% 1% 8% 2% 14% 8% 1% 5% 3% 1% +/-4.5 Conservative ------10% 10% 3% 10% 8% * 7% 2% 4% * 4% 1% 9% 2% 14% 10% 1% 3% 4% * +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -35- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 20 And who would be your second choice? Base = Republicans with a first choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 10% 5% 7% 8% 1% 5% 2% 4% 1% 5% 1% 8% 2% 14% 8% 1% 5% 3% 1% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 10% 5% 7% 8% 1% 5% 2% 4% 1% 5% 1% 8% 2% 14% 8% 1% 5% 3% 1% +/-4.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------3% 13% 4% 13% 13% * 9% 1% 3% * 7% * 7% * 14% 10% * * 3% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------12% 10% 4% 5% 7% 2% 4% 1% 5% * 4% 2% 8% 4% 16% 6% 1% 4% 3% 1% +/-6.0 South ----9% 13% 4% 9% 5% * 3% 2% 1% 2% 7% 2% 7% 1% 14% 9% 2% 6% 2% 1% +/-7.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----11% 10% 5% 6% 10% * 6% 3% 6% * 4% 1% 9% 3% 11% 8% * 2% 4% * +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -36- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 20 And who would be your second choice? Base = Republican Registered Voters with a first choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------10% 9% 11% 11% 9% 11% 7% 9% 4% 3% 6% 5% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 13% 5% 10% 1% * 2% * 6% 6% 6% 6% 2% 3% 1% 1% 4% 3% 6% 5% 1% * 2% * 4% 4% 4% 3% 1% 1% 1% * 8% 7% 9% 9% 3% 3% 2% 2% 14% 14% 15% 13% 8% 11% 5% 8% 1% * 2% 1% 4% 3% 6% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 9% 4% 6% 9% 1% 6% 2% 4% 1% 4% 1% 8% 3% 14% 8% 1% 4% 3% 1% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----9% 8% 6% 6% 9% * 7% 1% 4% 1% 2% * 11% 3% 16% 7% 2% 1% 4% 2% +/-8.0 65+ ----12% 9% 2% 8% 9% * 5% 1% 7% * 3% 1% 9% * 12% 16% * 2% 4% 2% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----10% 9% 4% 7% 9% * 7% 1% 5% * 2% * 10% 2% 14% 11% 1% 1% 4% 2% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -37- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 20 And who would be your second choice? Base = Republican Registered Voters with a first choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------10% 10% 9% 8% 4% 6% 6% 5% 9% 7% 1% 3% 6% 5% 2% * 4% 6% 1% 2% 4% 3% 1% * 8% 7% 3% 2% 14% 15% 8% 7% 1% 2% 4% 8% 3% 4% 1% * +/-4.5 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 9% 4% 6% 9% 1% 6% 2% 4% 1% 4% 1% 8% 3% 14% 8% 1% 4% 3% 1% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------11% 9% 4% 8% 11% * 7% 3% 4% * 5% 1% 9% 4% 13% 7% * 2% 2% * +/-6.5 No College ------12% 5% 6% 9% 8% * 9% * 2% * 5% * 8% 3% 11% 9% 2% 5% 4% 1% +/-8.5 Independent -----8% 13% 3% 5% 10% 2% 2% 3% 5% 2% 3% 1% 7% 3% 12% 8% 2% 6% 4% 2% +/-7.5 Republican -----12% 7% 5% 8% 9% * 9% 1% 4% * 4% * 9% 2% 17% 8% * 3% 2% * +/-6.0 Attended College -------9% 12% 3% 5% 11% 2% 4% 3% 6% 2% 3% 1% 8% 2% 17% 7% * 4% 2% 1% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----10% 9% 4% 6% 9% 1% 6% 2% 4% 1% 4% 1% 8% 3% 14% 8% 1% 4% 3% 1% +/-4.5 Conservative ------10% 9% 3% 10% 8% * 7% 1% 4% * 3% * 9% 2% 14% 11% 1% 2% 4% * +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -38- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 20 And who would be your second choice? Base = Republican Registered Voters with a first choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 9% 4% 6% 9% 1% 6% 2% 4% 1% 4% 1% 8% 3% 14% 8% 1% 4% 3% 1% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 9% 4% 6% 9% 1% 6% 2% 4% 1% 4% 1% 8% 3% 14% 8% 1% 4% 3% 1% +/-4.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------4% 12% 3% 13% 14% * 9% 1% 3% * 6% * 7% * 14% 11% * * 3% * +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------13% 10% 4% 4% 8% 2% 4% 1% 5% * 3% 1% 8% 5% 17% 7% 1% 4% 2% 1% +/-6.5 South ----9% 12% 5% 9% 5% * 4% 1% 1% 2% 6% 1% 8% 1% 14% 10% 2% 6% 2% 1% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----12% 9% 5% 6% 11% * 6% 3% 6% * 3% 1% 10% 3% 12% 8% * 2% 4% * +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -39- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------8% 7% 10% 9% 5% 4% 7% 6% 4% 4% 3% 2% 4% 5% 4% 5% 6% 7% 5% 7% 1% * 2% * 2% 1% 2% 2% * * * * 5% 5% 4% 5% * * * * 2% * 4% 2% 1% 1% 2% * 3% 1% 6% 3% * 1% * 1% 45% 50% 39% 45% 5% 8% 2% 5% * * * * 4% 4% 4% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 4% 3% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 5% 4% 4% 6% 1% 2% * 5% * 2% 1% 3% * 45% 5% * 4% 1% 2% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----14% 2% 2% 5% 7% * 2% * 4% * 1% 1% * * 51% 4% * 4% 2% 1% +/-7.5 65+ ----12% 10% 2% 4% 8% * 3% * 7% * 2% 1% 4% * 37% 7% * * 1% 3% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----4% 5% 5% 4% 5% 2% 1% * 4% * 2% 1% 5% 1% 46% 6% * 6% 1% 3% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----13% 6% 2% 4% 7% * 3% * 5% * 1% 1% 2% * 45% 5% * 2% 1% 2% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -40- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------8% 9% 5% 5% 4% 3% 4% 4% 6% 4% 1% 3% 2% 2% * * 5% 4% * * 2% 1% 1% * 3% 7% * 1% 45% 45% 5% 2% * * 4% 8% 1% 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 5% 4% 4% 6% 1% 2% * 5% * 2% 1% 3% * 45% 5% * 4% 1% 2% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------7% 6% 5% 5% 8% * 3% * 5% * 2% 2% 1% * 43% 8% * 2% * 2% +/-6.0 No College ------12% 3% 2% 5% 5% * 2% * 3% * 2% 2% 3% 1% 46% 4% * 7% 1% 2% +/-8.0 Independent -----7% 6% 5% 6% 7% 3% 1% * 3% * 2% * 4% * 41% 6% * 5% 3% 2% +/-7.0 Republican -----9% 4% 2% 3% 5% * 3% * 6% * 2% 2% 3% 1% 49% 5% * 3% * 3% +/-5.5 Attended College -------5% 6% 4% 4% 7% 2% 2% * 6% * 2% * 4% * 45% 7% * 2% 1% 2% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----7% 3% 5% 4% 7% 3% 2% * 5% * 2% 3% 7% 1% 38% 6% * 4% 1% 2% +/-8.0 Lean Republican -----8% 5% 4% 4% 6% 1% 2% * 5% * 2% 1% 3% * 45% 5% * 4% 1% 2% +/-4.5 Conservative ------7% 7% 3% 5% 6% * 2% * 4% * 2% * 2% * 49% 6% * 4% 1% 3% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -41- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 5% 4% 4% 6% 1% 2% * 5% * 2% 1% 3% * 45% 5% * 4% 1% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 5% 4% 4% 6% 1% 2% * 5% * 2% 1% 3% * 45% 5% * 4% 1% 2% +/-4.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------3% 7% 2% 10% 8% * * * 3% * 2% 1% 1% * 49% 9% * 1% 1% 2% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------8% 5% 5% 2% 5% 2% 3% * 6% * 3% 2% 2% 1% 47% 3% * 5% 1% 2% +/-6.0 South ----9% 6% 1% 5% 4% * 3% * 2% * 2% 3% 5% * 46% 4% * 4% 2% 1% +/-7.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----5% 1% 5% 5% 7% 1% 1% * 3% * 2% * 5% * 53% 4% * 7% 2% 1% +/-8.5 Suburban ----8% 7% 4% 3% 5% * 2% * 8% * 2% 2% 1% 1% 44% 8% * 4% * 2% +/-6.5 Rural ----12% 7% 2% 6% 6% * 3% * 3% * 3% * 6% 1% 41% 4% * 2% 3% 3% +/-8.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -42- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------9% 7% 11% 10% 5% 4% 7% 6% 2% 3% 2% 1% 5% 5% 4% 5% 6% 7% 6% 7% 1% 1% 2% * 2% 2% 2% 2% * * * * 5% 6% 4% 6% * * * * 2% * 4% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 6% 3% * 1% * 1% 45% 50% 40% 45% 6% 9% 2% 5% * * * * 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% * 2% 1% 3% 1% 5% 3% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 5% 2% 5% 6% 1% 2% * 5% * 2% 1% 3% * 45% 6% * 2% 1% 3% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----14% 2% 2% 5% 8% * 2% * 4% * * 1% * * 53% 4% * 2% 2% 1% +/-8.0 65+ ----12% 11% 1% 4% 8% * 4% * 7% * 1% 1% 4% * 37% 7% * * 1% 3% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----4% 5% 3% 4% 4% 3% * * 5% * 3% 2% 5% 1% 45% 7% * 4% 1% 3% +/-8.5 50 and Older -----13% 6% 2% 5% 8% * 3% * 5% * * 1% 2% * 46% 5% * 1% 1% 2% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -43- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------9% 10% 5% 5% 2% 1% 5% 5% 6% 3% 1% 4% 2% 2% * * 5% 5% * * 2% 1% 1% * 3% 7% * 1% 45% 47% 6% 2% * * 2% 4% 1% 1% 3% 3% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 5% 2% 5% 6% 1% 2% * 5% * 2% 1% 3% * 45% 6% * 2% 1% 3% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------8% 6% 4% 5% 8% * 2% * 5% * 2% 2% 1% * 42% 9% * 2% * 2% +/-6.5 No College ------14% 4% 2% 6% 4% * 2% * 4% * 2% 2% 4% 1% 45% 4% * 3% 1% 3% +/-8.0 Independent -----8% 6% 3% 6% 7% 3% 1% * 3% * 2% * 4% * 42% 7% * 3% 2% 2% +/-7.0 Republican -----10% 5% 1% 3% 5% * 2% * 7% * 2% 2% 2% 1% 48% 5% * 2% * 3% +/-6.0 Attended College -------6% 6% 3% 4% 7% 2% 1% * 6% * 2% 1% 3% * 46% 7% * 2% 1% 2% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----8% 4% 4% 3% 8% 3% 1% * 5% * 3% 3% 8% 1% 35% 7% * 2% 1% 3% +/-8.5 Lean Republican -----9% 5% 2% 5% 6% 1% 2% * 5% * 2% 1% 3% * 45% 6% * 2% 1% 3% +/-4.5 Conservative ------8% 7% 1% 5% 6% 1% 2% * 5% * 2% * 1% * 50% 6% * 2% 1% 3% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -44- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 5% 2% 5% 6% 1% 2% * 5% * 2% 1% 3% * 45% 6% * 2% 1% 3% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 5% 2% 5% 6% 1% 2% * 5% * 2% 1% 3% * 45% 6% * 2% 1% 3% +/-4.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------3% 7% 1% 10% 8% * 1% * 3% * 2% 1% * * 49% 10% * 1% 2% 2% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------9% 5% 3% 2% 5% 2% 3% * 7% * 2% 2% 2% 1% 48% 3% * 2% 1% 2% +/-6.5 South ----10% 7% 1% 6% 5% * 2% * 3% * 2% 3% 6% * 46% 4% * 1% 1% 1% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----9% 7% 2% 3% 5% * 1% * 8% * 1% 2% 1% 1% 45% 8% * 4% * 3% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -45- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21B Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------12% 10% 14% 11% 4% 3% 5% 5% 3% 4% 3% 1% 6% 7% 5% 6% 2% 3% 2% 3% * * * * 2% 3% 1% 2% * 1% * 1% 1% 2% * 2% * * * * 2% 2% 2% 2% 5% 4% 7% 5% 7% 7% 7% 7% 1% 1% 1% 1% 44% 46% 41% 46% 2% 3% 2% 2% * * * * 3% 4% 2% 2% 4% 1% 6% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----12% 4% 3% 6% 2% * 2% * 1% * 2% 5% 7% 1% 44% 2% * 3% 4% 2% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----14% 2% 1% 6% 3% * 4% * 1% * 1% 5% 7% * 48% 2% * 4% 1% 1% +/-7.5 65+ ----12% 8% 2% 7% 4% * * 2% 2% * * 4% 8% * 39% 5% * * 5% 1% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----11% 4% 6% 5% 2% * 2% * 1% * 3% 5% 6% 1% 43% 1% * 3% 4% 3% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----13% 4% 1% 6% 3% * 2% 1% 2% * 1% 5% 8% * 44% 3% * 2% 3% 1% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -46- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21B Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------12% 14% 4% 2% 3% 4% 6% 6% 2% 1% * * 2% 1% * 1% 1% 2% * * 2% 2% 5% 2% 7% 7% 1% * 44% 43% 2% 2% * * 3% 5% 4% 6% 2% 1% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----12% 4% 3% 6% 2% * 2% * 1% * 2% 5% 7% 1% 44% 2% * 3% 4% 2% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------11% 5% 3% 7% 3% * 3% * 1% * 1% 8% 7% 2% 40% 2% * 2% 1% 3% +/-6.0 No College ------13% 3% 4% 3% 3% * 2% 1% 1% * 1% 7% 4% * 47% 1% * 4% 4% 1% +/-8.0 Independent -----12% 4% 4% 6% 3% * 2% 1% 2% * 3% 6% 7% 1% 35% 3% * 2% 7% 2% +/-7.0 Republican -----12% 3% 3% 5% 2% * 2% * 1% * 1% 4% 6% 1% 51% 2% * 3% 1% 2% +/-5.5 Attended College -------11% 4% 3% 8% 2% * 2% * 1% * 3% 4% 9% 1% 42% 3% * 2% 2% 3% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----14% 2% 8% 5% 5% * 1% 1% 1% * 2% 6% 11% 1% 35% * * 4% 2% 2% +/-8.0 Lean Republican -----12% 4% 3% 6% 2% * 2% * 1% * 2% 5% 7% 1% 44% 2% * 3% 4% 2% +/-4.5 Conservative ------10% 6% 2% 7% 1% * 1% * 1% * 1% 5% 4% 1% 50% 3% * 2% 4% 3% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -47- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21B Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----12% 4% 3% 6% 2% * 2% * 1% * 2% 5% 7% 1% 44% 2% * 3% 4% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----12% 4% 3% 6% 2% * 2% * 1% * 2% 5% 7% 1% 44% 2% * 3% 4% 2% +/-4.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------6% 5% 2% 11% 4% * 2% * 1% * 3% 5% 6% 1% 47% 3% * 1% 2% 1% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------10% 4% 4% 4% 1% * 1% 1% 1% * 2% 5% 5% 1% 48% 2% * 3% 4% 3% +/-6.0 South ----16% 5% 3% 5% 1% * 2% * 1% * * 5% 7% 2% 43% 3% * 1% 5% 1% +/-7.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----11% 1% 5% 7% 4% * 1% * 1% * * 3% 9% 3% 41% 2% * 3% 8% 2% +/-8.5 Suburban ----11% 5% 4% 3% 1% * 2% 1% 2% * 4% 6% 7% * 44% 2% * 4% 1% 3% +/-6.5 Rural ----16% 6% 1% 5% 3% * 2% * 1% * * 6% 3% * 47% 3% * 2% 3% 1% +/-8.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -48- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21B Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------13% 12% 15% 12% 4% 4% 6% 5% 3% 3% 3% 1% 7% 8% 5% 6% 3% 3% 2% 3% * * * * 2% 3% 1% 2% * 1% * * 1% 2% * 1% * * * * 2% 1% 2% 2% 4% 3% 6% 4% 7% 7% 7% 7% 1% 1% 1% 1% 44% 46% 41% 45% 2% 3% 2% 3% * * * * 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% * 4% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 4% 3% 7% 3% * 2% * 1% * 2% 4% 7% 1% 44% 2% * 2% 2% 2% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----15% 2% 1% 7% 3% * 4% * 1% * 1% 5% 8% * 48% 2% * 2% 1% 1% +/-8.0 65+ ----12% 8% 2% 7% 4% * * 1% 2% * * 4% 8% * 40% 5% * * 4% 1% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----13% 4% 5% 7% 2% * 2% * * * 3% 4% 6% 2% 43% 1% * 4% 1% 2% +/-8.5 50 and Older -----14% 5% 1% 7% 3% * 2% 1% 2% * 1% 5% 8% * 45% 4% * 1% 2% 1% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -49- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21B Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------13% 16% 4% 3% 3% 4% 7% 7% 3% 1% * * 2% 2% * 1% 1% 1% * * 2% 2% 4% 2% 7% 8% 1% * 44% 45% 2% 1% * * 2% 4% 2% 3% 2% 1% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 4% 3% 7% 3% * 2% * 1% * 2% 4% 7% 1% 44% 2% * 2% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------12% 6% 3% 7% 4% * 3% * 1% * 2% 7% 7% 2% 40% 2% * 2% 1% 2% +/-6.5 No College ------15% 4% 4% 4% 3% * 3% 1% 1% * 1% 7% 4% * 48% 1% * 3% 2% 1% +/-8.0 Independent -----14% 5% 4% 8% 3% * 2% 1% 1% * 2% 4% 9% 1% 37% 2% * 3% 3% 1% +/-7.0 Republican -----13% 4% 2% 6% 2% * 2% * 1% * 1% 5% 6% 1% 50% 2% * 2% 1% 3% +/-6.0 Attended College -------12% 5% 3% 9% 2% * 2% * 1% * 2% 3% 9% 1% 41% 3% * 2% 2% 2% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----16% 2% 7% 5% 5% * 1% 1% 1% * 2% 5% 13% 1% 35% 1% * 2% 1% 1% +/-8.5 Lean Republican -----13% 4% 3% 7% 3% * 2% * 1% * 2% 4% 7% 1% 44% 2% * 2% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Conservative ------11% 6% 1% 8% 2% * 1% * 1% * 1% 5% 4% 1% 50% 3% * 2% 2% 2% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -50- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21B Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 4% 3% 7% 3% * 2% * 1% * 2% 4% 7% 1% 44% 2% * 2% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 4% 3% 7% 3% * 2% * 1% * 2% 4% 7% 1% 44% 2% * 2% 2% 2% +/-4.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------7% 6% 1% 12% 4% * 2% * 1% * 2% 6% 5% 1% 47% 3% * 1% 2% 1% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------12% 5% 4% 5% 2% * 2% 1% 1% * 2% 5% 6% 1% 49% 2% * 2% 1% 2% +/-6.5 South ----18% 6% 3% 6% 1% * 2% * * * * 5% 8% 2% 42% 3% * 1% 1% 1% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----12% 5% 2% 3% 1% * 2% 1% 2% * 3% 7% 7% * 45% 3% * 4% 1% 2% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -51- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21C Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: C. ISIS Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------16% 14% 19% 17% 5% 4% 6% 6% 3% 4% 2% 2% 6% 8% 3% 7% 2% 3% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% * 1% * * 4% 5% 3% 5% * * * * 3% 2% 3% 3% 1% 1% 2% * 4% 3% 6% 4% * 1% * 1% 32% 34% 30% 33% 4% 5% 2% 4% * * * * 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 8% 7% 10% 7% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----16% 5% 3% 6% 2% 1% 2% * 4% * 3% 1% 4% * 32% 4% * 4% 3% 8% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----21% 4% 1% 5% 1% * 2% 1% 4% * 4% 2% 3% 1% 38% 3% * 2% 3% 6% +/-7.5 65+ ----12% 9% 4% 8% 6% 1% 3% 1% 5% * 1% * 6% * 29% 6% * 1% 3% 6% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----15% 3% 4% 6% 2% 2% 1% * 4% * 3% 1% 5% 1% 31% 3% * 7% 3% 11% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----18% 6% 2% 6% 3% * 2% 1% 4% * 3% 1% 4% * 34% 4% * 2% 3% 6% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -52- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21C Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: C. ISIS Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------16% 16% 5% 4% 3% 3% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% * * 4% 4% * * 3% 1% 1% * 4% 7% * 1% 32% 35% 4% 3% * * 4% 8% 3% 3% 8% 8% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----16% 5% 3% 6% 2% 1% 2% * 4% * 3% 1% 4% * 32% 4% * 4% 3% 8% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------18% 5% 4% 8% 4% 1% 2% 1% 4% * 3% 2% 3% * 30% 4% * 2% 2% 6% +/-6.0 No College ------20% 3% 4% 5% 3% 1% 2% * 4% * 2% 2% 1% * 32% 2% * 6% 2% 10% +/-8.0 Independent -----12% 5% 3% 7% 3% 1% 1% 1% 5% * 3% 1% 4% 1% 29% 4% * 7% 5% 9% +/-7.0 Republican -----20% 5% 3% 5% 2% 1% 2% * 3% * 3% 2% 4% * 35% 3% * 2% 1% 8% +/-5.5 Attended College -------14% 6% 2% 7% 2% 1% 2% 1% 4% * 3% * 7% 1% 33% 5% * 3% 3% 7% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----17% 4% 4% 4% 4% 1% 3% * 5% * 2% 3% 5% * 27% 4% * 4% 4% 10% +/-8.0 Lean Republican -----16% 5% 3% 6% 2% 1% 2% * 4% * 3% 1% 4% * 32% 4% * 4% 3% 8% +/-4.5 Conservative ------16% 6% 3% 8% 2% 1% 1% * 2% * 3% 1% 5% 1% 33% 4% * 4% 1% 9% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -53- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21C Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: C. ISIS Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----16% 5% 3% 6% 2% 1% 2% * 4% * 3% 1% 4% * 32% 4% * 4% 3% 8% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----16% 5% 3% 6% 2% 1% 2% * 4% * 3% 1% 4% * 32% 4% * 4% 3% 8% +/-4.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------7% 8% 1% 14% 5% * * * 2% * 4% 1% 2% 1% 37% 4% * 2% 4% 5% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------18% 4% 5% 3% * 1% 3% * 6% * 2% 1% 4% * 33% 3% * 5% 3% 9% +/-6.0 South ----18% 5% 3% 4% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% * 3% 3% 4% 1% 33% 2% * 6% 4% 4% +/-7.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----14% 2% 2% 7% 3% * 1% * 1% * 1% * 9% * 32% 2% * 8% 5% 11% +/-8.5 Suburban ----16% 6% 4% 5% 2% 2% 2% * 8% * 4% 2% 1% * 29% 4% * 4% 3% 7% +/-6.5 Rural ----20% 6% 3% 7% 2% * 2% 1% 2% * 2% * 4% 1% 35% 4% * 2% 1% 7% +/-8.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -54- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21C Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: C. ISIS Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------16% 13% 19% 17% 5% 4% 6% 6% 3% 3% 2% 1% 7% 10% 3% 8% 3% 4% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% * 1% * * 4% 5% 4% 5% * * * * 3% 2% 3% 3% 1% 1% 2% * 5% 3% 7% 4% * 1% * 1% 32% 32% 31% 31% 4% 5% 2% 4% * * * * 3% 5% 2% 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 9% 7% 11% 8% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----16% 5% 3% 7% 3% 1% 2% * 4% * 3% 1% 5% * 32% 4% * 3% 3% 9% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----20% 4% 1% 5% 1% * 2% 1% 4% * 3% 2% 3% 1% 38% 3% * 2% 3% 6% +/-8.0 65+ ----13% 9% 3% 8% 6% 1% 3% 1% 5% * 1% * 6% * 29% 6% * 1% 3% 6% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----15% 3% 4% 7% 2% 2% 1% * 4% * 3% 2% 5% 1% 28% 4% * 5% 3% 12% +/-8.5 50 and Older -----17% 6% 2% 6% 3% * 3% 1% 5% * 2% 1% 4% * 35% 5% * 2% 3% 6% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -55- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21C Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: C. ISIS Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------16% 16% 5% 4% 3% 2% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% * * 4% 5% * * 3% * 1% * 5% 8% * 1% 32% 34% 4% 3% * * 3% 5% 3% 3% 9% 9% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----16% 5% 3% 7% 3% 1% 2% * 4% * 3% 1% 5% * 32% 4% * 3% 3% 9% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------18% 5% 3% 9% 4% 1% 2% 1% 5% * 3% 2% 3% * 29% 5% * 3% 2% 6% +/-6.5 No College ------21% 4% 3% 6% 4% 1% 2% * 4% * 2% 3% 1% * 30% 3% * 3% 2% 11% +/-8.0 Independent -----11% 5% 3% 8% 3% 1% 2% 1% 5% * 2% 1% 5% 1% 29% 4% * 5% 5% 9% +/-7.0 Republican -----20% 5% 3% 5% 2% 1% 2% * 3% * 3% 2% 4% * 34% 4% * 2% 1% 8% +/-6.0 Attended College -------13% 6% 2% 7% 2% 1% 1% 1% 5% * 3% * 7% 1% 32% 5% * 3% 3% 8% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----15% 4% 4% 5% 5% 1% 2% * 6% * 2% 3% 6% * 25% 4% * 3% 4% 10% +/-8.5 Lean Republican -----16% 5% 3% 7% 3% 1% 2% * 4% * 3% 1% 5% * 32% 4% * 3% 3% 9% +/-4.5 Conservative ------16% 6% 3% 9% 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% * 3% 1% 5% 1% 32% 4% * 2% 2% 9% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -56- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21C Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: C. ISIS Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----16% 5% 3% 7% 3% 1% 2% * 4% * 3% 1% 5% * 32% 4% * 3% 3% 9% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----16% 5% 3% 7% 3% 1% 2% * 4% * 3% 1% 5% * 32% 4% * 3% 3% 9% +/-4.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------7% 8% * 15% 5% * * * 2% * 4% 2% 2% 1% 37% 4% * 2% 4% 6% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------18% 4% 5% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 6% * 2% 2% 5% * 33% 3% * 3% 2% 10% +/-6.5 South ----20% 6% 3% 5% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% * 3% 4% 5% 1% 32% 2% * 3% 3% 4% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----17% 5% 2% 5% 2% 2% 1% * 8% * 4% 2% 1% * 30% 5% * 4% 3% 7% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -57- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21D Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------14% 12% 17% 15% 12% 13% 12% 15% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 5% 3% 6% 6% 8% 4% 7% 1% * 2% * 7% 6% 8% 7% * * * * 4% 4% 4% 4% * * * * 5% 5% 5% 5% 1% * 2% * 6% 5% 8% 5% 2% 2% 2% 3% 18% 21% 15% 19% 4% 5% 3% 4% * * * * 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% 5% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 12% 4% 4% 6% 1% 7% * 4% * 5% 1% 6% 2% 18% 4% * 4% 4% 4% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----21% 11% 3% 5% 4% * 8% * 5% * 4% 1% 6% 2% 20% 4% * 2% 3% 4% +/-7.5 65+ ----13% 17% 2% 5% 8% * 8% 1% 4% 1% * 1% 5% 2% 19% 5% * * 2% 6% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----11% 11% 6% 4% 7% 2% 6% * 3% * 7% 1% 7% 2% 17% 3% * 6% 4% 3% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----18% 13% 3% 5% 5% * 8% * 5% * 2% 1% 5% 2% 19% 4% * 1% 3% 5% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -58- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21D Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------14% 14% 12% 12% 4% 6% 4% 3% 6% 4% 1% 3% 7% 6% * * 4% 2% * * 5% 3% 1% * 6% 9% 2% 2% 18% 22% 4% 2% * * 4% 7% 4% 4% 4% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 12% 4% 4% 6% 1% 7% * 4% * 5% 1% 6% 2% 18% 4% * 4% 4% 4% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------16% 13% 3% 6% 8% * 8% * 5% * 5% 2% 4% 2% 16% 5% * 2% 2% 3% +/-6.0 No College ------21% 9% 4% 3% 5% * 7% * 3% * 3% 2% 2% 1% 21% 2% * 6% 6% 4% +/-8.0 Independent -----12% 12% 6% 4% 7% 2% 4% * 4% * 7% 1% 8% 2% 13% 5% * 5% 7% 3% +/-7.0 Republican -----16% 13% 3% 4% 5% * 10% * 4% * 3% 2% 5% 2% 23% 3% * 2% 1% 4% +/-5.5 Attended College -------10% 15% 4% 5% 7% 2% 7% * 4% * 6% * 9% 3% 17% 5% * 2% 2% 4% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----14% 11% 8% 1% 8% 3% 3% * 6% * 6% 2% 9% * 16% 5% * 2% 5% 3% +/-8.0 Lean Republican -----14% 12% 4% 4% 6% 1% 7% * 4% * 5% 1% 6% 2% 18% 4% * 4% 4% 4% +/-4.5 Conservative ------14% 15% 2% 7% 5% * 7% * 2% * 4% 1% 5% 3% 19% 4% * 4% 3% 4% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -59- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21D Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 12% 4% 4% 6% 1% 7% * 4% * 5% 1% 6% 2% 18% 4% * 4% 4% 4% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 12% 4% 4% 6% 1% 7% * 4% * 5% 1% 6% 2% 18% 4% * 4% 4% 4% +/-4.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------8% 18% 2% 11% 8% * 8% * 2% * 5% 1% 3% 2% 19% 4% * 1% 2% 6% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------16% 12% 4% 2% 5% 2% 7% * 5% * 5% 1% 6% 2% 19% 3% * 5% 5% 2% +/-6.0 South ----18% 14% 3% 4% 2% * 9% * 3% * 2% 3% 9% 1% 19% 2% * 4% 4% 3% +/-7.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----15% 12% 6% 3% 5% * 3% * 2% * 4% * 11% 1% 18% 2% * 5% 7% 4% +/-8.5 Suburban ----15% 12% 4% 2% 7% * 7% * 6% * 7% 2% 3% 3% 15% 5% * 4% 3% 4% +/-6.5 Rural ----15% 13% 3% 8% 5% * 11% * 3% * 2% * 6% 1% 22% 5% * 2% 2% 3% +/-8.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -60- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21D Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------15% 12% 18% 16% 12% 12% 12% 14% 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% 6% 3% 6% 6% 8% 4% 7% 1% * 3% * 7% 7% 7% 7% * * * * 4% 4% 4% 4% * * * * 4% 4% 5% 4% 1% 1% 2% * 7% 6% 8% 5% 2% 2% 2% 3% 19% 21% 15% 19% 4% 5% 3% 4% * * * * 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% 3% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 12% 3% 5% 6% 1% 7% * 4% * 4% 1% 7% 2% 19% 4% * 3% 4% 3% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----19% 11% 2% 5% 4% * 8% * 5% * 3% 1% 6% 2% 20% 4% * 2% 3% 4% +/-8.0 65+ ----14% 17% 1% 5% 8% * 8% * 4% 1% * 1% 5% 2% 19% 5% * * 2% 6% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----12% 9% 4% 5% 7% 2% 5% * 3% * 7% 2% 9% 3% 17% 4% * 4% 5% 1% +/-8.5 50 and Older -----17% 14% 2% 5% 6% * 8% * 5% * 2% 1% 5% 2% 20% 5% * 1% 3% 5% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -61- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21D Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------15% 14% 12% 10% 3% 4% 5% 4% 6% 3% 1% 3% 7% 7% * * 4% 1% * * 4% 2% 1% * 7% 11% 2% 3% 19% 24% 4% 2% * * 3% 4% 4% 5% 3% 3% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 12% 3% 5% 6% 1% 7% * 4% * 4% 1% 7% 2% 19% 4% * 3% 4% 3% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------16% 13% 2% 6% 8% * 8% * 5% * 5% 2% 4% 2% 15% 6% * 2% 2% 2% +/-6.5 No College ------22% 8% 4% 4% 5% * 8% * 3% * 3% 3% 2% 1% 23% 3% * 3% 7% 3% +/-8.0 Independent -----12% 11% 4% 5% 7% 2% 4% * 4% * 6% 1% 9% 2% 15% 5% * 3% 7% 2% +/-7.0 Republican -----17% 13% 2% 5% 5% * 9% * 4% * 3% 2% 5% 3% 22% 3% * 2% 1% 4% +/-6.0 Attended College -------10% 15% 2% 6% 7% 2% 7% * 5% * 5% * 10% 3% 16% 5% * 2% 2% 3% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----13% 10% 7% 1% 9% 3% 1% * 7% * 4% 2% 10% * 18% 5% * 2% 5% 2% +/-8.5 Lean Republican -----15% 12% 3% 5% 6% 1% 7% * 4% * 4% 1% 7% 2% 19% 4% * 3% 4% 3% +/-4.5 Conservative ------16% 14% 1% 7% 5% * 8% * 3% * 4% 1% 6% 4% 18% 4% * 2% 4% 4% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -62- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 21D Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Base = Republican Registered Voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 12% 3% 5% 6% 1% 7% * 4% * 4% 1% 7% 2% 19% 4% * 3% 4% 3% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 12% 3% 5% 6% 1% 7% * 4% * 4% 1% 7% 2% 19% 4% * 3% 4% 3% +/-4.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------8% 16% 1% 11% 9% * 9% * 2% * 4% 1% 3% 3% 19% 4% * 1% 2% 5% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------17% 12% 2% 2% 4% 2% 7% * 6% * 5% 2% 7% 3% 20% 3% * 3% 5% 2% +/-6.5 South ----20% 14% 4% 5% 2% * 9% * 3% * 2% 3% 10% 1% 18% 2% * 1% 3% 3% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----16% 12% 2% 2% 7% * 6% * 7% * 6% 3% 3% 3% 16% 5% * 4% 3% 4% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -63- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 22 Do you think Republicans have a better chance of winning the presidency in 2016 if Donald Trump is the party's nominee or do they have a better chance of winning with someone else as the party's nominee? Base = Republicans Better chance with D. Trump Better chance, someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------38% 41% 34% 38% 58% 57% 61% 58% 4% 3% 6% 4% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Better chance with D. Trump Better chance, someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 58% 4% +/-4.5 Better chance with D. Trump Better chance, someone else No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------38% 37% 58% 60% 4% 3% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Better chance with D. Trump Better chance, someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 58% 4% +/-4.5 Better chance with D. Trump Better chance, someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 58% 4% +/-4.5 Better chance with D. Trump Better chance, someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 58% 4% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----42% 54% 4% +/-7.5 $50K or more ------36% 60% 4% +/-6.0 65+ ----40% 54% 6% +/-7.5 No College ------44% 52% 4% +/-8.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A Independent -----29% 67% 4% +/-7.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------40% 51% 9% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------37% 62% 2% +/-6.0 Republican -----45% 50% 4% +/-5.5 South ----39% 57% 3% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----34% 63% 2% +/-8.0 Attended College -------34% 63% 3% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----41% 54% 5% +/-5.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----27% 71% 2% +/-8.0 Urban ----41% 57% 2% +/-8.5 Lean Republican -----38% 58% 4% +/-4.5 Conservative ------42% 54% 5% +/-5.5 Suburban ----33% 63% 3% +/-6.5 Rural ----42% 51% 7% +/-8.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -64- August 13-16, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 13 to 16, 2015 Question 22 Do you think Republicans have a better chance of winning the presidency in 2016 if Donald Trump is the party's nominee or do they have a better chance of winning with someone else as the party's nominee? Base = Republican Registered Voters Better chance with D. Trump Better chance, someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------38% 41% 34% 39% 58% 57% 59% 56% 4% 2% 6% 5% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Better chance with D. Trump Better chance, someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 58% 4% +/-4.5 Better chance with D. Trump Better chance, someone else No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------38% 40% 58% 57% 4% 3% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 Better chance with D. Trump Better chance, someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 58% 4% +/-4.5 Better chance with D. Trump Better chance, someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 58% 4% +/-4.5 Better chance with D. Trump Better chance, someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 58% 4% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----42% 54% 4% +/-8.0 $50K or more ------35% 61% 4% +/-6.5 65+ ----41% 53% 6% +/-7.5 No College ------46% 49% 5% +/-8.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A Independent -----29% 68% 3% +/-7.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------40% 51% 9% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------39% 60% 2% +/-6.5 Republican -----46% 49% 5% +/-6.0 South ----41% 57% 2% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----34% 63% 3% +/-8.5 Attended College -------33% 64% 3% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----42% 53% 5% +/-5.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----23% 75% 2% +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----38% 58% 4% +/-4.5 Conservative ------44% 51% 5% +/-5.5 Suburban ----34% 63% 3% +/-6.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 8 3 -65- August 13-16, 2015