?? ? POLL July 31-August 6, 2012 Colorado Total N = 1,803 Registered N = 1,586 Likely voters N = 1,463 Virginia Total N = 1,703 Registered N = 1,521 Likely voters N = 1,412 Wisconsin Total N = 1,691 Registered N = 1,550 Likely voters N = 1,428 All results are among likely voters unless otherwise noted. 1 How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for President - a lot, some, only a little, or none at all? (Among registered voters) 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI A lot 55 54 48 Some 28 29 31 Only a little 12 14 15 None 5 3 7 DK/NA 1 - Most people do not vote in every election. How likely is it that you will vote in the Presidential election in November - would you say you will definitely vote, probably vote, possibly not vote, or definitely not vote? (Among registered voters) Definitely vote 90 89 88 Probably vote 7 8 8 Possibly not vote 2 2 2 Definitely not vote 1 1 2 DK/NA 1 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI 1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Candidate names ROTATED) (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Candidate names ROTATED) RESULTS INCLUDE LEANERS Someone else (vol.) 1 1 - 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Obama 45 49 51 Romney 50 45 45 DK/NA 4 5 4 1a.(If candidate chosen in Q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? 7/31-8/6/12 CO Obama voters Romney voters VA Obama voters Romney voters WI Obama voters Romney voters Mind made up 91 88 93 90 90 90 90 90 89 Might change mind 8 11 6 9 9 8 9 10 8 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 Questions Q2 and Q3 ROTATED 2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA Favorable 47 40 Unfavorable 42 44 Haven't heard enough 9 13 DK/NA 2 3 2 WI 41 43 14 2 3. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Favorable 46 50 53 Unfavorable 50 46 44 Haven't heard enough 1 2 2 DK/NA 2 2 2 4a. & 4b. (If candidate chosen in Q1) Thinking about your vote for president, would you describe your support for [SELECTED CANDIDATE] as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike [SELECTED CANDIDATE]? Strongly favor 56 62 51 55 68 40 53 64 42 Like with reservations 29 30 27 30 25 36 32 30 35 Dislike other 14 7 21 14 7 22 13 6 21 7/31-8/6/12 CO Obama voters Romney voters VA Obama voters Romney voters WI Obama voters Romney voters DK/NA 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 COLORADO: 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Hickenlooper is handling his job as Governor? 7/31-8/6/1 Approve 66 Disapprove 18 DK/NA 17 VIRGINIA: 5. Turning to this year's general election for United States Senator from Virginia, if the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were George Allen the Republican and Tim Kaine the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Allen or Kaine? (Candidate names ROTATED) RESULTS INCLUDE LEANERS 7/31-8/6/1 Kaine 48 Allen 46 Someone else (vol.) DK/NA 6 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob McDonnell is handling his job as Governor? 7/31-8/6/1 Approve 52 Disapprove 29 DK/NA 20 3 WISCONSIN: 5a. Turning to this year's general election for United States Senator from Wisconsin. . .If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Tommy Thompson the Republican and Tammy Baldwin the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Thompson or Baldwin? (Candidate names rotated) RESULTS INCLUDE LEANERS 7/31-8/6/1 Baldwin 47 Thompson 47 Someone else (vol.) 1 DK/NA 5 5b. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Eric Hovde the Republican and Tammy Baldwin the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Hovde or Baldwin? (Candidate names rotated) RESULTS INCLUDE LEANERS 7/31-8/6/1 Baldwin 47 Hovde 43 Someone else (vol.) 1 DK/NA 8 5c. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Mark Neumann the Republican and Tammy Baldwin the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Neumann or Baldwin? (Candidate names rotated) RESULTS INCLUDE LEANERS 7/31-8/6/1 Baldwin 48 Neumann 45 Someone else (vol.) 1 DK/NA 6 5d. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Jeff Fitzgerald the Republican and Tammy Baldwin the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Fitzgerald or Baldwin? (Candidate names rotated) RESULTS INCLUDE LEANERS 7/31-8/6/1 Baldwin 51 Fitzgerald 39 Someone else (vol.) - DK/NA 9 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Walker is handling his job as Governor? 7/31-8/6/1 Approve 52 Disapprove 44 DK/NA 4 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Approve 44 47 51 Disapprove 53 49 46 DK/NA 3 4 3 4 8. In deciding who you would like to see elected President this year, which one of the following issues will be most important to you ROTATE OPTION LIST (national security, the economy, health care, the budget deficit, taxes, immigration, or something else?) National security Economy Health care Budget deficit Taxes Immigration Something else DK/NA CO 4 48 19 11 4 3 8 3 VA 4 49 19 10 6 2 7 2 PA 3 47 24 13 3 2 7 1 9. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election -- are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? More 35 32 32 Less 16 18 15 Same 48 48 52 DK/NA 1 1 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI 10. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Better 26 24 25 Worse 42 38 36 Same 31 36 38 DK/NA 1 2 1 11. Do you think (Colorado's/Virginia's/Wisconsin's) economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Better 33 30 30 Worse 24 16 29 Same 42 51 40 DK/NA 2 3 2 Questions Q12 and Q13 ROTATED 12. Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Does 52 59 57 Does not 44 37 40 DK/NA 3 4 3 13. Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? 5 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Does 47 44 41 Does not 46 48 51 DK/NA 7 8 8 14. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? (Candidate names ROTATED) 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Obama 41 45 47 Romney 51 47 46 DK/NA 8 8 7 15. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on health care - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? (Candidate names ROTATED) 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Obama 47 49 49 Romney 45 42 43 DK/NA 8 9 8 16. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on national security - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? (Candidate names ROTATED) Obama Romney DK/NA 7/31-8/6/12 CO 41 50 8 VA 48 43 10 WI 53 39 8 Questions Q17 and Q18 ROTATED 17. If Barack Obama is reelected, do you think his economic policies would help your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or won't make a difference? Help 22 26 22 Hurt 43 39 35 No difference 33 34 41 DK/NA 2 1 2 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI 18. If Mitt Romney is elected, do you think his economic policies would help your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or won't make a difference? No Help Hurt difference DK/NA 7/31-8/6/12 CO 34 30 32 4 VA 28 30 37 5 WI 28 31 37 4 19. From what you have read or heard, does Mitt Romney have the right kind of business experience to get the economy creating jobs again or is Romney's kind of business experience too focused on making profits? 6 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Right kind of experience 48 43 43 Too focused on profits 42 47 48 DK/NA 10 10 9 20. Which comes closest to your view of Barack Obama's economic policies: 1. They are improving the economy now, and will probably continue to do so, OR 2. They have not improved the economy yet, but will if given more time, OR 3. They are not improving the economy and probably never will. Improving now 21 24 23 Will improve 26 29 33 No improvement 51 46 42 Made worse (vol.) 1 DK/NA 1 1 1 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI 21. Do you think presidential candidates should publicly release several years of tax returns, or is releasing only one or two years of tax returns necessary, or don't you think it is necessary for presidential candidates to release any of their tax returns? Should release several years 48 52 52 Should release 1-2 years 21 19 18 Not necessary 26 23 26 DK/NA 4 6 3 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI 22. In order to reduce the federal budget deficit, do you support or oppose raising income taxes on households making more than $250,000 per year? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Support 56 59 66 Oppose 40 36 30 DK/NA 4 5 4 23. How important will television campaign ads be to your vote for president this year? Very important, somewhat important, not so important, or not important at all? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Very 5 7 6 Somewhat 11 13 12 Not so 17 17 22 Not at all 67 62 60 DK/NA 1 - Questions Q24 and Q25 ROTATED 24. Have you seen any commercials on television for Mitt Romney, or not? IF YES, ASK: Did most of Mitt Romney's television commercials spend more time explaining what Mitt Romney stands for, or did they spend more time attacking Barack Obama? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Yes, explained 22 21 20 Yes, attacked 58 57 48 No, haven't seen 9 10 20 DK/NA 11 12 12 7 25. Have you seen any commercials on television for Barack Obama, or not? IF YES, ASK: Did most of Barack Obama's television commercials spend more time explaining what Barack Obama stands for, or did they spend more time attacking Mitt Romney? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Yes, explained 22 28 32 Yes, attacked 58 52 41 No, haven't seen 8 9 18 DK/NA 12 11 9 26. On another topic...Do you think the laws covering the sale of guns in Colorado/Virginia/Wisconsin should be made more strict, less strict, or kept as they are now? Kept as More strict Less strict they are now DK/NA 7/31-8/6/12 CO 38 8 50 4 VA 44 9 44 3 WI 43 6 48 3 27. As you may know, high-capacity magazines or clips can hold many rounds of ammunition, so a shooter can fire more rounds without manually reloading. Would you favor or oppose a nationwide ban on the sale of high-capacity magazines that hold many rounds of ammunition? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Favor 58 52 57 Oppose 35 42 37 DK/NA 7 6 6 28. Overall, do you think the presidential candidates have spent too much time, too little time, or about the right amount of time talking about laws covering the sale of guns? Too much time 19 18 19 Too little time 36 45 41 Right amount of time 30 26 29 DK/NA 15 11 11 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI 29. How much have you heard or read about the recent shooting in Aurora, Colorado, where James Holmes allegedly shot and killed a number of people in a movie theater--a lot, some, not much, or nothing at all? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI A lot 89 77 74 Some 9 20 23 Not much 1 3 2 Nothing at all DK/NA - 30. Do you personally believe that stricter laws covering the sale of guns would be an effective way to prevent these types of violent acts, or not? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Yes, effective 30 37 40 Not effective 66 60 57 DK/NA 4 3 4 8 Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Republican 32 23 27 Democrat 27 30 34 Independent 37 40 33 Other 3 6 5 DK/NA 1 2 1 IF REPUBLICAN: Do you consider yourself a strong Republican or not a strong Republican? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Strong Republican 67 68 73 Not strong 29 29 25 DK/NA 3 3 2 IF DEMOCRAT: Do you consider yourself a Democrat? Strong Democrat Not 7/31-8/6/12 CO 76 VA 75 WI 75 strong Democrat or not a strong strong 24 22 24 DK/NA 1 3 1 IF INDEPENDENT: Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican party or the Democratic party? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Republican 40 46 45 Democrat 39 32 37 Neither (vol.) 20 19 15 DK/NA 1 2 3 How would you describe your views on most political matters? Generally do you think of yourself as liberal, moderate, or conservative? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Liberal 22 20 21 Moderate 38 40 36 Conservative 36 38 39 DK/NA 4 2 4 Are you registered as a Republican, Democrat, some other party, or are you not affiliated with any party? Independent/ Unaffiliated/ Republican Democrat Other party No party DK/NA 7/31-8/6/12 CO 41 32 26 1 VA NA NA NA NA NA WI NA NA Na NA NA Do you consider yourself part of the Tea Party movement or not? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Yes 13 13 12 No 85 85 85 DK/NA 3 3 4 9 Did you vote for President in 2008, did something prevent you from voting, or did you choose not to vote for President in 2008? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Voted 95 91 94 Didn't vote 3 5 3 Couldn't/Ineligible (vol.) 3 4 3 DK/NA - Did you vote for Barack Obama, John McCain, or someone else? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Obama 48 51 53 McCain 46 42 40 Someone else 4 3 4 DK/NA 3 3 3 Are you currently married? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Yes 60 58 59 No 40 42 41 DK/NA 1 - Do you have any children under the age of 18? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Yes 21 29 30 No 79 70 70 DK/NA - Are you or is any member of your household a member of a LABOR UNION? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Yes 11 10 25 No 89 89 74 DK/NA 1 - Do you or does anyone in your house own a gun, or not? Yes 48 50 51 No 48 48 47 DK/NA 3 2 2 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Are you or is anyone in your household currently in military service, a military veteran, or a reservist? Yes NA 34 NA No NA 66 NA DK/NA NA NA 10 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI What is your religious preference? Is it Protestant, Catholic, Jewish, Mormon, Muslim, some other religion, or don't you belong to any religious denomination? Protestant Catholic Jewish Mormon Muslim Other None DK/NA 7/31-8/6/12 CO 42 17 2 2 7 27 3 VA 53 14 1 1 10 17 3 WI 38 30 10 18 3 Would you consider yourself a born-again Christian or evangelical Christian, or wouldn't you consider yourself either of those? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Yes 24 32 25 No 41 43 51 DK/NA 3 3 3 Not asked 32 22 21 Are you of Latino or Hispanic origin, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban or any other Spanish speaking background? 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Yes 9 2 2 No 89 96 97 DK/NA 1 1 1 Do you identify yourself as white, black, Asian or some other race? White 84 73 91 Black 3 19 4 Asian 2 1 Other 9 5 4 DK/NA 3 2 1 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI In what year were you born? 7/31-8/6/12 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ CO 10 19 33 38 VA 14 25 37 24 WI 10 22 41 27 Education question series: Did you receive a high school diploma? IF RECEIVED HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA: Did you ever attend college? IF "YES": Did you graduate? IF ATTENDED COLLEGE: Was this from a 4-year college, a junior college/two year program, or a vocational/technical school? IF ATTENDED/GRADUATED FOUR YEAR COLLEGE: Did you ever attend graduate school? IF "YES": Did you receive a graduate degree? 7/31-8/6/12 Less than HS CO 4 VA 7 WI 6 11 High School Some College College Grad Some Grad School Post Grad Degree 12 40 17 7 20 13 41 14 7 18 21 43 15 4 11 About what do you think your total household income will be this year? Will it be ... 7/31-8/6/12 Less than $15,000 Between $15,000 and $30,000 Between $30,000 and $50,000 Between $50,000 and $100,000 Or over $100,000 DK/NA CO 6 12 18 31 22 11 VA 6 12 16 26 28 12 WI 8 16 21 29 16 10 IF INCOME OVER $100,000: Would you say that your total household income will be under $250,000, or $250,000 or more? Less than $250,000 87 83 88 $250,000 or more 11 15 12 DK/NA 2 2 - 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI Male 7/31-8/6/12 CO VA WI 51 47 50 Female 49 53 50 12