Interviews with 1,001 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on April 28 – May 1, 2016. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The sample also includes 890 interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 3.5 percentage points). This sample includes 601 interviews among landline respondents and 400 interviews among cell phone respondents. EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Monday, May 2 at 4:00 p.m. BASED ON 267 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 139 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 406 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 5. Who would you MOST like to see win the Republican nomination for president? [READ LIST] (RANDOM ORDER) Apr. 28-May 1 March 17-20 2016 2016 Donald Trump Ted Cruz John Kasich Someone else (vol.) None/no one (vol.) No opinion 49% 25% 19% 3% 3% 1% 47% 31% 17% 3% 1% 1% FOR COMPARISON I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else. Trump Cruz Kasich Rubio Carson Bush Christie Fiorina Gilmore Graham Huckabee Jindal Pataki Paul Perry Santorum Walker Someone else (vol.) None/No one (vol.) No opinion POLL 6 3 Feb. 24-27 2016 Jan. 21-24 2016 Dec. 17-21 2015 Nov. 27Dec. 1 2015 Oct. 14-17 2015 Sept. 17-19 2015 Sept. 4-8 2015 Aug. 13-16 2015 July 22-25 2015 June 26-28 2015 49% 15% 6% 16% 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 3% 1% 1% 41% 19% 1% 8% 6% 5% 4% 2% * NA 3% NA NA 3% NA * NA 3% 1% 4% 39% 18% 2% 10% 10% 3% 5% 1% * 1% 2% NA * 4% NA * NA 3% 1% 1% 36% 16% 2% 12% 14% 3% 4% 3% * * 2% NA * 1% NA * NA 1% 4% 2% 27% 4% 3% 8% 22% 8% 4% 4% * 1% 5% * * 5% NA 2% NA 1% 2% 4% 24% 6% 2% 11% 14% 9% 3% 15% * * 6% * * 4% NA 1% * * 1% 3% 32% 7% 2% 3% 19% 9% 2% 3% * 1% 5% 1% * 3% * 1% 5% 3% 2% 2% 24% 5% 5% 8% 9% 13% 3% 5% * * 4% * * 6% 2% 1% 8% 4% 3% 1% 18% 7% 4% 6% 4% 15% 4% 1% * 1% 5% 2% 1% 6% 3% 2% 10% 4% 4% 3% 12% 3% 3% 7% 8% 17% 3% 1% NA 1% 5% 2% * 8% 4% 4% 6% 5% 6% 3% -2- April 28-May 1, 2016 BASED ON 248 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 130 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 378 REPUBLICANS WITH A FIRST CHOICE -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 6. And if your candidate does not win the Republican nomination for president, who would be your second choice? [READ LIST] (RANDOM ORDER) Apr. 28-May 1 2016 John Kasich Ted Cruz Donald Trump Someone else (vol.) None/no one (vol.) No opinion 6. 7. 27% 25% 20% 14% 12% 2% And if your candidate does not win the Republican nomination for president, who would be your second choice? [READ LIST] (RANDOM ORDER) (IF SOMEONE ELSE) Who would that be? [RECORD EXACT RESPONSE] Apr. 28-May 1 2016 John Kasich Ted Cruz Donald Trump Someone else (vol.) Sanders Clinton Fiorina Rubio Carson Ryan Other, not named/not sure Other named Other, not Trump None/no one (vol.) No opinion POLL 6 3 27% 26% 20% 3% 1% 1% 1% * * 4% 2% * 13% 2% -3- April 28-May 1, 2016 BASED ON 267 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 139 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 406 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 8. 9. Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each of them won the Republican presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if that person were the Republican nominee? (RANDOM ORDER) Enthusiastic Satisfied but not enthusiastic Donald Trump April 28-May 1, 2016 March 17-20, 2016 January 21-24, 2016 September 4-8, 2015 39% 40% 40% 40% 28% 26% 28% 27% 14% 12% 12% 13% 19% 21% 19% 19% 1% * 1% * Ted Cruz April 28-May 1, 2016 March 17-20, 2016 January 21-24, 2016 September 4-8, 2015 21% 28% 25% 21% 32% 33% 43% 42% 23% 24% 22% 22% 22% 14% 9% 10% 2% * 1% 6% John Kasich April 28-May 1, 2016 March 17-20, 2016 16% 19% 44% 34% 25% 29% 14% 17% 2% 1% No opinion What's your best guess -- do you think the Republican Party is united, do you think it is divided now but will be united by the presidential election in November, or do you think the Republican Party will be seriously divided in November? Apr. 28-May 1 March 17-20 2016 2016 United now Divided but will be united Still divided in November No opinion POLL 6 3 Dissatisfied but not upset Upset 7% 41% 49% 3% 8% 45% 46% 1% -4- Aug. 29-31 2008 Aug. 23-24 2008 June 4-5 2008 50% 36% 12% 2% 48% 33% 16% 3% 47% 30% 20% 4% April 28-May 1, 2016 BASED ON 267 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 139 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 406 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. Now, I have a few questions about the Republican Party’s nomination process. As you may know, in order to win the Republican Party’s nomination for president, a candidate must win the support of a majority of the delegates to the Party’s national convention, which will be held in July. If no candidate wins a majority of delegates through the primary and caucus process, as reflected in the first round of voting at the convention, delegates will have additional rounds of voting until a single candidate wins majority support. (QUESTIONS 10 AND 11 ROTATED) 10. If no candidate has won a majority of the delegates after the first round of voting, do you think the delegates should vote for: [READ LIST] (RANDOM ORDER) Apr. 28-May 1 2016 The candidate with the most support in the primaries and caucuses The person they feel would be the best candidate No opinion 11. March 17-20 2016 60% 37% 2% 60% 38% 2% If no candidate for the Republican nomination has a majority of the delegates after the primaries and caucuses are all completed, please tell me how important you think each of the following factors should be in determining the party’s nominee. How about [READ FIRST ITEM], should that be the most important factor, a very important factor but not the most important, a somewhat important factor or is that not an important factor at all? Most important Very important Somewhat important 33% 43% 17% 7% 1% How well the candidate represents the values of the Republican Party Apr. 28-May 1, 2016 25% 44% 23% 8% * The number of delegates the candidate won in the primaries and caucuses Apr. 28-May 1, 2016 22% 37% 29% 10% 1% The candidate’s vice presidential running mate Apr. 28-May 1, 2016 11% 46% 29% 14% * The support a candidate has from Republican Party leaders Apr. 28-May 1, 2016 9% 37% 29% 24% 1% The candidate’s chances to win in November Apr. 28-May 1, 2016 POLL 6 3 -5- Not important No at all opinion April 28-May 1, 2016 BASED ON 267 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 139 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 406 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. (QUESTIONS 12 AND 13 ROTATED) 12. John Kasich has not won enough delegates to be able to win a majority through the primary and caucus process, and could only win the nomination if no one else wins a majority of delegates through the primaries and caucuses. Do you think Kasich should remain in the race or drop out? Apr. 28-May 1 March 17-20 2016 2016 Should remain in Should drop out No opinion 13. 36% 63% 1% 27% 70% 3% Ted Cruz has not won enough delegates to be able to win a majority through the primary and caucus process, and could only win the nomination if no one else wins a majority of delegates through the primaries and caucuses. Do you think Cruz should remain in the race or drop out? Apr. 28-May1 2016 Should remain in Should drop out No opinion POLL 6 3 47% 52% 1% -6- April 28-May 1, 2016 BASED ON 287 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 118 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A TOTAL OF 405 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 14. Who would you MOST like to see win the Democratic nomination for president? [READ LIST] (RANDOM ORDER) Apr. 28-May 1 March 17-20 2016 2016 Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Someone else (vol.) None/no one (vol.) No opinion 51% 43% 3% 1% 2% 51% 44% 2% 1% 2% FOR COMPARISON I'm going to read a list of people who are be running in the Democratic primaries for president this year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president, or if you would support someone else. Clinton Sanders Biden Chafee Lessig O’Malley Webb Someone else (vol.) None/No one (vol.) No opinion POLL 6 3 Feb. 24-27 2016 Jan. 21-24 2016 Dec. 17-21 2015 Nov. 27Dec. 1 2015 Oct. 14-17 2015 Sept. 17-19 2015 Sept. 4-8 2015 Aug. 13-16 2015 July 22-25 2015 June 26-28 2015 55% 38% NA NA NA NA NA 3% 2% 2% 52% 38% NA NA NA 2% NA 7% 1% 1% 50% 34% NA NA NA 3% NA 7% 4% 1% 58% 30% NA NA NA 2% NA 7% 2% 1% 45% 29% 18% * * * 1% 2% 3% 2% 42% 24% 22% * NA 1% * 2% 4% 2% 37% 27% 20% * NA 3% 2% 7% 4% 1% 47% 29% 14% * NA 2% 1% 4% 3% * 56% 19% 15% * NA * 1% 4% 3% 1% 58% 15% 17% * NA 1% 1% 2% 4% 1% -7- April 28-May 1, 2016 BASED ON 287 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 118 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A TOTAL OF 405 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 15. Next I’m going to read the names of the two Democratic candidates for president and ask how you would feel if each of them won the Democratic presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset or upset if that person were the Democratic nominee? Enthusiastic Satisfied but not enthusiastic Dissatisfied but not upset Upset No opinion Hillary Clinton April 28-May 1, 2016 41% 36% 13% 10% * March 17-20, 2016 January 21-24, 2016 September 4-8, 2015 April 16-19, 2015 May 29-June 1, 2014 Apr. 28-30, 2008 Mar. 14-16, 2008 January 9-10, 2008 November 2-4, 2007 34% 37% 43% 58% 41% 33% 38% 45% 39% 45% 38% 35% 26% 42% 38% 37% 39% 39% 10% 15% 13% 9% 10% 20% 17% 9% 13% 11% 10% 9% 6% 5% 9% 8% 7% 8% * * * 1% 1% * * * * QUESTION WORDING PRIOR TO APR 2016: Next I’m going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask you how you would feel if each of them won the Democratic presidential nomination. QUESTION WORDING in 2014: If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic nominee in 2016, would you feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset or upset? QUESTION WORDING MAR – APR 2008: Please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic nominee? Bernie Sanders April 28-May 1, 2016 March 17-20, 2016 January 21-24, 2016 September 4-8, 2015 April 16-19, 2015 41% 36% 15% 8% * 40% 33% 31% 11% 41% 39% 35% 35% 13% 16% 23% 33% 6% 10% 7% 10% 1% 2% 5% 12% DATA SHOWN PRIOR TO SEPTEMBER 2015 IS FOR ALL DEMOCRATS NOT JUST REGISTERED DEMOCRATS 16. What's your best guess -- do you think the Democratic Party is united, do you think it is divided now but will be united by the presidential election in November, or do you think the Democratic Party will be seriously divided in November? Apr. 28-May 1 March 17-20 2016 2016 United now Divided but will be united Still divided in November No opinion POLL 6 3 30% 46% 23% 1% 38% 44% 15% 2% -8- Aug. 29-31 2008 Aug. 23-24 2008 June 4-5 2008 53% 33% 13% 1% 29% 47% 21% 3% 22% 55% 21% 1% April 28-May 1, 2016 BASED ON 878 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 12 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 890 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.) (QUESTIONS 17 AND 18 ROTATED) 17. Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is most likely to win the Democratic nomination for president? (RANDOM ORDER) Apr. 28-May 1 Feb. 24-27 2016 2016 Clinton Sanders Biden Chafee O’Malley Webb Someone else (vol.) No opinion 85% 12% NA NA NA NA 1% 2% Jan. 21-24 2016 Sept. 4-8 2015 63% 28% NA NA 4% NA 2% 2% 55% 13% 22% 1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 70% 25% NA NA NA NA 2% 3% July 22-25 2015 75% 8% 9% * 1% 1% 2% 4% FOR COMPARISON QUESTION WORDING: Just your best guess… regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is most likely to win the Democratic nomination for president this year? Obama Clinton No opinion Apr. 28-30 2008 Jan. 9-10 2008 Oct.12-14 2007 57% 37% 5% 38% 55% 3% 16% 64% 6% DATA SHOWN PRIOR TO SEPTEMBER 2015 IS FOR ALL ADULTS NOT REGISTERED VOTERS POLL 6 3 -9- April 28-May 1, 2016 BASED ON 878 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 12 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 890 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.) 18. Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president next year? (RANDOM ORDER) Apr. 28-May 1 Feb. 24-27 Jan. 21-24 2016 2016 2016 Trump 84% Cruz 10% Kasich 3% Rubio NA Carson NA Bush NA Christie NA Fiorina NA Gilmore NA Graham NA Huckabee NA Jindal NA Pataki NA Paul NA Perry NA Santorum NA Walker NA Someone else (vol.) 1% No opinion 1% 70% 11% 1% 13% 2% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2% 2% 56% 17% 3% 8% 2% 5% 1% 1% * NA * NA NA 1% NA 1% NA 1% 4% Sept. 4-8 July 22-25 2015 2015 41% 3% 2% 4% 9% 22% 2% 1% * 1% 1% * * 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 4% 1% 6% 2% 39% 3% * * 1% 2% * * 3% 1% 1% 11% 2% 6% FOR COMPARISON QUESTION WORDING: Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president this year? Romney Santorum Gingrich Paul Someone else (vol.) Bachmann Cain Huntsman Perry None/ No one (vol.) No opinion Feb. 10-13 2012 Dec. 16-18 2011 Oct. 14-16 2011 Sept. 9-11 2011 68% 13% 11% 5% * N/A N/A N/A N/A 1% 2% 41% 2% 37% 4% * 6% N/A * 4% 2% 3% 51% 1% 3% 3% * 3% 18% * 14% N/A 8% 28% 1% 6% 4% * 3% 5% 1% 41% 3% 2% DATA SHOWN PRIOR TO SEPTEMBER 2015 IS FOR ALL ADULTS NOT REGISTERED VOTERS POLL 6 3 -10- April 28-May 1, 2016 26. We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) Carly Fiorina April 28-May 1, 2016 September 17-19, 2015 August 13-16, 2015 Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion 27% 32% 29% 12% 34% 27% 23% 19% 30% 43% 13% 10% BASED ON 878 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 12 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 890 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.) BASED ON 267 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 139 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 406 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 27. As you may know, Sen. Ted Cruz, who is running for the Republican nomination for president, has selected Carly Fiorina as his vice presidential running mate. Does having Carly Fiorina as his running mate make you more likely to vote for Ted Cruz in November if he were to win his party’s nomination, less likely, or will it not have much effect on your vote? More likely Less likely Not much effect No opinion 28. Registered Republicans Apr. 28-May 1 2016 Apr. 28-May 1 2016 11% 14% 74% 1% 18% 14% 67% 1% Do you think Ted Cruz’s choice of Carly Fiorina reflects favorably or unfavorably on Cruz’s ability to make important presidential decisions? Favorably Unfavorably No opinion POLL 6 3 All Registered Voters All Registered Voters Registered Republicans Apr. 28-May 1 2016 Apr. 28-May 1 2016 43% 47% 11% 55% 39% 5% -11- April 28-May 1, 2016 METHODOLOGY A total of 1,001 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Among the entire sample, 31% described themselves as Democrats, 26% described themselves as Republicans, and 43% described themselves as independents or members of another party. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage. Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "NA". POLL 6 3 -12- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 5 Who would you MOST like to see win the Republican nomination for president? Base = Registered Republicans Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------25% 21% 29% 26% 19% 18% 21% 18% 49% 54% 43% 50% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 19% 49% 3% 3% 1% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----19% 13% 59% 5% 4% * +/-8.5 $50K or more ------30% 20% 44% 3% 3% * +/-6.5 65+ ----15% 21% 59% 2% 1% 2% +/-7.5 College Grad ------30% 21% 42% 4% 2% * +/-8.0 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 19% 49% 3% 3% 1% +/-5.0 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 19% 49% 3% 3% 1% +/-5.0 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 19% 49% 3% 3% 1% +/-5.0 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----25% * N/A N/A 52% 19% * N/A N/A 41% 49% 100% N/A N/A * 3% * N/A N/A 7% 3% * N/A N/A * 1% * N/A N/A * +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----26% 28% 42% 3% 2% * +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----24% 15% 53% 3% 3% 2% +/-6.0 South ----27% 14% 55% 3% * 1% +/-7.5 Under 55 ----31% 21% 41% 4% 2% 1% +/-8.0 55 and Older -----18% 18% 57% 3% 3% 1% +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------23% 19% 51% 3% 3% 2% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----25% 19% 49% 3% 3% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------28% 16% 50% 4% 2% 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----21% 24% 46% 4% 3% 2% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----34% 18% 12% 25% 47% 50% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 2% +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -13- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 6 And if your candidate does not win the Republican nomination for president, who would be your second choice? Base = Registered Republicans with a first choice Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------25% 29% 20% 22% 27% 27% 27% 29% 20% 21% 19% 21% 14% 13% 16% 14% 12% 9% 15% 12% 2% 1% 3% 2% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.5 +/-5.5 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 27% 20% 14% 12% 2% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------23% 24% 27% 12% 12% 2% +/-7.0 65+ ----25% 29% 20% 14% 9% 2% +/-8.0 College Grad ------28% 22% 24% 15% 8% 4% +/-8.0 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 27% 20% 14% 12% 2% +/-5.0 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 27% 20% 14% 12% 2% +/-5.0 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 27% 20% 14% 12% 2% +/-5.0 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----25% 36% N/A N/A 13% 27% 32% N/A N/A 21% 20% * N/A N/A 43% 14% 13% N/A N/A 15% 12% 17% N/A N/A 6% 2% 2% N/A N/A 1% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----31% 15% 27% 16% 9% 2% +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----22% 33% 17% 13% 14% 2% +/-6.0 South ----25% 25% 24% 13% 9% 3% +/-8.0 Under 55 ----24% 31% 22% 13% 8% 1% +/-8.5 55 and Older -----26% 22% 19% 16% 14% 3% +/-6.5 Non College Grad -------24% 29% 19% 14% 13% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----25% 27% 20% 14% 12% 2% +/-5.0 Conservative ------26% 24% 22% 13% 13% 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----27% 25% 22% 15% 9% 2% +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----27% 23% 27% 27% 25% 17% 11% 16% 8% 15% 2% 2% +/-8.0 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -14- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 8A Next I'm going to read the names of the three Republican candidates for president and ask how you would feel if each of them won the Republican presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if that person were the Republican nominee? A. Donald Trump Base = Registered Republicans Total Men Women White ----------------Enthusiastic 39% 42% 35% 41% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 28% 31% 24% 28% Dissatisfied but not upset 14% 12% 15% 13% Upset 19% 13% 25% 17% No opinion 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 39% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 28% Dissatisfied but not upset 14% Upset 19% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 39% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 28% Dissatisfied but not upset 14% Upset 19% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 39% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 28% Dissatisfied but not upset 14% Upset 19% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 39% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 28% Dissatisfied but not upset 14% Upset 19% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----45% 24% 13% 16% 1% +/-8.5 $50K or more ------35% 31% 17% 17% * +/-6.5 65+ ----46% 31% 12% 9% 2% +/-7.5 College Grad ------33% 26% 21% 19% 1% +/-8.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----32% 33% 13% 21% 2% +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----42% 25% 14% 18% * +/-6.0 South ----43% 30% 13% 13% 1% +/-7.5 Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----Enthusiastic 39% 76% N/A N/A 2% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 28% 19% N/A N/A 36% Dissatisfied but not upset 14% 2% N/A N/A 23% Upset 19% 1% N/A N/A 38% No opinion 1% 1% N/A N/A * Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Under 55 ----30% 29% 15% 26% * +/-8.0 55 and Older -----47% 27% 13% 12% 2% +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------40% 29% 11% 19% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----39% 28% 14% 19% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------41% 28% 14% 16% * +/-6.0 Suburban ----36% 29% 17% 16% 2% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----44% 35% 24% 30% 15% 13% 17% 21% * 2% +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -15- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 8B Next I'm going to read the names of the three Republican candidates for president and ask how you would feel if each of them won the Republican presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if that person were the Republican nominee? B. Ted Cruz Base = Registered Republicans Total Men Women White ----------------Enthusiastic 21% 22% 19% 22% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 32% 30% 33% 31% Dissatisfied but not upset 23% 25% 21% 23% Upset 22% 20% 24% 22% No opinion 2% 2% 2% 2% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 21% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 32% Dissatisfied but not upset 23% Upset 22% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 21% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 32% Dissatisfied but not upset 23% Upset 22% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 21% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 32% Dissatisfied but not upset 23% Upset 22% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 21% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 32% Dissatisfied but not upset 23% Upset 22% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----20% 27% 23% 29% 1% +/-8.5 $50K or more ------24% 30% 20% 26% 1% +/-6.5 65+ ----10% 43% 25% 18% 4% +/-7.5 College Grad ------24% 31% 25% 19% 1% +/-8.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----20% 34% 22% 22% 2% +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----21% 31% 24% 23% 1% +/-6.0 South ----23% 34% 18% 23% 1% +/-7.5 Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----Enthusiastic 21% 7% N/A N/A 37% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 32% 32% N/A N/A 33% Dissatisfied but not upset 23% 30% N/A N/A 13% Upset 22% 28% N/A N/A 16% No opinion 2% 3% N/A N/A * Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Under 55 ----27% 30% 21% 21% 1% +/-8.0 55 and Older -----14% 34% 25% 24% 3% +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------20% 32% 22% 24% 2% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----21% 32% 23% 22% 2% +/-5.0 Conservative ------25% 32% 19% 23% 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----19% 29% 28% 22% 3% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----36% 11% 28% 35% 16% 29% 20% 24% 2% 2% +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -16- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 8C Next I'm going to read the names of the three Republican candidates for president and ask how you would feel if each of them won the Republican presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if that person were the Republican nominee? C. John Kasich Base = Registered Republicans Total Men Women White ----------------Enthusiastic 16% 13% 19% 16% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 44% 48% 38% 43% Dissatisfied but not upset 25% 23% 27% 25% Upset 14% 14% 13% 14% No opinion 2% 2% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 16% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 44% Dissatisfied but not upset 25% Upset 14% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 16% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 44% Dissatisfied but not upset 25% Upset 14% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 16% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 44% Dissatisfied but not upset 25% Upset 14% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Enthusiastic 16% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 44% Dissatisfied but not upset 25% Upset 14% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----11% 39% 22% 27% 1% +/-8.5 $50K or more ------18% 43% 25% 13% * +/-6.5 65+ ----20% 41% 26% 9% 4% +/-7.5 College Grad ------18% 40% 30% 10% 2% +/-8.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----22% 34% 28% 14% 2% +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----13% 49% 24% 14% 1% +/-6.0 South ----13% 44% 30% 10% 2% +/-7.5 Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----Enthusiastic 16% 6% N/A N/A 28% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 44% 42% N/A N/A 44% Dissatisfied but not upset 25% 31% N/A N/A 19% Upset 14% 19% N/A N/A 8% No opinion 2% 2% N/A N/A 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Under 55 ----17% 48% 26% 9% * +/-8.0 55 and Older -----16% 38% 23% 20% 3% +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------15% 45% 22% 16% 2% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----16% 44% 25% 14% 2% +/-5.0 Conservative ------16% 41% 26% 16% 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----19% 46% 23% 9% 3% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----11% 20% 48% 40% 24% 26% 16% 12% 1% 2% +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -17- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 9 What's your best guess -- do you think the Republican Party is united, do you think it is divided now but will be united by the presidential election in November, or do you think the Republican party will be seriously divided in November? Base = Registered Republicans United now Divided but will be united Still divided in November No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------7% 8% 6% 6% 41% 43% 40% 42% 49% 47% 51% 49% 3% 2% 3% 3% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 United now Divided but will be united Still divided in November No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 41% 49% 3% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----9% 35% 53% 3% +/-8.5 $50K or more ------7% 37% 56% * +/-6.5 65+ ----5% 59% 31% 5% +/-7.5 College Grad ------4% 45% 51% 1% +/-8.0 United now Divided but will be united Still divided in November No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 41% 49% 3% +/-5.0 United now Divided but will be united Still divided in November No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 41% 49% 3% +/-5.0 United now Divided but will be united Still divided in November No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 41% 49% 3% +/-5.0 United now Divided but will be united Still divided in November No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----7% 8% N/A N/A 7% 41% 52% N/A N/A 32% 49% 37% N/A N/A 60% 3% 4% N/A N/A 1% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----6% 38% 53% 3% +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----7% 43% 47% 3% +/-6.0 South ----11% 50% 34% 4% +/-7.5 Under 55 ----7% 36% 56% 1% +/-8.0 55 and Older -----6% 47% 42% 5% +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------8% 40% 49% 4% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----7% 41% 49% 3% +/-5.0 Conservative ------7% 46% 45% 2% +/-6.0 Suburban ----7% 42% 49% 2% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----7% 7% 48% 37% 45% 52% 1% 4% +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -18- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 10 If no candidate has won a majority of the delegates after the first round of voting, do you think the delegates should vote for: Base = Registered Republicans Candidate with most support The best candidate No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------60% 62% 58% 63% 37% 34% 41% 34% 2% 3% 1% 3% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Candidate with most support The best candidate No opinion Sampling Error Total ----60% 37% 2% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----62% 33% 5% +/-8.5 $50K or more ------60% 37% 2% +/-6.5 65+ ----65% 32% 3% +/-7.5 College Grad ------58% 41% 1% +/-8.0 Candidate with most support The best candidate No opinion Sampling Error Total ----60% 37% 2% +/-5.0 Candidate with most support The best candidate No opinion Sampling Error Total ----60% 37% 2% +/-5.0 Candidate with most support The best candidate No opinion Sampling Error Total ----60% 37% 2% +/-5.0 Candidate with most support The best candidate No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----60% 79% N/A N/A 42% 37% 19% N/A N/A 55% 2% 2% N/A N/A 3% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A Independent -----60% 38% 2% +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A Republican -----60% 37% 2% +/-6.0 South ----64% 34% 2% +/-7.5 Under 55 ----57% 42% 2% +/-8.0 55 and Older -----63% 33% 3% +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------61% 37% 3% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----60% 37% 2% +/-5.0 Conservative ------64% 33% 3% +/-6.0 Suburban ----61% 37% 2% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----63% 58% 34% 40% 3% 2% +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -19- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 11A If no candidate for the Republican nomination has a majority of the delegates after the primaries and caucuses are all completed, please tell me how important you think each of the following factors should be in determining the party's nominee. How about [...], should that be the most important factor, a very important factor but not the most important, a somewhat important factor or is that not an important factor at all? A. The number of delegates the candidate won in the primaries and caucuses Base = Registered Republicans The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------22% 25% 19% 22% 37% 38% 37% 37% 29% 25% 34% 30% 10% 11% 9% 10% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----22% 37% 29% 10% 1% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----24% 35% 26% 13% 3% +/-8.5 $50K or more ------25% 37% 28% 9% * +/-6.5 65+ ----23% 41% 24% 12% * +/-7.5 College Grad ------17% 40% 31% 12% * +/-8.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----22% 37% 29% 10% 1% +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----22% 37% 29% 10% 1% +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----22% 37% 29% 10% 1% +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----22% 32% N/A N/A 13% 37% 37% N/A N/A 36% 29% 20% N/A N/A 40% 10% 9% N/A N/A 11% 1% 2% N/A N/A * +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----23% 37% 30% 8% 2% +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----22% 38% 29% 11% 1% +/-6.0 South ----26% 37% 27% 9% 2% +/-7.5 Under 55 ----20% 36% 35% 8% * +/-8.0 55 and Older -----23% 40% 23% 13% 3% +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------24% 36% 29% 9% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----22% 37% 29% 10% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------26% 38% 27% 10% * +/-6.0 Suburban ----21% 36% 32% 10% 1% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----25% 20% 32% 42% 33% 26% 9% 10% * 2% +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -20- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 11B If no candidate for the Republican nomination has a majority of the delegates after the primaries and caucuses are all completed, please tell me how important you think each of the following factors should be in determining the party's nominee. How about [...], should that be the most important factor, a very important factor but not the most important, a somewhat important factor or is that not an important factor at all? B. The candidate's vice presidential running mate Base = Registered Republicans The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------11% 9% 14% 11% 46% 42% 50% 43% 29% 33% 24% 31% 14% 16% 11% 15% * * * * +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----11% 46% 29% 14% * +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----11% 44% 31% 13% * +/-8.5 $50K or more ------9% 45% 31% 16% * +/-6.5 65+ ----9% 49% 28% 13% 1% +/-7.5 College Grad ------9% 39% 37% 14% * +/-8.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----11% 46% 29% 14% * +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----11% 46% 29% 14% * +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----11% 46% 29% 14% * +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----11% 11% N/A N/A 10% 46% 45% N/A N/A 45% 29% 33% N/A N/A 28% 14% 11% N/A N/A 17% * * N/A N/A * +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----14% 37% 33% 17% * +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----9% 50% 27% 13% * +/-6.0 South ----11% 50% 32% 8% * +/-7.5 Under 55 ----11% 44% 32% 13% * +/-8.0 55 and Older -----10% 47% 27% 15% * +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------12% 47% 26% 14% * +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----11% 46% 29% 14% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------12% 47% 28% 13% * +/-6.0 Suburban ----13% 41% 35% 12% * +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----12% 11% 51% 41% 27% 31% 9% 18% * * +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -21- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 11C If no candidate for the Republican nomination has a majority of the delegates after the primaries and caucuses are all completed, please tell me how important you think each of the following factors should be in determining the party's nominee. How about [...], should that be the most important factor, a very important factor but not the most important, a somewhat important factor or is that not an important factor at all? C. The candidate's chances to win in November Base = Registered Republicans The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------33% 29% 37% 33% 43% 44% 42% 42% 17% 18% 15% 17% 7% 9% 4% 7% 1% * 1% 1% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----33% 43% 17% 7% 1% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----30% 45% 18% 7% 1% +/-8.5 $50K or more ------28% 44% 20% 7% 1% +/-6.5 65+ ----36% 45% 11% 6% 3% +/-7.5 College Grad ------39% 39% 13% 8% 1% +/-8.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----33% 43% 17% 7% 1% +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----33% 43% 17% 7% 1% +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----33% 43% 17% 7% 1% +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----33% 34% N/A N/A 32% 43% 45% N/A N/A 41% 17% 11% N/A N/A 22% 7% 9% N/A N/A 5% 1% 1% N/A N/A 1% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----31% 38% 22% 7% 1% +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----33% 45% 14% 6% 1% +/-6.0 South ----36% 46% 10% 7% 1% +/-7.5 Under 55 ----31% 41% 21% 7% * +/-8.0 55 and Older -----34% 45% 12% 7% 2% +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------30% 44% 19% 6% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----33% 43% 17% 7% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------35% 45% 11% 9% 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----28% 45% 20% 7% 1% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----35% 31% 43% 43% 15% 18% 7% 7% 1% 1% +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -22- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 11D If no candidate for the Republican nomination has a majority of the delegates after the primaries and caucuses are all completed, please tell me how important you think each of the following factors should be in determining the party's nominee. How about [...], should that be the most important factor, a very important factor but not the most important, a somewhat important factor or is that not an important factor at all? D. The support a candidate has from Republican Party leaders Base = Registered Republicans The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------9% 8% 11% 9% 37% 33% 41% 38% 29% 28% 30% 28% 24% 30% 17% 24% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 37% 29% 24% 1% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----7% 34% 29% 29% 2% +/-8.5 $50K or more ------9% 38% 27% 26% 1% +/-6.5 65+ ----13% 36% 30% 20% 1% +/-7.5 College Grad ------7% 40% 26% 26% 1% +/-8.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 37% 29% 24% 1% +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 37% 29% 24% 1% +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 37% 29% 24% 1% +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----9% 12% N/A N/A 5% 37% 36% N/A N/A 38% 29% 29% N/A N/A 31% 24% 22% N/A N/A 26% 1% 2% N/A N/A * +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----8% 25% 36% 29% 2% +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----10% 43% 25% 21% * +/-6.0 South ----9% 41% 27% 22% 2% +/-7.5 Under 55 ----8% 39% 29% 25% * +/-8.0 55 and Older -----10% 35% 29% 23% 2% +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------10% 36% 30% 23% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----9% 37% 29% 24% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------10% 41% 20% 28% 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----11% 37% 30% 21% 1% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----9% 10% 46% 30% 22% 34% 22% 25% 1% 1% +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -23- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 11E If no candidate for the Republican nomination has a majority of the delegates after the primaries and caucuses are all completed, please tell me how important you think each of the following factors should be in determining the party's nominee. How about [...], should that be the most important factor, a very important factor but not the most important, a somewhat important factor or is that not an important factor at all? E. How well the candidate represents the values of the Republican Party Base = Registered Republicans The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------25% 21% 29% 25% 44% 41% 49% 43% 23% 27% 18% 23% 8% 12% 3% 8% * * 1% * +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 44% 23% 8% * +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----24% 41% 24% 11% * +/-8.5 $50K or more ------24% 42% 24% 11% * +/-6.5 65+ ----21% 45% 24% 8% 2% +/-7.5 College Grad ------25% 44% 23% 7% 1% +/-8.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 44% 23% 8% * +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 44% 23% 8% * +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 44% 23% 8% * +/-5.0 The most important factor Very important Somewhat important Not important at all No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----25% 24% N/A N/A 25% 44% 40% N/A N/A 50% 23% 26% N/A N/A 20% 8% 9% N/A N/A 5% * * N/A N/A * +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----15% 46% 29% 9% 1% +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----30% 43% 20% 7% * +/-6.0 South ----18% 56% 16% 8% * +/-7.5 Under 55 ----27% 43% 24% 6% * +/-8.0 55 and Older -----22% 45% 22% 10% 1% +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------25% 44% 23% 8% * +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----25% 44% 23% 8% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------27% 45% 20% 8% 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----26% 37% 31% 6% * +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----25% 25% 44% 45% 22% 23% 8% 7% 1% * +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -24- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 12 John Kasich has not won enough delegates to be able to win a majority through the primary and caucus process, and could only win the nomination if no one else wins a majority of delegates through the primaries and caucuses. Do you think Kasich should remain in the race or drop out? Base = Registered Republicans Should remain in Should drop out No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------36% 34% 38% 35% 63% 65% 60% 64% 1% 1% 2% 1% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Should remain in Should drop out No opinion Sampling Error Total ----36% 63% 1% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----32% 68% * +/-8.5 $50K or more ------34% 65% 1% +/-6.5 65+ ----33% 66% 2% +/-7.5 College Grad ------34% 64% 1% +/-8.0 Should remain in Should drop out No opinion Sampling Error Total ----36% 63% 1% +/-5.0 Should remain in Should drop out No opinion Sampling Error Total ----36% 63% 1% +/-5.0 Should remain in Should drop out No opinion Sampling Error Total ----36% 63% 1% +/-5.0 Should remain in Should drop out No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----36% 18% N/A N/A 52% 63% 81% N/A N/A 46% 1% * N/A N/A 2% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A Independent -----43% 57% 1% +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A Republican -----33% 66% 1% +/-6.0 South ----31% 69% 1% +/-7.5 Under 55 ----40% 59% 1% +/-8.0 55 and Older -----32% 67% 1% +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------38% 62% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----36% 63% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------27% 72% 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----39% 59% 1% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----29% 41% 69% 58% 2% 1% +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -25- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 13 Ted Cruz has not won enough delegates to be able to win a majority through the primary and caucus process, and could only win the nomination if no one else wins a majority of delegates through the primaries and caucuses. Do you think Cruz should remain in the race or drop out? Base = Registered Republicans Should remain in Should drop out No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------47% 45% 50% 47% 52% 54% 49% 52% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Should remain in Should drop out No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 52% 1% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----44% 56% * +/-8.5 $50K or more ------51% 49% * +/-6.5 65+ ----39% 60% 2% +/-7.5 College Grad ------56% 44% * +/-8.0 Should remain in Should drop out No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 52% 1% +/-5.0 Should remain in Should drop out No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 52% 1% +/-5.0 Should remain in Should drop out No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 52% 1% +/-5.0 Should remain in Should drop out No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----47% 25% N/A N/A 71% 52% 74% N/A N/A 28% 1% 1% N/A N/A 1% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A Independent -----50% 50% * +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A Republican -----46% 53% 1% +/-6.0 South ----47% 52% * +/-7.5 Under 55 ----56% 44% 1% +/-8.0 55 and Older -----39% 60% 1% +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------44% 55% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----47% 52% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------48% 51% 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----46% 54% * +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----55% 42% 44% 58% 1% * +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -26- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 14 Who would you MOST like to see win the Democratic nomination for president? Base = Registered Democrats Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------51% 51% 52% 49% 43% 44% 42% 44% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% +/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----51% 43% 3% 1% 2% +/-5.0 Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------51% 47% 43% 48% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 4% +/-5.0 +/-8.0 Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----51% 43% 3% 1% 2% +/-5.0 Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----51% 43% 3% 1% 2% +/-5.0 Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----51% 43% 3% 1% 2% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----58% 36% 2% 1% 3% +/-6.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------54% 40% 3% 1% 1% +/-7.0 65+ ----78% 19% * 1% 1% +/-8.0 College Grad ------55% 36% 2% 3% 4% +/-7.0 Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ------ ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 55 ----40% 53% 3% 1% 3% +/-7.5 55 and Older -----72% 25% 1% 1% 1% +/-6.5 Non College Grad -------49% 47% 2% * 1% +/-7.0 Lean Democrat -----51% 43% 3% 1% 2% +/-5.0 Liberal ----46% 48% * 1% 5% +/-7.0 Moderate ----50% 45% 3% 1% * +/-8.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----52% 43% 1% 1% 3% +/-8.0 Clinton Sanders ------- ------100% * * 100% * * * * * * +/-6.5 +/-8.5 Lean Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----51% 41% 5% 2% 2% +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----N/A 50% N/A 44% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -27- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 15A Next I'm going to read the names of the two Democratic candidates for president and ask how you would feel if each of them won the Democratic presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if that person were the Democratic nominee? A. Hillary Clinton Base = Registered Democrats Enthusiastic Satisfied, not enthusiastic Dissatisfied but not upset Upset No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------41% 36% 44% 33% 36% 37% 36% 45% 13% 14% 12% 13% 10% 12% 9% 9% * * * * +/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 Enthusiastic Satisfied, not enthusiastic Dissatisfied but not upset Upset No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 36% 13% 10% * +/-5.0 Enthusiastic Satisfied, not enthusiastic Dissatisfied but not upset Upset No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------41% 41% 36% 33% 13% 14% 10% 11% * * +/-5.0 +/-8.0 Enthusiastic Satisfied, not enthusiastic Dissatisfied but not upset Upset No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 36% 13% 10% * +/-5.0 Enthusiastic Satisfied, not enthusiastic Dissatisfied but not upset Upset No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 36% 13% 10% * +/-5.0 Enthusiastic Satisfied, not enthusiastic Dissatisfied but not upset Upset No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 36% 13% 10% * +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----49% 32% 10% 9% * +/-6.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------37% 44% 12% 7% * +/-7.0 65+ ----53% 39% 5% 3% * +/-8.0 College Grad ------46% 38% 11% 5% * +/-7.0 Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ------ ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 55 ----34% 38% 16% 12% * +/-7.5 55 and Older -----54% 36% 6% 3% * +/-6.5 Non College Grad -------37% 37% 14% 12% * +/-7.0 Lean Democrat -----41% 36% 13% 10% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----39% 38% 11% 12% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----34% 42% 16% 7% * +/-8.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----38% 36% 16% 10% * +/-8.0 Clinton Sanders ------- ------71% 10% 27% 44% 2% 26% 1% 20% * * +/-6.5 +/-8.5 Lean Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----47% 36% 10% 7% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----N/A 40% N/A 36% N/A 13% N/A 10% N/A * +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -28- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 15B Next I'm going to read the names of the two Democratic candidates for president and ask how you would feel if each of them won the Democratic presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if that person were the Democratic nominee? B. Bernie Sanders Base = Registered Democrats Enthusiastic Satisfied, not enthusiastic Dissatisfied but not upset Upset No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------41% 45% 38% 42% 36% 32% 39% 35% 15% 16% 14% 16% 8% 6% 10% 7% * * * * +/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 Enthusiastic Satisfied, not enthusiastic Dissatisfied but not upset Upset No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 36% 15% 8% * +/-5.0 Enthusiastic Satisfied, not enthusiastic Dissatisfied but not upset Upset No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------41% 39% 36% 42% 15% 12% 8% 7% * * +/-5.0 +/-8.0 Enthusiastic Satisfied, not enthusiastic Dissatisfied but not upset Upset No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 36% 15% 8% * +/-5.0 Enthusiastic Satisfied, not enthusiastic Dissatisfied but not upset Upset No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 36% 15% 8% * +/-5.0 Enthusiastic Satisfied, not enthusiastic Dissatisfied but not upset Upset No opinion Sampling Error Total ----41% 36% 15% 8% * +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----42% 36% 14% 9% * +/-6.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------43% 32% 18% 7% * +/-7.0 65+ ----20% 45% 25% 9% * +/-8.0 College Grad ------43% 36% 15% 5% * +/-7.0 Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ------ ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 55 ----51% 32% 10% 7% * +/-7.5 55 and Older -----22% 45% 26% 7% * +/-6.5 Non College Grad -------40% 37% 15% 8% * +/-7.0 Lean Democrat -----41% 36% 15% 8% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----48% 32% 15% 5% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----39% 37% 18% 6% * +/-8.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----48% 33% 13% 5% * +/-8.0 Clinton Sanders ------- ------16% 75% 46% 24% 25% 1% 13% * * * +/-6.5 +/-8.5 Lean Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----39% 36% 15% 9% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----N/A 42% N/A 36% N/A 13% N/A 8% N/A * +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -29- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 16 What's your best guess -- do you think the Democratic Party is united, do you think it is divided now but will be united by the presidential election in November, or do you think the Democratic Party will be seriously divided in November? Base = Registered Democrats United now Divided but will be united Still divided in November No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------30% 38% 25% 34% 46% 45% 46% 48% 23% 17% 27% 17% 1% * 2% 1% +/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 United now Divided but will be united Still divided in November No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 46% 23% 1% +/-5.0 United now Divided but will be united Still divided in November No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------30% 24% 46% 42% 23% 34% 1% * +/-5.0 +/-8.0 United now Divided but will be united Still divided in November No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 46% 23% 1% +/-5.0 United now Divided but will be united Still divided in November No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 46% 23% 1% +/-5.0 United now Divided but will be united Still divided in November No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 46% 23% 1% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----33% 46% 20% 2% +/-6.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------33% 52% 15% 1% +/-7.0 65+ ----37% 51% 12% * +/-8.0 College Grad ------33% 53% 15% * +/-7.0 Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Non Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ------ ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 55 ----26% 43% 29% 2% +/-7.5 55 and Older -----36% 51% 14% * +/-6.5 Non College Grad -------28% 42% 29% 2% +/-7.0 Lean Democrat -----30% 46% 23% 1% +/-5.0 Liberal ----29% 48% 22% 1% +/-7.0 Moderate ----35% 49% 16% * +/-8.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----33% 41% 24% 2% +/-8.0 Clinton Sanders ------- ------40% 20% 46% 46% 15% 31% * 3% +/-6.5 +/-8.5 Lean Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----28% 49% 23% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----N/A 30% N/A 45% N/A 24% N/A 1% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -30- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 17 Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is most likely to win the Democratic nomination for president? Base = Registered Voters Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------85% 86% 84% 86% 12% 12% 12% 10% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% * 3% 1% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----85% 12% 1% 2% +/-3.5 Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------85% 75% 12% 20% 1% 2% 2% 3% +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----85% 12% 1% 2% +/-3.5 Democrat ----87% 12% * 1% +/-6.0 Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----85% 12% 1% 2% +/-3.5 North east ----89% 9% * 1% +/-7.0 Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----85% 78% N/A N/A 95% 12% 17% N/A N/A 3% 1% 4% N/A N/A 1% 2% 1% N/A N/A * +/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----85% 13% 1% 1% +/-7.5 5064 ----87% 9% 2% 1% +/-6.0 $50K or more ------93% 5% 2% 1% +/-4.5 65+ ----91% 7% * 1% +/-5.5 College Grad ------91% 7% 1% 1% +/-5.0 Independent -----83% 13% 2% 2% +/-5.5 Midwest ----80% 13% 5% 1% +/-7.0 Non-White --------81% 15% * 4% +/-7.5 Republican -----85% 11% 3% 2% +/-6.0 South ----85% 12% 1% 2% +/-5.5 Under 55 ----82% 14% 2% 2% +/-5.0 55 and Older -----89% 8% 1% 2% +/-4.5 Non College Grad -------81% 14% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----86% 13% * 1% +/-5.0 Liberal ----84% 14% * 2% +/-6.5 Moderate ----89% 8% 1% 2% +/-5.5 West ----84% 13% * 3% +/-7.0 Urban ----84% 13% 1% 2% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----86% 10% 2% 2% +/-5.0 Conservative ------81% 14% 3% 2% +/-5.5 Suburban ----86% 10% 2% 3% +/-5.0 Rural ----85% 13% 2% 1% +/-7.0 White All Clinton Sanders Evang. Others ------- ------- ----- -----99% 73% 87% 84% 1% 27% 9% 13% * * 4% 1% * * * 2% +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -31- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 18 Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president? Base = Registered Voters Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------10% 7% 13% 5% 3% 4% 3% 2% 84% 86% 81% 90% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 3% 84% 1% 1% +/-3.5 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------10% 15% 3% 6% 84% 77% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 3% 84% 1% 1% +/-3.5 Democrat ----13% 4% 81% 1% 1% +/-6.0 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 3% 84% 1% 1% +/-3.5 North east ----9% 5% 85% 1% 1% +/-7.0 Ted Cruz John Kasich Donald Trump Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----10% 2% N/A N/A 9% 3% * N/A N/A 3% 84% 97% N/A N/A 85% 1% * N/A N/A * 1% * N/A N/A 3% +/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----13% 3% 83% * 1% +/-7.5 5064 ----10% 1% 86% * 2% +/-6.0 $50K or more ------5% 2% 91% 1% 1% +/-4.5 65+ ----5% 5% 86% 2% 3% +/-5.5 College Grad ------6% 2% 88% 1% 2% +/-5.0 Independent -----9% 4% 82% 3% 2% +/-5.5 Midwest ----10% 6% 80% 3% 1% +/-7.0 Non-White --------20% 7% 71% 1% 1% +/-7.5 Republican -----8% 2% 89% * 1% +/-6.0 South ----12% 2% 84% 1% 1% +/-5.5 Under 55 ----11% 4% 83% 1% 1% +/-5.0 55 and Older -----8% 3% 85% 1% 3% +/-4.5 Non College Grad -------12% 4% 82% 1% 1% +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----12% 6% 80% 1% 1% +/-5.0 Liberal ----9% 4% 86% 1% 1% +/-6.5 Moderate ----8% 3% 86% 1% 2% +/-5.5 West ----9% 2% 85% 2% 2% +/-7.0 Urban ----15% 4% 79% 1% 1% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----6% 1% 91% * 2% +/-5.0 Conservative ------12% 4% 81% 2% 1% +/-5.5 Suburban ----7% 3% 88% * 1% +/-5.0 Rural ----8% 4% 83% 3% 1% +/-7.0 White All Clinton Sanders Evang. Others ------- ------- ----- -----11% 13% 9% 11% 6% 6% 3% 4% 80% 81% 86% 83% 2% * 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -32- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 26F We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. F. Carly Fiorina Base = Total Sample Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------27% 26% 27% 30% 32% 35% 30% 37% 12% 13% 11% 11% 29% 26% 32% 22% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 32% 12% 29% * +/-3.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------27% 20% 32% 29% 12% 13% 29% 38% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 32% 12% 29% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----16% 43% 13% 29% * +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----27% 32% 12% 29% * +/-3.0 North east ----24% 30% 17% 29% * +/-6.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----27% 35% N/A N/A 61% 32% 33% N/A N/A 21% 12% 12% N/A N/A 8% 29% 20% N/A N/A 9% * * N/A N/A * +/-3.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 1834 ----16% 28% 9% 47% * +/-8.0 3549 ----32% 30% 12% 26% * +/-7.5 5064 ----27% 36% 15% 22% * +/-5.5 $50K or more ------33% 38% 12% 17% * +/-4.5 65+ ----35% 38% 12% 14% 1% +/-5.0 College Grad ------33% 42% 9% 16% * +/-5.0 Independent -----25% 27% 12% 35% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----28% 30% 9% 33% * +/-6.5 Non-White --------19% 25% 15% 41% * +/-6.5 Republican -----43% 29% 10% 18% * +/-6.0 South ----26% 34% 11% 30% * +/-5.5 Under 55 ----23% 29% 12% 36% * +/-4.5 55 and Older -----32% 39% 12% 17% * +/-4.0 Non College Grad -------23% 29% 13% 34% * +/-4.0 Lean Democrat -----15% 40% 13% 31% * +/-4.5 Liberal ----16% 41% 15% 28% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----25% 33% 11% 31% * +/-5.0 West ----30% 34% 12% 24% 1% +/-6.5 Urban ----22% 35% 10% 33% * +/-5.5 Lean Republican -----43% 27% 10% 20% * +/-4.5 Conservative ------38% 25% 10% 27% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----30% 32% 13% 25% * +/-4.5 Rural ----25% 33% 12% 30% * +/-6.5 White All Clinton Sanders Evang. Others ------- ------- ----- -----16% 18% 40% 23% 45% 42% 26% 34% 14% 11% 13% 12% 25% 30% 21% 31% * * * * +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-6.0 +/-3.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -33- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 26F We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. F. Carly Fiorina Base = Registered Voters Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------30% 30% 30% 32% 34% 38% 31% 38% 11% 11% 11% 10% 25% 21% 27% 20% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 34% 11% 25% * +/-3.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------30% 23% 34% 31% 11% 11% 25% 35% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 34% 11% 25% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----17% 44% 13% 26% * +/-6.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----30% 34% 11% 25% * +/-3.5 North east ----28% 33% 14% 25% * +/-7.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----30% 35% N/A N/A 61% 34% 33% N/A N/A 21% 11% 12% N/A N/A 8% 25% 20% N/A N/A 9% * * N/A N/A * +/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----32% 32% 10% 25% 1% +/-7.5 5064 ----30% 38% 14% 19% * +/-6.0 $50K or more ------34% 39% 12% 14% * +/-4.5 65+ ----35% 41% 10% 13% * +/-5.5 College Grad ------35% 44% 8% 13% 1% +/-5.0 Independent -----28% 30% 11% 30% * +/-5.5 Midwest ----30% 32% 9% 28% * +/-7.0 Non-White --------23% 29% 13% 34% * +/-7.5 Republican -----47% 30% 9% 15% * +/-6.0 South ----27% 33% 10% 30% * +/-5.5 Under 55 ----26% 32% 12% 31% * +/-5.0 55 and Older -----34% 40% 10% 15% * +/-4.5 Non College Grad -------26% 31% 13% 30% * +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----17% 44% 12% 28% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----17% 48% 14% 22% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----28% 37% 10% 25% * +/-5.5 West ----34% 39% 12% 13% 1% +/-7.0 Urban ----24% 38% 10% 28% * +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----47% 27% 10% 16% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------40% 25% 10% 25% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----33% 35% 12% 20% * +/-5.0 Rural ----28% 34% 11% 27% * +/-7.0 White All Clinton Sanders Evang. Others ------- ------- ----- -----16% 18% 42% 26% 45% 42% 24% 38% 14% 11% 13% 11% 25% 30% 21% 26% * * * * +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -34- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 26F We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. F. Carly Fiorina Base = Registered Republicans Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------47% 47% 48% 46% 27% 28% 25% 26% 10% 11% 9% 11% 16% 15% 18% 17% * * * * +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 27% 10% 16% * +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----47% 31% 11% 11% * +/-8.5 $50K or more ------52% 27% 10% 11% * +/-6.5 65+ ----53% 24% 11% 12% * +/-7.5 College Grad ------59% 21% 8% 12% * +/-8.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 27% 10% 16% * +/-5.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 27% 10% 16% * +/-5.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 27% 10% 16% * +/-5.0 Favorable opinion Unfavorable opinion Heard of, no opinion Never heard of No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----47% 35% N/A N/A 61% 27% 33% N/A N/A 21% 10% 12% N/A N/A 8% 16% 20% N/A N/A 9% * * N/A N/A * +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----48% 21% 12% 19% * +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----47% 30% 9% 15% * +/-6.0 South ----48% 25% 7% 19% * +/-7.5 Under 55 ----40% 28% 12% 20% * +/-8.0 55 and Older -----54% 25% 8% 12% * +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------42% 29% 11% 18% * +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----47% 27% 10% 16% * +/-5.0 Conservative ------50% 26% 9% 16% * +/-6.0 Suburban ----50% 25% 12% 13% * +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----51% 44% 20% 32% 13% 8% 16% 16% * * +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -35- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 27 As you may know, Sen. Ted Cruz, who is running for the Republican nomination for president, has selected Carly Fiorina as his vice presidential running mate. Does having Carly Fiorina as his running mate make you more likely to vote for Ted Cruz in November if he were to win his partys nomination, less likely, or will it not have much effect on your vote? Base = Registered Voters More likely Less likely Not much effect No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------11% 11% 11% 11% 14% 17% 12% 15% 74% 71% 77% 73% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 More likely Less likely Not much effect No opinion Sampling Error Total ----11% 14% 74% 1% +/-3.5 More likely Less likely Not much effect No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------11% 11% 14% 15% 74% 73% 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-5.5 More likely Less likely Not much effect No opinion Sampling Error Total ----11% 14% 74% 1% +/-3.5 Democrat ----6% 17% 76% 1% +/-6.0 More likely Less likely Not much effect No opinion Sampling Error Total ----11% 14% 74% 1% +/-3.5 North east ----13% 13% 75% * +/-7.0 More likely Less likely Not much effect No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----11% 12% N/A N/A 24% 14% 22% N/A N/A 8% 74% 65% N/A N/A 69% 1% 1% N/A N/A * +/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----13% 10% 77% 1% +/-7.5 5064 ----13% 18% 68% 1% +/-6.0 $50K or more ------11% 12% 77% * +/-4.5 65+ ----13% 21% 65% 1% +/-5.5 College Grad ------11% 13% 75% 1% +/-5.0 Independent -----10% 9% 79% 1% +/-5.5 Midwest ----12% 13% 75% * +/-7.0 Non-White --------11% 11% 78% * +/-7.5 Republican -----19% 17% 64% * +/-6.0 South ----8% 14% 76% 2% +/-5.5 Under 55 ----10% 10% 80% * +/-5.0 55 and Older -----13% 20% 65% 2% +/-4.5 Non College Grad -------11% 15% 73% 1% +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----5% 16% 78% 1% +/-5.0 Liberal ----5% 16% 78% 1% +/-6.5 Moderate ----11% 15% 73% 1% +/-5.5 West ----14% 15% 69% 2% +/-7.0 Urban ----8% 15% 76% * +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----18% 14% 67% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------15% 12% 72% 1% +/-5.5 Suburban ----11% 14% 73% 1% +/-5.0 Rural ----15% 13% 70% 1% +/-7.0 White All Clinton Sanders Evang. Others ------- ------- ----- -----3% 6% 11% 11% 17% 15% 12% 14% 79% 78% 77% 73% 1% 1% * 1% +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -36- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 27 As you may know, Sen. Ted Cruz, who is running for the Republican nomination for president, has selected Carly Fiorina as his vice presidential running mate. Does having Carly Fiorina as his running mate make you more likely to vote for Ted Cruz in November if he were to win his partys nomination, less likely, or will it not have much effect on your vote? Base = Registered Republicans More likely Less likely Not much effect No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------18% 17% 18% 17% 14% 15% 13% 14% 67% 67% 68% 68% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 More likely Less likely Not much effect No opinion Sampling Error Total ----18% 14% 67% 1% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----21% 19% 58% 2% +/-8.5 $50K or more ------19% 11% 70% * +/-6.5 65+ ----19% 15% 65% 1% +/-7.5 College Grad ------24% 12% 64% * +/-8.0 More likely Less likely Not much effect No opinion Sampling Error Total ----18% 14% 67% 1% +/-5.0 More likely Less likely Not much effect No opinion Sampling Error Total ----18% 14% 67% 1% +/-5.0 More likely Less likely Not much effect No opinion Sampling Error Total ----18% 14% 67% 1% +/-5.0 More likely Less likely Not much effect No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----18% 12% N/A N/A 24% 14% 22% N/A N/A 8% 67% 65% N/A N/A 69% 1% 1% N/A N/A * +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----16% 9% 73% 2% +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----19% 17% 64% * +/-6.0 South ----12% 15% 72% 2% +/-7.5 Under 55 ----17% 13% 70% * +/-8.0 55 and Older -----19% 17% 62% 2% +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------16% 15% 68% 1% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----18% 14% 67% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------19% 13% 68% * +/-6.0 Suburban ----18% 14% 66% 2% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----14% 21% 10% 17% 76% 61% * 1% +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -37- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 28 Do you think Ted Cruz's choice of Carly Fiorina reflects favorably or unfavorably on Cruz's ability to make important presidential decisions? Base = Registered Voters Favorably Unfavorably No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------43% 43% 43% 42% 47% 49% 45% 46% 11% 8% 13% 12% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorably Unfavorably No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 47% 11% +/-3.5 Favorably Unfavorably No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------43% 41% 47% 50% 11% 10% +/-3.5 +/-5.5 Favorably Unfavorably No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 47% 11% +/-3.5 Democrat ----33% 55% 12% +/-6.0 Favorably Unfavorably No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 47% 11% +/-3.5 North east ----40% 48% 13% +/-7.0 Favorably Unfavorably No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----43% 36% N/A N/A 77% 47% 57% N/A N/A 20% 11% 7% N/A N/A 3% +/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----39% 47% 13% +/-7.5 5064 ----45% 49% 6% +/-6.0 $50K or more ------45% 44% 11% +/-4.5 65+ ----36% 57% 6% +/-5.5 College Grad ------43% 47% 10% +/-5.0 Independent -----44% 44% 13% +/-5.5 Midwest ----45% 48% 7% +/-7.0 Non-White --------45% 48% 7% +/-7.5 Republican -----54% 41% 5% +/-6.0 South ----44% 46% 10% +/-5.5 Under 55 ----44% 42% 14% +/-5.0 55 and Older -----40% 54% 5% +/-4.5 Non College Grad -------43% 46% 11% +/-4.5 Lean Democrat -----32% 56% 11% +/-5.0 Liberal ----28% 56% 16% +/-6.5 Moderate ----45% 46% 9% +/-5.5 West ----41% 45% 14% +/-7.0 Urban ----32% 57% 11% +/-6.0 Lean Republican -----55% 39% 5% +/-5.0 Conservative ------51% 42% 7% +/-5.5 Suburban ----45% 45% 10% +/-5.0 Rural ----49% 38% 13% +/-7.0 White All Clinton Sanders Evang. Others ------- ------- ----- -----37% 28% 52% 40% 55% 61% 39% 49% 8% 11% 9% 11% +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -38- April 28-May 1, 2016 CNN/ORC International Poll -- April 28 to May 1, 2016 Question 28 Do you think Ted Cruzs choice of Carly Fiorina reflects favorably or unfavorably on Cruz's ability to make important presidential decisions? Base = Registered Republicans Favorably Unfavorably No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------55% 56% 55% 55% 39% 40% 38% 39% 5% 4% 6% 6% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Favorably Unfavorably No opinion Sampling Error Total ----55% 39% 5% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----50% 45% 5% +/-8.5 $50K or more ------60% 35% 5% +/-6.5 65+ ----51% 44% 5% +/-7.5 College Grad ------59% 37% 3% +/-8.0 Favorably Unfavorably No opinion Sampling Error Total ----55% 39% 5% +/-5.0 Favorably Unfavorably No opinion Sampling Error Total ----55% 39% 5% +/-5.0 Favorably Unfavorably No opinion Sampling Error Total ----55% 39% 5% +/-5.0 Favorably Unfavorably No opinion Sampling Error Non Total Trump Cruz Kasich Trump ----- ----- ----- ------ ----55% 36% N/A N/A 77% 39% 57% N/A N/A 20% 5% 7% N/A N/A 3% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A Independent -----59% 36% 5% +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A Republican -----54% 41% 5% +/-6.0 South ----50% 45% 5% +/-7.5 Under 55 ----59% 35% 6% +/-8.0 55 and Older -----52% 44% 4% +/-6.0 Non College Grad -------54% 40% 6% +/-6.5 Lean Democrat -----N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A Clinton Sanders ------- ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Lean Republican -----55% 39% 5% +/-5.0 Conservative ------54% 40% 6% +/-6.0 Suburban ----56% 39% 4% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ----- -----61% 52% 34% 43% 5% 6% +/-7.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 6 3 -39- April 28-May 1, 2016