Conducted by the
University of New Hampshire
Survey Center
Interviews with 751 adults in New Hampshire conducted by
land line and cellular telephone on February 2-4, 2016
including 287 who say they plan to vote in the Republican
presidential primary and 312 respondents who say they plan
to vote in the Democratic presidential primary. The margin
of sampling error for results based on Republican primary
voters is plus or minus 5.8 percentage points and for results
based on Democratic primary voters is plus or minus 5.5
percentage points.

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:
Friday, February 5 at 6:00 p.m.

CNN/WMUR/UNH Tracking Poll

-1-

January/February, 2016

 1.

(UNDECLARED / INDEPENDENT LIKELY VOTERS ONLY) “"Which Presidential primary
election do you think you will vote in ... the Republican Primary or the Democratic Primary?"
PROBE: “As of RIGHT NOW, which primary do you think you will vote in?”
Dec.
2015
48%
38%
14%

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
UNDECIDED

Jan.
13-18
44%
48%
8%

Jan.
Jan
Jan 2927-30 28-31 Feb 1
47%
46% 43%
42%
43% 45%
11%
11% 12%

EARLY
Feb
2-4
46%
44%
10%

FULL
Feb
2-4
46%
46%
9%

Questions 2-5 previously released.
6.

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Have you definitely decided who you will vote for
in the New Hampshire primary … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some
candidates but are still trying to decide?”
June
2015
DEFINITELY DECIDED
20%
LEANING TOWARD SOMEONE 26%
STILL TRYING TO DECIDE
54%

7.

Sept
2015
25%
28%
47%

Dec Jan
2015 13-18
36% 52%
21% 23%
44% 26%

Jan.
27-30
58%
17%
24%

Jan
28-31
56%
19%
25%

Jan 29Feb 1
58%
19%
23%

EARLY
Feb
2-4
64%
20%
17%

FULL
Feb
2-4
64%
20%
16%

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:)"I’m going to read you the names of the candidates
who are running for the Democratic nomination. If the Democratic primary for president were held
today, which of the following would you support for the Democratic nomination … Hillary Clinton
… Bernie Sanders … or someone else?" ROTATE CANDIDATES

BERNIE SANDERS
HILLARY CLINTON
JOE BIDEN
LINCOLN CHAFEE
LAWRENCE LESSIG
MARTIN O’MALLEY
JIM WEBB
SOMEONE ELSE
DK / NOT SURE

CNN/WMUR/UNH Tracking Poll

June
2015
35%
43%
8%
*
--2%
1%
2%
9%

Sept
2015
46%
30%
14%
*
*
2%
1%
1%
6%

Dec
2015
50%
40%
------1%
--3%
6%

-2-

Jan
13-18
60%
33%
---1%
-0%
6%

Jan.
27-30
57%
34%
---1%
-2%
7%

Jan
28-31
57%
34%
---1%
-1%
7%

Jan 29Feb 1
58%
33%
---2%
-2%
6%

EARLY
Feb
2-4
61%
30%
-----*
9%

FULL
Feb
2-4
61%
31%
-----*
8%

January/February, 2016

 8.

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Which of the candidates who are running for the
Democratic nomination would you NOT vote for under any circumstance?”

HILLARY CLINTON
BERNIE SANDERS
JOE BIDEN
LINCOLN CHAFEE
LAWRENCE LESSIG
MARTIN O’MALLEY
JIM WEBB
SOMEONE ELSE
NONE / ALL ARE OK
DK / NOT SURE
9.

June Sept
2015 2015
11% 13%
6%
5%
6%
3%
4%
8%
--5%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
*
35% 30%
30% 31%

EARLY
Dec Jan Jan. Jan Jan 29- Feb
2015 13-18 27-30 28-31 Feb 1 2-4
15% 14% 20% 21% 24% 19%
5% 4% 4% 5% 5%
8%
---------------------11% 26% 23% 27% 26% --------3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
11%
50% 42% 45% 39% 39% 52%
16% 13% 7% 7% 6%
11%

FULL
Feb
2-4
18%
7%
-----8%
55%
11%

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Regardless of who you are voting for, which
candidate do you think is most likely to win the New Hampshire Democratic primary?” 
  

BERNIE SANDERS
HILLARY CLINTON
JOE BIDEN
LINCOLN CHAFEE
LAWRENCE LESSIG
MARTIN O’MALLEY
JIM WEBB
SOMEONE ELSE
DK / NOT SURE

CNN/WMUR/UNH Tracking Poll

Sept.
2015
42%
42%
6%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
9%

Dec.
2015
28%
59%
------0%
--1%
12%

Jan.
27-30
54%
31%
---0%
-1%
15%

-3-

Jan
28-31
52%
32%
---*
-1%
15%

Jan 29Feb 1
54%
30%
---*
-1%
14%

EARLY
Feb
2-4
61%
25%
-----0%
14%

FULL
Feb
2-4
62%
24%
-----0%
14%

January/February, 2016