Conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center Interviews with 837 adults in New Hampshire were conducted by land line and cellular telephone before the Iowa Caucuses (January 29February 1, 2016) and with 556 adults after the Iowa caucuses (February 2-February 4, 2016 at 3PM). The pre-caucus sample includes 362 respondents who say they plan to vote in the Republican presidential primary and 333 respondents who say they plan to vote in the Democratic presidential primary. The margin of sampling error for results based on Republican primary voters is plus or minus 5.2 percentage points and for results based on Democratic primary voters is plus or minus 5.4 percentage points. The post-caucus sample includes 209 respondents who say they plan to vote in the Republican presidential primary and 228 respondents who say they plan to vote in the Democratic presidential primary. The margin of sampling error for results based on Republican primary voters is plus or minus 6.8 percentage points and for results based on Democratic primary voters is plus or minus 6.5 percentage points. EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Thursday, February 4 at 6:00 p.m. CNN/WMUR/UNH Tracking Poll -1- January/February, 2016 1. (UNDECLARED / INDEPENDENT LIKELY VOTERS ONLY) “"Which Presidential primary election do you think you will vote in ... the Republican Primary or the Democratic Primary?" PROBE: “As of RIGHT NOW, which primary do you think you will vote in?” Dec. 2015 48% 38% 14% REPUBLICAN PRIMARY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY UNDECIDED Jan. 13-18 44% 48% 8% Jan. 27-30 47% 42% 11% Jan 29Feb 1 43% 45% 12% Feb 2Feb 4 46% 44% 10% Questions 2-5 already released. 6. (DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?” June 2015 DEFINITELY DECIDED 20% LEANING TOWARD SOMEONE 26% STILL TRYING TO DECIDE 54% 7. Sept. 2015 25% 28% 47% Dec. 2015 36% 21% 44% Jan. 13-18 52% 23% 26% Jan. 27-30 58% 17% 24% Jan 29Feb 1 58% 19% 23% Feb 2Feb 4 64% 20% 17% (DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:)"I’m going to read you the names of the candidates who are running for the Democratic nomination. If the Democratic primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for the Democratic nomination … Hillary Clinton … Bernie Sanders … or someone else?" ROTATE CANDIDATES BERNIE SANDERS HILLARY CLINTON JOE BIDEN LINCOLN CHAFEE LAWRENCE LESSIG MARTIN O’MALLEY JIM WEBB SOMEONE ELSE DK / NOT SURE June 2015 35% 43% 8% * --2% 1% 2% 9% Sept. 2015 46% 30% 14% * * 2% 1% 1% 6% Dec. 2015 50% 40% ------1% --3% 6% Jan. 13-18 60% 33% ---1% -0% 6% Jan. 27-30 57% 34% ---1% -2% 7% Jan 29Feb 1 58% 33% ---2% -2% 6% Feb 2Feb 4 61% 30% -----* 9% *O’Malley was removed on 2/1 after dropping out of the race. CNN/WMUR/UNH Tracking Poll -2- January/February, 2016 8. (DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Which of the candidates who are running for the Democratic nomination would you NOT vote for under any circumstance?” June Sept. Dec. Jan. Jan. Jan 29- Feb 22015 2015 2015 13-18 27-30 Feb 1 Feb 4 HILLARY CLINTON 11% 13% 15% 14% 20% 24% 19% BERNIE SANDERS 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 5% 8% JOE BIDEN 6% 3% ------LINCOLN CHAFEE 4% 8% ------LAWRENCE LESSIG --5% ------MARTIN O’MALLEY 2% 2% 11% 26% 23% 26% -JIM WEBB 3% 3% ------SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY 4% * 3% 2% 1% 1% 11% NONE / ALL ARE OK 35% 30% 50% 42% 45% 39% 52% DK / NOT SURE 30% 31% 16% 13% 7% 6% 11% 9. (DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Regardless of who you are voting for, which candidate do you think is most likely to win the New Hampshire Democratic primary?”   BERNIE SANDERS HILLARY CLINTON JOE BIDEN LINCOLN CHAFEE LAWRENCE LESSIG MARTIN O’MALLEY JIM WEBB SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY DK / NOT SURE CNN/WMUR/UNH Tracking Poll Sept. 2015 42% 42% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 9% Dec. 2015 28% 59% ------0% --1% 12% -3- Jan. 27-30 54% 31% ---0% -1% 15% Jan 29Feb 1 54% 30% ---* -1% 14% Feb 2Feb 4 61% 25% -----0% 14% January/February, 2016