Interviews with 1,002 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC
International on January 21-24, 2016. The margin of sampling error for
results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
The sample also includes 907 interviews among registered voters (plus or
minus 3.5 percentage points).
This sample includes 602 interviews among landline respondents and 400
interviews among cell phone respondents.

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:
Monday, January 25 at 7:00 p.m.

 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO
VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.)
4.

How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President -- will it be extremely
important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER)
Registered Voters
Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

Terrorism

45%

36%

15%

4%

*

The economy

42%

46%

11%

1%

*

Health care

35%

41%

18%

6%

*

Government spending

35%

45%

15%

5%

*

Gun policy

32%

36%

19%

12%

*

Foreign policy

30%

42%

21%

6%

1%

The income gap
between rich and poor

30%

32%

21%

16%

*

Illegal immigration

27%

34%

24%

14%

1%

Climate change

18%

26%

22%

34%

*

POLL 3
3

-2-

January 21-24, 2016

 BASED ON 304 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND
136 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 440 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
Registered Democrats
4.

How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President -- will it be extremely
important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER)
Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

The income gap
between rich and poor

42%

41%

14%

2%

*

Health care

40%

43%

16%

1%

*

The economy

38%

48%

13%

1%

*

Terrorism

38%

35%

21%

5%

*

Climate change

33%

34%

22%

11%

*

Gun policy

33%

37%

19%

11%

*

Government spending

28%

44%

20%

8%

*

Foreign policy

27%

44%

23%

5%

1%

Illegal immigration

22%

28%

29%

21%

*

POLL 3
3

-3-

January 21-24, 2016

 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO
VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.)
4.

How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President -- will it be extremely
important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER)
Extremely
Very
Moderately
Not that
No
important
important
important
important opinion
The economy
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
42%
46%
11%
1%
*
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV)
43%
45%
11%
1%
*
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
52%
36%
10%
2%
*
June 26-28, 2015
47%
41%
11%
2%
*
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
48%
41%
10%
1%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015
41%
47%
11%
1%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
42%
45%
12%
1%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
58%
35%
6%
1%
*
June 28-July 1, 2012
51%
41%
6%
2%
*
October 14-16, 2011
54%
39%
6%
1%
*
June 3-7, 2011
51%
41%
6%
2%
*
October 17-19, 2008
61%
33%
5%
2%
*
June 26-29, 2008
58%
35%
6%
1%
*
Jan. 14-17, 2008
45%
41%
12%
2%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2007
34%
48%
16%
2%
*
May 4-6, 2007
33%
46%
16%
4%
*
Illegal immigration
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV)
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
June 26-28, 2015
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
June 28 – July 1, 2012
October 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
October 17-19, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
Jan. 14-17, 2008
Nov. 2-4, 2007
May 4-6, 2007

27%
33%
39%
30%
30%
29%
30%
28%
24%
29%
29%
34%
31%
23%
31%

34%
34%
29%
32%
33%
35%
35%
31%
28%
33%
31%
33%
34%
38%
32%

24%
21%
21%
26%
26%
26%
26%
26%
27%
26%
28%
24%
23%
26%
26%

14%
11%
11%
12%
11%
10%
9%
14%
19%
12%
12%
9%
11%
13%
10%

1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
1%

(RV) = Registered voter

POLL 3
3

-4-

January 21-24, 2016

 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO
VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.)
4.

How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President -- will it be extremely
important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER)
Extremely
Very
Moderately
Not that
No
important
important
important
important opinion
Foreign policy
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
30%
42%
21%
6%
1%
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV)
37%
39%
20%
4%
*
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
35%
35%
24%
6%
*
June 26-28, 2015
32%
39%
22%
7%
1%
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
33%
40%
22%
5%
1%
Feb. 12-15, 2015
28%
39%
25%
7%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
29%
39%
25%
6%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
41%
31%
21%
6%
1%
June 28-July 1, 2012
24%
39%
26%
11%
*
October 14-16, 2011
23%
33%
32%
11%
1%
Terrorism
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV)
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
June 26-28, 2015
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
June 28 – July 1, 2012
October 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
October 17-19, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
Jan. 14-17, 2008
Nov. 2-4, 2007
May 4-6, 2007

45%
50%
49%
48%
49%
42%
44%
41%
36%
42%
50%
45%
42%
32%
45%

36%
35%
31%
33%
32%
38%
37%
30%
36%
33%
33%
32%
34%
44%
35%

15%
10%
13%
14%
14%
14%
15%
18%
19%
16%
14%
18%
19%
18%
14%

4%
5%
7%
5%
5%
6%
4%
10%
9%
8%
3%
4%
5%
6%
6%

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*

(RV) = Registered voter
*Asked of a half sample.

POLL 3
3

-5-

January 21-24, 2016

 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO
VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.)
4.

How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President -- will it be extremely
important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER)
Extremely
Very
Moderately
Not that
No
important
important
important
important opinion
Health care
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
35%
41%
18%
6%
*
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV)
40%
38%
18%
4%
*
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
47%
36%
13%
3%
*
June 26-28, 2015
44%
39%
13%
4%
*
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
44%
39%
13%
4%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015
39%
40%
16%
5%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
41%
39%
17%
4%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
49%
33%
14%
3%
*
June 28-July 1, 2012
47%
40%
10%
3%
*
October 14-16, 2011
42%
38%
16%
3%
*
June 3-7, 2011
45%
41%
10%
3%
*
October 17-19, 2008
44%
38%
13%
4%
*
June 26-29, 2008
47%
36%
14%
3%
*
Jan. 14-17, 2008
41%
36%
19%
4%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2007
35%
41%
19%
5%
*
May 4-6, 2007
43%
35%
18%
4%
*
(RV) = Registered voter

Climate Change
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
Nov. 27 -Dec. 1, 2015 (RV)

18%
20%

26%
26%

22%
27%

34%
26%

*
1%

FOR COMPARISON:

Global warming
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
Nov. 2-4, 2007

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

23%
22%
23%
19%

24%
23%
21%
29%

30%
26%
26%
27%

23%
29%
30%
25%

*
*
*
*

(RV) = Registered voter
*Asked of half sample
QUESTION WORDING: How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?

POLL 3
3

-6-

January 21-24, 2016

 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO
VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.)
4.

How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President -- will it be extremely
important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER)
Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

32%
42%
22%
21%
26%
20%
26%

36%
26%
28%
27%
27%
26%
26%

19%
24%
28%
30%
28%
29%
29%

12%
8%
22%
20%
19%
26%
17%

*
*
1%
1%
*
*
2%

The income gap between rich and
poor
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)

30%
33%
29%
30%

32%
28%
32%
30%

21%
24%
24%
25%

16%
15%
15%
15%

*
*
*
*

Government spending
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)

35%

45%

15%

5%

*

Gun policy
Jan. 21-24, 2016(RV)
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
June 28 – July 1, 2012*
June 3-7, 2011
June 26-29, 2008
Nov. 2-4, 2007
May 4-6, 2007
(RV) = Registered voter
*Asked of a half sample.

POLL 3
3

-7-

January 21-24, 2016

 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO
VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.
5.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all
enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Voters
Jan. 21-24, 2016

32%

24%

21%

13%

9%

*

Sept. 17-19, 2015
Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

31%
30%
29%
22%
38%
37%
30%
32%
31%
28%
24%
22%
24%
28%
29%
28%
20%
23%
37%
34%
30%
26%
36%
32%
19%

24%
24%
27%
26%
30%
25%
27%
25%
27%
25%
23%
26%
27%
23%
25%
30%
22%
17%
32%
24%
30%
28%
34%
32%
34%

24%
25%
23%
27%
17%
20%
22%
20%
23%
25%
29%
26%
27%
28%
25%
24%
30%
31%
16%
23%
23%
27%
17%
23%
31%

10%
10%
10%
13%
9%
9%
15%
11%
10%
13%
11%
13%
10%
9%
10%
11%
16%
17%
7%
11%
11%
13%
8%
9%
11%

10%
12%
10%
11%
5%
9%
6%
11%
9%
9%
12%
13%
12%
12%
10%
7%
12%
12%
8%
8%
6%
6%
4%
4%
4%

1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%

POLL 3
3

-8-

January 21-24, 2016

 BASED ON 304 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND
136 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 440 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
5.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all
enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Democrats
Jan. 21-24, 2016

28%

24%

26%

14%

8%

*

Sept. 17-19, 2015
Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

30%
28%
33%
18%
37%
39%
30%
32%
29%
27%
25%
20%
21%
21%
26%
26%
13%
16%
45%
45%
36%
28%
38%
31%
19%

21%
24%
22%
28%
33%
25%
29%
24%
29%
32%
21%
29%
28%
22%
29%
30%
21%
14%
34%
23%
30%
32%
27%
26%
29%

26%
26%
23%
28%
17%
21%
23%
23%
24%
26%
33%
27%
31%
34%
29%
27%
35%
36%
13%
20%
21%
27%
19%
23%
31%

13%
9%
11%
15%
6%
8%
13%
9%
11%
9%
10%
11%
10%
10%
9%
12%
18%
19%
4%
7%
6%
9%
8%
10%
16%

10%
13%
11%
11%
5%
7%
6%
12%
6%
6%
10%
12%
9%
12%
6%
5%
12%
15%
3%
5%
6%
4%
7%
10%
5%

*
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*

POLL 3
3

-9-

January 21-24, 2016

 BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND
152 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 405 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
5.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all
enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Republicans
Jan. 21-24, 2016

39%

27%

16%

11%

7%

*

Sept. 17-19, 2015
Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

35%
34%
28%
28%
42%
38%
32%
35%
35%
31%
25%
26%
26%
38%
38%
33%
29%
31%
28%
24%
26%
27%
35%
31%
19%

30%
25%
33%
27%
28%
27%
25%
27%
26%
20%
27%
25%
28%
26%
23%
31%
25%
22%
32%
26%
28%
25%
42%
39%
39%

22%
24%
23%
27%
17%
17%
19%
17%
22%
24%
25%
25%
25%
20%
18%
19%
25%
27%
19%
27%
26%
27%
15%
21%
32%

6%
9%
9%
9%
9%
11%
17%
12%
8%
15%
13%
15%
12%
7%
10%
10%
13%
13%
9%
12%
15%
16%
6%
6%
7%

5%
7%
7%
10%
4%
7%
7%
8%
10%
9%
11%
10%
9%
9%
10%
6%
8%
7%
12%
10%
4%
6%
2%
3%
2%

1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%

POLL 3
3

-10-

January 21-24, 2016

 BASED ON 304 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND
136 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 440 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
11.

I'm going to read a list of people who are be running in the Democratic primaries for president this
year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely
to support for the Democratic nomination for president, or if you would support someone else.
Hillary Clinton, Martin O’Malley, or Bernie Sanders (RANDOM ORDER)

Clinton
Sanders
O’Malley
Biden
Chafee
Lessig
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one (vol.)
No opinion

Clinton
Sanders
O’Malley
Biden
Chafee
Lessig
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one (vol.)
No opinion
12.

Jan.
21-24
2016

Dec.
17-21
2015

Nov. 27Dec. 1
2015

Oct.
14-17
2015

Sept.
17-19
2015

52%
38%
2%
NA
NA
NA
NA
7%
1%
1%

50%
34%
3%
NA
NA
NA
NA
7%
4%
1%

58%
30%
2%
NA
NA
NA
NA
7%
2%
1%

45%
29%
*
18%
*
*
1%
2%
3%
2%

42%
24%
1%
22%
*
NA
*
2%
4%
2%

Sept.
4-8
2015

Aug.
13-16
2015

July
22-25
2015

June
26-28
2015

37%
27%
3%
20%
*
NA
2%
7%
4%
1%

47%
29%
2%
14%
*
NA
1%
4%
3%
*

56%
19%
*
15%
*
NA
1%
4%
3%
1%

58%
15%
1%
17%
*
NA
1%
2%
4%
1%

Would you say you will definitely will support that candidate, or is it possible you would change
your mind?
Jan. 21-24
2016
Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
POLL 3

3

62%
37%
*
-11-

January 21-24, 2016

 BASED ON 304 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND
136 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 440 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
12a.

Next I’m going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Democratic presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether
you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset or upset if that
person were the Democratic nominee?

Hillary Clinton
January 21-24, 2016
September 4-8, 2015
April 16-19, 2015
May 29-June 1, 2014
Apr. 28-30, 2008
Mar. 14-16, 2008
January 9-10, 2008
November 2-4, 2007

Enthusiastic

Satisfied but
not enthusiastic

Dissatisfied but
not upset
Upset

No
opinion

37%

38%

15%

10%

*

43%
58%
41%
33%
38%
45%
39%

35%
26%
42%
38%
37%
39%
39%

13%
9%
10%
20%
17%
9%
13%

9%
6%
5%
9%
8%
7%
8%

*
1%
1%
*
*
*
*

QUESTION WORDING in 2014: If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic nominee in 2016, would you feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied
but not upset or upset?
QUESTION WORDING MAR – APR 2008: Please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset
if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic nominee?

Bernie Sanders
January 21-24, 2016

33%

39%

16%

10%

2%

September 4-8, 2015
April 16-19, 2015

31%
11%

35%
35%

23%
33%

7%
10%

5%
12%

DATA SHOWN PRIOR TO SEPTEMBER 2015 IS FOR ALL DEMOCRATS NOT JUST REGISTERED DEMOCRATS

POLL 3
3

-12-

January 21-24, 2016

 BASED ON 304 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND
136 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 440 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
13.

Regardless of who you are voting for, which Democratic candidate do you think can best handle:

The economy
Jan.
21-24
2016

Dec.
17-21
2015

Nov. 27Dec. 1
2015

Oct.
14-17
2015

Aug.
13-16
2015*

Aug.
13-16
2015

Clinton
53%
Sanders
38%
O’Malley
1%
Biden
NA
Chaffee
NA
Lessig
NA
Webb
NA
Someone else (vol.) 3%
None/No one
3%
No opinion
1%

47%
39%
4%
NA
NA
NA
NA
3%
6%
2%

58%
31%
5%
NA
NA
NA
NA
2%
2%
2%

48%
29%
*
13%
*
1%
1%
2%
4%
3%

46%
24%
*
21%
1%
NA
2%
1%
4%
2%

45%
26%
*
21%
1%
NA
2%
1%
4%
1%

Jan.
21-24
2016

Dec.
17-21
2015

Nov. 27Dec. 1
2015

Oct.
14-17
2015

Aug.
13-16
2015*

Aug.
13-16
2015

Clinton
69%
Sanders
26%
O’Malley
1%
Biden
NA
Chaffee
NA
Lessig
NA
Webb
NA
Someone else (vol.) 2%
None/No one
1%
No opinion
1%

72%
15%
3%
NA
NA
NA
NA
2%
5%
2%

74%
17%
4%
NA
NA
NA
NA
2%
2%
1%

62%
9%
*
20%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
4%

61%
10%
1%
20%
1%
NA
1%
2%
3%
2%

61%
9%
1%
22%
1%
NA
1%
1%
3%
*

Foreign policy

*Asked of all Democrats

POLL 3
3

-13-

January 21-24, 2016

 BASED ON 304 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND
136 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 440 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
13.

Regardless of who you are voting for, which Democratic candidate do you think can best handle:

Health care

Clinton
Sanders
O’Malley
Biden
Chaffee
Lessig
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

Jan. 21-24
2016

Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2015

Oct. 14-17
2015

54%
39%
1%
NA
NA
NA
NA
3%
1%
2%

58%
33%
4%
NA
NA
NA
NA
1%
2%
1%

52%
26%
*
12%
*
*
1%
1%
4%
3%

Jan. 21-24
2016

Dec. 17-21
2015

Oct. 14-17
2015

54%
35%
4%
NA
NA
NA
NA
3%
2%
2%

51%
30%
7%
NA
NA
NA
NA
3%
6%
3%

44%
20%
2%
21%
*
*
3%
1%
6%
4%

Gun Policy

Clinton
Sanders
O’Malley
Biden
Chaffee
Lessig
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

POLL 3
3

-14-

January 21-24, 2016

 BASED ON 304 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND
136 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 440 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
14.

Now I’m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Democratic candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER)
Jan. 21-24 Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2016
2015

Has the best chance of winning in
the general election in November
Clinton
Sanders
O’Malley
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

71%
23%
2%
2%
*
2%

74%
17%
4%
2%
1%
2%

Jan. 21-24
2016

June 26-28
2015

48%
42%
5%
NA
NA
NA
2%
2%
1%

49%
20%
1%
22%
1%
1%
3%
2%
3%

Best represents the values of Democrats
like yourself
Clinton
Sanders
O’Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

POLL 3
3

-15-

January 21-24, 2016

 BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO
VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.)
(QUESTIONS 15 AND 16 ROTATED)
15.

Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is
most likely to win the Democratic nomination for president? (RANDOM ORDER)

Clinton
Sanders
O’Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
No opinion

Jan. 21-24
2016

Sept. 4-8
2015

July 22-25
2015

63%
28%
4%
NA
NA
NA
2%
2%

55%
13%
1%
22%
1%
1%
3%
4%

75%
8%
1%
9%
*
1%
2%
4%

FOR COMPARISON
QUESTION WORDING: Just your best guess… regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is most
likely to win the Democratic nomination for president this year?

Obama
Clinton
No opinion

Apr. 28-30
2008

Jan. 9-10
2008

Oct.12-14
2007

57%
37%
5%

38%
55%
3%

16%
64%
6%

DATA SHOWN PRIOR TO SEPTEMBER 2015 IS FOR ALL ADULTS NOT REGISTERED VOTERS

POLL 3
3

-16-

January 21-24, 2016

 23.

We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if
you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.
(RANDOM ORDER)
All Americans
Favorable

Unfavorable

Never
heard of

No
opinion

Bernie Sanders

50%

33%

8%

9%

Hillary Clinton

45%

52%

*

3%

The Democratic Party

45%

46%

1%

8%

BASED ON 304 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND
136 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 440 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
23.

We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if
you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.
(RANDOM ORDER)
Registered Democrats
Favorable

Unfavorable

Never
heard of

No
opinion

Hillary Clinton

80%

20%

*

*

Bernie Sanders

79%

12%

6%

3%

The Democratic Party

83%

13%

1%

3%

POLL 3
3

-17-

January 21-24, 2016

 23.

We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if
you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.
(RANDOM ORDER)
Favorable

Unfavorable

Never
heard of

No
opinion

January 21-24, 2016

45%

52%

*

3%

December 17-21, 2015
October 14-17, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
May 29-31, 2015
March 13-15, 2015
November 21-23, 2014
May 29-June 1, 2014
March 7-9, 2014
October 18-20, 2013
May 17-18, 2013
March 15-17, 2013
November 16-18, 2012
May 29-31, 2012
September 23-35, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
January 14-16, 2011
October 27-30, 2010
April 9-11, 2010
January 22-24, 2010
December 16-20, 2009
October 16-18, 2009
July 31-Aug. 3, 2009
April 23-26, 2009
December 1-2, 2008
August 29-31, 2008
August 23-24, 2008
July 27-29, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
April 28-30, 2008
February 1-3, 2008
January 9-10, 2008
September 7-9, 2007
June 23-24, 2007
March 9-11, 2007
November 3-5, 2006
September 22-24, 2006

47%
46%
44%
45%
46%
53%
59%
55%
57%
59%
61%
63%
67%
67%
69%
65%
66%
62%
61%
62%
64%
65%
61%
64%
66%
58%
56%
56%
53%
51%
52%
53%
53%
51%
49%
51%
50%

51%
50%
53%
48%
50%
44%
38%
42%
41%
37%
36%
33%
28%
29%
26%
31%
31%
34%
35%
35%
30%
32%
35%
34%
33%
40%
40%
42%
44%
46%
44%
39%
39%
44%
44%
40%
45%

1%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
2%
3%
2%

1%
3%
2%
6%
3%
2%
2%
3%
2%
3%
2%
3%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
5%
2%
5%
3%
4%
2%
1%
1%
4%
2%
3%
3%
*
7%
7%
4%
5%
7%
4%

Hillary Clinton

CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS ON NEXT PAGE

POLL 3
3

-18-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS
Fav.
2006
2006 Apr 21-23
2005
2005 Oct 21-23
2005 Jul 25-28
2005 May 20-22
2005 Feb 25-27
2004
2004 Jul 19-21*
2003
2003 Oct 24-26
2003 Sep 19-21
2003 Jun 27-29*
2003 Jun 9-10
2003 Mar 14-15
2002
2002 Dec 16-17
2002 Sep 23-26
2001
2001 Aug 3-5
2001 Mar 5-7
2001 Feb 19-21
2001 Feb 1-4
2000
2000 Nov 13-15
2000 Oct 25-28
2000 Aug 4-5
2000 Feb 4-6
1999
1999 Dec 9-12
1999 Sep 23-26
1999 Aug 3-4
1999 Jul 22-24
1999 Jun 25-27
1999 Mar 5-7
1999 Feb 19-21
1999 Feb 4-8
1998
1998 Dec 28-29
1998 Oct 9-12***
1998 Sep 14-15
1998 Aug 21-23
1998 Aug 10-12
1998 Aug 7-8
1998 Feb 13-15
1998 Jan 30-Feb 1
1998 Jan 24-25
1998 Jan 23-24

Unfav.

DK

50

42

8

54
53
55
53

41
43
39
41

5
4
6
6

56

38

6

51
54
52
53
45

44
40
44
43
46

5
6
4
4
9

48
47

46
44

6
9

51
44
49
52

44
53
44
43

5
3
7
5

56
52
45
55

39
43
50
39

5
5
5
6

48
56
56
62
56
65
65
66

48
40
41
35
42
31
30
31

4
4
3
3
2
4
5
3

67
63
61
61
60
60
60
64
61
60

29
33
33
33
36
35
36
34
33
35

4
4
6
6
4
5
4
2
6
5

1997
1997 Dec 18-21
1997 Oct 27-29
1997 Jun 26-29
1997 Feb 24-26
1997 Jan 31-Feb 2
1997 Jan 10-13
1996
1996 Oct 26-29***
1996 Aug 28-29**
1996 Aug 16-18**
1996 Aug 5-7**
1996 Jun 18-19
1996 Mar 15-17
1996 Jan 12-15
1995
1995 Jul 7-9
1995 Mar 17-19
1995 Jan 16-18
1994
1994 Nov 28-29
1994 Sep 6-7
1994 Jul 15-17
1994 Apr 23-24
1994 Mar 25-27
1994 Mar 7-8
1994 Jan. 15-17
1993
1993 Nov. 2-4
1993 Sept. 24-26
1993 Aug. 8-10
1993 July 19-21
1993 June 5-6
1993 April 22-24
1993 March 22-24
1993 Jan. 29-31
1992
1992 Nov. 10-11
1992 Aug 31-Sept 2
1992 Aug. 19-20
1992 July 17-18
1992 July 6-8
1992 April 20-22
1992 March 20-22

Fav.
60
56
61
51
51
55
56

Unfav.
35
38
34
42
42
39
37

DK
5
6
5
7
6
6
7

49
51
47
48
46
47
43

43
41
48
45
47
48
51

8
8
5
7
6
5
6

50
49
50

44
44
44

6
7
6

50
48
48
56
52
55
57

44
47
46
40
42
40
36

6
5
6
4
6
5
7

58
62
57
56
50
61
61
67

34
27
33
34
31
27
31
22

8
11
10
10
19
12
8
11

49
56
48
51
45
38
39

30
25
31
24
30
39
26

21
19
21
25
25
23
35

*Asked of a half sample. **Based on likely voters. ***Based on registered voters.
2002-March 2003 WORDING: New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton.

POLL 3
3

-19-

January 21-24, 2016

 23.

We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if
you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.
(RANDOM ORDER)
Favorable

Unfavorable

Never
heard of

No
opinion

January 21-24, 2016

50%

33%

8%

9%

December 17-21, 2015
October 14-17, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015

46%
41%
35%
23%

36%
29%
27%
22%

10%
19%
28%
41%

7%
11%
10%
13%

Bernie Sanders

POLL 3
3

-20-

January 21-24, 2016

 23.

We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if
you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.
(RANDOM ORDER)
Favorable

Unfavorable

Never
heard of

No
opinion

January 21-24, 2016

45%

46%

1%

8%

August 13-16, 2015
May 29-31, 2015
November 21-23, 2014
October 18-20, 2013
September 27-29, 2013
May 17-18, 2013
March 15-17, 2013
Nov. 16-18, 2012
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
Sept. 7-9, 2012 (RV)
August 22-23, 2012 (RV)
April 13-15, 2012
March 24-25, 2012
September 23-25, 2011
August 5-7, 2011
July 18-20, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
December 17-19, 2010
November 11-14, 2010
October 27-30, 2010
September 1-2, 2010
April 9-11, 2010
January 22-24, 2010
October 16-18, 2009
July 31-Aug. 3, 2009
April 23-26, 2009
February 18-19, 2009
December 1-2, 2008
November 6-9, 2008
October 17-19, 2008 (RV)
Sept. 5-7, 2008 (RV)
Aug. 29-31, 2008 (RV)
Aug. 23-24, 2008 (RV)
April 28-30, 2008
January 9-10, 2008
June 22-24, 2007
March 9-11, 2007
November 3-5, 2006
September 22-24, 2006

47%
47%
44%
43%
43%
52%
46%
51%
52%
52%
49%
46%
48%
44%
47%
45%
46%
47%
46%
46%
44%
49%
46%
53%
52%
51%
58%
60%
62%
53%
51%
59%
52%
56%
55%
51%
51%
53%
56%

48%
45%
50%
51%
52%
43%
48%
41%
43%
43%
45%
46%
45%
48%
47%
49%
48%
47%
48%
47%
49%
46%
46%
41%
39%
44%
36%
34%
31%
42%
40%
36%
40%
35%
34%
38%
34%
35%
39%

*
1%
1%
1%
*
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
*
*

5%
7%
5%
6%
5%
4%
5%
7%
4%
5%
6%
7%
6%
6%
6%
5%
7%
6%
5%
7%
6%
5%
8%
6%
8%
4%
5%
5%
6%
5%
8%
4%
7%
8%
8%
9%
13%
11%
5%

The Democratic Party

POLL 3
3

-21-

January 21-24, 2016

 METHODOLOGY
A total of 1,002 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones.
Among the entire sample, 28% described themselves as Democrats, 24% described themselves as Republicans, and 48% described
themselves as independents or members of another party.
All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national
Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of
+/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with
an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error
larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "NA".

POLL 3
3

-22-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 4A
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
A. The economy
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------42%
44%
39%
42%
46%
44%
48%
44%
11%
11%
12%
12%
1%
1%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----42%
46%
11%
1%
*
+/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------42%
40%
46%
45%
11%
14%
1%
1%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----42%
46%
11%
1%
*
+/-3.5

Democrat
----36%
54%
9%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----42%
46%
11%
1%
*
+/-3.5

North
east
----45%
39%
14%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----43%
44%
11%
1%
*
+/-7.0

South
----42%
49%
9%
*
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----42%
46%
11%
1%
*
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------47%
41%
11%
1%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------42%
48%
9%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----36%
47%
40%
N/A
N/A
46%
43%
47%
N/A
N/A
17%
9%
12%
N/A
N/A
1%
*
1%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----45%
44%
11%
*
*
+/-7.5

Non-White
--------41%
50%
9%
*
*
+/-7.0

5064
----43%
48%
8%
1%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------45%
45%
9%
1%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----41%
46%
11%
1%
*
+/-5.5

College
Grad
------36%
50%
13%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----45%
38%
15%
2%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----42%
51%
7%
*
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----41%
46%
12%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------44%
45%
10%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----38%
48%
13%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----34%
45%
20%
*
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----42%
46%
10%
3%
*
+/-5.5

West
----37%
50%
12%
1%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----43%
47%
10%
1%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----45%
45%
10%
*
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------47%
45%
7%
*
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-23-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 4B
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
B. Illegal immigration
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------27%
27%
28%
28%
34%
33%
35%
33%
24%
25%
24%
26%
14%
15%
12%
12%
1%
*
1%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
34%
24%
14%
1%
+/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------27%
28%
34%
35%
24%
21%
14%
14%
1%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
34%
24%
14%
1%
+/-3.5

Democrat
----24%
30%
25%
20%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
34%
24%
14%
1%
+/-3.5

North
east
----31%
31%
23%
14%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----24%
36%
26%
12%
2%
+/-7.0

South
----27%
35%
25%
13%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
34%
24%
14%
1%
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------41%
38%
20%
1%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------27%
38%
23%
10%
1%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----16%
28%
27%
N/A
N/A
23%
43%
31%
N/A
N/A
33%
23%
25%
N/A
N/A
28%
4%
17%
N/A
N/A
*
2%
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----25%
30%
26%
17%
2%
+/-7.5

Non-White
--------25%
36%
22%
17%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----29%
36%
24%
11%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------26%
30%
29%
15%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----31%
36%
25%
8%
*
+/-5.5

College
Grad
------19%
34%
28%
20%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----27%
31%
26%
14%
1%
+/-5.0

Republican
-----31%
43%
21%
5%
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----26%
32%
24%
17%
1%
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------31%
33%
23%
11%
1%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----22%
28%
29%
21%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----15%
29%
26%
30%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----30%
33%
24%
13%
*
+/-5.5

West
----26%
34%
24%
15%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----30%
36%
25%
9%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----32%
42%
20%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------34%
39%
22%
4%
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-24-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 4C
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
C. Foreign policy
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------30%
28%
32%
30%
42%
43%
41%
42%
21%
23%
19%
22%
6%
6%
6%
5%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
42%
21%
6%
1%
+/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------30%
29%
42%
40%
21%
23%
6%
7%
1%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
42%
21%
6%
1%
+/-3.5

Democrat
----25%
45%
23%
5%
2%
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
42%
21%
6%
1%
+/-3.5

North
east
----32%
47%
19%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----30%
39%
22%
7%
2%
+/-7.0

South
----32%
37%
25%
5%
2%
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
42%
21%
6%
1%
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------43%
36%
19%
2%
1%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------26%
41%
25%
6%
2%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----29%
34%
29%
N/A
N/A
48%
42%
42%
N/A
N/A
17%
20%
22%
N/A
N/A
7%
3%
6%
N/A
N/A
*
2%
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----26%
39%
26%
5%
4%
+/-7.5

Non-White
--------30%
41%
21%
6%
2%
+/-7.0

5064
----34%
42%
18%
5%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------31%
44%
20%
4%
2%
+/-4.5

65+
----35%
49%
11%
4%
1%
+/-5.5

College
Grad
------33%
45%
19%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----32%
42%
18%
7%
1%
+/-5.0

Republican
-----32%
38%
26%
5%
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----26%
40%
25%
6%
2%
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------29%
40%
23%
7%
2%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----27%
44%
23%
5%
1%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----23%
46%
21%
8%
3%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----30%
41%
21%
8%
*
+/-5.5

West
----25%
47%
18%
9%
1%
+/-7.0

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----35%
45%
15%
5%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----34%
40%
21%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------36%
41%
20%
2%
2%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-25-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 4D
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
D. Terrorism
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------45%
44%
45%
44%
36%
33%
39%
34%
15%
16%
15%
17%
4%
7%
1%
5%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
36%
15%
4%
*
+/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------45%
42%
36%
41%
15%
12%
4%
4%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
36%
15%
4%
*
+/-3.5

Democrat
----40%
37%
18%
5%
1%
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
36%
15%
4%
*
+/-3.5

North
east
----43%
35%
18%
3%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----46%
36%
12%
6%
*
+/-7.0

South
----46%
33%
17%
4%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
36%
15%
4%
*
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------50%
39%
11%
*
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------50%
37%
9%
4%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----29%
51%
43%
N/A
N/A
35%
37%
36%
N/A
N/A
30%
11%
16%
N/A
N/A
6%
*
5%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----49%
33%
16%
3%
*
+/-7.5

Non-White
--------44%
42%
11%
3%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----44%
37%
15%
3%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------45%
32%
19%
3%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----46%
41%
10%
1%
*
+/-5.5

College
Grad
------36%
35%
20%
8%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----47%
32%
16%
5%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----47%
42%
10%
2%
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----43%
35%
17%
5%
*
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------48%
37%
13%
2%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----38%
35%
21%
5%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----32%
31%
29%
9%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----46%
38%
13%
3%
*
+/-5.5

West
----43%
42%
13%
3%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----46%
39%
13%
2%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----49%
40%
9%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------52%
39%
8%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-26-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 4E
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
E. Health care
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------35%
33%
38%
33%
41%
35%
47%
40%
18%
25%
12%
21%
6%
8%
4%
6%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
41%
18%
6%
*
+/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------35%
36%
41%
44%
18%
15%
6%
5%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
41%
18%
6%
*
+/-3.5

Democrat
----39%
46%
14%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
41%
18%
6%
*
+/-3.5

North
east
----40%
42%
14%
5%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----37%
40%
16%
7%
*
+/-7.0

South
----34%
39%
23%
5%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
41%
18%
6%
*
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------34%
38%
22%
6%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------35%
41%
18%
6%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----36%
30%
37%
N/A
N/A
43%
46%
39%
N/A
N/A
16%
18%
18%
N/A
N/A
6%
6%
6%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----34%
36%
21%
9%
*
+/-7.5

Non-White
--------42%
42%
11%
5%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----38%
43%
16%
3%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------36%
36%
22%
6%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----36%
45%
13%
6%
*
+/-5.5

College
Grad
------32%
44%
17%
6%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----36%
38%
19%
7%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----29%
40%
21%
9%
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----34%
39%
20%
7%
*
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------38%
38%
18%
6%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----40%
43%
16%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----41%
42%
12%
5%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----36%
43%
16%
5%
*
+/-5.5

West
----32%
43%
18%
7%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----38%
43%
14%
5%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----30%
39%
23%
8%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------34%
35%
23%
8%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-27-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 4F
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
F. Climate change
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------18%
16%
20%
14%
26%
20%
32%
24%
22%
21%
24%
23%
34%
43%
24%
39%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----18%
26%
22%
34%
*
+/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------18%
17%
26%
30%
22%
26%
34%
27%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----18%
26%
22%
34%
*
+/-3.5

Democrat
----28%
39%
21%
11%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----18%
26%
22%
34%
*
+/-3.5

North
east
----28%
30%
16%
25%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----15%
26%
27%
32%
*
+/-7.0

South
----16%
22%
21%
41%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----18%
26%
22%
34%
*
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------3%
19%
16%
62%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------14%
23%
26%
37%
1%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----34%
4%
22%
N/A
N/A
38%
24%
27%
N/A
N/A
19%
24%
22%
N/A
N/A
9%
47%
29%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----15%
30%
20%
34%
*
+/-7.5

Non-White
--------26%
33%
21%
19%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----19%
24%
22%
35%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------20%
24%
18%
38%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----17%
28%
23%
32%
1%
+/-5.5

College
Grad
------22%
24%
24%
29%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----19%
24%
26%
31%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----3%
15%
17%
64%
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----19%
27%
21%
33%
*
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------16%
28%
22%
34%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----33%
34%
22%
11%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----36%
33%
18%
13%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----19%
34%
26%
20%
1%
+/-5.5

West
----15%
30%
24%
31%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----16%
26%
24%
33%
1%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----3%
18%
19%
59%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------6%
15%
21%
58%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-28-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 4G
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
G. Gun policy
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------32%
32%
32%
33%
36%
34%
38%
33%
19%
19%
20%
21%
12%
14%
10%
12%
*
*
*
1%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
36%
19%
12%
*
+/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------32%
31%
36%
38%
19%
21%
12%
10%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
36%
19%
12%
*
+/-3.5

Democrat
----37%
36%
17%
10%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
36%
19%
12%
*
+/-3.5

North
east
----41%
34%
16%
9%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----32%
40%
19%
8%
*
+/-7.0

South
----30%
37%
20%
13%
1%
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
36%
19%
12%
*
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------34%
39%
17%
10%
1%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------31%
35%
21%
13%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----32%
36%
31%
N/A
N/A
35%
35%
36%
N/A
N/A
20%
21%
19%
N/A
N/A
12%
8%
13%
N/A
N/A
*
*
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----29%
34%
24%
11%
1%
+/-7.5

Non-White
--------31%
40%
17%
12%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----37%
34%
15%
14%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------34%
34%
18%
14%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----33%
39%
20%
7%
1%
+/-5.5

College
Grad
------27%
35%
23%
14%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----29%
32%
22%
16%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----33%
42%
17%
7%
1%
+/-6.0

Under
55
----30%
37%
20%
13%
*
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------34%
36%
18%
11%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----33%
37%
19%
11%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----33%
31%
19%
17%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----29%
38%
21%
11%
*
+/-5.5

West
----28%
33%
22%
17%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----35%
34%
19%
11%
1%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----31%
37%
19%
13%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------34%
36%
18%
11%
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-29-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 4H
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
H. The income gap between rich and poor
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------30%
28%
32%
27%
32%
30%
34%
27%
21%
19%
23%
25%
16%
23%
10%
20%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
32%
21%
16%
*
+/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------30%
34%
32%
40%
21%
14%
16%
11%
*
1%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
32%
21%
16%
*
+/-3.5

Democrat
----37%
46%
14%
2%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
32%
21%
16%
*
+/-3.5

North
east
----39%
27%
20%
15%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----28%
39%
17%
15%
*
+/-7.0

South
----33%
30%
25%
11%
1%
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
32%
21%
16%
*
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------14%
22%
29%
35%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------29%
33%
23%
14%
1%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----42%
24%
32%
N/A
N/A
39%
24%
34%
N/A
N/A
12%
28%
19%
N/A
N/A
7%
22%
14%
N/A
N/A
*
1%
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----30%
32%
19%
19%
1%
+/-7.5

Non-White
--------36%
47%
11%
6%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----31%
31%
20%
18%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------29%
25%
25%
21%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----29%
32%
24%
14%
1%
+/-5.5

College
Grad
------29%
28%
26%
17%
1%
+/-5.0

Independent
-----34%
28%
20%
19%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----16%
23%
31%
28%
1%
+/-6.0

Under
55
----31%
33%
21%
16%
*
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------31%
34%
19%
16%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----42%
41%
14%
2%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----44%
41%
11%
4%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----34%
37%
20%
9%
*
+/-5.5

West
----20%
34%
19%
26%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----30%
31%
21%
17%
1%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----18%
24%
27%
30%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------18%
21%
30%
30%
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-30-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 4I
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
I. Government spending
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------35%
36%
33%
36%
45%
42%
47%
42%
15%
16%
15%
17%
5%
6%
5%
5%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
45%
15%
5%
*
+/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------35%
33%
45%
51%
15%
11%
5%
5%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
45%
15%
5%
*
+/-3.5

Democrat
----26%
45%
21%
9%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
45%
15%
5%
*
+/-3.5

North
east
----32%
41%
17%
11%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----34%
46%
14%
6%
*
+/-7.0

South
----39%
43%
17%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
45%
15%
5%
*
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------49%
41%
9%
1%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------34%
52%
11%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----27%
45%
31%
N/A
N/A
33%
41%
46%
N/A
N/A
28%
12%
16%
N/A
N/A
12%
2%
6%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----39%
41%
16%
3%
*
+/-7.5

Non-White
--------31%
52%
12%
5%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----36%
45%
17%
2%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------37%
37%
20%
6%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----36%
47%
13%
3%
*
+/-5.5

College
Grad
------32%
37%
24%
7%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----37%
43%
14%
5%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----40%
47%
12%
1%
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----34%
43%
16%
7%
*
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------36%
48%
11%
4%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----28%
44%
20%
8%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----26%
41%
23%
11%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----34%
44%
16%
5%
*
+/-5.5

West
----32%
50%
13%
5%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----36%
46%
15%
3%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----41%
47%
10%
2%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------43%
45%
10%
2%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-31-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 5
How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this year's election -extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic or not at
all enthusiastic?
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------32%
32%
33%
33%
24%
26%
23%
26%
21%
21%
21%
20%
13%
12%
14%
13%
9%
8%
9%
7%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
24%
21%
13%
9%
*
+/-3.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------32%
25%
24%
26%
21%
22%
13%
15%
9%
12%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
24%
21%
13%
9%
*
+/-3.5

Democrat
----29%
26%
25%
10%
10%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
24%
21%
13%
9%
*
+/-3.5

North
east
----31%
30%
21%
12%
5%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----25%
27%
19%
15%
15%
*
+/-7.0

South
----35%
22%
23%
12%
7%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----32%
24%
21%
13%
9%
*
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------41%
33%
14%
8%
5%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------30%
22%
24%
15%
8%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----31%
35%
31%
N/A
N/A
22%
25%
24%
N/A
N/A
23%
16%
23%
N/A
N/A
13%
10%
14%
N/A
N/A
12%
13%
7%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----31%
22%
23%
13%
11%
*
+/-7.5

Non-White
--------29%
19%
26%
13%
13%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----37%
22%
21%
13%
7%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------39%
23%
22%
11%
5%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----37%
25%
18%
12%
7%
*
+/-5.5

College
Grad
------37%
24%
21%
12%
7%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----30%
22%
24%
16%
9%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----41%
27%
13%
12%
8%
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----29%
25%
23%
13%
10%
*
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------30%
24%
22%
14%
10%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----28%
24%
26%
14%
8%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----39%
22%
22%
11%
7%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----22%
25%
26%
15%
11%
*
+/-5.5

West
----36%
21%
21%
14%
9%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----38%
24%
18%
13%
7%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----39%
27%
16%
11%
7%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------39%
27%
16%
11%
7%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-32-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 11
I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Democratic primaries for president this
year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely
to support for the Democratic nomination for president, or if you would support someone else.
Base = Registered Democrats

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------52%
44%
58%
45%
2%
2%
2%
2%
38%
45%
33%
42%
7%
7%
6%
8%
1%
2%
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
2%
38%
7%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------52%
45%
2%
2%
38%
41%
7%
11%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
2%
38%
7%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
2%
38%
7%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
2%
38%
7%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----67%
2%
26%
3%
1%
1%
+/-5.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----61%
1%
29%
6%
2%
1%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------54%
2%
40%
4%
1%
1%
+/-6.5

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------53%
2%
35%
9%
1%
*
+/-8.0

65+
----70%
5%
18%
3%
2%
2%
+/-7.5

College
Grad
------48%
2%
41%
6%
1%
2%
+/-6.5

Independent
-----25%
2%
59%
12%
*
2%
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------58%
2%
34%
5%
1%
*
+/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----59%
2%
36%
2%
1%
*
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------47%
2%
45%
4%
*
2%
+/-6.0

Under
55
----44%
1%
46%
7%
*
1%
+/-7.5

Non
College
Grad
-------54%
2%
36%
7%
1%
*
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----52%
2%
38%
7%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----50%
*
47%
1%
*
2%
+/-7.5

Moderate
----49%
3%
36%
11%
*
*
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----65%
3%
23%
5%
2%
1%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----N/A
52%
N/A
N/A
N/A
2%
N/A
N/A
N/A
38%
N/A
N/A
N/A
6%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-33-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 12
Would you say you will definitely support that candidate, or is it possible you would change your
mind?
Base = Registered Democrats who support a candidate

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------62%
59%
65%
55%
37%
40%
35%
44%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----62%
37%
*
+/-5.0

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------62%
72%
37%
28%
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----62%
37%
*
+/-5.0

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----62%
37%
*
+/-5.0

Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----62%
37%
*
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----63%
37%
*
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----58%
42%
*
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------60%
39%
1%
+/-6.5

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------68%
31%
1%
+/-8.5

65+
----59%
41%
*
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------54%
46%
*
+/-6.5

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------72%
28%
*
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----62%
36%
1%
+/-8.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------58%
42%
*
+/-6.5

Under
55
----62%
37%
1%
+/-8.0

Non
College
Grad
-------67%
32%
1%
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----62%
37%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----70%
30%
*
+/-7.5

Moderate
----52%
47%
1%
+/-7.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----62%
38%
*
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----N/A
64%
N/A
N/A
N/A
36%
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-34-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 12AA
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Democratic presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether
you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset
if that person were the Democratic nominee?
A. Hillary Clinton
Base = Registered Democrats
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Enthusiastic
37%
30%
42%
35%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
38%
39%
37%
40%
Dissatisfied but not upset
15%
18%
12%
14%
Upset
10%
12%
9%
11%
No opinion
*
*
*
*
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
37%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
38%
Dissatisfied but not upset
15%
Upset
10%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
Total
$50K
--------Enthusiastic
37%
32%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
38%
38%
Dissatisfied but not upset
15%
14%
Upset
10%
16%
No opinion
*
*
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-8.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
37%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
38%
Dissatisfied but not upset
15%
Upset
10%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
37%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
38%
Dissatisfied but not upset
15%
Upset
10%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
37%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
38%
Dissatisfied but not upset
15%
Upset
10%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

Democrat
----46%
41%
7%
6%
*
+/-5.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----47%
33%
12%
8%
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------41%
36%
17%
5%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------36%
33%
16%
15%
*
+/-8.0

65+
----49%
36%
6%
9%
*
+/-7.5

College
Grad
------32%
48%
12%
8%
*
+/-6.5

Independent
-----21%
34%
28%
17%
*
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------39%
35%
17%
9%
*
+/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----34%
40%
16%
10%
*
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------34%
46%
14%
6%
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----30%
41%
18%
12%
*
+/-7.5

Non
College
Grad
-------40%
32%
17%
11%
*
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----37%
38%
15%
10%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----38%
40%
17%
5%
*
+/-7.5

Moderate
----33%
38%
14%
15%
*
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----49%
34%
9%
8%
*
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----N/A
38%
N/A
N/A
N/A
39%
N/A
N/A
N/A
13%
N/A
N/A
N/A
10%
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-35-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 12AB
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Democratic presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether
you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset
if that person were the Democratic nominee?
B. Bernie Sanders
Base = Registered Democrats
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Enthusiastic
33%
38%
28%
35%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
39%
35%
43%
40%
Dissatisfied but not upset
16%
16%
16%
17%
Upset
10%
11%
9%
7%
No opinion
2%
*
4%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
33%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
39%
Dissatisfied but not upset
16%
Upset
10%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
Total
$50K
--------Enthusiastic
33%
33%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
39%
38%
Dissatisfied but not upset
16%
17%
Upset
10%
10%
No opinion
2%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-8.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
33%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
39%
Dissatisfied but not upset
16%
Upset
10%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
33%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
39%
Dissatisfied but not upset
16%
Upset
10%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
33%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
39%
Dissatisfied but not upset
16%
Upset
10%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

Democrat
----27%
41%
20%
9%
3%
+/-5.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----31%
46%
17%
5%
1%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------36%
40%
14%
6%
3%
+/-6.5

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------27%
39%
15%
15%
4%
+/-8.0

65+
----16%
44%
26%
11%
2%
+/-7.5

College
Grad
------39%
41%
16%
4%
1%
+/-6.5

Independent
-----43%
37%
9%
11%
*
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------31%
38%
15%
12%
3%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----26%
47%
17%
6%
4%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------40%
42%
13%
5%
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----38%
37%
12%
11%
2%
+/-7.5

Non
College
Grad
-------29%
38%
16%
14%
3%
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----33%
39%
16%
10%
2%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----47%
31%
9%
9%
3%
+/-7.5

Moderate
----25%
44%
22%
8%
1%
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----24%
43%
23%
8%
2%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----N/A
35%
N/A
N/A
N/A
37%
N/A
N/A
N/A
15%
N/A
N/A
N/A
11%
N/A
N/A
N/A
2%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-36-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 13A
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Democratic candidate do you think can best handle:
A. The economy
Base = Registered Democrats

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------53%
45%
61%
49%
1%
1%
2%
1%
38%
48%
30%
42%
3%
5%
2%
4%
3%
1%
4%
3%
1%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----53%
1%
38%
3%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------53%
50%
1%
2%
38%
35%
3%
7%
3%
4%
1%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----53%
1%
38%
3%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----53%
1%
38%
3%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----53%
1%
38%
3%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----64%
*
31%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----58%
1%
37%
*
3%
2%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------55%
*
43%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.5

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------56%
*
35%
6%
1%
2%
+/-8.0

65+
----64%
*
25%
2%
5%
4%
+/-7.5

College
Grad
------50%
1%
41%
3%
4%
*
+/-6.5

Independent
-----35%
4%
50%
7%
3%
1%
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------58%
2%
34%
3%
3%
1%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----60%
1%
33%
*
5%
1%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------49%
3%
44%
1%
3%
1%
+/-6.0

Under
55
----49%
2%
43%
4%
2%
*
+/-7.5

Non
College
Grad
-------56%
1%
36%
3%
2%
2%
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----53%
1%
38%
3%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----54%
*
42%
*
3%
*
+/-7.5

Moderate
----52%
1%
37%
7%
2%
2%
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----62%
1%
29%
1%
4%
3%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----N/A
53%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
N/A
N/A
N/A
39%
N/A
N/A
N/A
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
2%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-37-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 13B
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Democratic candidate do you think can best handle:
B. Foreign policy
Base = Registered Democrats

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------69%
59%
77%
71%
1%
1%
2%
1%
26%
35%
19%
21%
2%
4%
1%
4%
1%
2%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----69%
1%
26%
2%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------69%
60%
1%
2%
26%
30%
2%
5%
1%
2%
1%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----69%
1%
26%
2%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----69%
1%
26%
2%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----69%
1%
26%
2%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----75%
1%
21%
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----78%
1%
17%
1%
2%
1%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------76%
1%
23%
*
*
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------63%
1%
30%
4%
*
1%
+/-8.0

65+
----83%
1%
11%
2%
1%
2%
+/-7.5

College
Grad
------78%
*
21%
*
*
1%
+/-6.5

Independent
-----57%
3%
35%
4%
*
1%
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------64%
2%
33%
*
1%
*
+/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----70%
*
27%
*
1%
1%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------73%
2%
24%
*
1%
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----61%
2%
34%
3%
*
*
+/-7.5

Non
College
Grad
-------63%
2%
29%
4%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----69%
1%
26%
2%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----68%
*
31%
*
*
1%
+/-7.5

Moderate
----73%
2%
20%
4%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----81%
1%
12%
1%
2%
2%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----N/A
69%
N/A
N/A
N/A
2%
N/A
N/A
N/A
26%
N/A
N/A
N/A
2%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-38-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 13C
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Democratic candidate do you think can best handle:
C. Health care
Base = Registered Democrats

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------54%
51%
57%
48%
1%
1%
2%
2%
39%
42%
38%
42%
3%
4%
2%
3%
1%
1%
*
1%
2%
2%
2%
3%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
1%
39%
3%
1%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------54%
48%
1%
1%
39%
42%
3%
7%
1%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
1%
39%
3%
1%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
1%
39%
3%
1%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
1%
39%
3%
1%
2%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----67%
2%
28%
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----64%
3%
30%
*
1%
2%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------56%
2%
41%
*
*
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------57%
1%
34%
6%
*
2%
+/-8.0

65+
----70%
3%
20%
3%
2%
2%
+/-7.5

College
Grad
------50%
1%
44%
3%
1%
1%
+/-6.5

Independent
-----31%
1%
59%
7%
*
2%
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------59%
1%
36%
3%
1%
*
+/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----55%
1%
40%
*
1%
2%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------48%
1%
49%
*
*
1%
+/-6.0

Under
55
----47%
1%
47%
4%
*
1%
+/-7.5

Non
College
Grad
-------56%
1%
36%
3%
1%
2%
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----54%
1%
39%
3%
1%
2%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----49%
*
50%
*
*
*
+/-7.5

Moderate
----54%
3%
34%
6%
*
3%
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----67%
2%
25%
1%
2%
3%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----N/A
53%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
N/A
N/A
N/A
40%
N/A
N/A
N/A
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-39-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 13D
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Democratic candidate do you think can best handle:
D. Gun policy
Base = Registered Democrats

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------54%
48%
59%
52%
4%
5%
3%
5%
35%
40%
31%
34%
3%
4%
3%
4%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
3%
3%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
4%
35%
3%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------54%
48%
4%
3%
35%
37%
3%
7%
2%
1%
2%
3%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
4%
35%
3%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
4%
35%
3%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
4%
35%
3%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----66%
3%
25%
1%
2%
2%
+/-5.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----58%
3%
30%
*
5%
4%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------58%
5%
35%
*
2%
1%
+/-6.5

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------54%
1%
36%
7%
1%
2%
+/-8.0

65+
----69%
4%
20%
3%
1%
3%
+/-7.5

College
Grad
------57%
3%
35%
3%
1%
1%
+/-6.5

Independent
-----33%
5%
52%
7%
1%
2%
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------55%
3%
37%
3%
1%
1%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----57%
3%
36%
*
3%
2%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------53%
7%
35%
*
2%
3%
+/-6.0

Under
55
----49%
4%
42%
5%
*
*
+/-7.5

Non
College
Grad
-------52%
5%
35%
4%
2%
3%
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----54%
4%
35%
3%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----55%
2%
38%
1%
1%
2%
+/-7.5

Moderate
----50%
5%
35%
6%
1%
3%
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----63%
4%
23%
1%
4%
5%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----N/A
54%
N/A
N/A
N/A
4%
N/A
N/A
N/A
35%
N/A
N/A
N/A
4%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
N/A
N/A
N/A
2%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-40-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 14A
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Democratic candidate do you think:
A. Has the best chance of winning in the general election in November
Base = Registered Democrats

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------71%
64%
77%
74%
2%
1%
2%
1%
23%
31%
17%
23%
2%
3%
*
2%
*
*
*
*
2%
1%
3%
*
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----71%
2%
23%
2%
*
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------71%
66%
2%
3%
23%
26%
2%
3%
*
*
2%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----71%
2%
23%
2%
*
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----71%
2%
23%
2%
*
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----71%
2%
23%
2%
*
2%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----83%
*
13%
*
*
4%
+/-5.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----77%
1%
20%
1%
*
1%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------72%
*
26%
*
*
2%
+/-6.5

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------66%
3%
26%
3%
*
2%
+/-8.0

65+
----91%
1%
6%
*
1%
*
+/-7.5

College
Grad
------77%
3%
20%
*
*
*
+/-6.5

Independent
-----50%
4%
42%
4%
*
*
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------67%
3%
25%
*
*
5%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----74%
*
22%
*
*
3%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------76%
1%
23%
*
*
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----63%
2%
31%
2%
*
3%
+/-7.5

Non
College
Grad
-------68%
*
25%
2%
*
3%
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----71%
2%
23%
2%
*
2%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----67%
*
32%
*
*
*
+/-7.5

Moderate
----71%
3%
18%
3%
*
4%
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----86%
1%
11%
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----N/A
71%
N/A
N/A
N/A
2%
N/A
N/A
N/A
23%
N/A
N/A
N/A
2%
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
3%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-41-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 14B
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Democratic candidate do you think:
B. Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself
Base = Registered Democrats

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------48%
39%
55%
40%
5%
6%
4%
4%
42%
47%
39%
48%
2%
4%
1%
4%
2%
2%
1%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
5%
42%
2%
2%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------48%
46%
5%
4%
42%
41%
2%
4%
2%
3%
1%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
5%
42%
2%
2%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
5%
42%
2%
2%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
5%
42%
2%
2%
1%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----60%
4%
32%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----54%
3%
38%
1%
3%
1%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------48%
3%
48%
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.5

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------54%
6%
35%
3%
1%
1%
+/-8.0

65+
----63%
3%
27%
2%
2%
3%
+/-7.5

College
Grad
------45%
4%
49%
1%
1%
*
+/-6.5

Independent
-----26%
6%
61%
4%
1%
1%
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------56%
6%
36%
*
*
1%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----49%
4%
42%
*
3%
1%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------37%
4%
55%
1%
2%
1%
+/-6.0

Under
55
----42%
6%
48%
2%
1%
*
+/-7.5

Non
College
Grad
-------50%
5%
38%
3%
2%
1%
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----48%
5%
42%
2%
2%
1%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----43%
1%
55%
*
*
*
+/-7.5

Moderate
----50%
5%
37%
4%
3%
1%
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----59%
3%
32%
1%
3%
2%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----N/A
47%
N/A
N/A
N/A
5%
N/A
N/A
N/A
43%
N/A
N/A
N/A
2%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-42-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 15
Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is
most likely to win the Democratic nomination for president?
Base = Registered Voters

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------63%
58%
68%
63%
4%
5%
3%
3%
28%
32%
25%
28%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
3%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----63%
4%
28%
2%
2%
+/-3.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------63%
58%
4%
7%
28%
31%
2%
1%
2%
3%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----63%
4%
28%
2%
2%
+/-3.5

Democrat
----83%
2%
14%
1%
1%
+/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----63%
4%
28%
2%
2%
+/-3.5

North
east
----68%
5%
23%
2%
2%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----66%
5%
27%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

South
----64%
3%
28%
3%
2%
+/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----63%
4%
28%
2%
2%
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------52%
4%
36%
3%
4%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------60%
4%
30%
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----74%
57%
65%
N/A
N/A
3%
5%
4%
N/A
N/A
22%
31%
28%
N/A
N/A
*
3%
2%
N/A
N/A
*
4%
2%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----62%
6%
31%
*
1%
+/-7.5

Non-White
--------62%
6%
30%
1%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----63%
2%
28%
4%
3%
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------68%
1%
28%
2%
1%
+/-4.5

65+
----63%
2%
26%
4%
4%
+/-5.5

College
Grad
------66%
3%
26%
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Independent
-----54%
5%
36%
3%
3%
+/-5.0

Republican
-----57%
4%
33%
3%
3%
+/-6.0

Under
55
----62%
6%
30%
*
1%
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------62%
5%
29%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----72%
3%
24%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----69%
*
29%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----67%
4%
26%
2%
2%
+/-5.5

West
----56%
3%
35%
2%
4%
+/-7.0

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----64%
2%
26%
5%
4%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----59%
4%
31%
3%
3%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------58%
6%
30%
3%
3%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-43-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 23D
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
D. Hillary Clinton
Base = Total Sample

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------45%
38%
52%
36%
52%
60%
45%
61%
3%
2%
3%
3%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
52%
3%
*
*
+/-3.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------45%
44%
52%
51%
3%
5%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
52%
3%
*
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----90%
9%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
52%
3%
*
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----53%
46%
1%
*
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----47%
47%
6%
*
*
+/-6.5

South
----42%
56%
2%
*
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
52%
3%
*
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------19%
78%
2%
*
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------40%
57%
3%
*
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----69%
23%
51%
N/A
N/A
29%
74%
47%
N/A
N/A
1%
3%
3%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----41%
55%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0

Non-White
--------62%
36%
3%
*
*
+/-6.5

5064
----45%
54%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------46%
53%
1%
*
*
+/-4.5

65+
----43%
55%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------49%
50%
1%
*
*
+/-4.5

Independent
-----37%
59%
4%
*
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----7%
90%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----46%
51%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

Non
College
Grad
-------43%
53%
3%
*
*
+/-4.0

Lean
Democrat
-----76%
23%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----76%
23%
1%
*
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----52%
45%
2%
*
*
+/-5.0

West
----39%
58%
3%
*
*
+/-6.5

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----43%
55%
2%
*
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----14%
85%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------17%
79%
4%
*
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-44-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 23D
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
D. Hillary Clinton
Base = Registered Voters

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------46%
38%
53%
37%
53%
60%
46%
62%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----46%
53%
1%
*
*
+/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------46%
47%
53%
51%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----46%
53%
1%
*
*
+/-3.5

Democrat
----90%
9%
*
*
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----46%
53%
1%
*
*
+/-3.5

North
east
----57%
43%
*
*
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----48%
50%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0

South
----41%
57%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----46%
53%
1%
*
*
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------15%
83%
2%
*
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------40%
58%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----74%
22%
53%
N/A
N/A
26%
75%
46%
N/A
N/A
*
3%
1%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----41%
56%
3%
*
*
+/-7.5

Non-White
--------66%
32%
1%
*
*
+/-7.0

5064
----44%
55%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------45%
55%
1%
*
*
+/-4.5

65+
----43%
55%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5

College
Grad
------50%
49%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----38%
59%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----7%
92%
1%
*
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----47%
52%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------44%
54%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----80%
20%
*
*
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----75%
24%
1%
*
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----57%
42%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5

West
----41%
57%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----44%
55%
2%
*
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----12%
87%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------17%
81%
2%
*
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-45-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 23H
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
H. Bernie Sanders
Base = Total Sample

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------50%
51%
49%
47%
33%
37%
29%
37%
9%
7%
11%
9%
8%
5%
10%
6%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----50%
33%
9%
8%
*
+/-3.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------50%
49%
33%
30%
9%
11%
8%
10%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----50%
33%
9%
8%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----75%
12%
5%
9%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----50%
33%
9%
8%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----55%
32%
6%
7%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----46%
33%
12%
9%
*
+/-6.5

South
----49%
35%
9%
7%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----50%
33%
9%
8%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------34%
57%
5%
4%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------43%
34%
11%
12%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----77%
27%
56%
N/A
N/A
16%
50%
29%
N/A
N/A
6%
16%
7%
N/A
N/A
1%
6%
8%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----52%
30%
9%
9%
*
+/-7.0

Non-White
--------57%
23%
8%
12%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----51%
38%
6%
5%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------54%
36%
5%
5%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----50%
41%
7%
2%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------64%
28%
5%
4%
*
+/-4.5

Independent
-----49%
33%
11%
7%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----24%
58%
10%
8%
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----50%
29%
10%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Non
College
Grad
-------44%
35%
11%
10%
*
+/-4.0

Lean
Democrat
-----73%
13%
7%
8%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----70%
12%
7%
11%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----59%
24%
11%
6%
*
+/-5.0

West
----51%
32%
8%
9%
*
+/-6.5

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----50%
40%
7%
2%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----28%
58%
7%
7%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------29%
59%
8%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-46-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 23H
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
H. Bernie Sanders
Base = Registered Voters

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------54%
55%
53%
51%
36%
39%
33%
40%
6%
5%
7%
6%
4%
1%
7%
3%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
36%
6%
4%
*
+/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------54%
55%
36%
33%
6%
6%
4%
7%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
36%
6%
4%
*
+/-3.5

Democrat
----77%
11%
5%
8%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
36%
6%
4%
*
+/-3.5

North
east
----60%
33%
5%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----52%
34%
7%
6%
*
+/-7.0

South
----52%
37%
5%
7%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
36%
6%
4%
*
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------29%
63%
5%
3%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------49%
36%
8%
7%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----81%
30%
62%
N/A
N/A
18%
55%
30%
N/A
N/A
2%
11%
4%
N/A
N/A
*
4%
4%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----55%
33%
5%
7%
*
+/-7.5

Non-White
--------63%
23%
6%
7%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----56%
39%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------55%
39%
4%
2%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----52%
41%
7%
1%
*
+/-5.5

College
Grad
------65%
28%
5%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----55%
37%
5%
2%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----26%
63%
8%
3%
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----56%
32%
6%
6%
*
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------49%
39%
7%
5%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----79%
12%
3%
6%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----76%
12%
6%
7%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----66%
26%
4%
5%
*
+/-5.5

West
----54%
38%
7%
1%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----53%
41%
6%
1%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----30%
61%
6%
2%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------30%
62%
7%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-47-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 23J
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
J. The Democratic Party
Base = Total Sample

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------45%
41%
50%
35%
46%
52%
40%
57%
7%
7%
8%
7%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
46%
7%
1%
1%
+/-3.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------45%
49%
46%
41%
7%
9%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
46%
7%
1%
1%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----88%
7%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
46%
7%
1%
1%
+/-3.0

North
east
----51%
44%
6%
*
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----47%
42%
7%
2%
2%
+/-6.5

South
----41%
48%
10%
*
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
46%
7%
1%
1%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------20%
71%
6%
3%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------41%
48%
9%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----70%
25%
51%
N/A
N/A
26%
70%
39%
N/A
N/A
4%
2%
9%
N/A
N/A
*
*
1%
N/A
N/A
*
2%
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----41%
49%
6%
1%
2%
+/-7.0

Non-White
--------68%
22%
8%
2%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----42%
50%
7%
*
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------45%
49%
6%
*
*
+/-4.5

65+
----43%
52%
4%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------49%
48%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5

Independent
-----41%
48%
10%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Republican
-----6%
87%
7%
*
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----47%
43%
9%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Non
College
Grad
-------44%
44%
10%
1%
1%
+/-4.0

Lean
Democrat
-----81%
13%
5%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----74%
18%
7%
*
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----54%
38%
7%
1%
*
+/-5.0

West
----45%
48%
5%
1%
*
+/-6.5

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----44%
51%
5%
*
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----11%
84%
5%
*
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------18%
74%
5%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-48-

January 21-24, 2016

 CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016
Question 23J
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
J. The Democratic Party
Base = Registered Voters

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------46%
41%
51%
35%
49%
55%
43%
60%
4%
4%
3%
4%
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----46%
49%
4%
*
1%
+/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------46%
50%
49%
45%
4%
4%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----46%
49%
4%
*
1%
+/-3.5

Democrat
----89%
7%
2%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----46%
49%
4%
*
1%
+/-3.5

North
east
----53%
45%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----48%
46%
2%
2%
2%
+/-7.0

South
----43%
51%
6%
*
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----46%
49%
4%
*
1%
+/-3.5

Tea Pty
Support
------16%
78%
4%
2%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------43%
51%
5%
*
1%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White
All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----72%
22%
54%
N/A
N/A
26%
73%
42%
N/A
N/A
2%
2%
4%
N/A
N/A
*
*
1%
N/A
N/A
*
2%
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----42%
51%
3%
2%
2%
+/-7.5

Non-White
--------74%
22%
3%
2%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----43%
52%
5%
*
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------45%
51%
4%
*
*
+/-4.5

65+
----43%
53%
4%
*
*
+/-5.5

College
Grad
------50%
48%
2%
*
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----41%
53%
5%
*
1%
+/-5.0

Republican
-----6%
90%
4%
*
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----48%
47%
4%
1%
1%
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------45%
49%
5%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----83%
13%
3%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----77%
19%
4%
*
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----56%
39%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.5

West
----43%
52%
5%
*
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----44%
52%
4%
*
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----10%
87%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------18%
78%
3%
*
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 3
3

-49-

January 21-24, 2016