Conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center Interviews with 972 adults in New Hampshire conducted by land line and cellular telephone on January 13-18, 2016 including 413 who say they plan to vote in the Republican presidential primary and 420 respondents who say they plan to vote in the Democratic presidential primary. The margin of sampling error for results based on Republican primary voters is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points and for results based on Democratic primary voters is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Wednesday, January 20 at 5:00 p.m. CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll -1- January, 2016 1. “There are many issues facing the candidates in the election for president. In your opinion, which one issue is MOST IMPORTANT to YOUR VOTE in the presidential primary?” (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY) FOREIGN POLICY/NATIONAL SECURITY JOBS/ECONOMY IMMIGRATION HEALTH CARE BUDGET/NATIONAL DEBT SOCIAL ISSUES TAXES EDUCATION OTHER / DK June 2015 19% 44% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% 2% 17% Sept 2015 21% 29% 14% 5% 8% 3% 2% 1% 16% Dec 2015 50% 18% 12% 4% 4% 1% 1% 1% 10% Jan 2016 34% 26% 11% 4% 3% 1% 1% 1% 18% (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some REPUBLICANS who are running or may run for President in 2016. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her." "First, how about ... ROTATE 2 TO 13 2. (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" June Sept Dec Jan 2015 2015 2015 2016 FAVORABLE 50% 47% 42% 40% NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED 12% 14% 12% 7% UNFAVORABLE 33% 36% 45% 51% DK / NEVER HEAR 5% 3% 2% 2% CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll -2- January, 2016 3. (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Neurosurgeon Ben Carson?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" June Sept Dec Jan 2015 2015 2015 2016 FAVORABLE 40% 60% 47% 46% NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED 7% 10% 13% 11% UNFAVORABLE 13% 18% 35% 36% DK / NEVER HEAR 40% 13% 5% 7% 4. (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “New Jersey Governor Chris Christie?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" June Sept Dec Jan 2015 2015 2015 2016 FAVORABLE 31% 50% 53% 41% NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED 14% 8% 9% 9% UNFAVORABLE 44% 37% 34% 47% DK / NEVER HEAR 12% 5% 3% 3% 5. (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Texas Senator Ted Cruz?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" June Sept Dec Jan 2015 2015 2015 2016 FAVORABLE 32% 42% 46% 55% NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED 11% 10% 10% 8% UNFAVORABLE 31% 35% 36% 30% DK / NEVER HEAR 26% 13% 8% 7% 6. (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Businesswoman Carly Fiorina?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?" FAVORABLE NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED UNFAVORABLE DK / NEVER HEAR CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll -3- June 2015 39% 6% 15% 41% Sept 2015 62% 9% 15% 14% Dec 2015 49% 12% 29% 10% Jan 2016 49% 10% 30% 11% January, 2016 7. (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Former Virginia Governor Jim Gilmore?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" FAVORABLE NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED UNFAVORABLE DK / NEVER HEAR 8. Dec 2015 3% 12% 30% 55% Jan 2016 4% 12% 34% 51% June 2015 31% 13% 43% 13% Sept 2015 35% 15% 45% 5% Dec 2015 31% 13% 52% 4% Jan 2016 32% 11% 49% 8% (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Ohio Governor John Kasich?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" FAVORABLE NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED UNFAVORABLE DK / NEVER HEAR 10. Sept 2015 5% 12% 30% 54% (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" FAVORABLE NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED UNFAVORABLE DK / NEVER HEAR 9. June 2015 6% 6% 15% 73% June 2015 20% 13% 13% 54% Sept 2015 45% 8% 24% 24% Dec 2015 36% 12% 35% 17% Jan 2016 38% 10% 37% 15% (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Kentucky Senator Rand Paul?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" FAVORABLE NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED UNFAVORABLE DK / NEVER HEAR CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll -4- June 2015 43% 15% 32% 10% Sept 2015 31% 14% 48% 7% Dec 2015 34% 13% 49% 4% Jan 2016 34% 11% 49% 7% January, 2016 11. (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Florida Senator Marco Rubio?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" FAVORABLE NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED UNFAVORABLE DK / NEVER HEAR 12. June 2015 49% 10% 21% 19% Sept 2015 58% 6% 22% 14% Dec 2015 61% 9% 23% 7% Jan 2016 58% 7% 32% 4% (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" FAVORABLE NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED UNFAVORABLE DK / NEVER HEAR June 2015 27% 14% 38% 21% Sept 2015 23% 9% 52% 16% Dec 2015 20% 14% 50% 15% Jan 2016 21% 13% 50% 17% 13. (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Businessman Donald Trump?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?" June Sept Dec Jan 2015 2015 2015 2016 FAVORABLE 38% 55% 57% 54% NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED 11% 7% 6% 5% UNFAVORABLE 48% 38% 36% 40% DK / NEVER HEAR 4% 0% 1% 1% 14. (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?” DEFINITELY DECIDED WHO WILL VOTE FOR LEANING TOWARD SOMEONE STILL TRYING TO DECIDE CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll -5- June 2015 8% 17% 75% Sept 2015 13% 28% 59% Dec 2015 18% 26% 56% Jan 2016 31% 26% 43% January, 2016 15. (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) "I’m going to read you the names of the candidates who are either running or considering running for the Republican nomination. If the Republican primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for the Republican nomination Jeb Bush … Ben Carson … Chris Christie … Ted Cruz … Carly Fiorina … Jim Gilmore … Lindsey Graham … Mike Huckabee … John Kasich … George Pataki … Rand Paul … Marco Rubio … Rick Santorum … Donald Trump … or someone else?" ROTATE CANDIDATES June 2015 11% 3% 16% 6% 5% 2% 9% 6% 5% 2% 0% 0% 0% --1% * 0% 1% 4% 8% 1% 21% DONALD TRUMP TED CRUZ JEB BUSH MARCO RUBIO CHRIS CHRISTIE JOHN KASICH RAND PAUL CARLY FIORINA BEN CARSON MIKE HUCKABEE JIM GILMORE RICK SANTORUM BOB EHRLICH MARK EVERSON LINDSEY GRAHAM BOBBY JINDAL PETER KING GEORGE PATAKI RICK PERRY SCOTT WALKER SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY DK / NOT SURE CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll -6- Sept. 2015 26% 5% 7% 9% 5% 7% 3% 16% 8% * 1% * --0% 1% 0% --* --* * 11% Dec. 2015 32% 6% 8% 14% 9% 7% 2% 5% 5% 1% * * ----1% ----0% ----0% 9% Jan 2016 34% 14% 10% 10% 6% 6% 6% 4% 3% 1% * 0% --------* 6% January, 2016 16. (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “If ___________ was not running, who would be your second choice?” June 2015 4% 8% 8% 14% 10% 1% 5% 8% 5% 3% 4% 0% 0% --* 3% 0% 4% 5% 7% 1% 3% 8% TED CRUZ MARCO RUBIO CHRIS CHRISTIE JEB BUSH DONALD TRUMP JOHN KASICH BEN CARSON CARLY FIORINA RAND PAUL MIKE HUCKABEE RICK SANTORUM JIM GILMORE BOB EHRLICH MARK EVERSON LINDSEY GRAHAM BOBBY JINDAL PETER KING GEORGE PATAKI RICK PERRY SCOTT WALKER SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY NO SECOND CHOICE DK / NOT SURE CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll -7- Sept 2015 4% 9% 10% 10% 8% 7% 12% 13% 3% 1% 0% * --0% * * --1% --2% 1% 8% 9% Dec 2015 11% 20% 12% 7% 11% 3% 8% 8% 3% 1% 1% 0% ----2% ---1% ----* 5% 8% Jan 2016 20% 19% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 4% 1% 1% 0% --------2% 4% 5% January, 2016 17. (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Which of the candidates who are either running or considering running for the Republican nomination would you NOT vote for under any circumstance?” June 2015 23% 10% 10% 3% 4% * 2% 0% 0% 3% * 2% 1% --2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 13% 19% DONALD TRUMP JEB BUSH CHRIS CHRISTIE RAND PAUL TED CRUZ CARLY FIORINA MARCO RUBIO JIM GILMORE BEN CARSON MIKE HUCKABEE JOHN KASICH RICK SANTORUM BOB EHRLICH MARK EVERSON LINDSEY GRAHAM BOBBY JINDAL PETER KING GEORGE PATAKI RICK PERRY SCOTT WALKER SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY NONE / ALL ARE OK DK / NOT SURE CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll -8- Sept 2015 25% 11% 5% 10% 3% 1% 0% 1% 1% 8% * 2% --1% 4% 1% --2% --* 0% 10% 15% Dec 2015 26% 11% 6% 7% 3% 4% 1% 2% 5% 4% 2% 3% ----3% ----2% ----1% 11% 9% Jan 2016 30% 18% 9% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% --------* 10% 6% January, 2016 18. (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Which Republican candidate do you think has the personal characteristics and qualities that you think a President should have?” ROTATE 18 – 20 June 2015 3% 8% 6% 19% 1% 6% 3% 8% 4% 3% * 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 4% 7% 2% 22% TED CRUZ DONALD TRUMP MARCO RUBIO JEB BUSH JOHN KASICH BEN CARSON CHRIS CHRISTIE RAND PAUL CARLY FIORINA MIKE HUCKABEE RICK SANTORUM JIM GILMORE BOB EHRLICH LINDSEY GRAHAM BOBBY JINDAL PETER KING GEORGE PATAKI RICK PERRY SCOTT WALKER SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY DK / NOT SURE 19. Jan 2016 16% 16% 14% 13% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 2% * 0% -------* 9% (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Which Republican candidate do you think can best handle ISIS?” Dec Jan 2015 2016 DONALD TRUMP 33% 32% TED CRUZ 7% 14% JEB BUSH 11% 12% MARCO RUBIO 7% 10% CHRIS CHRISTIE 9% 7% JOHN KASICH 4% 4% RAND PAUL 2% 4% BEN CARSON 2% 2% CARLY FIORINA 2% 2% JIM GILMORE 0% 0% MIKE HUCKABEE 1% 0% RICK SANTORUM 0% 0% LINDSEY GRAHAM 7% -GEORGE PATAKI 0% -SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY 1% 1% DK / NOT SURE 15% 13% CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll -9- January, 2016 20. (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Which Republican candidate do you think can best handle the economy? June Jan 2015 2016 DONALD TRUMP 29% 48% JEB BUSH 13% 7% TED CRUZ 2% 7% JOHN KASICH 1% 7% CHRIS CHRISTIE 4% 6% CARLY FIORINA 7% 6% RAND PAUL 7% 6% MARCO RUBIO 1% 4% BEN CARSON 2% 1% MIKE HUCKABEE 1% * JIM GILMORE 0% 0% RICK SANTORUM * 0% BOB EHRLICH 0% -LINDSEY GRAHAM * -BOBBY JINDAL * -PETER KING * -GEORGE PATAKI 2% -RICK PERRY 5% -SCOTT WALKER 6% -SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY 1% * DK / NOT SURE 17% 9% CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll -10- January, 2016