Conducted by the
University of New Hampshire
Survey Center
Interviews with 972 adults in New Hampshire conducted by
land line and cellular telephone on January 13-18, 2016
including 413 who say they plan to vote in the Republican
presidential primary and 420 respondents who say they plan
to vote in the Democratic presidential primary. The margin
of sampling error for results based on Republican primary
voters is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points and for results
based on Democratic primary voters is plus or minus 4.8
percentage points.

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:
Tuesday, December 19 at 5:00 p.m.

CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll

-1-

January, 2016

 1.

“There are many issues facing the candidates in the election for president. In your opinion, which
one issue is MOST IMPORTANT to YOUR VOTE in the presidential primary?”
(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY)
JOBS/ECONOMY
FOREIGN POLICY/NATIONAL SECURITY
HEALTH CARE
INCOME INEQUALITY
ENVIRONMENT/CLIMATE CHANGE
GUN CONTROL
SOCIAL ISSUES
EDUCATION
CAMPAIGN FINANCE
IMMIGRATION
OTHER / DK

June
2015
24%
16%
8%
4%
8%
1%
8%
6%
3%
1%
20%

Sept
2015
19%
12%
5%
7%
7%
0%
10%
9%
3%
5%
28%

Dec
2015
18%
23%
10%
3%
10%
6%
5%
3%
3%
4%
16%

Jan
2016
26%
13%
10%
10%
7%
4%
3%
3%
3%
1%
18%

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:)
"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some DEMOCRATS who are running or may run
for President in 2016. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her." "First, how about ... ROTATE
21 TO 23
21.

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton?”
(READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her
or don’t you know enough about him to say?"
June
Sept
Dec
Jan
2015
2015
2015
2016
FAVORABLE
74%
67%
68%
65%
NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED
5%
10%
7%
9%
UNFAVORABLE
19%
23%
24%
26%
DK / NEVER HEAR
2%
0%
1%
1%

22.

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Former Maryland Governor Martin
O’Malley?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"

FAVORABLE
NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED
UNFAVORABLE
DK / NEVER HEAR

CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll

-2-

June
2015
16%
11%
12%
61%

Sept
2015
22%
18%
14%
45%

Dec
2015
26%
20%
20%
34%

Jan
2016
26%
18%
27%
29%

January, 2016

 23.

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders?” (READ IF
NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you
know enough about him to say?"

FAVORABLE
NEITHER FAV. OR UNFAV. – VOLUNTEERED
UNFAVORABLE
DK / NEVER HEAR

June
2015
66%
8%
11%
16%

Sept
2015
78%
8%
11%
3%

Dec
2015
83%
4%
9%
4%

Jan
2016
91%
2%
7%
1%

24.

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Have you definitely decided who you will
vote for in the New Hampshire primary … are you leaning toward someone … or have you
considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”
June
Sept
Dec
Jan
2015
2015
2015
2016
DEFINITELY DECIDED WHO WILL VOTE FOR
20%
25%
36%
52%
LEANING TOWARD SOMEONE
26%
28%
21%
23%
STILL TRYING TO DECIDE
54%
47%
44%
26%

25.

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:)"I’m going to read you the names of the
candidates who are either running or considering running for the Democratic nomination. If the
Democratic primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for
the Democratic nomination … Hillary Clinton … Martin O’Malley … Bernie Sanders … or
someone else?" ROTATE CANDIDATES
June
2015
35%
43%
2%
8%
*
--1%
2%
9%

BERNIE SANDERS
HILLARY CLINTON
MARTIN O’MALLEY
JOE BIDEN
LINCOLN CHAFEE
LAWRENCE LESSIG
JIM WEBB
SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY
DK / NOT SURE

CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll

-3-

Sept
2015
46%
30%
2%
14%
*
*
1%
1%
6%

Dec
2015
50%
40%
1%
--------3%
6%

Jan
2016
60%
33%
1%
----0%
6%

January, 2016

 26.

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “If ___________ was not running, who would
be your second choice?”
June
Sept
Dec
Jan
2015
2015
2015
2016
HILLARY CLINTON
25%
31%
35%
39%
BERNIE SANDERS
18%
16%
29%
27%
MARTIN O’MALLEY
3%
3%
12%
10%
JOE BIDEN
20%
28%
---LINCOLN CHAFEE
2%
*
---LAWRENCE LESSIG
--1%
---JIM WEBB
1%
1%
---SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY
3%
4%
5%
7%
NO SECOND CHOICE
2%
4%
4%
5%
DK / NOT SURE
26%
13%
15%
12%

27.

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Which of the candidates who are either
running or considering running for the Democratic nomination would you NOT vote for under
any circumstance?”
June
Sept
Dec
Jan
2015
2015
2015
2016
MARTIN O’MALLEY
2%
2%
11%
26%
HILLARY CLINTON
11%
13%
15%
14%
BERNIE SANDERS
6%
5%
5%
4%
JOE BIDEN
6%
3%
---LINCOLN CHAFEE
4%
8%
---LAWRENCE LESSIG
--5%
---JIM WEBB
3%
3%
---SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY
4%
*
3%
2%
NONE / ALL ARE OK
35%
30%
50%
42%
DK / NOT SURE
30%
31%
16%
13%

28.

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Which Democratic candidate do you think is
least honest?” ROTATE 28 - 31
June
2015
28%
2%
2%
5%
3%
--*
1%
60%

HILLARY CLINTON
MARTIN O’MALLEY
BERNIE SANDERS
JOE BIDEN
LINCOLN CHAFEE
LAWRENCE LESSIG
JIM WEBB
SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY
DK / NOT SURE

CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll

-4-

Sept
2015
33%
1%
1%
2%
2%
*
*
0%
60%

Dec
2015
46%
5%
3%
--------1%
45%

Jan
2016
55%
5%
2%
----2%
36%

January, 2016

 29.

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Which Democratic candidate do you think can
best handle ISIS?”
Dec
Jan
2015
2016
HILLARY CLINTON
58%
55%
BERNIE SANDERS
25%
26%
MARTIN O’MALLEY
1%
1%
SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY
2%
2%
DK / NOT SURE
14%
16%

30.

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Which Democratic candidate do you think has
the personal characteristics and qualities that you think a President should have?”
June
2015
27%
38%
2%
12%
*
1%
1%
19%

BERNIE SANDERS
HILLARY CLINTON
MARTIN O’MALLEY
JOE BIDEN
LINCOLN CHAFEE
JIM WEBB
SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY
DK / NOT SURE
31.

Jan
2016
58%
33%
1%
---1%
6%

(DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) “Which Democratic candidate do you think can
best handle the economy?”
June
2015
28%
37%
2%
6%
1%
2%
2%
22%

BERNIE SANDERS
HILLARY CLINTON
MARTIN O’MALLEY
JOE BIDEN
LINCOLN CHAFEE
JIM WEBB
SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY
DK / NOT SURE

CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll

-5-

Jan
2016
57%
33%
1%
---1%
8%

January, 2016