IOWA Interviews with 2,003 adult Iowans conducted by telephone by ORC International on November 28 – December 6, 2015. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 2 percentage points. The sample also includes 552 who were likely to participate in the Republican presidential caucus and 442 who were likely to participate in the Democratic presidential caucus. This sample includes 1,203 interviews among landline respondents and 800 interviews among cell phone respondents. EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Monday, December 7 at 4:00 p.m. BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 552 REPUBLICAN LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4 PERCENTAGE PTS. RP1. If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump (RANDOM ORDER) Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11 2015 2015 2015 Trump Cruz Carson Rubio Bush Fiorina Paul Christie Huckabee Kasich Santorum Gilmore Graham Pataki Jindal Perry Walker Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion RP2. 33% 20% 16% 11% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% * * * N/A N/A N/A 1% 1% 1% 25% 11% 23% 13% 5% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% * * 2% * 4% N/A N/A * * 3% 22% 8% 14% 5% 5% 7% 5% 3% 7% 2% 1% * 2% * 2% 1% 9% * 2% 4% Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Republican caucus, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11 2015 2015 2015 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion POLL IA3 3 26% 26% 48% * 27% 23% 50% * 15% 19% 66% * -2- November 28 – December 6, 2015 RP3. Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER) The economy Trump Carson Cruz Bush Rubio Fiorina Christie Paul Huckabee Kasich Santorum Gilmore Graham Pataki Jindal Perry Walker Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion Illegal immigration Trump Cruz Rubio Carson Bush Christie Fiorina Huckabee Kasich Paul Gilmore Graham Pataki Santorum Jindal Perry Walker Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion POLL IA3 3 Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11 2015 2015 2015 52% 49% 37% 10% 9% 6% 10% 8% 5% 7% 9% 7% 5% 8% 3% 4% 4% 10% 3% 2% 2% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 5% 2% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% * * 1% * 1% * * * * N/A 3% 2% N/A N/A 2% N/A N/A 8% * * * 1% * 2% * 1% 3% Nov. 28-Dec 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11 2015 2015 2015 49% 44% 35% 16% 11% 12% 11% 12% 11% 9% 10% 4% 6% 8% 5% 2% 3% 3% 1% * 2% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * * 1% * * * * * 1% N/A 3% 3% N/A N/A 10% N/A N/A 3% * * 1% 1% * 1% 2% 3% 4% -3- November 28 – December 6, 2015 RP3. Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER) Foreign policy Trump Cruz Rubio Bush Carson Paul Christie Fiorina Huckabee Kasich Santorum Gilmore Graham Pataki Jindal Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 2015 2015 30% 18% 21% 14% 13% 14% 9% 14% 8% 11% 4% 2% 3% 5% 3% 4% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% * * * 2% * 1% N/A 2% 1% * 1% 3% 3% 5% Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 2015 2015 Carson Trump Cruz Rubio Fiorina Huckabee Bush Paul Christie Kasich Santorum Gilmore Graham Pataki Jindal Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion POLL IA3 3 21% 19% 17% 8% 7% 6% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% * * * N/A 1% 4% 4% 27% 13% 12% 10% 8% 6% 6% 2% 4% 1% 2% * * 1% 3% * 2% 4% -4- November 28 – December 6, 2015 RP3. Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER) ISIS Trump Cruz Bush Rubio Carson Christie Fiorina Paul Huckabee Graham Gilmore Kasich Pataki Santorum Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion POLL IA3 3 Nov. 28-Dec. 6 2015 41% 18% 9% 9% 8% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% * * * * 1% 2% 3% -5- November 28 – December 6, 2015 RP4. Now I’m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER) Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 2015 2015 Trump Cruz Carson Rubio Bush Paul Huckabee Fiorina Christie Kasich Santorum Gilmore Graham Jindal Pataki Perry Walker Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 25% 22% 18% 11% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% * * N/A * N/A N/A 1% * 1% 20% 12% 25% 10% 7% 2% 6% 3% 3% 2% 1% * 1% 4% * N/A N/A * * 1% Aug. 7-11 2015 12% 10% 14% 4% 6% 6% 11% 5% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 5% * 2% 9% 1% 1% 5% Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 2015 2015 Trump Cruz Carson Rubio Bush Christie Huckabee Kasich Paul Fiorina Gilmore Graham Pataki Santorum Jindal Perry Walker Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion POLL IA3 3 42% 17% 11% 11% 7% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * * N/A N/A N/A 1% 1% 5% 33% 8% 25% 17% 6% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% * * * N/A N/A * 1% 5% Aug. 7-11 2015 22% 7% 5% 9% 16% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% * 1% * 2% 1% * 11% 1% 2% 7% -6- November 28 – December 6, 2015 RP4. Now I’m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER) Would be most effective at solving the country’s problems Nov. 28-Dec. 6 2015 Trump Cruz Carson Rubio Bush Christie Fiorina Paul Huckabee Kasich Santorum Gilmore Graham Pataki Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 36% 17% 15% 9% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% * * * 1% 1% 2% Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief Nov. 28-Dec. 6 2015 Trump Cruz Carson Bush Rubio Christie Fiorina Huckabee Paul Kasich Santorum Gilmore Graham Pataki Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion POLL IA3 3 28% 22% 13% 10% 9% 5% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% * * * 1% * 2% -7- November 28 – December 6, 2015 BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 442 DEMOCRATIC LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. DM1. If the Democratic presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support? Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders (RANDOM ORDER) Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11 2015 2015 2015 Clinton Sanders O'Malley Biden Chafee Webb Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 54% 36% 4% N/A N/A N/A 2% * 3% 55% 37% 3% N/A N/A N/A 1% 1% 3% 50% 31% 1% 12% * 1% 1% * 4% DM2. Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Democratic caucus, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11 2015 2015 2015 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion POLL IA3 3 38% 22% 39% * 40% 21% 38% * 30% 16% 54% * -8- November 28 – December 6, 2015 DM3. I’m going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER) The economy Nov. 28-Dec. 6 2015 Clinton Sanders O'Malley Biden Chafee Webb Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 47% 42% 7% N/A N/A N/A 1% 2% 2% Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11 2015 2015 57% 36% 3% N/A N/A N/A 1% 2% 1% 42% 31% 3% 14% * 1% 1% 3% 4% Health care Nov. 28-Dec. 6 2015 Clinton Sanders O'Malley Biden Chafee Webb Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 63% 31% 3% N/A N/A N/A 1% * 2% Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11 2015 2015 61% 32% 3% N/A N/A N/A * 2% 1% 54% 28% * 13% * * * 2% 2% Race Relations Nov. 28-Dec. 6 2015 Clinton Sanders O'Malley Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion POLL IA3 3 52% 36% 6% 1% * 5% -9- November 28 – December 6, 2015 DM3. I’m going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER) Foreign policy Nov. 28-Dec. 6 2015 Clinton Sanders O'Malley Biden Chafee Webb Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 72% 21% 3% N/A N/A N/A 1% * 3% Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11 2015 2015 74% 19% 2% N/A N/A N/A 1% 1% 2% 66% 9% 2% 18% * 1% 1% 3% 1% ISIS Nov. 28-Dec. 6 2015 Clinton Sanders O'Malley Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion POLL IA3 3 67% 19% 5% 3% 3% 3% -10- November 28 – December 6, 2015 DM4. Now I’m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Democratic candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER) Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11 2015 2015 2015 Clinton Sanders O'Malley Biden Chafee Webb Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 46% 44% 5% N/A N/A N/A 1% 2% 2% 50% 42% 4% N/A N/A N/A * 1% 2% 41% 33% 3% 16% * 1% 1% 2% 3% Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 2015 2015 Clinton Sanders O'Malley Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 77% 18% 3% 1% * 2% 76% 20% 2% 1% 1% 1% Would do the most to help the middle class Nov. 28-Dec. 6 2015 Sanders Clinton O'Malley Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion POLL IA3 3 50% 43% 4% * * 2% -11- November 28 – December 6, 2015 5. Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for president? (RANDOM ORDER) [READ LIST] BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 2,003 ADULT IOWANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 2 PERCENTAGE PTS. Nov. 28-Dec. 6 2015 The economy Health care Terrorism Foreign policy Illegal immigration Social issues, such as abortion and same sex marriage Other (vol.) No opinion 30% 18% 18% 9% 9% 9% 4% 4% BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 552 REPUBICAN LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4 PERCENTAGE PTS. Nov. 28-Dec. 6 2015 The economy Terrorism Foreign policy Illegal immigration Social issues, such as abortion and same sex marriage Health care Other (vol.) No opinion 29% 27% 13% 10% 9% 8% 2% 2% BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 442 DEMOCRATIC LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. Nov. 28-Dec. 6 2015 The economy Health care Terrorism Foreign policy Social issues, such as abortion and same sex marriage Illegal immigration Other (vol.) No opinion POLL IA3 3 38% 22% 13% 10% 10% 4% 3% 1% -12- November 28 – December 6, 2015 METHODOLOGY A total of 2,003 Iowa adults were interviewed by telephone statewide by live interviewers calling both landline and cellphones. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of the state. Respondents were asked questions about whether they are registered to vote, their likelihood of voting, past voting behavior, and interest in the campaign. Based on the answers to those questions, 1,266 respondents were classified as likely caucus-goers, including 552 who were likely to participate in the Republican presidential caucus and 442 who were likely to participate in the Democratic presidential caucus. The Iowa regions are composed of the following counties: the "East" region is composed of Cedar, Clinton, Dubuque, Jackson, Johnson, Jones, Linn, Muscatine and Scott counties; the "East Central" region is composed of Allamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Chickasaw, Clayton, Delaware, Des Moines, Fayette, Floyd, Grundy, Henry, Howard, Iowa, Jefferson, Keokuk, Lee, Louisa, Mitchell, Poweshiek, Tama, Van Buren, Wapello, Washington and Winneshiek counties; the "Des Moines Area" region is composed of Dallas, Madison, Polk, Story and Warren counties; the "Central" region is composed of Adair, Appanoose, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Emmet, Franklin, Greene, Guthrie, Hamilton, Hancock, Hardin, Humboldt, Jasper, Kossuth, Lucas, Mahaska, Marion, Marshall, Monroe, Palo Alto, Pocahontas, Ringgold, Union, Wayne, Webster, Winnebago, Worth and Wright counties; and the "West" region is composed of Adams, Audubon, Buena Vista, Cass, Cherokee, Clay, Crawford, Dickinson, Fremont, Harrison, Ida, Lyon, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, O'Brien, Osceola, Page, Plymouth, Pottawattamie, Sac, Shelby, Sioux, Taylor and Woodbury counties. Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the population of Iowa to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed. POLL IA3 3 -13- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP1 If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------4% 3% 6% 5% 16% 15% 16% 17% 2% 3% 2% 2% 20% 22% 17% 21% 3% 2% 3% 2% * * * * 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% * * * * 3% 3% 2% 3% 11% 11% 13% 12% 1% 1% 2% 1% 33% 36% 29% 31% * 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 16% 2% 20% 3% * 2% 1% * 3% 11% 1% 33% * 1% 1% 1% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 4% N/A 16% N/A 2% N/A 23% N/A 3% N/A * N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 3% N/A 11% N/A 1% N/A 34% N/A 1% N/A * N/A * N/A 2% +/-5.5 5064 ----6% 16% 3% 24% 3% * 3% 2% * 2% 14% * 25% * 1% * 1% +/-7.0 65+ ----5% 13% 5% 20% 4% * 1% 3% * 1% 13% 1% 32% * * 1% 2% +/-7.0 White Women -----7% 17% 2% 19% 2% * 3% 2% * 3% 13% 2% 27% * 2% 1% 1% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----4% 17% 1% 19% 1% * 2% 1% * 4% 9% 2% 37% 1% 1% 1% 2% +/-7.5 50 and Older -----5% 15% 4% 22% 3% * 2% 2% * 1% 14% * 28% * * * 1% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -14- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP1 If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------4% 7% 16% 12% 2% 2% 20% 19% 3% 1% * * 2% 2% 1% * * * 3% 4% 11% 12% 1% 3% 33% 32% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% +/-4.0 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 16% 2% 20% 3% * 2% 1% * 3% 11% 1% 33% * 1% 1% 1% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------4% 19% 2% 22% 3% * 1% 2% * 2% 12% * 32% * * * * +/-5.5 No College ------3% 15% 4% 18% 1% * 3% * * 1% 6% 2% 40% * 2% 2% 3% +/-8.0 Independent -----6% 11% 3% 15% 4% * 2% * * 4% 9% 2% 40% 2% * * 3% +/-8.0 Republican -----4% 18% 2% 23% 3% * 2% 2% * 2% 13% 1% 30% * 1% 1% 1% +/-5.0 Attended College Urban -----------5% 4% 16% 6% 1% 1% 22% 26% 3% 3% * * 2% 1% 2% 2% * * 3% 2% 14% 11% 1% 3% 30% 37% 1% * * * * * 1% 3% +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----7% 18% 2% 11% 1% * 1% 4% * 6% 9% * 37% * 2% * 2% +/-8.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----3% 21% 3% 20% 2% * 1% 1% * 2% 11% 1% 33% * 1% 1% 1% +/-5.5 Conservative ------4% 16% 3% 27% 3% * 2% * * 1% 13% 2% 29% * * * 1% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -15- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP1 If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 16% 2% 20% 3% * 2% 1% * 3% 11% 1% 33% * 1% 1% 1% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 16% 2% 20% 3% * 2% 1% * 3% 11% 1% 33% * 1% 1% 1% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------* 11% * 33% 2% * 2% * * 2% 10% 2% 33% * 1% 2% 1% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------6% 16% 4% 16% 2% * 1% 1% * 3% 13% 1% 34% 1% 1% * 2% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ------- ------3% 5% 20% 12% 2% 3% 26% 16% 3% 3% * * 4% 1% 1% 2% * * 1% 4% 12% 11% 2% * 24% 40% * 1% 1% * 1% * 1% 2% +/-6.5 +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -16- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP2 Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Republican caucus, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? Base = Republican likely caucus goers Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------26% 29% 22% 25% 26% 29% 22% 27% 48% 41% 56% 47% * 1% * * +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total ----26% 26% 48% * +/-4.0 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------26% 27% 26% 22% 48% 50% * * +/-4.0 +/-7.5 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total ----26% 26% 48% * +/-4.0 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total ----26% 26% 48% * +/-4.0 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total ----26% 26% 48% * +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------32% 29% 39% 1% +/-7.0 5064 ----18% 35% 47% * +/-7.0 $50K or more ------26% 30% 43% * +/-5.5 White Women -----20% 23% 56% * +/-6.5 Under 50 ----31% 23% 46% * +/-7.5 Attended College Urban -----------27% 40% 27% 20% 47% 40% * * +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Republican -----26% 29% 45% * +/-5.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------23% 23% 53% * +/-6.0 65+ ----27% 21% 50% 2% +/-7.0 No College ------25% 25% 49% 1% +/-8.0 Independent -----26% 19% 54% * +/-8.0 East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 28% N/A 30% N/A 41% N/A 1% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----25% 25% 50% * +/-8.0 50 and Older -----22% 30% 48% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----22% 29% 49% 1% +/-5.5 Conservative ------27% 28% 44% * +/-5.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ------- ------21% 29% 29% 24% 49% 47% 1% * +/-6.5 +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -17- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3A Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: A. The economy Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------7% 7% 6% 7% 10% 9% 10% 10% 3% 3% 3% 2% 10% 11% 8% 10% 4% 3% 6% 4% * 1% * * 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% * * * * 3% 4% 2% 3% 5% 5% 5% 5% 1% 1% 1% 1% 52% 52% 52% 52% * * * * * * 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% * * 1% * +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 10% 3% 10% 4% * 2% 2% * 3% 5% 1% 52% * * 1% * +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 7% N/A 10% N/A 2% N/A 12% N/A 3% N/A * N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A * N/A 4% N/A 6% N/A 1% N/A 52% N/A * N/A * N/A 1% N/A * +/-5.5 5064 ----11% 10% 2% 7% 5% * 5% 1% * 1% 6% * 50% * * * 1% +/-7.0 65+ ----8% 8% 4% 14% 5% * 1% 3% * 1% 5% 3% 48% * * * 1% +/-7.0 White Women -----7% 10% 3% 9% 4% * 2% 2% * 2% 5% 1% 51% * 1% 1% 1% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----4% 10% 3% 11% 2% * 1% 2% * 5% 5% * 55% * 1% 2% * +/-7.5 50 and Older -----10% 9% 3% 9% 5% * 4% 2% * 1% 5% 1% 50% * * * 1% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -18- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3A Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: A. The economy Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------7% 9% 10% 6% 3% 4% 10% 11% 4% 2% * * 2% 4% 2% 2% * * 3% 4% 5% 7% 1% 1% 52% 46% * * * 1% 1% 2% * * +/-4.0 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 10% 3% 10% 4% * 2% 2% * 3% 5% 1% 52% * * 1% * +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------6% 12% 2% 10% 4% * * 2% * 2% 5% * 55% * * * 1% +/-5.5 No College ------4% 11% 4% 8% 3% * 3% 2% * 3% 3% 1% 55% * 2% 2% * +/-8.0 Independent -----8% 8% 4% 6% 7% 1% 2% * * 5% 5% 1% 51% * * 1% * +/-8.0 Republican -----6% 11% 2% 12% 3% * 2% 2% * 2% 5% * 53% * 1% 1% 1% +/-5.0 Attended College Urban -----------8% 6% 9% 6% 2% 1% 11% 13% 4% 3% * * 1% 3% 2% 1% * * 3% 2% 6% 7% * 1% 52% 56% * * * * 1% * * * +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----10% 10% 3% 4% 6% * 2% 3% * 6% 4% 1% 49% * 2% * * +/-8.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----5% 11% 3% 11% 3% 1% 1% 1% * 3% 5% 1% 53% * 1% 2% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------5% 10% 3% 14% 3% * 2% 1% * 2% 6% * 54% * * 1% 1% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -19- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3A Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: A. The economy Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 10% 3% 10% 4% * 2% 2% * 3% 5% 1% 52% * * 1% * +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 10% 3% 10% 4% * 2% 2% * 3% 5% 1% 52% * * 1% * +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------3% 6% 2% 17% 3% * 1% 1% * 4% 3% * 57% * * 2% 1% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------8% 10% 3% 7% 4% * 3% 2% * 3% 7% 1% 52% * 1% * * +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ------- ------5% 8% 13% 7% 3% 3% 12% 8% 2% 6% * 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% * * 1% 5% 6% 5% 1% * 49% 55% * * 1% * 2% * * 1% +/-6.5 +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -20- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3B Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------6% 6% 6% 7% 9% 10% 7% 9% 2% 2% 1% 2% 16% 18% 12% 16% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * 1% * 2% 1% 11% 9% 14% 12% * * 1% * 49% 50% 48% 47% * * * * * * 1% * 1% * 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 9% 2% 16% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 11% * 49% * * 1% 2% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 6% N/A 10% N/A 2% N/A 18% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A * N/A * N/A 10% N/A * N/A 49% N/A * N/A * N/A * N/A 2% +/-5.5 5064 ----5% 9% 2% 18% 2% * 2% 1% * 1% 11% * 44% * 1% * 4% +/-7.0 65+ ----6% 4% 3% 24% 1% * * 1% * 1% 11% * 46% * * 1% 2% +/-7.0 White Women -----7% 8% 1% 13% 1% * 1% 1% * 2% 15% 1% 44% * 1% 1% 3% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----7% 10% 1% 11% * * * 1% * 2% 13% 1% 51% * * 1% 2% +/-7.5 50 and Older -----6% 7% 2% 20% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 11% * 45% * 1% * 3% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -21- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3B Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------6% 6% 9% 7% 2% 2% 16% 17% 1% * * * 1% 2% 1% * * * 1% 2% 11% 10% * 1% 49% 46% * * * 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% +/-4.0 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 9% 2% 16% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 11% * 49% * * 1% 2% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------6% 10% 1% 17% 1% * * 1% * 1% 13% * 47% * * * 1% +/-5.5 No College ------4% 11% 2% 15% * * 2% * * * 8% * 50% * 1% 2% 4% +/-8.0 Independent -----4% 6% 2% 12% * * * * * 2% 12% 1% 54% * 1% * 5% +/-8.0 Republican -----6% 10% 2% 18% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 12% * 47% * * 1% 1% +/-5.0 Attended College Urban -----------7% 4% 7% 3% 2% 1% 16% 20% 1% 1% * * * 1% 1% * * * 2% * 13% 18% 1% * 48% 49% * * * * * * 2% 4% +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----12% 8% 1% 10% 1% * * 1% * 3% 12% * 48% * 1% * 4% +/-8.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----5% 12% 2% 15% 1% * * 1% * * 9% 1% 50% * * 1% 2% +/-5.5 Conservative ------4% 9% 2% 19% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 12% 1% 48% * * * 1% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -22- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3B Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 9% 2% 16% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 11% * 49% * * 1% 2% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 9% 2% 16% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 11% * 49% * * 1% 2% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------2% 4% * 26% 1% * 1% * * 1% 8% 1% 52% * * 1% * +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------6% 10% 2% 11% 1% * * 1% * 2% 14% * 49% * 1% * 4% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ------- ------5% 7% 14% 5% 1% 3% 19% 13% 1% 1% * * 1% * * 1% * * 1% 2% 11% 12% 1% * 42% 54% * * 1% * 1% * 2% 3% +/-6.5 +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -23- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3C Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: C. Foreign policy Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------9% 9% 9% 10% 8% 6% 12% 9% 3% 2% 4% 2% 21% 23% 18% 21% 3% 3% 3% 2% * * * * 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% * * * * 4% 6% 2% 4% 13% 12% 14% 13% 1% 1% * 1% 30% 32% 26% 28% * * * * 1% * 2% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 3% 3% 4% 3% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 8% 3% 21% 3% * 2% 2% * 4% 13% 1% 30% * 1% 1% 3% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 9% N/A 6% N/A 1% N/A 23% N/A 2% N/A * N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 6% N/A 13% N/A 1% N/A 32% N/A * N/A * N/A * N/A 3% +/-5.5 5064 ----12% 8% 5% 26% 2% * 3% 1% * 1% 15% 1% 22% * 1% * 3% +/-7.0 65+ ----10% 5% 4% 20% 2% 1% 1% 3% * * 19% 2% 24% * * 1% 7% +/-7.0 White Women -----10% 13% 4% 19% 1% * 2% 2% * 2% 14% * 23% * 2% 1% 4% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----7% 10% 1% 19% 2% * 2% 1% * 8% 9% * 37% * 1% 1% 2% +/-7.5 50 and Older -----11% 7% 4% 23% 2% 1% 2% 2% * 1% 17% 1% 23% * 1% * 4% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -24- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3C Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: C. Foreign policy Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------9% 9% 8% 7% 3% 2% 21% 19% 3% 2% * * 2% 2% 2% * * * 4% 7% 13% 11% 1% 2% 30% 33% * * 1% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2% +/-4.0 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 8% 3% 21% 3% * 2% 2% * 4% 13% 1% 30% * 1% 1% 3% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------10% 10% 3% 23% 2% * 2% 2% * 3% 15% * 27% * * * 4% +/-5.5 No College ------7% 8% 4% 17% 1% * 2% * * 6% 9% 2% 35% * 2% 2% 3% +/-8.0 Independent -----11% 7% 3% 15% 6% * 3% * * 7% 9% 1% 32% * 1% * 6% +/-8.0 Republican -----8% 9% 2% 24% 1% * 1% 2% * 3% 15% 1% 29% * 1% 1% 2% +/-5.0 Attended College Urban -----------10% 7% 9% 3% 2% 1% 23% 21% 2% 3% * * 2% 2% 2% 2% * * 3% 2% 15% 15% * 1% 28% 37% * * * * * * 3% 4% +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----14% 10% 4% 9% 2% 1% 1% 3% * 8% 9% * 32% * 2% * 5% +/-8.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----8% 11% 2% 22% 2% * 1% * * 4% 13% 1% 30% * 1% 1% 3% +/-5.5 Conservative ------7% 8% 3% 28% 2% * 3% * * 2% 16% 1% 27% * * * 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -25- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3C Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: C. Foreign policy Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 8% 3% 21% 3% * 2% 2% * 4% 13% 1% 30% * 1% 1% 3% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 8% 3% 21% 3% * 2% 2% * 4% 13% 1% 30% * 1% 1% 3% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------5% 5% * 36% 2% * 2% 1% * 4% 10% * 33% * 1% 1% 1% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------11% 9% 4% 14% 1% * 1% 1% * 4% 16% 1% 30% * 1% * 5% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ------- ------8% 10% 11% 6% 2% 3% 27% 16% 2% 4% * 1% 3% 1% * 2% * * 2% 6% 12% 14% 1% * 24% 34% * * 1% * 2% * 4% 3% +/-6.5 +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -26- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3D Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------4% 4% 4% 4% 21% 20% 21% 22% 3% 3% 3% 2% 17% 20% 12% 18% 7% 5% 10% 6% * * 1% * 6% 4% 8% 6% 2% 2% 1% 2% * * * * 4% 4% 3% 4% 8% 6% 10% 9% 1% 1% 2% 2% 19% 21% 18% 17% * * * * 1% * 2% 1% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 5% 1% 4% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 21% 3% 17% 7% * 6% 2% * 4% 8% 1% 19% * 1% 4% 4% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 4% N/A 21% N/A 2% N/A 21% N/A 5% N/A * N/A 4% N/A 2% N/A * N/A 4% N/A 7% N/A 1% N/A 19% N/A * N/A * N/A 4% N/A 5% +/-5.5 5064 ----6% 22% 4% 15% 9% * 10% 1% * 4% 8% 1% 10% * 2% 2% 4% +/-7.0 65+ ----3% 16% 5% 22% 5% * 6% 4% * 1% 9% 2% 17% * * 2% 7% +/-7.0 White Women -----5% 23% 3% 13% 7% 1% 9% 1% * 3% 11% 2% 16% * 2% 4% 2% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----4% 22% 1% 17% 5% * 3% 1% * 5% 8% 2% 24% * * 6% 2% +/-7.5 50 and Older -----5% 20% 5% 18% 7% * 9% 2% * 3% 9% 1% 13% * 1% 2% 5% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -27- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3D Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------4% 5% 21% 19% 3% 3% 17% 14% 7% 3% * 1% 6% 7% 2% 2% * * 4% 6% 8% 7% 1% 3% 19% 21% * * 1% 2% 4% 6% 4% 2% +/-4.0 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 21% 3% 17% 7% * 6% 2% * 4% 8% 1% 19% * 1% 4% 4% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------4% 24% 2% 18% 8% * 5% 2% * 3% 9% 1% 16% * * 3% 3% +/-5.5 No College ------3% 17% 5% 14% 5% 1% 7% 2% * 3% 5% 2% 25% * 2% 3% 6% +/-8.0 Independent -----6% 13% 3% 9% 9% 1% 8% 3% * 8% 5% 1% 25% * 2% 3% 5% +/-8.0 Republican -----4% 24% 3% 21% 7% * 5% 1% * 2% 10% 2% 16% * * 3% 3% +/-5.0 Attended College Urban -----------5% 3% 23% 13% 2% 4% 19% 22% 7% 8% * * 6% 4% 2% 5% * * 4% 1% 9% 9% 1% 5% 17% 19% * * * 1% 4% 1% 3% 6% +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----9% 18% 3% 8% 6% 1% 4% 2% * 7% 5% * 26% * 1% 4% 6% +/-8.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----5% 26% 3% 18% 5% 1% 4% 1% * 3% 7% 1% 20% * * 4% 3% +/-5.5 Conservative ------2% 23% 3% 23% 7% * 7% 1% * 2% 10% 2% 14% * * 2% 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -28- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3D Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 21% 3% 17% 7% * 6% 2% * 4% 8% 1% 19% * 1% 4% 4% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 21% 3% 17% 7% * 6% 2% * 4% 8% 1% 19% * 1% 4% 4% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------* 21% 1% 28% 4% * 7% * * 5% 6% 2% 19% * 1% 2% 4% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------6% 21% 4% 13% 8% 1% 5% 1% * 3% 10% 1% 19% * 1% 3% 4% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ------- ------3% 5% 27% 16% 2% 4% 21% 14% 4% 9% 1% * 9% 3% 1% 2% * * 2% 5% 8% 8% 2% 1% 15% 23% * * 1% * 2% 5% 2% 5% +/-6.5 +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -29- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3E Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: E. ISIS Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------9% 8% 10% 9% 8% 5% 10% 8% 3% 2% 4% 3% 18% 20% 15% 18% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% * * * * * * * * 2% 2% 2% 2% 9% 9% 10% 10% * 1% * * 41% 46% 35% 40% * * * * 1% * 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 8% 3% 18% 2% 1% 1% * * 2% 9% * 41% * 1% 2% 3% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 8% N/A 6% N/A 2% N/A 20% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A * N/A * N/A 2% N/A 10% N/A 1% N/A 45% N/A * N/A * N/A 1% N/A 3% +/-5.5 5064 ----11% 5% 3% 20% * * 2% * * 1% 13% * 39% * 1% * 4% +/-7.0 65+ ----7% 5% 6% 20% * 1% 1% * * 2% 10% * 41% * * 2% 4% +/-7.0 White Women -----10% 11% 4% 16% * 2% 2% * * 2% 10% * 33% * 2% 2% 4% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----9% 10% 2% 16% 1% 2% 1% * * 3% 7% 1% 42% * 1% 3% 2% +/-7.5 50 and Older -----10% 5% 4% 20% * 1% 2% * * 1% 12% * 40% * * 1% 4% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -30- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3E Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: E. ISIS Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------9% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% 18% 13% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% * * * * 2% 4% 9% 12% * 1% 41% 41% * * 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% +/-4.0 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 8% 3% 18% 2% 1% 1% * * 2% 9% * 41% * 1% 2% 3% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------8% 9% 4% 23% 1% 1% 1% * * 1% 7% * 40% * * * 3% +/-5.5 No College ------7% 7% 3% 15% 1% * 2% * * * 5% 1% 50% * 2% 4% 2% +/-8.0 Independent -----12% 9% 3% 14% 4% * 3% * * 2% 10% * 39% * * 2% 3% +/-8.0 Republican -----8% 7% 3% 20% 1% 2% 1% * * 2% 9% 1% 42% * 1% 1% 3% +/-5.0 Attended College Urban -----------10% 7% 8% 3% 3% 3% 19% 22% 1% 1% 2% 4% 1% 1% * * * * 3% 1% 11% 9% * 2% 38% 44% * * * * 1% 3% 3% 1% +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----14% 9% 4% 8% 2% * 1% 1% * 4% 9% * 41% * 2% 2% 4% +/-8.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----8% 9% 3% 18% 1% * * * * 2% 10% * 42% * 1% 1% 5% +/-5.5 Conservative ------7% 7% 3% 24% * 2% 2% * * 1% 10% 1% 40% * * * 3% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -31- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP3E Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: E. ISIS Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 8% 3% 18% 2% 1% 1% * * 2% 9% * 41% * 1% 2% 3% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 8% 3% 18% 2% 1% 1% * * 2% 9% * 41% * 1% 2% 3% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------4% 5% 1% 28% * 1% 1% * * 2% 8% 1% 46% * 1% 1% 2% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------11% 8% 4% 13% 1% 2% * * * 3% 11% * 41% * 1% 2% 4% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ------- ------11% 8% 12% 4% 2% 4% 22% 15% 1% 2% 3% * 3% 1% * * * * 1% 3% 9% 10% 1% * 33% 47% * * 1% * 1% 2% 2% 4% +/-6.5 +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -32- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP4A Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think... A. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------7% 6% 9% 8% 18% 16% 20% 19% 2% 1% 3% 2% 22% 27% 15% 23% 3% 2% 4% 2% * * * * 4% 3% 6% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * 5% 6% 3% 4% 11% 10% 12% 11% 1% 1% 1% 1% 25% 26% 22% 22% * * * * 1% 1% 2% 2% * * 1% * 1% 1% 2% 1% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 18% 2% 22% 3% * 4% 1% * 5% 11% 1% 25% * 1% * 1% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 6% N/A 17% N/A 1% N/A 28% N/A 3% N/A * N/A 3% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 5% N/A 10% N/A 1% N/A 24% N/A * N/A 1% N/A * N/A 1% +/-5.5 5064 ----9% 23% 2% 25% 2% * 7% 1% * 3% 10% * 16% * 1% * 1% +/-7.0 65+ ----6% 13% 4% 19% 6% * 4% 2% * * 15% 2% 26% * * 2% 1% +/-7.0 White Women -----10% 21% 3% 16% 2% * 7% 1% * 3% 12% 1% 19% * 2% 1% 2% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----7% 17% 1% 22% 1% * 3% 1% * 7% 10% * 28% * 2% * 1% +/-7.5 50 and Older -----8% 19% 3% 22% 3% * 6% 1% * 2% 12% 1% 20% * * 1% 1% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -33- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP4A Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think... A. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------7% 12% 18% 13% 2% 1% 22% 20% 3% * * * 4% 5% 1% * * * 5% 7% 11% 11% 1% 1% 25% 25% * * 1% 2% * * 1% 2% +/-4.0 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 18% 2% 22% 3% * 4% 1% * 5% 11% 1% 25% * 1% * 1% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------5% 22% 2% 24% 3% * 4% 2% * 3% 11% * 23% * * * * +/-5.5 No College ------6% 17% 3% 18% 1% * 7% * * 3% 5% 2% 31% * 4% 1% 2% +/-8.0 Independent -----7% 12% 2% 19% 5% * 5% * * 10% 9% 1% 26% * 2% * * +/-8.0 Republican -----7% 20% 2% 23% 2% * 4% 1% * 2% 12% * 23% * 1% * 2% +/-5.0 Attended College Urban -----------8% 8% 18% 8% 1% 1% 24% 27% 3% 5% * * 3% 1% 1% 1% * * 5% 2% 13% 13% * 1% 22% 29% * * * 3% * * 1% * +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----10% 19% 2% 14% 2% * * 3% * 6% 8% * 30% * 4% 1% * +/-8.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----5% 24% 1% 21% 1% * 3% 1% * 5% 11% 1% 25% * 1% * 1% +/-5.5 Conservative ------6% 18% 2% 28% 2% * 6% * * 2% 13% 1% 20% * * * 1% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -34- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP4A Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think... A. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 18% 2% 22% 3% * 4% 1% * 5% 11% 1% 25% * 1% * 1% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 18% 2% 22% 3% * 4% 1% * 5% 11% 1% 25% * 1% * 1% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------4% 13% * 38% 1% * 7% * * 5% 7% * 22% * 1% * 1% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------8% 20% 3% 16% 2% * 2% * * 4% 13% 1% 27% * 2% * 1% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ------- ------7% 7% 23% 14% 2% 2% 25% 20% 2% 4% * * 8% 1% * 1% * * 2% 7% 11% 11% 1% * 17% 30% * * 1% 1% * 1% 2% 1% +/-6.5 +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -35- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP4B Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think... B. Has the best chance of winning the general election next November Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------7% 6% 7% 7% 11% 12% 11% 12% 1% 1% 1% 1% 17% 21% 13% 17% * 1% * * * 1% * * 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * 1% 1% 1% 1% 11% 10% 12% 12% * 1% * 1% 42% 41% 42% 41% * * * * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 5% 3% 7% 4% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 11% 1% 17% * * 1% 1% * 1% 11% * 42% * 1% 1% 5% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 6% N/A 12% N/A 1% N/A 20% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 1% N/A 11% N/A 1% N/A 41% N/A * N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A 3% +/-5.5 5064 ----4% 11% 1% 21% 1% * 2% 1% * 1% 19% * 34% * 1% 1% 3% +/-7.0 65+ ----5% 7% 2% 21% * * * * * * 16% * 38% * 1% 1% 9% +/-7.0 White Women -----8% 12% 1% 14% * * 2% 1% * 1% 13% * 41% * 1% 1% 6% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----9% 14% 1% 14% * * 1% 1% * 1% 5% 1% 48% * 1% 1% 3% +/-7.5 50 and Older -----5% 10% 1% 21% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 17% * 35% * 1% 1% 5% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -36- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP4B Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think... B. Has the best chance of winning the general election next November Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------7% 11% 11% 10% 1% 1% 17% 17% * 1% * * 1% 2% 1% * * * 1% * 11% 10% * 1% 42% 41% * * 1% 1% 1% 1% 5% 3% +/-4.0 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 11% 1% 17% * * 1% 1% * 1% 11% * 42% * 1% 1% 5% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------4% 14% 1% 18% * * 1% 1% * 1% 13% * 41% * * 1% 4% +/-5.5 No College ------6% 8% 2% 18% 1% * 2% * * * 6% * 50% * 3% * 3% +/-8.0 Independent -----6% 8% 1% 9% * 1% 2% * * * 8% 2% 50% * 3% 1% 8% +/-8.0 Republican -----7% 13% 1% 21% * * 1% 1% * 1% 13% * 38% * * 1% 3% +/-5.0 Attended College Urban -----------7% 9% 13% 6% 1% 1% 17% 22% * * * * 1% * 1% 1% * * 1% 1% 14% 7% 1% * 39% 45% * * * 3% 1% 1% 5% 5% +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----12% 11% 3% 9% * * * 3% * 2% 6% * 45% * 3% 1% 4% +/-8.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----4% 14% 1% 17% 1% 1% * * * 1% 11% * 44% * * 1% 5% +/-5.5 Conservative ------4% 12% * 22% * * 2% * * * 15% * 39% * * 1% 3% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -37- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP4B Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think... B. Has the best chance of winning the general election next November Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 11% 1% 17% * * 1% 1% * 1% 11% * 42% * 1% 1% 5% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 11% 1% 17% * * 1% 1% * 1% 11% * 42% * 1% 1% 5% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------2% 9% * 27% * * 1% * * 2% 13% * 42% * * 1% 3% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------9% 12% 2% 14% 1% * * * * * 10% 1% 44% * 2% 1% 4% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ------- ------4% 8% 14% 9% * 2% 22% 14% 1% * * 1% 3% * * 1% * * * 1% 11% 11% * 1% 36% 46% * * 1% 1% 2% * 5% 5% +/-6.5 +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -38- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP4C Now I`m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think... C. Would be most effective at solving the country's problems Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------5% 5% 5% 5% 15% 14% 15% 16% 3% 3% 3% 3% 17% 20% 13% 17% 3% 3% 4% 3% * * * * 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% * * * * 3% 4% 2% 4% 9% 7% 11% 10% 1% 1% 1% 1% 36% 36% 35% 34% * * * * 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% * 1% 2% 1% 4% 2% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 15% 3% 17% 3% * 2% 2% * 3% 9% 1% 36% * 1% 1% 2% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 5% N/A 15% N/A 3% N/A 20% N/A 3% N/A * N/A 1% N/A 3% N/A * N/A 4% N/A 8% N/A 1% N/A 35% N/A * N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A 1% +/-5.5 5064 ----6% 15% 2% 19% 5% * 4% 1% * 2% 9% 1% 31% * 1% * 3% +/-7.0 65+ ----4% 10% 6% 17% 2% * 2% 4% * * 14% * 36% * * 3% 1% +/-7.0 White Women -----5% 16% 3% 14% 3% * 3% 2% * 2% 12% 1% 33% * 2% 1% 4% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----3% 17% 2% 17% 2% * 1% 2% * 6% 7% 1% 38% * 2% * 2% +/-7.5 50 and Older -----6% 13% 4% 18% 4% * 3% 2% * 1% 11% * 33% * 1% 1% 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -39- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP4C Now I`m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think... C. Would be most effective at solving the country's problems Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------5% 7% 15% 12% 3% 4% 17% 13% 3% 2% * * 2% 2% 2% 2% * * 3% 5% 9% 10% 1% 2% 36% 34% * * 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% +/-4.0 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 15% 3% 17% 3% * 2% 2% * 3% 9% 1% 36% * 1% 1% 2% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------3% 17% 3% 20% 3% * 2% 3% * 2% 10% * 35% * * * 2% +/-5.5 No College ------3% 15% 2% 14% 1% * 4% * * 5% 5% 3% 39% * 5% 2% 2% +/-8.0 Independent -----5% 11% 3% 12% 6% * 3% 3% * 7% 6% * 38% * 3% 1% 2% +/-8.0 Republican -----5% 16% 3% 20% 3% * 2% 2% * 2% 10% 1% 34% * 1% * 2% +/-5.0 Attended College Urban -----------5% 5% 15% 5% 3% 3% 18% 22% 3% 3% * * 2% 1% 3% 3% * * 3% 4% 11% 10% * 3% 34% 38% * * * 3% * * 2% * +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----7% 16% 3% 6% 2% * * 4% * 6% 8% * 39% * 5% * 3% +/-8.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----3% 20% 3% 18% 3% * 1% 1% * 2% 10% * 34% * 1% 1% 3% +/-5.5 Conservative ------4% 15% 3% 23% 3% * 3% 1% * 2% 10% 1% 33% * * 1% 1% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -40- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP4C Now I`m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think... C. Would be most effective at solving the country's problems Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 15% 3% 17% 3% * 2% 2% * 3% 9% 1% 36% * 1% 1% 2% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 15% 3% 17% 3% * 2% 2% * 3% 9% 1% 36% * 1% 1% 2% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------1% 10% 2% 32% 3% * 2% * * 4% 7% 1% 35% * * * 2% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------6% 15% 2% 11% 2% * 2% 1% * 3% 11% 1% 38% * 3% 1% 3% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ------- ------2% 6% 21% 9% 2% 4% 21% 13% 4% 3% * * 3% 1% 1% 3% * * 1% 5% 9% 9% 1% * 27% 42% * * 2% 1% 1% * 3% 2% +/-6.5 +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -41- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP4D Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think... D. Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------10% 12% 9% 11% 13% 13% 13% 14% 5% 4% 5% 4% 22% 25% 19% 23% 2% 1% 3% 1% * * 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% * 2% 1% * * * * 2% 2% 3% 2% 9% 7% 11% 9% 1% 2% * 2% 28% 30% 26% 26% * * * * 1% 1% 2% 2% * * * * 2% * 3% 2% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 13% 5% 22% 2% * 2% 1% * 2% 9% 1% 28% * 1% * 2% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 12% N/A 14% N/A 3% N/A 25% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 2% N/A * N/A * N/A 2% N/A 8% N/A 2% N/A 29% N/A * N/A 1% N/A * N/A * +/-5.5 5064 ----8% 13% 7% 27% 2% 1% 4% 2% * 2% 9% * 22% * 1% * 3% +/-7.0 65+ ----9% 9% 4% 23% 2% 1% 1% 2% * * 14% 2% 31% * * 1% 1% +/-7.0 White Women -----9% 14% 5% 20% 1% 1% 3% 2% * 3% 11% * 24% * 2% * 3% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----13% 15% 3% 20% * * 2% * * 4% 7% 2% 30% * 2% * 1% +/-7.5 50 and Older -----9% 11% 6% 25% 2% 1% 2% 2% * 1% 11% 1% 25% * 1% * 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -42- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP4D Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think... D. Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------10% 12% 13% 11% 5% 5% 22% 19% 2% 1% * * 2% 3% 1% * * * 2% 2% 9% 10% 1% 4% 28% 27% * * 1% 2% * * 2% 2% +/-4.0 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 13% 5% 22% 2% * 2% 1% * 2% 9% 1% 28% * 1% * 2% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------11% 15% 4% 25% 1% * 2% 2% * 2% 9% * 28% * * * 1% +/-5.5 No College ------6% 16% 7% 18% * * 2% * * 1% 4% 3% 34% * 4% * 2% +/-8.0 Independent -----12% 8% 7% 16% 5% 1% 4% * * 4% 6% 3% 33% * 3% * * +/-8.0 Republican -----9% 15% 4% 26% 1% * 1% 2% * 1% 10% 1% 27% * 1% * 2% +/-5.0 Attended College Urban -----------13% 8% 12% 4% 3% 2% 25% 32% 2% 1% 1% * 2% 2% 2% 2% * * 3% 2% 11% 9% 1% 3% 26% 32% * * * 3% * * 1% * +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----15% 15% 8% 10% 2% 1% 1% 2% * 5% 8% * 29% * 4% * * +/-8.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----9% 19% 4% 22% 1% * 1% 1% * 2% 8% 1% 29% * 1% * 2% +/-5.5 Conservative ------8% 12% 3% 31% 1% * 2% 1% * 1% 11% 1% 27% * * * 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -43- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question RP4D Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think... D. Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 13% 5% 22% 2% * 2% 1% * 2% 9% 1% 28% * 1% * 2% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----10% 13% 5% 22% 2% * 2% 1% * 2% 9% 1% 28% * 1% * 2% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------6% 8% 2% 39% 1% * 2% 1% * 3% 7% 1% 29% * * * 2% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------11% 13% 6% 16% 1% * 1% 1% * 2% 12% 2% 30% * 3% * 2% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ------- ------7% 13% 17% 10% 4% 5% 28% 18% 2% 2% * 1% 4% 1% 2% 1% * * 1% 3% 8% 10% 2% 1% 21% 34% * * 2% 1% * * 2% 1% +/-6.5 +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -44- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question DM1 If the Democratic presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------54% 51% 57% 53% 4% 6% 4% 3% 36% 40% 34% 39% 2% 1% 3% 2% * * * * 3% 3% 3% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----54% 4% 36% 2% * 3% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------54% 56% 4% 3% 36% 35% 2% 4% * * 3% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----54% 4% 36% 2% * 3% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----54% 4% 36% 2% * 3% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----54% 4% 36% 2% * 3% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----57% 4% 34% 2% * 4% +/-5.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----57% 8% 31% 2% 1% 1% +/-8.0 $50K or more ------50% 4% 42% * * 4% +/-7.0 White Women -----54% 3% 36% 3% * 3% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attended College Urban -----------50% 59% 4% 5% 40% 34% 2% 1% * * 3% 2% +/-5.5 +/-8.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------51% 4% 39% 5% * 1% +/-8.5 65+ ----69% 4% 19% * 1% 7% +/-7.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 49% N/A 4% N/A 44% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 2% +/-7.5 Liberal ----47% 3% 45% * * 3% +/-7.0 Moderate ----57% 5% 33% 1% * 3% +/-7.0 50 and Older -----62% 7% 26% 1% 1% 4% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----55% 2% 36% 4% 1% 2% +/-7.0 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------56% 5% 35% * * 4% +/-6.0 White All Evang. Others ------- ------N/A 51% N/A 5% N/A 38% N/A 2% N/A * N/A 3% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -45- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question DM2 Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Democratic caucus, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------38% 33% 43% 39% 22% 23% 21% 24% 39% 44% 36% 37% * 1% * * +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 22% 39% * +/-4.5 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------38% 44% 22% 15% 39% 41% * * +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 22% 39% * +/-4.5 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 22% 39% * +/-4.5 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 22% 39% * +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----41% 23% 36% * +/-5.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----42% 19% 39% * +/-8.0 $50K or more ------34% 29% 37% * +/-7.0 White Women -----41% 24% 35% * +/-6.5 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Attended College Urban -----------42% 40% 25% 17% 33% 44% * * +/-5.5 +/-8.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------24% 19% 57% * +/-8.5 65+ ----52% 20% 28% * +/-7.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 36% N/A 23% N/A 41% N/A * +/-7.5 Liberal ----43% 30% 27% 1% +/-7.0 Moderate ----35% 17% 48% * +/-7.0 50 and Older -----47% 19% 34% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----37% 23% 39% 1% +/-7.0 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------50% 26% 23% * +/-6.0 White All Evang. Others ------- ------N/A 39% N/A 21% N/A 39% N/A * +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -46- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question DM3A Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling: A. The economy Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------47% 41% 52% 45% 7% 8% 6% 6% 42% 48% 37% 45% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% * 3% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 7% 42% 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------47% 52% 7% 5% 42% 38% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 7% 42% 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 7% 42% 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 7% 42% 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----48% 6% 43% * 2% 1% +/-5.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----55% 10% 33% 1% * 1% +/-8.0 $50K or more ------41% 6% 50% * 2% * +/-7.0 White Women -----49% 5% 40% 1% 3% 1% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attended College Urban -----------45% 50% 6% 8% 45% 38% 1% * 2% 1% 1% 3% +/-5.5 +/-8.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------45% 6% 40% 2% 3% 3% +/-8.5 65+ ----59% 9% 29% 2% 1% 1% +/-7.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 38% N/A 7% N/A 51% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 2% +/-7.5 Liberal ----34% 7% 52% 1% 2% 3% +/-7.0 Moderate ----54% 7% 37% * 1% 1% +/-7.0 50 and Older -----57% 9% 31% 1% * 1% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----49% 3% 42% 2% 2% 1% +/-7.0 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------45% 8% 46% 1% * * +/-6.0 White All Evang. Others ------- ------N/A 45% N/A 6% N/A 43% N/A 1% N/A 2% N/A 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question DM3B POLL IA3 3 -47- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling: B. Health care Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------63% 56% 69% 61% 3% 3% 2% 2% 31% 36% 28% 34% 1% 2% * 1% * * * * 2% 3% 1% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----63% 3% 31% 1% * 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------63% 69% 3% 2% 31% 26% 1% 1% * * 2% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----63% 3% 31% 1% * 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----63% 3% 31% 1% * 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----63% 3% 31% 1% * 2% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----65% 2% 30% 1% * 2% +/-5.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----61% 5% 31% 1% * 3% +/-8.0 $50K or more ------59% 1% 38% 2% * * +/-7.0 White Women -----67% 2% 30% * * 1% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attended College Urban -----------61% 74% 2% 2% 36% 23% * * * * 1% 1% +/-5.5 +/-8.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------62% 4% 29% 2% * 4% +/-8.5 65+ ----76% 2% 19% 1% * 2% +/-7.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 53% N/A 3% N/A 39% N/A 3% N/A * N/A 2% +/-7.5 Liberal ----53% 2% 44% 1% * 1% +/-7.0 Moderate ----71% 2% 24% 2% * 1% +/-7.0 50 and Older -----67% 4% 26% 1% * 2% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----58% 1% 37% 2% * 3% +/-7.0 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------63% 2% 35% * * * +/-6.0 White All Evang. Others ------- ------N/A 60% N/A 3% N/A 34% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question DM3C POLL IA3 3 -48- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling: C. Race relations Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------52% 48% 55% 50% 6% 9% 5% 6% 36% 38% 35% 38% 1% 1% * * * * * * 5% 5% 5% 5% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----52% 6% 36% 1% * 5% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------52% 58% 6% 6% 36% 29% 1% 1% * * 5% 6% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----52% 6% 36% 1% * 5% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----52% 6% 36% 1% * 5% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----52% 6% 36% 1% * 5% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----54% 4% 36% * * 6% +/-5.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----60% 7% 29% 1% * 3% +/-8.0 $50K or more ------44% 6% 45% 1% * 4% +/-7.0 White Women -----52% 5% 37% * * 6% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attended College Urban -----------49% 52% 7% 7% 41% 38% 1% * * * 3% 3% +/-5.5 +/-8.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------50% 8% 36% * * 5% +/-8.5 65+ ----69% 5% 19% 1% * 6% +/-7.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 46% N/A 8% N/A 41% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 4% +/-7.5 Liberal ----44% 7% 45% 1% * 3% +/-7.0 Moderate ----57% 7% 32% * * 4% +/-7.0 50 and Older -----64% 6% 25% 1% * 4% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----56% 5% 32% 1% * 7% +/-7.0 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------52% 6% 38% * * 4% +/-6.0 White All Evang. Others ------- ------N/A 51% N/A 7% N/A 36% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 5% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question DM3D POLL IA3 3 -49- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling: D. Foreign policy Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------72% 73% 71% 71% 3% 3% 4% 3% 21% 22% 20% 22% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% * * 3% * 5% 3% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----72% 3% 21% 1% * 3% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------72% 68% 3% 5% 21% 21% 1% 2% * 1% 3% 4% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----72% 3% 21% 1% * 3% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----72% 3% 21% 1% * 3% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----72% 3% 21% 1% * 3% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----73% 3% 20% * * 4% +/-5.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----83% 4% 11% 1% * 1% +/-8.0 $50K or more ------74% 1% 21% 1% * 3% +/-7.0 White Women -----68% 3% 22% 1% * 6% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attended College Urban -----------71% 70% 3% 5% 21% 24% 1% * * * 3% 1% +/-5.5 +/-8.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------62% 6% 24% 2% 1% 6% +/-8.5 65+ ----85% 3% 8% 1% * 3% +/-7.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 74% N/A 2% N/A 22% N/A 1% N/A * N/A * +/-7.5 Liberal ----68% 3% 25% 1% * 3% +/-7.0 Moderate ----75% 3% 20% * 1% 1% +/-7.0 50 and Older -----84% 3% 10% 1% * 2% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----74% 1% 19% 2% * 4% +/-7.0 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------80% 1% 17% * * 1% +/-6.0 White All Evang. Others ------- ------N/A 71% N/A 2% N/A 22% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 3% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question DM3E POLL IA3 3 -50- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling: E. ISIS Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------67% 63% 71% 66% 5% 7% 4% 4% 19% 21% 17% 20% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 6% 1% 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----67% 5% 19% 3% 3% 3% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------67% 65% 5% 6% 19% 19% 3% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----67% 5% 19% 3% 3% 3% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----67% 5% 19% 3% 3% 3% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----67% 5% 19% 3% 3% 3% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----69% 5% 19% 1% 2% 3% +/-5.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----74% 4% 16% 1% 1% 4% +/-8.0 $50K or more ------68% 3% 21% 1% 4% 3% +/-7.0 White Women -----69% 4% 19% 3% 1% 3% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attended College Urban -----------68% 69% 5% 9% 20% 18% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% +/-5.5 +/-8.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------62% 8% 21% 4% 3% 2% +/-8.5 65+ ----74% 2% 15% 1% 2% 6% +/-7.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 62% N/A 5% N/A 22% N/A 3% N/A 6% N/A 2% +/-7.5 Liberal ----67% 3% 26% 1% 1% 1% +/-7.0 Moderate ----67% 5% 16% 2% 6% 4% +/-7.0 50 and Older -----74% 3% 15% 1% 2% 5% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----67% 2% 19% 4% 4% 3% +/-7.0 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------70% 3% 18% 2% 3% 4% +/-6.0 White All Evang. Others ------- ------N/A 67% N/A 5% N/A 18% N/A 3% N/A 3% N/A 3% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question DM4A POLL IA3 3 -51- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Democratic candidate do you think... A. Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------46% 44% 48% 43% 5% 8% 2% 4% 44% 44% 44% 48% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----46% 5% 44% 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------46% 49% 5% 4% 44% 41% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----46% 5% 44% 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----46% 5% 44% 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----46% 5% 44% 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----48% 3% 44% * 2% 3% +/-5.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----51% 7% 39% 1% 2% * +/-8.0 $50K or more ------44% 4% 48% * 2% 1% +/-7.0 White Women -----44% 3% 48% 1% 2% 2% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attended College Urban -----------41% 49% 6% 4% 48% 43% 1% * 2% 2% 2% 2% +/-5.5 +/-8.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------47% 4% 43% 1% 3% 1% +/-8.5 65+ ----59% 5% 30% 1% 1% 4% +/-7.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 42% N/A 7% N/A 46% N/A 1% N/A 2% N/A 1% +/-7.5 Liberal ----33% 4% 61% 1% * 1% +/-7.0 Moderate ----53% 5% 34% * 5% 3% +/-7.0 50 and Older -----55% 6% 35% 1% 2% 2% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----48% 3% 43% 2% 3% 2% +/-7.0 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------42% 6% 48% * 2% 2% +/-6.0 White All Evang. Others ------- ------N/A 46% N/A 5% N/A 45% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question DM4B POLL IA3 3 -52- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Democratic candidate do you think... B. Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------77% 73% 79% 78% 3% 3% 2% 2% 18% 20% 17% 18% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * 2% 2% 1% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----77% 3% 18% 1% * 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------77% 76% 3% 3% 18% 17% 1% 1% * * 2% 3% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----77% 3% 18% 1% * 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----77% 3% 18% 1% * 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----77% 3% 18% 1% * 2% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----80% 1% 17% * * 1% +/-5.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----82% 5% 13% 1% * * +/-8.0 $50K or more ------76% 1% 22% 1% * * +/-7.0 White Women -----80% 2% 16% 1% * 1% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attended College Urban -----------74% 74% 2% 3% 22% 20% 1% * * * 1% 3% +/-5.5 +/-8.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------65% 3% 29% 2% * 1% +/-8.5 65+ ----87% 1% 8% 1% 1% 2% +/-7.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 72% N/A 2% N/A 21% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 3% +/-7.5 Liberal ----74% 1% 22% 1% * 1% +/-7.0 Moderate ----80% 3% 14% * * 3% +/-7.0 50 and Older -----84% 3% 11% 1% * 1% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----78% 2% 17% 2% * * +/-7.0 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------85% 2% 11% * * 2% +/-6.0 White All Evang. Others ------- ------N/A 76% N/A 2% N/A 19% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Democratic candidate do you think... POLL IA3 3 -53- November 28 – December 6, 2015 C. Would do the most to help the middle class Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------43% 40% 46% 39% 4% 6% 3% 4% 50% 52% 49% 54% * 1% * * * 1% * * 2% * 3% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 4% 50% * * 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------43% 54% 4% 3% 50% 42% * * * 1% 2% * +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 4% 50% * * 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 4% 50% * * 2% +/-4.5 Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----43% 4% 50% * * 2% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----43% 3% 52% * * 1% +/-5.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----49% 8% 42% 1% * 1% +/-8.0 $50K or more ------32% 4% 61% 1% * 2% +/-7.0 White Women -----43% 3% 51% * * 3% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attended College Urban -----------36% 50% 3% 3% 57% 46% 1% * 1% * 2% 1% +/-5.5 +/-8.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------47% 3% 47% * 1% 1% +/-8.5 65+ ----54% 6% 37% 1% 1% 2% +/-7.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 34% N/A 6% N/A 59% N/A 1% N/A * N/A * +/-7.5 Liberal ----32% 4% 62% 1% * 1% +/-7.0 Moderate ----45% 5% 47% * 1% 3% +/-7.0 50 and Older -----51% 7% 40% 1% * 2% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----43% 3% 50% 1% * 3% +/-7.0 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------36% 5% 57% * * 2% +/-6.0 White All Evang. Others ------- ------N/A 43% N/A 5% N/A 50% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 1% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -54- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question 5 Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for president? Base = Total Sample Total Men Women White ----------------Foreign policy 9% 9% 8% 10% Illegal immigration 9% 10% 8% 8% Health care 18% 14% 22% 17% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 9% 7% 10% 9% Terrorism 18% 16% 20% 18% The economy 30% 35% 25% 31% Other 4% 5% 3% 4% No opinion 4% 4% 4% 4% Sampling Error +/-2.0 +/-3.0 +/-3.0 +/-2.5 Total ----Foreign policy 9% Illegal immigration 9% Health care 18% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 9% Terrorism 18% The economy 30% Other 4% No opinion 4% Sampling Error +/-2.0 1834 ----8% 9% 18% 13% 10% 31% 5% 4% +/-6.0 Under Total $50K --------Foreign policy 9% 11% Illegal immigration 9% 7% Health care 18% 19% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 9% 11% Terrorism 18% 15% The economy 30% 33% Other 4% 3% No opinion 4% 3% Sampling Error +/-2.0 +/-4.5 3549 ----7% 9% 17% 7% 19% 33% 4% 4% +/-5.5 $50K or more ------10% 10% 14% 10% 21% 33% 2% 1% +/-4.0 White Non-White Men --------- -----4% 10% 16% 9% 24% 13% 5% 8% 16% 17% 26% 36% 5% 4% 3% 3% +/-7.5 +/-3.5 5064 ----9% 7% 19% 7% 22% 29% 4% 2% +/-4.0 No College ------7% 10% 22% 5% 19% 29% 4% 4% +/-3.5 65+ ----11% 9% 17% 6% 22% 27% 3% 4% +/-3.5 White Women -----9% 6% 21% 11% 20% 25% 3% 4% +/-3.0 Under 50 ----8% 9% 18% 11% 14% 32% 5% 4% +/-4.0 50 and Older -----10% 8% 18% 7% 22% 28% 3% 3% +/-2.5 Attended SubCollege Urban urban Rural -------------------10% 8% 8% 9% 8% 7% 10% 9% 15% 21% 12% 18% 12% 9% 9% 9% 17% 19% 15% 19% 31% 28% 40% 27% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 4% +/-3.0 +/-4.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -55- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question 5 Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for president? Base = Total Sample Total ----Foreign policy 9% Illegal immigration 9% Health care 18% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 9% Terrorism 18% The economy 30% Other 4% No opinion 4% Sampling Error +/-2.0 Democrat ----8% 5% 24% 10% 13% 35% 3% 3% +/-4.0 Total East ----- ---Foreign policy 9% 11% Illegal immigration 9% 6% Health care 18% 16% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 9% 9% Terrorism 18% 16% The economy 30% 32% Other 4% 4% No opinion 4% 6% Sampling Error +/-2.0 +/-4.5 Total ----Foreign policy 9% Illegal immigration 9% Health care 18% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 9% Terrorism 18% The economy 30% Other 4% No opinion 4% Sampling Error +/-2.0 Independent -----7% 8% 21% 8% 16% 29% 6% 5% +/-3.5 Republican -----12% 12% 8% 9% 27% 26% 2% 3% +/-4.0 Des East Moines Central Area ------- -----7% 7% 9% 10% 19% 17% 7% 8% 18% 16% 31% 34% 5% 2% 3% 4% +/-5.0 +/-4.5 Tea Pty Support ------12% 9% 7% 10% 32% 25% 1% 3% +/-6.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------9% 10% 19% 10% 16% 31% 3% 2% +/-4.0 Liberal ----9% 6% 22% 14% 14% 32% 2% 1% +/-6.5 Moderate ----8% 9% 18% 7% 14% 38% 3% 2% +/-4.5 Conservative ------15% 9% 11% 11% 24% 26% 2% 2% +/-4.5 Central West ------- ----10% 7% 9% 10% 21% 17% 11% 9% 17% 25% 24% 25% 4% 4% 4% 1% +/-5.5 +/-5.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------13% 4% 17% 10% 13% 40% 3% 1% +/-5.0 White All Evang. Others ------- ------11% 8% 11% 8% 17% 18% 10% 8% 24% 17% 24% 31% 2% 4% 1% 5% +/-5.0 +/-2.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -56- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question 5 Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for president? Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Total Men Women White ----------------Foreign policy 10% 9% 11% 11% Illegal immigration 4% 6% 2% 3% Health care 22% 18% 24% 20% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 10% 7% 12% 11% Terrorism 13% 13% 12% 13% The economy 38% 42% 34% 39% Other 3% 3% 3% 2% No opinion 1% 1% 2% 1% Sampling Error +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 Total ----Foreign policy 10% Illegal immigration 4% Health care 22% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 10% Terrorism 13% The economy 38% Other 3% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under Total $50K --------Foreign policy 10% 13% Illegal immigration 4% 4% Health care 22% 21% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 10% 6% Terrorism 13% 15% The economy 38% 36% Other 3% 3% No opinion 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-4.5 +/-7.5 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------7% 4% 19% 14% 10% 42% 3% 1% +/-7.0 White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 10% N/A 6% N/A 15% N/A 6% N/A 15% N/A 45% N/A 2% N/A * +/-7.5 5064 ----7% 1% 28% 7% 17% 37% 4% * +/-8.0 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 65+ ----14% 7% 23% 3% 20% 29% 3% 2% +/-7.5 White Women -----12% 1% 24% 14% 11% 34% 2% 2% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Attended College Urban -----------13% 8% 3% 6% 17% 24% 14% 8% 11% 10% 37% 38% 4% 2% 2% 3% +/-5.5 +/-8.0 50 and Older -----10% 3% 26% 5% 18% 34% 3% 1% +/-5.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----12% 3% 25% 7% 14% 36% 2% 1% +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -57- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question 5 Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for president? Base = Democratic likely caucus goers Total ----Foreign policy 10% Illegal immigration 4% Health care 22% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 10% Terrorism 13% The economy 38% Other 3% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-4.5 Total ----Foreign policy 10% Illegal immigration 4% Health care 22% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 10% Terrorism 13% The economy 38% Other 3% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-4.5 Total ----Foreign policy 10% Illegal immigration 4% Health care 22% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 10% Terrorism 13% The economy 38% Other 3% No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-4.5 Democrat ----10% 4% 23% 9% 11% 38% 3% 2% +/-5.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------11% 6% 22% 9% 12% 37% 3% 1% +/-8.5 Liberal ----11% 2% 22% 16% 11% 33% 3% 2% +/-7.0 Moderate ----10% 6% 17% 5% 15% 43% 2% 1% +/-7.0 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------10% 2% 19% 11% 11% 41% 3% 2% +/-6.0 White All Evang. Others ------- ------N/A 11% N/A 4% N/A 20% N/A 11% N/A 11% N/A 38% N/A 3% N/A 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -58- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question 5 Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for president? Base = Republican likely caucus goers Total Men Women White ----------------Foreign policy 13% 14% 13% 14% Illegal immigration 10% 9% 11% 10% Health care 8% 6% 9% 8% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 9% 7% 11% 10% Terrorism 27% 21% 34% 25% The economy 29% 37% 19% 29% Other 2% 2% 2% 2% No opinion 2% 3% * 2% Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Total ----Foreign policy 13% Illegal immigration 10% Health care 8% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 9% Terrorism 27% The economy 29% Other 2% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under Total $50K --------Foreign policy 13% 12% Illegal immigration 10% 8% Health care 8% 9% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 9% 11% Terrorism 27% 22% The economy 29% 33% Other 2% 1% No opinion 2% 4% Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-7.5 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------13% 12% 8% 9% 28% 28% 1% 1% +/-5.5 White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 14% N/A 9% N/A 6% N/A 8% N/A 21% N/A 37% N/A 2% N/A 3% +/-5.5 5064 ----14% 11% 7% 8% 33% 24% 2% 1% +/-7.0 No College ------12% 13% 10% 7% 23% 31% 3% 2% +/-8.0 65+ ----15% 12% 5% 10% 30% 27% 1% * +/-7.0 White Women -----14% 12% 10% 12% 32% 18% 2% * +/-6.5 Under 50 ----13% 9% 9% 10% 20% 33% 2% 3% +/-7.5 Attended College Urban -----------14% 15% 9% 6% 7% 6% 10% 11% 28% 34% 28% 25% 1% 4% 2% * +/-5.0 +/-8.5 50 and Older -----14% 11% 6% 9% 32% 25% 2% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----15% 11% 9% 10% 26% 24% 1% 3% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -59- November 28 – December 6, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015 Question 5 Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for president? Base = Republican likely caucus goers Total ----Foreign policy 13% Illegal immigration 10% Health care 8% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 9% Terrorism 27% The economy 29% Other 2% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-4.0 Total ----Foreign policy 13% Illegal immigration 10% Health care 8% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 9% Terrorism 27% The economy 29% Other 2% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-4.0 Total ----Foreign policy 13% Illegal immigration 10% Health care 8% Social issues (abortion, etc.) 9% Terrorism 27% The economy 29% Other 2% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----10% 11% 12% 3% 23% 37% 3% 2% +/-8.0 East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------12% 10% 3% 10% 36% 25% 1% 4% +/-7.0 Republican -----15% 10% 5% 12% 29% 26% 1% 2% +/-5.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------12% 11% 10% 9% 23% 31% 2% 1% +/-6.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----9% 13% 11% 5% 16% 42% 2% 1% +/-8.0 Conservative ------15% 9% 6% 12% 30% 24% 2% 2% +/-5.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White All Evang. Others ------- ------13% 14% 12% 9% 11% 5% 13% 6% 27% 26% 20% 36% 2% 2% 2% 2% +/-6.5 +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL IA3 3 -60- November 28 – December 6, 2015