IOWA Interviews with 2,014 adult Iowans conducted by telephone by ORC International on August 7-11, 2015. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 2 percentage points. The sample also includes 1,258 interviews among likely caucus goers (plus or minus 3 percentage points). This sample includes 1,212 interviews among landline respondents and 802 interviews among cell phone respondents. EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Wednesday, August 12 at 4:00 p.m. ET BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 544 REPUBICAN LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4 PERCENTAGE PTS. RP1. If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, Scott Walker (RANDOM ORDER) Aug. 7-11 2015 Trump Carson Walker Cruz Fiorina Huckabee Bush Paul Rubio Christie Graham Jindal Kasich Perry Santorum Gilmore Pataki Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion RP2. 22% 14% 9% 8% 7% 7% 5% 5% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% * * * 2% 4% Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Republican caucus, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? Aug. 7-11 2015 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion POLL 3 15% 19% 66% * -2- August 7-11, 2015 RP3. Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER) The economy Trump Fiorina Walker Bush Carson Cruz Huckabee Paul Kasich Rubio Christie Jindal Perry Santorum Gilmore Graham Pataki Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion Illegal immigration Trump Cruz Rubio Perry Bush Carson Huckabee Christie Jindal Walker Fiorina Graham Kasich Paul Santorum Pataki Gilmore Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion POLL 3 Aug. 7-11 2015 37% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% * * * 2% 3% Aug. 7-11 2015 35% 12% 11% 10% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * 1% 1% 4% -3- August 7-11, 2015 RP3. Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER) Terrorism Trump Cruz Bush Christie Huckabee Walker Carson Fiorina Paul Perry Rubio Jindal Graham Kasich Santorum Gilmore Pataki Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion Abortion Carson Huckabee Bush Trump Cruz Paul Walker Rubio Fiorina Christie Santorum Graham Jindal Kasich Pataki Perry Gilmore Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion POLL 3 Aug. 7-11 2015 21% 13% 8% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% * * 1% 2% 10% Aug. 7-11 2015 17% 17% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% * * * * 5% 10% -4- August 7-11, 2015 RP4. Now I’m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER) Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself Aug. 7-11 2015 Carson Trump Huckabee Cruz Walker Bush Paul Fiorina Jindal Rubio Kasich Christie Perry Graham Santorum Gilmore Pataki Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 5% Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November Aug. 7-11 2015 Trump Bush Walker Rubio Cruz Carson Huckabee Christie Fiorina Kasich Paul Santorum Graham Jindal Pataki Perry Gilmore Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion POLL 3 22% 16% 11% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% * * * 1% 2% 7% -5- August 7-11, 2015 RP4. Now I’m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER) Is most likely to change the way things work in Washington Aug. 7-11 2015 Trump Carson Cruz Fiorina Walker Bush Huckabee Paul Christie Rubio Graham Jindal Kasich Perry Pataki Santorum Gilmore Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion POLL 3 44% 9% 8% 7% 7% 4% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * 2% 3% -6- August 7-11, 2015 BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 2,014 ADULT IOWANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 2 PERCENTAGE PTS. 5. What one issue will be most important to you in deciding whom to support in next year’s presidential election? (OPEN END) Aug. 7-11 NET ECONOMY NET 24% Economy 19% Jobs/Unemployment 2% Income inequality/Poverty 2% For the middle class 1% Minimum wage * Union/Labor rights * HEALTH CARE NET 10% Health care 9% Medicare 1% FOREIGN POLICY NET 10% Foreign affairs/Foreign policy 4% Terrorism 2% National/Homeland security 2% Military support 1% War/Out of war/Peace 1% ISIS * Privacy/Civil liberties * Iran * Israel/Middle East * IMMIGRATION NET 8% Immigration 8% Border security 1% Education 5% GOV’T SPENDING NET 5% Budget/Spending/Deficit 2% Taxes 2% National debt 1% Entitlement programs/Welfare 1% Social Security/Retirement 3% Guns/Gun Control 2% SOCIAL ISSUES NET 5% Social issues (general) * Same-sex marriage 1% Religion/God/Morality 1% Abortion/Women’s health/ Planned Parenthood 3% POLL 3 Aug. 7-11 NET CANDIDATE TRAITS NET 2% Honest/Integrity 1% Conservative ideology * Not a politician * Character (general) * Leadership * Empathy * Experience * EQUAL RIGHTS NET 2% Equal rights/Race relations 1% Women’s rights 1% GOVERNMENT NET 2% Fix the country (general) 1% Change politics/Washington 1% Gov’t overreach/Regulation * Not Obama * Constitution/Constitutional rights * ENVIRONMENT NET 1% Climate change/Global warming 1% Environment * Marijuana laws 1% Veterans issues * Infrastructure * Energy policy * Campaign finance reform * All important/Can’t choose Other DK/No opinion/Refused -7- * 6% 13% August 7-11, 2015 BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 544 REPUBICAN LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4 PERCENTAGE PTS. 5. What one issue will be most important to you in deciding whom to support in next year’s presidential election? (OPEN END) Aug. 7-11 NET ECONOMY NET 33% Economy 32% Jobs/Unemployment * Income inequality/Poverty 1% For the middle class * Minimum wage Union/Labor rights * HEALTH CARE NET 3% Health care 3% Medicare FOREIGN POLICY NET 20% Foreign affairs/Foreign policy 6% Terrorism 8% National/Homeland security 3% Military support 2% War/Out of war/Peace 1% ISIS * Privacy/Civil liberties * Iran * Israel/Middle East * IMMIGRATION NET 14% Immigration 12% Border security 2% Education 2% GOV’T SPENDING NET 6% Budget/Spending/Deficit 3% Taxes 2% National debt 1% Entitlement programs/Welfare 1% Social Security/Retirement 1% Guns/Gun Control * SOCIAL ISSUES NET 8% Social issues (general) * Same-sex marriage * Religion/God/Morality 1% Abortion/Women’s health/ Planned Parenthood 6% POLL 3 Aug. 7-11 NET CANDIDATE TRAITS NET 2% Honest/Integrity 1% Conservative ideology * Not a politician * Character (general) Leadership * Empathy * Experience EQUAL RIGHTS NET Equal rights/Race relations Women’s rights GOVERNMENT NET 3% Fix the country (general) * Change politics/Washington 2% Gov’t overreach/Regulation * Not Obama 1% Constitution/Constitutional rights * ENVIRONMENT NET * Climate change/Global warming Environment * Marijuana laws 1% Veterans issues * Infrastructure Energy policy Campaign finance reform All important/Can’t choose Other DK/No opinion/Refused -8- * 3% 3% August 7-11, 2015 METHODOLOGY A total of 2,014 Iowa adults were interviewed by telephone statewide by live interviewers calling both landline and cellphones. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of the state. Respondents were asked questions about whether they are registered to vote, their likelihood of voting, past voting behavior, and interest in the campaign. Based on the answers to those questions, 1,258 respondents were classified as likely caucus-goers, including 544 who were likely to participate in the Republican presidential caucus and 429 who were likely to participate in the Democratic presidential caucus. The Iowa regions are composed of the following counties: the "East" region is composed of Cedar, Clinton, Dubuque, Jackson, Johnson, Jones, Linn, Muscatine and Scott counties; the "East Central" region is composed of Allamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Chickasaw, Clayton, Delaware, Des Moines, Fayette, Floyd, Grundy, Henry, Howard, Iowa, Jefferson, Keokuk, Lee, Louisa, Mitchell, Poweshiek, Tama, Van Buren, Wapello, Washington and Winneshiek counties; the "Des Moines Area" region is composed of Dallas, Madison, Polk, Story and Warren counties; the "Central" region is composed of Adair, Appanoose, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Emmet, Franklin, Greene, Guthrie, Hamilton, Hancock, Hardin, Humboldt, Jasper, Kossuth, Lucas, Mahaska, Marion, Marshall, Monroe, Palo Alto, Pocahontas, Ringgold, Union, Wayne, Webster, Winnebago, Worth and Wright counties; and the "West" region is composed of Adams, Audubon, Buena Vista, Cass, Cherokee, Clay, Crawford, Dickinson, Fremont, Harrison, Ida, Lyon, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, O'Brien, Osceola, Page, Plymouth, Pottawattamie, Sac, Shelby, Sioux, Taylor and Woodbury counties. Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the population of Iowa to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed. POLL 3 -9- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP1 If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------5% 6% 4% 5% 14% 10% 20% 14% 3% 4% 2% 3% 8% 6% 9% 8% 7% 4% 11% 8% 2% 1% 3% 2% 7% 5% 9% 7% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% * * * * 5% 8% 1% 5% 1% 2% * 1% 5% 6% 5% 5% 1% * 1% 1% 22% 27% 15% 21% 9% 12% 4% 9% * * * * * * 1% * 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 8% 5% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 14% 3% 8% 7% 2% 7% 2% 2% * 5% 1% 5% 1% 22% 9% * * 2% 4% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 6% N/A 10% N/A 5% N/A 6% N/A 5% N/A 1% N/A 6% N/A 3% N/A 2% N/A * N/A 8% N/A 2% N/A 5% N/A * N/A 26% N/A 12% N/A * N/A * N/A 2% N/A 2% +/-5.5 5064 ----2% 14% 2% 10% 6% 1% 7% 1% 4% * 3% * 5% * 25% 14% * * 2% 2% +/-7.5 65+ ----8% 18% 3% 4% 11% 1% 7% 2% 5% * 1% 1% 7% 1% 14% 10% * 1% 2% 3% +/-6.5 White Women -----4% 21% 1% 9% 11% 3% 9% 2% 3% 1% 1% * 5% 1% 15% 4% * 1% 2% 8% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----5% 14% 4% 7% 6% 3% 7% 3% * * 7% 1% 4% 1% 24% 6% * * 1% 6% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----5% 16% 2% 7% 8% 1% 7% 1% 4% * 2% * 6% 1% 20% 12% * * 2% 3% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -10- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP1 If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------5% 4% 14% 14% 3% 2% 8% 11% 7% 6% 2% 1% 7% 7% 2% 3% 2% 2% * * 5% 4% 1% * 5% 5% 1% 1% 22% 28% 9% 6% * * * * 2% 1% 4% 6% +/-4.0 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 14% 3% 8% 7% 2% 7% 2% 2% * 5% 1% 5% 1% 22% 9% * * 2% 4% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------4% 15% 4% 6% 8% 2% 7% 3% 2% * 6% 2% 5% 1% 21% 8% * * 2% 4% +/-6.0 No College ------2% 16% 6% 9% 5% 2% 9% 3% 1% * 4% * 2% 1% 26% 10% * * * 5% +/-8.5 Independent -----4% 13% 3% 7% 10% 1% 4% 2% 3% * 8% * 6% * 23% 7% * * 1% 6% +/-7.5 Republican -----6% 16% 4% 8% 5% 3% 9% 2% 2% * 3% 2% 5% 1% 20% 10% * * 2% 4% +/-5.0 Attended College -------6% 14% 2% 7% 8% 2% 6% 2% 3% * 5% 2% 6% 1% 20% 8% * * 2% 4% +/-5.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----6% 14% 7% 4% 7% 2% 3% 4% 4% 1% 4% 1% 6% 1% 23% 5% * * 2% 6% +/-8.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----6% 14% 4% 8% 9% 1% 8% 2% 2% * 5% 1% 4% * 20% 11% * * * 4% +/-5.5 Conservative ------5% 16% 2% 9% 8% 2% 10% 2% 1% * 4% 1% 5% 1% 19% 11% * * 1% 3% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -11- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP1 If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 14% 3% 8% 7% 2% 7% 2% 2% * 5% 1% 5% 1% 22% 9% * * 2% 4% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 14% 3% 8% 7% 2% 7% 2% 2% * 5% 1% 5% 1% 22% 9% * * 2% 4% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------4% 18% * 11% 9% * 6% 3% 2% * 4% 1% 5% 1% 19% 11% * * 1% 4% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------5% 13% 6% 6% 6% 2% 7% 2% 2% * 5% 1% 5% * 24% 9% * * 2% 4% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -12- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP2 Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Republican caucus, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? Base = Republican likely caucus goers Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------15% 19% 9% 15% 19% 21% 17% 20% 66% 60% 74% 65% * * * * +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 19% 66% * +/-4.0 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------15% 17% 19% 19% 66% 63% * * +/-4.0 +/-8.0 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 19% 66% * +/-4.0 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 19% 66% * +/-4.0 Definitely decided Leaning toward someone Still trying to decide No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 19% 66% * +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------12% 24% 63% * +/-7.0 5064 ----14% 29% 57% * +/-7.5 $50K or more ------13% 19% 68% * +/-6.0 Republican -----16% 20% 64% * +/-5.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------15% 18% 67% * +/-6.0 65+ ----16% 19% 65% * +/-6.5 No College ------15% 19% 66% * +/-8.5 Independent -----12% 18% 70% * +/-7.5 East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 20% N/A 22% N/A 58% N/A * +/-5.5 White Women -----9% 17% 74% * +/-6.5 Under 50 ----15% 15% 71% * +/-8.0 Attended College -------15% 19% 66% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----14% 18% 68% * +/-8.5 50 and Older -----15% 24% 61% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----11% 20% 70% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------16% 21% 63% * +/-5.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -13- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP3a Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: A. The economy Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------7% 6% 8% 7% 6% 7% 4% 5% 2% 2% 3% 2% 5% 3% 9% 5% 10% 9% 11% 11% * * * * 5% 5% 4% 5% 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% * * * * 4% 6% 2% 4% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 37% 39% 34% 37% 8% 11% 4% 8% 1% * 2% 1% * * 1% * 2% 2% 1% 1% 3% 2% 5% 3% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 6% 2% 5% 10% * 5% 2% 3% * 4% 2% 3% 1% 37% 8% 1% * 2% 3% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 6% N/A 6% N/A 2% N/A 3% N/A 10% N/A * N/A 5% N/A 1% N/A 2% N/A * N/A 6% N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A 38% N/A 11% N/A * N/A * N/A 1% N/A 3% +/-5.5 5064 ----5% 3% 1% 7% 4% * 8% * 4% * 2% 1% 5% * 40% 14% * * 1% 3% +/-7.5 65+ ----10% 9% 5% 3% 17% * 4% * 6% * 1% 1% 3% 2% 25% 9% * 1% 1% 3% +/-6.5 White Women -----8% 4% 2% 9% 11% * 4% 3% 5% * 2% 2% 3% 1% 34% 4% 2% * 1% 5% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----6% 5% 2% 5% 10% * 4% 3% 1% * 6% 3% 1% 1% 42% 5% 1% * 2% 4% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----7% 6% 3% 5% 10% * 6% * 5% * 2% 1% 4% 1% 33% 12% * * 1% 3% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -14- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP3a Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: A. The economy Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------7% 4% 6% 5% 2% 3% 5% 7% 10% 7% * * 5% 9% 2% 1% 3% 3% * * 4% 4% 2% 1% 3% 3% 1% * 37% 39% 8% 7% 1% 2% * * 2% 2% 3% 4% +/-4.0 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 6% 2% 5% 10% * 5% 2% 3% * 4% 2% 3% 1% 37% 8% 1% * 2% 3% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------8% 4% 1% 4% 11% * 3% 2% 3% * 4% 2% 2% 2% 41% 9% * * 1% 3% +/-6.0 No College ------6% 5% 3% 5% 8% * 8% 1% 2% * 3% 1% 1% 1% 45% 7% 2% * 1% 2% +/-8.5 Independent -----6% 5% 1% 4% 15% * 3% 2% 4% * 8% 1% 2% * 34% 7% * * 4% 5% +/-7.5 Republican -----7% 6% 3% 6% 7% * 6% 1% 3% * 2% 2% 3% 2% 38% 9% 1% * * 2% +/-5.0 Attended College -------7% 5% 2% 5% 11% * 4% 2% 4% * 5% 2% 3% 1% 34% 9% * * 2% 4% +/-5.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----4% 6% 6% 4% 8% * 2% 1% 5% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 39% 6% 2% * 3% 7% +/-8.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----8% 6% 2% 5% 12% * 6% 2% 4% * 4% 2% 2% 1% 33% 10% * * * 3% +/-5.5 Conservative ------8% 5% 1% 6% 12% * 6% 2% 3% * 4% 2% 3% 1% 37% 10% * * 1% 1% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -15- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP3a Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: A. The economy Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 6% 2% 5% 10% * 5% 2% 3% * 4% 2% 3% 1% 37% 8% 1% * 2% 3% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 6% 2% 5% 10% * 5% 2% 3% * 4% 2% 3% 1% 37% 8% 1% * 2% 3% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------3% 5% 1% 7% 13% * 5% 1% 2% * 6% 1% 2% 1% 34% 11% 2% * 3% 3% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------8% 5% 3% 5% 8% * 4% 2% 3% * 3% 2% 3% 1% 41% 7% * * * 3% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -16- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP3b Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------5% 4% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 1% 3% 12% 11% 14% 11% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% * 3% 1% 4% 3% 5% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 1% 1% * * * * * * 1% 2% * 1% 10% 9% 11% 10% 11% 9% 14% 11% 1% 1% * 1% 35% 43% 24% 35% 3% 3% 3% 3% * * * * 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 4% 2% 7% 4% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 4% 3% 12% 2% 1% 4% 3% 1% * 1% 10% 11% 1% 35% 3% * 1% 1% 4% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 4% N/A 4% N/A 4% N/A 10% N/A 2% N/A * N/A 3% N/A 2% N/A * N/A * N/A 2% N/A 9% N/A 8% N/A 1% N/A 43% N/A 3% N/A * N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A 2% +/-5.5 5064 ----5% 4% 1% 13% * 1% 3% 3% * * 3% 8% 9% 1% 38% 5% * * 1% 4% +/-7.5 65+ ----10% 6% 1% 8% 6% * 4% 5% 1% * * 14% 16% 1% 19% 4% * 1% 2% 3% +/-6.5 White Women -----6% 4% 1% 14% 2% 3% 5% 3% * * * 12% 14% * 25% 2% * * 2% 7% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----3% 3% 4% 13% 1% 2% 4% 1% * * 1% 9% 10% * 41% 1% * 1% 1% 5% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----7% 5% 1% 11% 3% 1% 4% 4% 1% * 2% 10% 12% 1% 30% 5% * * 2% 4% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -17- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP3b Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------5% 4% 4% 3% 3% * 12% 15% 2% 1% 1% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 1% * * * 1% 2% 10% 9% 11% 10% 1% * 35% 35% 3% 2% * * 1% * 1% 1% 4% 7% +/-4.0 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 4% 3% 12% 2% 1% 4% 3% 1% * 1% 10% 11% 1% 35% 3% * 1% 1% 4% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------6% 4% 4% 10% 1% * 4% 1% * * 1% 12% 11% 1% 38% 3% * 1% 1% 2% +/-6.0 No College ------3% 5% 6% 6% 3% 3% 6% 3% * * 3% 7% 3% * 40% 3% * * 1% 6% +/-8.5 Independent -----3% 2% 4% 15% 3% 1% 1% 3% 1% * 1% 5% 9% * 40% 1% * 2% 2% 7% +/-7.5 Republican -----6% 5% 2% 10% 1% 2% 6% 2% * * 1% 13% 13% 1% 32% 4% * * 1% 3% +/-5.0 Attended College -------6% 3% 1% 14% 1% * 3% 2% * * * 11% 14% 1% 34% 2% * 1% 1% 3% +/-5.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----7% 3% 3% 5% * 3% 1% 2% * * 1% 10% 15% 2% 32% 2% * 2% 1% 9% +/-8.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----6% 4% 2% 13% 2% 1% 6% 2% 1% * * 9% 8% 1% 36% 3% * 1% 1% 4% +/-5.5 Conservative ------4% 4% 1% 15% 2% * 6% 3% * * 1% 11% 10% * 36% 3% * * 1% 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -18- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP3b Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 4% 3% 12% 2% 1% 4% 3% 1% * 1% 10% 11% 1% 35% 3% * 1% 1% 4% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----5% 4% 3% 12% 2% 1% 4% 3% 1% * 1% 10% 11% 1% 35% 3% * 1% 1% 4% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------5% 5% * 18% * 2% 4% 4% * * 1% 11% 7% * 33% 4% * * 1% 5% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------4% 3% 3% 10% 2% 1% 3% 2% * * 1% 9% 13% 1% 40% 3% * * 1% 4% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -19- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP3c Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: C. Terrorism Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------8% 6% 10% 8% 5% 3% 6% 5% 6% 5% 6% 5% 13% 14% 11% 13% 4% 2% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 6% 5% 8% 5% 3% 2% 4% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * 4% 6% 1% 4% 4% 4% 2% 4% 4% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% * 1% 21% 27% 13% 22% 6% 7% 4% 6% * * * * 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 10% 5% 16% 11% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 5% 6% 13% 4% 2% 6% 3% 1% * 4% 4% 4% 1% 21% 6% * 1% 2% 10% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 6% N/A 4% N/A 5% N/A 15% N/A 2% N/A 3% N/A 3% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 6% N/A 4% N/A 3% N/A 1% N/A 28% N/A 7% N/A * N/A 1% N/A 3% N/A 6% +/-5.5 5064 ----5% 4% 5% 16% 2% 2% 4% 2% 3% * 2% 2% 3% 2% 26% 7% * 3% 1% 8% +/-7.5 65+ ----12% 9% 4% 7% 7% 3% 8% 2% 2% * 2% 2% 6% * 20% 5% * 2% 2% 7% +/-6.5 White Women -----10% 7% 6% 11% 6% 2% 8% 4% 2% * 1% 2% 2% * 14% 4% * 2% 2% 17% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----7% 3% 7% 13% 3% 2% 7% 3% * 1% 6% 4% 3% * 20% 5% * * 3% 12% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----8% 6% 5% 12% 4% 3% 6% 2% 3% * 2% 2% 5% 1% 24% 6% * 2% 1% 8% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -20- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP3c Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: C. Terrorism Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------8% 5% 5% 5% 6% 3% 13% 14% 4% 1% 2% 1% 6% 9% 3% 2% 1% 2% * * 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% 6% 1% 1% 21% 30% 6% 4% * * 1% * 2% 1% 10% 11% +/-4.0 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 5% 6% 13% 4% 2% 6% 3% 1% * 4% 4% 4% 1% 21% 6% * 1% 2% 10% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------9% 5% 8% 11% 5% 3% 5% 3% 1% 1% 5% 5% 2% * 18% 6% * 1% 2% 10% +/-6.0 No College ------7% 3% 5% 10% 2% 1% 6% 2% 1% * 3% 2% 2% 1% 30% 11% * * 4% 10% +/-8.5 Independent -----4% 3% 6% 14% 6% 2% 4% 3% 1% * 6% 2% 6% * 19% 3% * 2% 4% 15% +/-7.5 Republican -----10% 6% 5% 12% 3% 2% 7% 3% 1% 1% 2% 5% 3% 1% 22% 8% * 1% 1% 7% +/-5.0 Attended College -------8% 5% 6% 14% 4% 3% 6% 3% 1% * 4% 4% 4% * 19% 4% * 1% 1% 10% +/-5.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----5% 3% 5% 6% 6% 2% 5% 4% 3% 1% 5% 2% 6% * 22% 7% * 1% 3% 14% +/-8.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----9% 5% 4% 12% 2% 2% 10% 2% 2% * 6% 3% 3% * 18% 7% * 2% 1% 12% +/-5.5 Conservative ------10% 6% 5% 15% 3% 2% 7% 2% 1% * 3% 5% 3% 1% 20% 6% * 1% 2% 9% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -21- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP3c Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: C. Terrorism Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 5% 6% 13% 4% 2% 6% 3% 1% * 4% 4% 4% 1% 21% 6% * 1% 2% 10% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 5% 6% 13% 4% 2% 6% 3% 1% * 4% 4% 4% 1% 21% 6% * 1% 2% 10% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------7% 6% 3% 16% 3% 1% 5% 3% 1% * 2% 4% 4% 1% 23% 7% * 1% 1% 8% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------7% 4% 6% 12% 4% 2% 7% 3% 1% * 4% 4% 3% * 23% 5% * 2% 3% 12% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -22- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP3d Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: D. Abortion Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------7% 9% 4% 6% 17% 16% 18% 17% 3% 4% 1% 2% 6% 5% 7% 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 2% 1% 4% 2% 17% 15% 20% 17% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * 6% 7% 3% 6% * 1% * * 5% 4% 6% 5% 3% 3% 2% 3% 7% 9% 4% 7% 6% 9% 3% 7% * * * * * * * * 5% 6% 3% 4% 10% 6% 17% 11% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 17% 3% 6% 4% 2% 17% 1% 1% * 6% * 5% 3% 7% 6% * * 5% 10% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 8% N/A 17% N/A 4% N/A 5% N/A 3% N/A * N/A 16% N/A 1% N/A 2% N/A * N/A 8% N/A * N/A 4% N/A 3% N/A 9% N/A 9% N/A * N/A * N/A 5% N/A 6% +/-5.5 5064 ----3% 18% * 7% 5% * 24% 2% 3% * 2% 1% 6% 2% 8% 6% * 1% 5% 8% +/-7.5 65+ ----8% 20% 2% 3% 5% * 19% 3% 2% * 2% * 6% 2% 4% 4% * * 6% 12% +/-6.5 White Women -----4% 18% * 7% 4% 4% 19% 1% 1% * 4% * 6% 3% 4% 4% * * 3% 17% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----8% 16% 4% 6% 3% 3% 12% * * * 9% * 4% 3% 7% 8% * * 5% 11% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----6% 19% 1% 5% 5% * 22% 2% 2% * 2% * 6% 2% 6% 5% * 1% 5% 10% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -23- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP3d Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: D. Abortion Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------7% 7% 17% 12% 3% 1% 6% 9% 4% 2% 2% 2% 17% 17% 1% 2% 1% 1% * * 6% 9% * 1% 5% 5% 3% 2% 7% 12% 6% 1% * * * * 5% 6% 10% 12% +/-4.0 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 17% 3% 6% 4% 2% 17% 1% 1% * 6% * 5% 3% 7% 6% * * 5% 10% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------8% 19% 3% 5% 4% 2% 15% 1% 2% * 5% * 5% 3% 4% 10% * * 5% 9% +/-6.0 No College ------4% 16% 6% 4% 2% 2% 19% 1% * * 7% 1% 5% 2% 7% 7% * * 6% 10% +/-8.5 Independent -----9% 12% 4% 4% 5% 1% 9% 1% 1% * 10% * 7% 2% 8% 6% * * 7% 14% +/-7.5 Republican -----6% 20% 2% 7% 3% 3% 22% 1% 2% * 3% 1% 4% 3% 5% 7% * * 4% 8% +/-5.0 Attended College -------8% 18% 1% 6% 5% 1% 16% 1% 2% * 5% * 5% 3% 6% 6% * * 5% 11% +/-5.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----11% 16% 4% 3% 5% 3% 7% * 3% 1% 5% 1% 5% 2% 7% 6% * * 11% 12% +/-8.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----9% 16% 2% 6% 3% 1% 18% 1% 1% * 7% 1% 5% 1% 6% 6% * 1% 4% 13% +/-5.5 Conservative ------5% 19% 1% 6% 4% 1% 23% 2% 1% * 6% * 4% 3% 6% 7% * 1% 3% 9% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -24- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP3d Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling: D. Abortion Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 17% 3% 6% 4% 2% 17% 1% 1% * 6% * 5% 3% 7% 6% * * 5% 10% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----7% 17% 3% 6% 4% 2% 17% 1% 1% * 6% * 5% 3% 7% 6% * * 5% 10% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------4% 19% 1% 8% 5% 2% 20% 1% 1% * 8% * 5% 3% 3% 7% * 1% 3% 10% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------7% 15% 2% 5% 4% 2% 15% 2% 1% * 5% 1% 4% 3% 9% 7% * * 7% 11% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -25- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP4a Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: A. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------6% 7% 5% 7% 14% 11% 18% 14% 3% 4% 2% 3% 10% 9% 13% 10% 5% 4% 7% 5% 1% * 2% 1% 11% 7% 16% 11% 5% 5% 5% 5% 3% 2% 4% 3% * * 1% * 6% 9% 1% 6% 2% 3% 1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2% 12% 15% 7% 12% 9% 12% 4% 8% 1% * 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% * * 5% 5% 5% 5% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 14% 3% 10% 5% 1% 11% 5% 3% * 6% 2% 4% 1% 12% 9% 1% 1% 1% 5% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 8% N/A 11% N/A 5% N/A 8% N/A 4% N/A * N/A 7% N/A 5% N/A 2% N/A * N/A 10% N/A 3% N/A 5% N/A 1% N/A 16% N/A 11% N/A * N/A * N/A * N/A 5% +/-5.5 5064 ----3% 14% 2% 14% 2% * 13% 5% 5% * 4% 2% 5% * 12% 12% * * * 6% +/-7.5 65+ ----11% 16% 3% 6% 6% 1% 11% 4% 5% * 1% 2% 6% 2% 12% 8% * 1% 1% 4% +/-6.5 White Women -----5% 18% 1% 13% 7% 2% 16% 5% 4% 1% 1% 1% 4% 2% 8% 4% 2% 1% * 5% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----6% 13% 4% 11% 6% 2% 11% 5% 1% * 8% 2% 3% 2% 11% 8% 1% 1% 1% 4% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----7% 15% 2% 10% 4% * 12% 5% 5% * 3% 2% 5% 1% 12% 10% * * * 5% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -26- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP4a Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: A. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------6% 3% 14% 14% 3% 1% 10% 14% 5% 5% 1% * 11% 9% 5% 6% 3% 3% * * 6% 3% 2% 1% 4% 5% 1% 1% 12% 16% 9% 8% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 5% +/-4.0 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 14% 3% 10% 5% 1% 11% 5% 3% * 6% 2% 4% 1% 12% 9% 1% 1% 1% 5% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------7% 14% 5% 9% 5% 2% 12% 5% 3% * 8% 3% 4% 2% 10% 8% * * 1% 4% +/-6.0 No College ------3% 19% 7% 10% 4% * 10% 6% 1% * 5% 1% 2% 1% 15% 10% 2% 1% * 3% +/-8.5 Independent -----6% 16% 5% 8% 7% * 6% 5% 3% * 8% 2% 4% * 9% 9% * 1% 2% 7% +/-7.5 Republican -----7% 13% 2% 12% 4% 2% 14% 4% 3% * 5% 2% 5% 2% 12% 9% 1% 1% * 4% +/-5.0 Attended College -------8% 12% 2% 11% 5% 1% 12% 4% 4% * 6% 3% 5% 2% 11% 9% * * 1% 5% +/-5.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----7% 15% 3% 6% 4% 1% 5% 4% 7% 1% 6% 4% 6% 1% 11% 7% 2% 1% 3% 5% +/-8.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----6% 17% 3% 10% 5% * 13% 4% 2% * 6% 3% 3% 1% 9% 11% * * * 5% +/-5.5 Conservative ------6% 13% 2% 13% 5% 1% 15% 5% 1% * 5% 2% 3% 2% 13% 9% * * * 3% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -27- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP4a Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: A. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 14% 3% 10% 5% 1% 11% 5% 3% * 6% 2% 4% 1% 12% 9% 1% 1% 1% 5% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----6% 14% 3% 10% 5% 1% 11% 5% 3% * 6% 2% 4% 1% 12% 9% 1% 1% 1% 5% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------4% 20% * 15% 6% * 9% 6% 1% * 3% 1% 3% 2% 13% 10% 2% * 2% 5% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------6% 11% 4% 9% 4% 2% 12% 5% 3% * 7% 3% 5% 1% 13% 9% * 1% 1% 5% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -28- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP4b Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: B. Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------16% 17% 15% 17% 5% 7% 4% 6% 3% 3% 4% 4% 7% 4% 11% 7% 3% 3% 4% 4% 1% * 2% 1% 4% 3% 5% 4% 1% * 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% * * * * 2% 3% 1% 2% * 1% * * 9% 10% 9% 9% 2% 2% 2% 2% 22% 24% 20% 22% 11% 14% 6% 11% * * * * 1% 1% * * 2% 2% 2% 2% 7% 5% 11% 7% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----16% 5% 3% 7% 3% 1% 4% 1% 3% * 2% * 9% 2% 22% 11% * 1% 2% 7% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 19% N/A 7% N/A 3% N/A 4% N/A 3% N/A * N/A 3% N/A * N/A 3% N/A * N/A 3% N/A * N/A 9% N/A 2% N/A 22% N/A 14% N/A * N/A * N/A 3% N/A 4% +/-5.5 5064 ----12% 6% 1% 9% 6% * 3% * 5% * 1% * 8% 1% 26% 16% * * 1% 4% +/-7.5 65+ ----23% 7% 2% 4% 7% * 4% 4% 4% * 1% * 8% * 14% 10% * 1% 2% 11% +/-6.5 White Women -----15% 4% 4% 11% 4% 2% 5% 2% 3% * 1% * 9% 2% 21% 6% * * 1% 11% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----16% 5% 6% 7% 1% 2% 4% * 1% * 3% * 10% 2% 25% 8% * 1% 2% 6% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----17% 7% 1% 7% 7% * 3% 2% 5% * 1% * 8% 1% 21% 13% * * 1% 7% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -29- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP4b Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: B. Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------16% 20% 5% 4% 3% * 7% 7% 3% 2% 1% * 4% 4% 1% 2% 3% 3% * * 2% 1% * 1% 9% 9% 2% 1% 22% 33% 11% 5% * * 1% 2% 2% 1% 7% 6% +/-4.0 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----16% 5% 3% 7% 3% 1% 4% 1% 3% * 2% * 9% 2% 22% 11% * 1% 2% 7% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------13% 6% 6% 6% 4% 1% 4% * 3% * 3% * 11% 2% 20% 14% * * 3% 6% +/-6.0 No College ------18% 7% 3% 6% 4% * 4% 1% 1% * 2% 1% 6% 4% 23% 9% * 2% 4% 5% +/-8.5 Independent -----20% 4% 6% 7% 3% * 1% 1% 3% * 4% * 10% 2% 20% 8% * * 5% 6% +/-7.5 Republican -----14% 7% 2% 7% 4% 1% 5% 1% 3% * 1% 1% 9% 2% 23% 12% * 1% 1% 8% +/-5.0 Attended College -------16% 5% 3% 7% 3% 1% 4% 1% 4% * 2% * 10% 1% 23% 11% * * 1% 7% +/-5.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----23% 7% 2% 5% 2% * 2% * 4% 1% 2% 1% 11% 2% 21% 6% * 2% 4% 6% +/-8.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----15% 4% 4% 7% 5% * 5% 1% 3% * 3% 1% 5% 1% 23% 14% * * 1% 7% +/-5.5 Conservative ------14% 5% 3% 8% 4% 1% 5% 1% 3% * 2% * 8% 2% 22% 13% * * 1% 6% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -30- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP4b Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: B. Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----16% 5% 3% 7% 3% 1% 4% 1% 3% * 2% * 9% 2% 22% 11% * 1% 2% 7% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----16% 5% 3% 7% 3% 1% 4% 1% 3% * 2% * 9% 2% 22% 11% * 1% 2% 7% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------18% 6% * 8% 4% * 3% * 3% * 2% * 7% 1% 23% 16% * * 1% 7% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------14% 6% 5% 8% 2% 2% 4% 1% 2% * 2% * 10% 1% 24% 9% * 1% 2% 6% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -31- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP4c Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: C. Is most likely to change the way things work in Washington Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------4% 3% 5% 4% 9% 8% 11% 10% 2% 2% 3% 2% 8% 7% 10% 8% 7% 5% 10% 7% 1% * 2% 1% 4% 3% 4% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * * * * 4% 7% 1% 5% 1% 1% * 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% * * 1% * 44% 48% 38% 43% 7% 8% 4% 7% * * * * * * * * 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 9% 2% 8% 7% 1% 4% 1% 1% * 4% 1% 2% * 44% 7% * * 2% 3% +/-4.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Non-White Men --------- -----N/A 3% N/A 9% N/A 2% N/A 6% N/A 5% N/A * N/A 3% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 8% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 47% N/A 8% N/A * N/A * N/A 2% N/A 2% +/-5.5 5064 ----3% 8% 1% 13% 4% * 3% * 2% * 3% * 2% * 47% 9% * * 2% 2% +/-7.5 65+ ----6% 11% 3% 6% 13% * 5% 2% 3% * 3% 1% 4% * 31% 7% * 1% 3% 1% +/-6.5 White Women -----5% 11% 2% 10% 10% 2% 4% 1% 1% * 1% * 3% 1% 38% 5% * * 1% 4% +/-6.5 Under 50 ----3% 10% 2% 7% 5% 2% 4% 1% * * 6% 1% 2% 1% 48% 5% * * 1% 3% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----5% 9% 2% 10% 8% * 4% 1% 3% * 3% * 3% * 40% 8% * * 2% 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -32- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP4c Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: C. Is most likely to change the way things work in Washington Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------4% 2% 9% 7% 2% 1% 8% 13% 7% 7% 1% * 4% 5% 1% 1% 1% 2% * * 4% 5% 1% * 2% 3% * * 44% 42% 7% 8% * * * * 2% 1% 3% 3% +/-4.0 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 9% 2% 8% 7% 1% 4% 1% 1% * 4% 1% 2% * 44% 7% * * 2% 3% +/-4.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------4% 10% 2% 6% 5% 2% 3% 1% 1% * 5% 1% 2% 1% 47% 6% * * 1% 2% +/-6.0 No College ------4% 5% 4% 7% 8% * 5% * 1% * 5% * 1% * 45% 11% * * 1% 1% +/-8.5 Independent -----3% 10% 2% 7% 10% * * 2% 1% * 7% 1% 2% * 47% 4% * * 2% 2% +/-7.5 Republican -----4% 9% 2% 9% 5% 2% 6% * 1% * 3% * 3% 1% 41% 8% * * 2% 3% +/-5.0 Attended College -------4% 11% 1% 9% 6% 1% 3% 1% 1% * 4% 1% 3% 1% 44% 5% * * 2% 3% +/-5.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----6% 10% 3% 4% 6% * 4% 2% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% * 44% 8% * * 2% 3% +/-8.5 Suburban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Rural ----5% 10% 2% 9% 6% * 6% 2% 1% * 4% 1% 1% * 42% 7% * * 1% 3% +/-5.5 Conservative ------3% 9% 1% 10% 7% 1% 4% 1% 2% * 4% * 3% 1% 44% 6% * * 2% 2% +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -33- August 7-11, 2015 Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- August 7 to 11, 2015 Question RP4c Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which Republican candidate do you think: C. Is most likely to change the way things work in Washington Base = Republican likely caucus goers Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 9% 2% 8% 7% 1% 4% 1% 1% * 4% 1% 2% * 44% 7% * * 2% 3% +/-4.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/No One No opinion Sampling Error Total ----4% 9% 2% 8% 7% 1% 4% 1% 1% * 4% 1% 2% * 44% 7% * * 2% 3% +/-4.0 East ---N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A East Central ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------2% 10% * 11% 8% * 3% 2% 1% * 6% * 3% 1% 42% 8% * * 2% 2% +/-7.0 Des Moines Area -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------3% 9% 2% 7% 5% 2% 4% * 1% * 4% 1% 2% * 49% 6% * * 2% 3% +/-6.0 Central West ------- ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 3 -34- August 7-11, 2015