This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone July 16-19, 2015, among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, including landline and cell phone respondents. Results have a 3.5 point error margin. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York. *= less than 0.5 percent (Full methodological details appended at the end.) 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? 7/19/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/15/15 12/14/14 10/26/14 10/12/14 9/7/14 6/1/14 4/27/14 3/2/14 1/23/14 12/15/13 11/17/13 10/20/13 9/15/13 7/21/13 5/19/13 4/14/13 3/10/13 1/13/13 12/16/12 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 5/20/12 4/8/12 3/10/12 2/4/12 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 45 26 20 45 22 23 47 26 21 50 24 26 41 21 20 43 21 22 40 20 20 42 24 18 46 23 23 41 23 19 46 25 22 46 23 23 43 23 20 42 22 21 48 28 20 47 25 22 49 25 24 51 32 20 50 27 23 50 29 21 55 32 23 54 33 21 52 33 10 51 33 10 51 32 11 50 31 11 50 30 11 50 28 12 50 28 11 51 28 11 50 28 11 51 29 10 50 29 9 50 29 10 50 29 21 50 30 20 51 31 20 50 30 21 50 26 24 49 29 20 50 27 23 47 24 24 47 26 21 50 30 20 46 28 18 50 29 22 48 25 23 49 25 24 44 22 22 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 50 13 37 49 11 38 47 11 36 44 9 35 54 13 41 51 12 39 51 12 39 51 12 39 51 14 37 52 12 40 50 12 38 50 9 41 55 14 41 55 11 44 49 10 39 47 11 37 44 12 32 44 10 33 45 10 35 46 11 36 41 8 33 42 9 32 46 10 36 47 10 37 47 11 36 48 11 37 48 11 37 48 12 37 48 11 36 46 11 36 46 11 36 46 10 36 47 9 37 48 10 38 47 9 37 47 10 38 47 10 37 44 10 34 46 12 34 45 11 35 46 13 33 49 15 34 49 13 36 45 10 35 50 11 39 46 11 36 48 11 37 47 13 34 53 15 37 1 No opinion 5 6 6 6 5 6 8 6 3 6 3 4 3 3 3 6 7 5 5 4 4 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 6 4 6 4 4 3 6 4 3 4 4 3 10/2/11 42 21 21 9/1/11 43 21 22 8/9/11* 44 18 26 7/17/11 47 25 22 6/5/11 47 27 20 5/2/11** 56 29 27 4/17/11 47 27 21 3/13/11 51 27 24 1/16/11 54 30 23 12/12/10 49 24 25 10/28/10 50 27 23 10/3/10 50 26 24 9/2/10 46 24 22 7/11/10 50 28 22 6/6/10 52 30 22 4/25/10 54 31 23 3/26/10 53 34 20 2/8/10 51 29 22 1/15/10 53 30 24 12/13/09 50 31 18 11/15/09 56 32 23 10/18/09 57 33 23 9/12/09 54 35 19 8/17/09 57 35 21 7/18/09 59 38 22 6/21/09 65 36 29 4/24/09 69 42 27 3/29/09 66 40 26 2/22/09 68 43 25 *Washington Post **Washington Post/Pew Research Center 54 53 46 48 49 38 50 45 43 47 45 47 52 47 45 44 43 46 44 46 42 40 43 40 37 31 26 29 25 14 16 9 14 13 14 12 12 15 15 11 13 14 12 12 11 8 12 13 13 13 11 12 11 9 10 8 9 8 40 38 37 35 37 24 37 33 28 32 34 34 38 35 33 33 35 33 32 33 29 29 31 29 28 22 18 20 17 4 3 10 5 4 6 3 4 3 4 5 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 2 4 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 7 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling [ITEM]? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? 7/19/15 - Summary Table a. The economy b. The situation with Iran ------- Approve -----NET Strongly Smwht 47 25 22 35 18 16 ----- Disapprove ----NET Smwht Strongly 48 13 35 52 13 38 Trend: a. The economy 7/19/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/15/15 12/14/14 10/26/14 10/12/14 9/7/14 6/1/14 4/27/14 3/2/14 1/23/14 12/15/13 11/17/13 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 47 25 22 47 25 23 49 29 20 48 26 21 44 24 20 42 21 20 44 25 19 42 22 19 43 21 21 42 20 21 43 23 20 43 22 21 42 24 18 41 22 20 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 48 13 35 48 14 34 46 12 34 48 10 38 52 14 38 52 14 38 51 12 39 54 15 39 53 15 38 54 13 41 54 14 41 55 13 42 55 14 40 57 14 42 2 No opinion 5 4 5 5 4 7 4 5 4 4 2 3 4 2 No op. 5 14 10/20/13 44 23 20 9/15/13 45 25 20 7/21/13 45 22 22 5/19/13 48 26 22 4/14/13 44 22 22 3/10/13 44 24 20 1/13/13 50 24 25 12/16/12 50 27 23 10/13/12 RV 47 26 21 9/29/12 RV 47 23 25 9/9/12 RV 45 24 21 8/25/12 44 20 23 7/8/12 44 21 23 5/20/12 42 20 22 4/8/12 44 23 21 3/10/12 38 20 18 2/4/12 44 23 22 1/15/12 41 19 22 12/18/11 41 17 24 11/3/11 38 18 20 10/2/11 35 17 19 9/1/11 36 15 21 7/17/11 39 18 22 6/5/11 40 20 20 5/2/11* 40 18 22 4/17/11 42 23 19 3/13/11 43 22 21 1/16/11 46 22 24 12/12/10 43 21 22 10/28/10 RV 44 21 23 10/3/10 45 22 23 9/2/10 41 20 21 7/11/10 43 20 23 6/6/10 50 26 24 4/25/10 49 24 25 3/26/10 45 23 22 2/8/10 45 22 23 1/15/10 47 22 24 12/13/09 46 23 24 11/15/09 51 26 25 10/18/09 50 29 22 9/12/09 51 28 24 8/17/09 52 27 25 7/18/09 52 29 23 6/21/09 56 28 28 4/24/09 58 31 28 3/29/09 60 34 25 2/22/09 60 NA NA *Washington Post/Pew Research Center 54 51 49 48 53 52 47 48 51 52 53 54 54 55 54 59 53 57 56 61 61 62 57 59 55 57 55 51 54 54 53 57 54 49 49 52 53 52 52 47 48 46 46 46 41 38 38 34 12 14 14 10 12 10 10 10 10 10 8 12 13 11 12 9 11 11 13 13 13 15 15 10 16 11 13 13 15 15 13 13 13 12 10 12 15 13 12 12 13 13 13 10 13 13 12 NA 42 37 35 37 41 42 37 38 41 41 45 42 41 44 42 50 41 46 43 48 48 47 43 49 39 46 41 38 39 39 41 44 41 37 39 40 38 39 40 36 35 33 33 35 27 25 26 NA 2 4 6 4 3 4 3 3 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 4 2 3 2 4 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 4 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 4 3 6 b. The situation with Iran 7/19/15 1/23/14 10/18/09 6/21/09 4/24/09 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 35 18 16 39 18 21 52 24 28 52 NA NA 54 NA NA ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 52 13 38 49 15 34 39 12 27 36 NA NA 35 NA NA No opinion 14 12 9 12 11 3. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)? 3 7/19/15 1/15/15 10/26/14 10/12/14 9/7/14 4/27/14 1/23/14 11/17/13 10/20/13 7/21/13 5/19/13 1/13/13 10/31/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 4/8/12 1/15/12 11/3/11 9/1/11 6/5/11 1/16/11 12/12/10 10/28/10 6/6/10 3/26/10 1/15/10 11/15/09 10/18/09 8/17/09 6/21/09 4/24/09 3/29/09 2/22/09 1/16/09 12/14/08 10/25/08 10/11/08 9/22/08 8/22/08 6/15/08 5/11/08 1/12/08 11/1/07 6/1/07 1/19/07 11/4/06 10/22/06 10/8/06 5/15/06 11/2/05 10/24/04 4/18/04 4/30/03 9/26/02 2/21/02 2/14/99 11/1/98 9/13/98* LV RV RV RV RV LV RV RV RV LV Right direction 31 39 28 29 31 30 35 27 28 36 39 39 43 42 38 29 33 33 30 22 20 32 38 31 27 37 38 37 44 44 44 47 50 42 31 19 15 13 8 14 19 14 16 21 24 25 26 39 30 32 29 30 41 42 52 43 54 55 55 51 Wrong track 65 56 68 66 65 66 62 70 68 60 57 57 55 56 60 69 63 64 68 74 77 66 60 67 71 60 60 62 55 54 55 50 48 57 67 78 82 85 90 83 78 84 82 77 74 73 71 59 68 66 69 68 55 57 46 53 42 41 43 45 No opinion 4 5 5 5 5 4 2 3 4 4 4 5 2 3 2 2 4 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 3 2 1 2 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 4 1 2 4 4 4 2 3 4 8/21/98 7/12/98 4/4/98 1/31/98 1/30/98 1/19/98 8/27/97 6/8/97 3/9/97 10/17/96 10/16/96 10/15/96 10/14/96 10/13/96 9/04/96 8/21/96 6/30/96 3/17/96 1/21/96 1/3/96 4/5/95 1/4/95 10/31/94 7/20/94 3/27/94 1/23/94 11/14/93 8/8/93 6/20/93 4/26/93 3/11/93 2/28/93 1/17/93 12/14/92 10/27/92 10/4/92 6/7/92 4/9/92 3/11/92 1/15/92 11/10/91 10/29/91 8/27/91 7/28/91 6/2/91 4/9/91 2/26/91 1/27/91 10/14/90 9/9/90 8/20/90 7/24/90 5/21/90 3/26/90 2/4/90 1/16/90 5/23/89 3/16/89 1/16/89 10/25/88 9/27/88 7/11/88 5/25/88 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV LV LV 57 50 55 61 61 44 39 37 34 40 42 43 44 44 40 28 26 27 27 21 23 27 27 26 28 31 25 26 26 27 36 37 31 35 22 18 14 16 18 19 24 26 31 30 39 42 58 49 19 36 35 37 39 44 49 48 42 46 51 49 48 40 35 40 45 41 34 34 50 57 60 62 55 53 52 51 51 54 67 70 70 66 77 73 68 69 70 69 60 69 71 71 71 57 59 63 60 76 78 83 81 79 78 72 71 60 67 57 51 39 48 79 60 60 60 60 53 48 49 55 52 46 46 44 56 59 4 6 4 5 5 6 4 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 3 6 3 3 6 4 4 3 10 6 3 3 2 7 4 6 5 2 4 3 3 4 3 4 3 9 3 4 7 3 4 2 4 5 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 3 6 8 4 6 5 3/21/88 40 1/23/88 39 12/13/87 49 12/2/87 35 9/23/87 43 6/29/87 35 4/13/87 37 3/9/87 38 1/18/87 39 9/8/86 50 1/26/86 45 7/29/85 52 1/16/85 59 5/22/84 47 12/13/83 43 11/7/83 51 4/12/83 41 3/2/83 43 10/11/82 35 1/30/82 39 2/80** 20 2/78 34 2/77 41 10/75 19 10/74 15 10/73 16 *Washington Post **2/80 and previous: Roper 56 59 47 61 54 62 60 58 56 48 47 43 36 48 51 44 54 53 57 56 70 53 44 71 75 74 4 2 4 4 4 3 3 4 5 2 8 6 4 5 6 5 4 3 8 5 10 13 14 9 11 10 4. Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you think better represents your own personal values? 7/19/15 10/12/14 9/7/14 1/23/14 3/10/12 10/28/10 RV 9/2/10 11/15/09 11/4/06 RV 10/8/06 11/2/05 4/24/05 3/14/99 Democrats 38 44 45 43 44 48 45 49 48 53 50 47 47 Republicans 31 36 40 41 39 42 42 39 44 37 40 38 39 Both (vol.) 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 3 Neither (vol.) 23 10 10 13 12 7 10 9 6 7 7 10 8 No opinion 5 7 3 2 3 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 3 5. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward? 7/19/15 - NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE Donald Trump Jeb Bush Scott Walker Marco Rubio ------------------------ Among gen pop -----------------------7/19/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 12/14/14 10/12/14 4/27/14 1/23/14 23 5 NA NA NA NA NA 13 13 20 15 15 14 18 11 11 12 6 1 5 NA 9 9 7 6 8 7 10 6 Mike Huckabee Ben Carson Rand Paul Chris Christie Ted Cruz Rick Perry Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rick Santorum Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Paul Ryan Other (vol.) None of these (vol.) Would not vote (vol.) No opinion 7 6 6 4 4 3 2 2 2 1 * * NA 1 5 1 2 9 7 11 5 7 2 1 3 1 3 2 1 NA * 1 1 6 8 7 9 6 13 2 1 1 NA 2 1 1 NA 1 3 1 4 6 7 11 8 8 5 3 2 NA 3 NA NA 11 * 2 * 7 11 6 12 7 4 6 2 2 NA 3 NA NA 8 1 3 1 10 13 NA 14 10 6 6 1 2 NA NA NA NA 11 1 4 * 5 NA NA 11 13 12 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 20 2 4 1 9 ------------------------- Among RVs --------------------------7/19/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 12/14/14 10/12/14 4/27/14 1/23/14 Donald Trump 24 4 NA NA NA NA NA Scott Walker 13 11 13 7 2 5 NA Jeb Bush 12 10 21 14 13 12 18 Mike Huckabee 8 9 8 7 12 14 NA Marco Rubio 7 10 8 7 8 6 10 Ben Carson 6 8 6 8 7 NA NA Rand Paul 6 11 8 10 12 15 11 Ted Cruz 4 8 12 8 4 7 12 Rick Perry 4 2 1 5 6 5 NA Chris Christie 3 6 7 7 8 9 14 John Kasich 2 3 1 2 2 1 NA Bobby Jindal 2 * 1 3 2 2 NA George Pataki 1 1 NA NA NA NA NA Rick Santorum 1 4 2 3 4 NA NA Carly Fiorina * 2 1 NA NA NA NA Lindsey Graham * 1 1 NA NA NA NA Paul Ryan NA NA NA 11 9 12 18 Other (vol.) * * 1 * 1 2 2 None of these (vol.) 4 2 3 2 3 4 4 Would not vote (vol.) 1 1 1 * 0 * 1 No opinion 2 5 4 6 9 5 9 6. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward? 7/19/15 - NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE Hillary Clinton Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Martin O'Malley Elizabeth Warren Andrew Cuomo Brian Schweitzer Other (vol.) None of these (vol.) ----------------------- Among Gen pop -----------------------7/19/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 12/14/14 10/12/14 6/1/14 1/23/14 62 63 66 63 65 66 73 14 14 11 14 13 12 12 14 9 4 4 1 2 NA 2 2 2 3 3 2 NA 1 1 NA NA NA NA NA 1 2 1 1 1 1 NA NA NA 11 11 10 7 8 NA NA NA NA NA 2 NA NA NA NA NA NA 1 NA 2 2 * * 0 0 1 2 3 1 1 2 2 2 7 Would not vote (vol.) No opinion 1 2 1 2 1 3 1 2 * 5 * 4 * 3 ------------------------- Among RVs -------------------------7/19/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 12/14/14 10/12/14 6/1/14 1/23/14 Hillary Clinton 63 62 66 61 64 69 73 Bernie Sanders 14 10 5 4 1 2 NA Joe Biden 12 14 12 14 13 12 11 Jim Webb 2 1 1 3 2 1 NA Martin O'Malley 1 3 * * 1 2 NA Lincoln Chafee * 1 NA NA NA NA NA Elizabeth Warren NA NA 12 13 11 7 9 Andrew Cuomo NA NA NA NA NA 2 NA Brian Schweitzer NA NA NA NA NA 1 NA Other (vol.) 2 2 * * 0 0 * None of these (vol.) 3 4 2 1 3 2 3 Would not vote (vol.) 1 1 1 1 0 0 * No opinion 2 1 2 2 5 2 4 7. (ASKED OF LEANED BIDEN SUPPORTERS) Who would your second choice be? Which candidate would you lean toward as your second choice? 7/19/15 – NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Martin O'Malley Lincoln Chafee Other (vol.) None of these (vol.) Would not vote (vol.) No opinion All 69 15 4 2 1 2 3 1 3 Among RVs 68 16 5 2 1 2 3 1 3 8. (ASKED OF LEANED CLINTON SUPPORTERS) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Clinton, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? 7/19/15 3/29/15 --- Enthusiastic ---NET Very Somewhat 89 39 50 83 42 42 --- Not enthusiastic ---NET Not so Not at all 11 7 4 16 12 5 No opinion 0 * 9. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS/REPUBLICANS) Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the choice of candidates for the [Democratic/Republican] nomination for president this year – are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied? 7/19/15 ----- Satisfied ----NET Very Somewhat 70 21 48 --- Dissatisfied ---NET Somewhat Very 28 19 9 No opinion 3 NET LEANED DEMOCRAT 7/19/15 11/1/07 ----- Satisfied ----NET Very Somewhat 72 24 48 81 30 51 --- Dissatisfied ---NET Somewhat Very 26 17 9 18 14 4 8 No opinion 2 1 9/7/07 78 28 50 21 17 7/21/07 83 33 50 16 14 6/1/07 79 26 53 18 15 4/15/07 80 29 51 18 14 2/25/07 86 29 57 12 9 10/29/03 68 9 58 28 21 9/13/03 64 8 56 34 27 1/16/00 69 14 56 28 21 *10/29/03 and previous: "candidates in the Democratic 4 2 2 1 4 2 3 2 3 2 8 4 7 2 7 2 primary" NET LEANED REPUBLICAN 7/19/15 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 10/2/11 9/1/11 7/17/11 6/5/11 4/17/11 11/1/07 9/7/07 7/21/07 6/1/07 4/15/07 2/25/07 ----- Satisfied ----NET Very Somewhat 67 18 49 61 9 52 59 11 48 59 9 50 62 9 54 65 15 51 54 8 46 47 7 40 43 5 38 69 16 54 68 19 49 65 13 53 68 11 56 65 16 49 73 14 58 --- Dissatisfied ---NET Somewhat Very 30 21 8 36 23 12 37 27 10 36 27 9 32 25 7 29 21 8 38 29 10 46 38 9 40 30 10 28 22 7 26 21 6 32 26 6 28 22 6 31 27 5 24 20 5 No opinion 3 3 4 5 6 6 8 7 17 2 5 3 4 3 3 10. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Do you think [ITEM]’s views on most issues are too (liberal) for you, too (conservative) for you, or just about right? 7/19/15 - Summary Table a. Hillary Clinton b. Bernie Sanders Too liberal 10 13 Too conservative 14 9 About right 69 40 No opinion 7 38 Trend: a. Hillary Clinton 7/19/15 9/30/07 5/15/06 Too liberal 10 9 13 Too conservative 14 9 5 About right 69 78 77 No opinion 7 4 6 b. No trend. 11. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Do you think [ITEM]’s views on most issues are too (liberal) for you, too (conservative) for you, or just about right? 7/19/15 - Summary Table a. Jeb Bush b. Donald Trump Too liberal 22 17 Too conservative 14 16 9 About right 46 44 No opinion 19 23 c. Ted Cruz d. Scott Walker e. Marco Rubio 10 8 12 18 11 10 35 38 45 36 43 33 12. Do you think Donald Trump’s views reflect the core values of the Republican Party, or not? 7/19/15 Yes 29 No 56 No opinion 14 13. If [ITEM] wins the [Democratic/Republican] nomination for president would you definitely vote for him/her in the general election for president in 2016, would you consider voting for him/her or would you definitely not vote for him/her? 7/19/15 - Summary Table a. b. c. d. Definitely would Donald Trump 14 Jeb Bush 15 Hillary Clinton 29 Bernie Sanders 10 Would consider 20 34 27 29 Definitely would not 62 44 43 41 No opinion 4 7 2 21 Trend where available: d. Hillary Clinton Definitely Would Definitely would consider would not 7/19/15 29 27 43 3/2/14* 25 41 32 9/30/07 30 28 41 4/15/07 27 26 45 5/15/06* 19 38 42 *“If Hillary Clinton runs for president...” No opinion 2 2 1 1 1 Compare to: If [NAME] runs for president in 2016, would you definitely vote for him/her in the general election for president in 2016, would you consider voting for him/her or would you definitely not vote for him/her? 14. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS/REPUBLICANS) Thinking about the [Democratic/Republican] nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who (shares your values), (understands the problems of people like you), (is a strong leader), (is honest and trustworthy), (has the best experience), or (has the best chance of winning) 7/19/15 Shares values 20 Understands problems 17 Strong leader 24 Honest and trustworthy 24 Best experience 10 Best chance 3 No op. 1 15. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Hillary Clinton, the Democrat) and (Jeb Bush, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton) or toward (Bush)? NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - GEN POP Hillary Jeb Other Neither 10 Would not No Clinton 51 49 54 55 7/19/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/15/15 Bush 41 41 40 39 (vol.) 1 1 * * (vol.) 2 3 2 2 vote (vol.) 3 5 2 2 opinion 2 1 2 2 Other (vol.) 1 1 1 0 * Neither (vol.) 3 3 1 2 4 Would not vote (vol.) 2 4 2 1 1 No opinion 1 1 2 1 1 NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – RVs Hillary Clinton 50 47 53 54 53 7/19/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/15/15 4/27/14 Jeb Bush 44 44 41 41 41 16. How about if the candidates were (Hillary Clinton, the Democrat), (Jeb Bush, the Republican), and Donald Trump running as an independent candidate for president - for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton), towards (Bush), or toward Trump? 7/19/15 7/19/15 RV Hillary Clinton 47 46 Jeb Bush 29 30 Donald Trump 19 20 Other (vol.) * * None of them (vol.) 2 1 Would not vote (vol.) 1 1 No opinion 2 2 Switching topics, 17. Do you think the U.S. economic system (generally favors the wealthy) or (is fair to most Americans)? 7/19/15 10/26/14 Favors the wealthy 68 71 Is fair to most Americans 27 24 No opinion 4 5 18. Who do you think has better ideas about how to make the economic system more fair than it is now – the (Democratic Party) or the (Republican Party)? 7/19/15 Democratic Party 42 Republican Party 39 Both equally (vol.) 2 Neither (vol.) 11 No opinion 6 19. Would you describe yourself as comfortable or uncomfortable with the country’s overall direction on social issues these days? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 7/19/15 ------ Comfortable -----NET Strongly Somewhat 34 14 21 ----- Uncomfortable ----NET Somewhat Strongly 63 21 42 No opinion 2 20. Do you support or oppose [ITEM]? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 7/19/15 - Summary Table a. The U.S. Supreme Court ruling legalizing gay marriage -------- Support -------NET Strongly Somewhat -------- Oppose --------NET Somewhat Strongly 52 44 37 15 11 10 35 No op. 4 b. The U.S. Supreme Court ruling upholding a key part of the federal health care law c. Efforts to ban displays of the Confederate flag on government property 45 27 19 42 13 28 13 46 33 13 44 13 31 10 Trend for comparison: a. The U.S. Supreme Court ruling legalizing gay marriage -------- Support --------------- Oppose --------No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 7/19/15 52 37 15 44 10 35 4 10/12/14* 56 38 18 38 6 32 6 6/30/13** 56 39 17 41 8 32 3 * the Supreme Court action this week that allows gay marriages to go forward in several more states ** the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision providing legally married same-sex couples with the same federal benefits given to other married couples b. The U.S. Supreme Court ruling upholding a key part of the federal health care law 7/19/15 -------- Support -------NET Strongly Somewhat 45 27 19 -------- Oppose --------NET Somewhat Strongly 42 13 28 No opinion 13 Compare to: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the U.S. Supreme Court's ruling on the federal health care law? 7/1/12 ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 43 26 17 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 42 12 30 No opinion 15 On another topic, 21. Do you think undocumented immigrants currently living in the United States should or should not be allowed to live and work here legally if they pay a fine and meet other requirements? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 7/19/15 -------- Should --------NET Strongly Somewhat 60 37 23 -------- Should not ----NET Somewhat Strongly 37 7 30 No opinion 3 Compare to: Do you think undocumented immigrants currently living in the United States should or should not be given the right to live and work here legally? Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat? -------- Should --------NET Strongly Somewhat 9/7/14 46 27 18 1/23/14 49 31 17 10/20/13* 51 31 20 *ABC News-Fusion -------- Should not ----NET Somewhat Strongly 50 10 40 49 11 37 43 10 33 No opinion 4 3 5 Compare to: Overall, do you support or oppose a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants now living in the United States? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 7/14/13 -------- Support -------NET Strongly Somewhat 55 29 26 -------- Oppose --------NET Somewhat Strongly 41 15 26 12 No opinion 4 3/30/13 57 31 2/3/13 55 29 11/11/12 57 30 *3/30/13 and previous: "a path 26 40 16 24 4 26 41 19 22 4 27 39 12 27 4 to citizenship for illegal immigrants" Compare to: Would you support or oppose a program giving undocumented immigrants now living in the United States the right to live here legally if they pay a fine and meet other requirements? Do you support/oppose strongly or somewhat? -------- Support -------NET Strongly Somewhat 5/19/13 58 34 23 4/14/13* 63 NA NA 6/6/10** 57 4/24/09 61 12/19/07 49 11/1/07 51 6/1/07 52 " " *"undocumented" and "illegal" wordings **6/6/10 and previous: "illegal" -------- Oppose --------NET Somewhat Strongly 38 10 29 33 NA NA 40 35 46 44 44 " " half sampled No opinion 4 4 3 3 5 4 4 22. (ASKED IF SHOULD BE ALLOWED) Do you think undocumented immigrants who meet the requirements should be able to apply for U.S. citizenship, or be able to apply for permanent residency, but not U.S. citizenship? 7/19/15 Apply for U.S. citizenship 67 Apply for permanent residency only 29 No opinion 4 21/22 NET: 7/19/15 --------------- Should be allowed --------------Apply for Apply for permanent No NET U.S. citizenship residency only op. 60 40 17 2 Should not be allowed 37 No opinion 3 23. Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling immigration issues? 7/19/15 10/12/14 9/7/14 4/27/14 3/2/14 1/23/14 10/3/10 9/2/10 3/26/10 2/1/08 11/1/07 10/8/06 6/25/06 5/15/06 4/9/06 Democrats 37 37 39 40 44 39 37 37 38 40 42 49 45 48 50 Republicans 40 40 43 34 36 37 37 40 35 37 35 36 40 34 38 Both (vol.) 1 2 1 3 1 2 3 5 3 2 4 4 1 1 1 Neither (vol.) 15 13 10 14 13 15 17 14 16 12 13 10 9 14 7 No opinion 7 7 6 9 7 7 6 4 8 9 6 3 5 4 4 24. Overall, do you think immigrants from other countries mainly strengthen or mainly weaken American society? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 13 7/19/15 ---- Strengthen ------NET Strongly Somewhat 57 34 23 ------- Weaken ------NET Somewhat Strongly 33 12 21 Neither (vol.) 1 Depends (vol.) 5 No op. 4 25. Do you think undocumented immigrants from Mexico are mainly (undesirable people like criminals) or mainly (honest people trying to get ahead)? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 7/19/15 ----- Undesirable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 16 10 6 -------- Honest --------NET Somewhat Strongly 74 29 45 No opinion 10 Changing topics, 26. As you may know, the U.S. and other countries have announced a deal to lift economic sanctions against Iran in exchange for Iran agreeing not to produce nuclear weapons. International inspectors would monitor Iran’s facilities, and if Iran is caught breaking the agreement economic sanctions would be imposed again. Do you support or oppose this agreement? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 7/19/15 -------- Support -------NET Strongly Somewhat 56 31 25 -------- Oppose --------NET Somewhat Strongly 37 7 30 No opinion 7 Compare to: Thinking now about the situation with Iran – would you support or oppose an agreement in which the United States and other countries would lift major economic sanctions against Iran, in exchange for Iran restricting its nuclear program in a way that makes it harder for it to produce nuclear weapons? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? -------- Support -------NET Strongly Somewhat 3/29/15 59 34 25 11/17/13* 64 NA NA *"... would lift some of their economic -------- Oppose --------NET Somewhat Strongly 31 8 23 30 NA NA sanctions..." No opinion 10 7 27. How confident are you that this agreement will prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons - very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all? ----- Confident --------- Not confident ----No NET Very Somewhat NET Not so Not at all opinion 7/19/15 35 6 29 64 22 42 1 3/29/15* 37 4 33 59 26 34 3 11/17/13 36 4 32 61 27 34 3 *3/29/15 and previous: ”How confident are you that such an agreement would...” Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what? 7/19/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/15/15 12/14/14 10/26/14 10/12/14 9/7/14 6/1/14 Democrat 30 30 30 30 26 32 31 33 33 Republican 21 22 22 24 23 24 24 23 24 Independent 39 36 38 37 41 36 36 38 35 14 Other (vol.) 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 4 5 No opinion 4 6 3 3 3 3 3 2 4 *** END *** METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish. This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as appears in this document. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered voters. A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated using Random Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines cellular phone numbers, first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. The final sample included 351 interviews completed on landlines and 651 interviews completed via cellular phones, including 483 interviews with adults in cell phone-only households. This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for differential chances of being selected due to landline and cellular phone access and household size. Weighting also corrects for deviations in the survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted using a raking procedure to match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education, and race/ethnicity according to Census estimates. The sample is also weighted to match phone estimates of the share of the population who are cell phone-only, landline-only and mixed user populations according to the National Health Interview Survey. All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which is 1.42 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a design effect overstate their precision. The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they produce. Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post conducts polls. 15