This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone May 28-31, 2015, among a random national sample of 1,001 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. Results have a 3.5 point error margin. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York. (Full methodological details at the bottom of this document.) *= less than 0.5 percent 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/15/15 12/14/14 10/26/14 10/12/14 9/7/14 6/1/14 4/27/14 3/2/14 1/23/14 12/15/13 11/17/13 10/20/13 9/15/13 7/21/13 5/19/13 4/14/13 3/10/13 1/13/13 12/16/12 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 5/20/12 4/8/12 3/10/12 2/4/12 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 10/2/11 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 45 22 23 47 26 21 50 24 26 41 21 20 43 21 22 40 20 20 42 24 18 46 23 23 41 23 19 46 25 22 46 23 23 43 23 20 42 22 21 48 28 20 47 25 22 49 25 24 51 32 20 50 27 23 50 29 21 55 32 23 54 33 21 52 33 10 51 33 10 51 32 11 50 31 11 50 30 11 50 28 12 50 28 11 51 28 11 50 28 11 51 29 10 50 29 9 50 29 10 50 29 21 50 30 20 51 31 20 50 30 21 50 26 24 49 29 20 50 27 23 47 24 24 47 26 21 50 30 20 46 28 18 50 29 22 48 25 23 49 25 24 44 22 22 42 21 21 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 49 11 38 47 11 36 44 9 35 54 13 41 51 12 39 51 12 39 51 12 39 51 14 37 52 12 40 50 12 38 50 9 41 55 14 41 55 11 44 49 10 39 47 11 37 44 12 32 44 10 33 45 10 35 46 11 36 41 8 33 42 9 32 46 10 36 47 10 37 47 11 36 48 11 37 48 11 37 48 12 37 48 11 36 46 11 36 46 11 36 46 10 36 47 9 37 48 10 38 47 9 37 47 10 38 47 10 37 44 10 34 46 12 34 45 11 35 46 13 33 49 15 34 49 13 36 45 10 35 50 11 39 46 11 36 48 11 37 47 13 34 53 15 37 54 14 40 1 No opinion 6 6 6 5 6 8 6 3 6 3 4 3 3 3 6 7 5 5 4 4 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 6 4 6 4 4 3 6 4 3 4 4 3 4 9/1/11 43 21 22 8/9/11* 44 18 26 7/17/11 47 25 22 6/5/11 47 27 20 5/2/11** 56 29 27 4/17/11 47 27 21 3/13/11 51 27 24 1/16/11 54 30 23 12/12/10 49 24 25 10/28/10 50 27 23 10/3/10 50 26 24 9/2/10 46 24 22 7/11/10 50 28 22 6/6/10 52 30 22 4/25/10 54 31 23 3/26/10 53 34 20 2/8/10 51 29 22 1/15/10 53 30 24 12/13/09 50 31 18 11/15/09 56 32 23 10/18/09 57 33 23 9/12/09 54 35 19 8/17/09 57 35 21 7/18/09 59 38 22 6/21/09 65 36 29 4/24/09 69 42 27 3/29/09 66 40 26 2/22/09 68 43 25 *Washington Post **Washington Post/Pew Research Center 53 46 48 49 38 50 45 43 47 45 47 52 47 45 44 43 46 44 46 42 40 43 40 37 31 26 29 25 16 9 14 13 14 12 12 15 15 11 13 14 12 12 11 8 12 13 13 13 11 12 11 9 10 8 9 8 38 37 35 37 24 37 33 28 32 34 34 38 35 33 33 35 33 32 33 29 29 31 29 28 22 18 20 17 3 10 5 4 6 3 4 3 4 5 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 2 4 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 7 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling [ITEM]? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? 5/31/15 - Summary Table a. The economy b. The situation involving the insurgents known as the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria ------- Approve -----NET Strongly Smwht 47 25 23 ----- Disapprove ----NET Smwht Strongly 48 14 34 No op. 4 31 55 14 13 18 15 41 Trend: a. The economy 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/15/15 12/14/14 10/26/14 10/12/14 9/7/14 6/1/14 4/27/14 3/2/14 1/23/14 12/15/13 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 47 25 23 49 29 20 48 26 21 44 24 20 42 21 20 44 25 19 42 22 19 43 21 21 42 20 21 43 23 20 43 22 21 42 24 18 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 48 14 34 46 12 34 48 10 38 52 14 38 52 14 38 51 12 39 54 15 39 53 15 38 54 13 41 54 14 41 55 13 42 55 14 40 2 No opinion 4 5 5 4 7 4 5 4 4 2 3 4 11/17/13 41 22 20 10/20/13 44 23 20 9/15/13 45 25 20 7/21/13 45 22 22 5/19/13 48 26 22 4/14/13 44 22 22 3/10/13 44 24 20 1/13/13 50 24 25 12/16/12 50 27 23 10/13/12 RV 47 26 21 9/29/12 RV 47 23 25 9/9/12 RV 45 24 21 8/25/12 44 20 23 7/8/12 44 21 23 5/20/12 42 20 22 4/8/12 44 23 21 3/10/12 38 20 18 2/4/12 44 23 22 1/15/12 41 19 22 12/18/11 41 17 24 11/3/11 38 18 20 10/2/11 35 17 19 9/1/11 36 15 21 7/17/11 39 18 22 6/5/11 40 20 20 5/2/11* 40 18 22 4/17/11 42 23 19 3/13/11 43 22 21 1/16/11 46 22 24 12/12/10 43 21 22 10/28/10 RV 44 21 23 10/3/10 45 22 23 9/2/10 41 20 21 7/11/10 43 20 23 6/6/10 50 26 24 4/25/10 49 24 25 3/26/10 45 23 22 2/8/10 45 22 23 1/15/10 47 22 24 12/13/09 46 23 24 11/15/09 51 26 25 10/18/09 50 29 22 9/12/09 51 28 24 8/17/09 52 27 25 7/18/09 52 29 23 6/21/09 56 28 28 4/24/09 58 31 28 3/29/09 60 34 25 2/22/09 60 NA NA *Washington Post/Pew Research Center 57 54 51 49 48 53 52 47 48 51 52 53 54 54 55 54 59 53 57 56 61 61 62 57 59 55 57 55 51 54 54 53 57 54 49 49 52 53 52 52 47 48 46 46 46 41 38 38 34 14 12 14 14 10 12 10 10 10 10 10 8 12 13 11 12 9 11 11 13 13 13 15 15 10 16 11 13 13 15 15 13 13 13 12 10 12 15 13 12 12 13 13 13 10 13 13 12 NA 42 42 37 35 37 41 42 37 38 41 41 45 42 41 44 42 50 41 46 43 48 48 47 43 49 39 46 41 38 39 39 41 44 41 37 39 40 38 39 40 36 35 33 33 35 27 25 26 NA 2 2 4 6 4 3 4 3 3 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 4 2 3 2 4 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 4 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 4 3 6 b. The situation involving the insurgents known as the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria 5/31/15 10/12/14 9/28/14 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 31 13 18 35 16 19 50 22 28 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 55 15 41 51 13 37 44 15 29 No opinion 14 14 6 3. How do you feel about the direction of the nation's economy over the next few years - very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or not worried at all? 3 5/31/15 10/12/14 9/29/12 4/25/10 10/18/09 7/18/09 1/16/09 10/19/08 10/11/08 9/22/08 1/5/03 11/4/02 11/3/02 11/2/02 10/27/02 RV LV LV LV LV ----- Worried ---NET Very Smwt. 73 31 42 77 35 42 78 37 40 73 31 41 74 34 40 77 36 42 81 35 46 85 44 42 88 49 39 79 40 39 67 27 40 76 34 42 75 33 42 73 32 41 75 27 48 ----- Not worried ---NET Not too At all 26 15 11 23 15 8 21 15 7 27 19 8 26 17 9 22 16 6 18 15 4 14 9 5 11 8 3 17 13 5 31 22 10 23 17 6 24 17 7 26 19 8 23 16 7 No opinion 1 1 1 1 * * * 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 2 4. Do you think the federal government should or should not pursue policies that try to reduce the gap between wealthy and less well-off Americans? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 5/31/15 12/15/13 9/29/12 RV 11/3/11 ----- Should pursue ----NET Strongly Somewhat 62 47 15 57 39 18 52 31 21 60 43 18 --- Should not pursue --NET Somewhat Strongly 31 10 21 37 10 26 43 13 30 35 11 24 No opinion 7 6 5 5 5. Thinking about possible presidential candidates, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of [ITEM]? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 5/31/15 - Summary Table a. b. c. d. e. f. g. h. i. j. Hillary Clinton Jeb Bush Marco Rubio Scott Walker Ted Cruz Rand Paul Chris Christie Mike Huckabee Donald Trump Rick Santorum ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 45 24 21 32 8 23 31 9 22 21 9 12 25 7 18 31 8 23 22 5 17 28 9 20 16 7 9 21 6 15 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 49 10 39 51 17 34 31 14 17 31 11 20 38 13 25 40 19 21 48 19 29 41 17 24 71 16 55 40 15 26 Trend: a. Hillary Clinton 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/23/14 6/23/13 1/20/13 12/2/12 4/22/12 8/22/08 RV ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 45 24 21 49 30 20 58 32 26 61 31 30 67 35 32 66 35 30 65 33 32 52 29 23 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 49 10 39 46 11 35 38 12 26 33 13 21 26 12 14 28 14 14 27 14 13 44 14 30 4 No opinion 6 4 4 6 6 6 8 4 No opinion 6 17 37 48 37 29 29 31 13 39 6/15/08 4/13/08 1/12/08 11/1/07 2/25/07 1/19/07 12/11/06 5/15/06 3/5/06 6/5/05 6/1/03 9/2/99 6/6/99 3/14/99 2/14/99 11/1/98 8/21/98 8/19/98 4/4/98 1/30/98 1/19/98 3/9/97 9/4/96 RV 6/30/96 1/21/96 1/19/96 10/31/94 5/15/94 3/27/94 1/23/94 11/14/93 8/8/93 4/26/93 2/23/93 1/17/93 7/8/92 3/18/92 54 44 58 50 49 54 56 54 52 51 44 49 59 60 63 64 64 64 58 60 52 47 47 44 28 32 47 54 53 55 58 59 54 59 51 30 28 26 22 32 28 25 31 27 29 27 NA 15 NA 28 23 26 22 24 23 29 25 25 NA 29 NA " " 43 54 40 46 48 44 40 42 46 46 48 44 35 36 31 31 28 32 33 30 39 44 42 47 36 34 44 41 39 34 33 33 26 24 20 26 22 17 15 11 11 13 14 11 11 12 NA 16 NA 26 39 29 35 35 30 29 31 33 NA 32 NA " " 3 2 2 4 3 3 4 4 2 3 8 7 6 4 6 5 8 4 10 10 9 9 12 9 36 34 8 5 8 11 9 8 20 18 29 43 51 b. Jeb Bush 5/31/15 3/29/15 6/3/12 ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 32 8 23 33 11 22 36 13 22 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 51 17 34 53 20 33 45 18 27 No opinion 17 14 19 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 31 14 17 38 19 19 25 16 16 26 14 12 32 16 16 No opinion 37 38 49 45 39 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 31 11 20 30 13 17 No opinion 48 47 c. Marco Rubio 5/31/15 3/29/15 6/23/13 8/10/12 6/3/12 ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 31 9 22 24 8 16 26 7 19 29 13 16 29 9 20 d. Scott Walker 5/31/15 3/29/15 ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 21 9 12 23 8 14 5 e. Ted Cruz 5/31/15 3/29/15 ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 25 7 18 25 8 17 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 38 13 25 45 17 29 No opinion 37 30 ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 31 8 23 29 7 21 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 40 19 21 42 21 21 No opinion 29 29 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 48 19 29 51 21 30 40 20 20 No opinion 29 24 25 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 41 17 24 38 20 18 30 20 11 No opinion 31 20 49 f. Rand Paul 5/31/15 3/29/15 g. Chris Christie 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/23/14 ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 22 5 17 26 5 21 35 8 26 h. Mike Huckabee 5/31/15 1/12/08 11/1/07 ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 28 9 20 42 14 28 21 6 15 i. Donald Trump ------- Favorable ------------ Unfavorable -----No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 5/31/15 15 7 9 71 16 55 13 12/18/11 40 12 29 48 21 27 12 1/16/00* 20 NA NA 70 NA NA 11 10/31/99* 18 NA NA 70 NA NA 12 * “Regardless of how you might vote, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Donald Trump, or perhaps you don't know enough to say.” j. Rick Santorum 5/31/15 3/18/12 3/4/12 2/26/12 2/19/12 2/12/12 1/8/12 ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 21 6 15 36 11 24 32 10 22 34 10 24 36 12 24 36 11 24 27 7 20 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 40 15 26 40 16 24 40 16 23 37 15 22 34 16 18 31 14 18 29 15 14 No opinion 39 25 28 29 30 33 44 6. What’s more important to you in choosing a candidate for president – (their positions on the issues) or (how much they understand the problems of people like you)? 5/31/15 Positions on issues 44 Understand Problems 42 Both (vol.) 10 Neither (vol.) 2 6 No opinion 2 7. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward? 5/31/15 - NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE Jeb Bush Rand Paul Scott Walker Mike Huckabee Marco Rubio Ben Carson Ted Cruz Chris Christie Donald Trump John Kasich Rick Santorum Carly Fiorina Rick Perry Lindsay Graham Bobby Jindal George Pataki Paul Ryan Other (vol.) None of these (vol.) Would not vote (vol.) No opinion ---------------------- Among gen pop ---------------------5/31/15 3/29/15 12/14/14 10/12/14 4/27/14 1/23/14 13 20 15 15 14 18 11 9 11 12 14 11 11 12 6 1 5 NA 9 8 6 11 13 NA 9 7 6 8 7 10 7 7 7 6 NA NA 7 13 8 4 6 12 5 6 8 7 10 13 5 NA NA NA NA NA 3 1 2 2 2 NA 3 2 3 3 NA NA 2 1 NA NA NA NA 2 2 5 6 6 NA 1 1 NA NA NA NA 1 1 3 2 1 NA 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 11 8 11 20 * 1 * 1 1 2 1 3 2 3 4 4 1 1 * 1 * 1 6 4 7 10 5 9 Rand Paul Scott Walker Jeb Bush Marco Rubio Mike Huckabee Ben Carson Ted Cruz Chris Christie Rick Santorum Donald Trump John Kasich Carly Fiorina Rick Perry Lindsay Graham George Pataki Bobby Jindal Paul Ryan Other (vol.) None of these (vol.) Would not vote (vol.) No opinion ------------------------ Among RVs -----------------------5/31/15 3/29/15 12/14/14 10/12/14 4/27/14 1/23/14 11 8 10 12 15 11 11 13 7 2 5 NA 10 21 14 13 12 18 10 8 7 8 6 10 9 8 7 12 14 NA 8 6 8 7 NA NA 8 12 8 4 7 12 6 7 7 8 9 14 4 2 3 4 NA NA 4 NA NA NA NA NA 3 1 2 2 1 NA 2 1 NA NA NA NA 2 1 5 6 5 NA 1 1 NA NA NA NA 1 NA NA NA NA NA * 1 3 2 2 NA NA NA 11 9 12 18 * 1 * 1 2 2 2 3 2 3 4 4 1 1 * 0 * 1 5 4 6 9 5 9 8. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Do you think (the Republican nominee for president should take only conservative positions on issues) or do you think (it is OK to have the Republican nominee for president take moderate positions on some issues?) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? - Conservative PositionsNET Strongly Somewhat -- Moderate Positions --NET Somewhat Strongly 7 Depends (vol.) No opinion 5/31/15 9/1/11 11/23/09* *Washington 19 11 8 71 27 17 9 67 27 21 5 69 Post: "Republican candidates" 25 35 32 47 32 37 5 3 3 5 2 2 9. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward? 5/31/15 - NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE Hillary Clinton Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Martin O'Malley Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Elizabeth Warren Andrew Cuomo Brian Schweitzer Other (vol.) None of these (vol.) Would not vote (vol.) No opinion ---------------------- Among Gen pop --------------------5/31/15 3/29/15 12/14/14 10/12/14 6/1/14 1/23/14 63 66 63 65 66 73 14 11 14 13 12 12 9 4 4 1 2 NA 2 1 1 1 1 NA 2 2 3 3 2 NA 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA 11 11 10 7 8 NA NA NA NA 2 NA NA NA NA NA 1 NA 2 * * 0 0 1 3 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 * * * 2 3 2 5 4 3 Hillary Clinton Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Martin O'Malley Lincoln Chafee Jim Webb Elizabeth Warren Andrew Cuomo Brian Schweitzer Other (vol.) None of these (vol.) Would not vote (vol.) No opinion ------------------------ Among RVs ----------------------5/31/15 3/29/15 12/14/14 10/12/14 6/1/14 1/23/14 62 66 61 64 69 73 14 12 14 13 12 11 10 5 4 1 2 NA 3 * * 1 2 NA 1 NA NA NA NA NA 1 1 3 2 1 NA NA 12 13 11 7 9 NA NA NA NA 2 NA NA NA NA NA 1 NA 2 * * 0 0 * 4 2 1 3 2 3 1 1 1 0 0 * 1 2 2 5 2 4 10. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Hillary Clinton, the Democrat) and (Jeb Bush, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton) or toward (Bush)? NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - GEN POP 5/31/15 3/29/15 Hillary Clinton 49 54 Jeb Bush 41 40 Other (vol.) 1 * Neither (vol.) 3 2 Would not vote (vol.) 5 2 No opinion 1 2 Other (vol.) 1 1 Neither (vol.) 3 1 Would not vote (vol.) 4 2 No opinion 1 2 NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - RVs 5/31/15 3/29/15 Hillary Clinton 47 53 Jeb Bush 44 41 8 1/15/15 4/27/14 54 53 41 41 0 * 2 4 1 1 1 1 11. Regardless of whom you support, if (Clinton) and (Bush) are the nominees for president, who would you expect to win, (Clinton) or (Bush)? 5/31/15 Clinton 55 Bush 39 Other (vol.) 1 No opinion 5 12. If Hillary Clinton were elected president, do you think she’d mainly follow the same policies as [ITEM] or come up with new policies? Is that a good thing or a bad thing? 5/31/15 - Summary Table* ----- Same --------- New -----No NET Good Bad NET Good Bad opinion a. Barack Obama 34 10 23 58 44 14 9 b. Bill Clinton 24 12 12 66 47 20 10 *Half sample asked item a; other half sample asked item b. 13. If Jeb Bush were elected president, do you think he’d mainly follow the same policies as [ITEM] or come up with new policies? Is that a good thing or a bad thing? 5/31/15 - Summary Table* ----- Same --------- New -----NET Good Bad NET Good Bad a. his brother, George W. Bush 40 7 33 51 45 5 b. his father, George H.W. Bush 43 12 31 47 41 6 *Half sample asked item a; other half sample asked item b. No opinion 10 10 14. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Hillary Clinton, or not: [ITEM]? 5/31/15 - Summary Table a. She is honest and trustworthy b. She understands the problems of people like you Trend: a. She is honest and trustworthy 5/31/15 3/29/15 6/1/14 4/13/08 5/15/06 Yes 41 46 53 39 52 No 52 46 42 58 42 No opinion 7 7 5 3 6 b. She understands the problems of people like you 5/31/15 3/29/15 6/1/14 Yes 49 47 54 No 46 48 41 No opinion 5 5 5 9 Yes 41 49 No 52 46 No opinion 7 5 5/15/06 54 43 3 15. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Jeb Bush, or not: [ITEM]? 5/31/15 - Summary Table a. He is honest and trustworthy b. He understands the problems of people like you Yes 45 35 No 40 55 No opinion 15 10 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Clinton is handling questions about [ITEM]? 5/31/15 - Summary Table a. Fundraising by her family’s nonprofit foundation, the Clinton Foundation b. Her use of personal e-mail while she was secretary of state c. The attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi, Libya, in 2012 while she was secretary of state Approve Disapprove No opin. 33 50 17 31 55 14 33 50 17 Compare to: The Benghazi attack occurred when Hillary Clinton was secretary of state. Do you approve or disapprove of the way she handled this incident? 6/1/14 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 37 17 20 ------ Disapprove ------NET Somewhat Strongly 50 17 33 No opinion 13 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jeb Bush is handling questions about whether or not he would have ordered the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq in 2003? 5/31/15 Approve 26 Disapprove 44 No opinion 30 18. Do you think [ITEM] is or is not a legitimate issue in next year's presidential election? 5/31/15 - Summary Table* Legitimate 53 Not legitimate 37 No op. 10 48 55 45 36 7 9 44 c-d. 48 8 a. Fundraising by the Clinton Foundation b. Hillary Clinton's use of personal e-mail while she was secretary of state c. Hillary Clinton's handling of the Benghazi incident d. Whether or not Jeb Bush would have ordered the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq in 2003 *Half sample asked items a-b; other half sample asked items 19. On another subject, all in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war in Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? ----- Worth fighting ---NET Strongly Somewhat --- Not worth fighting -NET Somewhat Strongly 10 No opinion 5/31/15 3/10/13 11/3/11 9/2/10 7/11/10 7/18/09 2/22/09 1/16/09 12/14/08 9/7/08 8/22/08 7/13/08 6/15/08 4/13/08 3/2/08 2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07 11/1/07 9/30/07 9/7/07 7/21/07 6/1/07 4/15/07 2/25/07 1/10/07 12/11/06 11/4/06 10/22/06 10/8/06 9/7/06 8/6/06 6/25/06 5/15/06 4/9/06 3/5/06 1/26/06 1/8/06 12/18/05 11/2/05 8/28/05 6/26/05 6/5/05 4/24/05 3/13/05 1/16/05 12/19/04 10/3/04 9/26/04 9/8/04 8/29/04 7/25/04 7/11/04 6/20/04 5/23/04 5/6/04 4/18/04 3/7/04 2/11/04 1/18/04 12/21/03 12/14/03 11/16/03 RV LV RV RV RV 33 38 33 34 42 34 38 39 34 36 35 36 34 34 34 34 35 37 35 38 36 36 37 33 34 40 36 44 40 35 42 39 40 37 41 42 44 43 46 39 46 46 41 44 45 44 42 49 46 51 48 49 45 47 48 49 51 52 48 56 59 53 52 19 19 20 21 26 21 24 21 21 24 22 22 21 24 24 23 21 25 23 25 23 25 24 22 22 28 25 33 28 25 29 29 25 24 30 29 32 30 33 25 33 33 29 31 34 32 31 34 35 38 34 36 34 32 35 NA 14 18 14 14 16 12 14 17 13 13 13 13 13 11 11 11 13 12 12 14 13 12 12 11 12 12 11 12 12 10 13 10 15 14 11 14 12 13 14 13 12 13 12 13 11 12 11 15 12 13 14 13 10 14 13 NA 64 58 62 62 55 62 60 61 64 61 63 63 63 64 63 65 64 61 63 59 62 63 61 66 64 58 61 53 57 63 56 59 58 62 58 57 55 55 52 60 53 53 58 54 53 55 56 48 51 45 50 48 53 52 50 47 47 44 50 41 39 42 44 11 16 15 17 16 13 11 13 12 14 13 13 13 9 11 12 11 13 11 12 12 11 10 12 12 13 11 12 10 11 13 11 12 13 12 10 11 13 12 11 12 9 10 12 12 11 10 10 11 8 10 11 11 12 13 13 NA 47 43 45 46 42 51 48 49 50 48 50 50 54 52 51 53 51 50 51 47 51 53 50 54 51 47 50 44 47 50 45 47 45 50 48 46 42 43 42 48 44 43 46 42 42 45 47 37 42 34 39 37 42 39 37 NA 4 4 5 4 3 4 2 1 2 3 2 1 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 3 3 4 2 3 2 2 1 5 2 3 2 3 2 5 4 10/29/03 54 44 10/13/03 54 44 9/13/03 61 37 9/7/03 54 42 8/24/03 57 37 8/11/03 61 35 7/10/03 57 40 6/22/03 64 33 4/30/03 70 27 2/2/92* 66 32 7/28/91 67 30 6/2/91 70 26 3/4/91 86 " " 13 " " *2/2/92 and previous: "the Persian Gulf war"; 3/4/91: "this war" 2 2 2 4 5 4 3 3 4 2 3 3 1 20. What do you think is more to blame for the recent advances by the Islamic State in Iraq – (Obama’s military policy) or the (the weakness of Iraq’s army?) 5/31/15 Obama’s military policy 40 The weakness of Iraq’s army 38 Both (vol.) 9 Neither (vol.) 5 No opinion 8 21. Overall, do you support or oppose the federal law that made changes to the health care system? Do you feel that way STRONGLY or SOMEWHAT? -------- Support ---------------- Oppose -------No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 5/31/15* 39 25 14 54 12 42 7 9/7/14 43 24 19 52 13 39 5 4/27/14 44 24 20 48 14 34 8 3/30/14 49 25 24 48 12 36 3 1/23/14 46 25 21 49 11 38 5 12/15/13 46 28 17 49 13 37 5 11/17/13 40 27 13 57 11 46 2 10/20/13 46 25 21 49 13 36 5 9/15/13 42 26 16 52 13 39 6 7/21/13 42 25 17 49 10 39 9 7/08/12 47 27 20 47 14 33 6 4/8/12 39 23 17 53 13 40 8 3/10/12 41 24 17 52 11 41 7 1/16/11** 45 25 20 50 14 36 5 12/12/10 43 22 21 52 14 37 6 10/3/10 47 26 21 48 13 35 5 3/26/10 46 32 13 50 10 40 4 2/8/10*** 46 22 25 49 11 38 5 1/15/10 44 22 22 51 12 39 5 12/13/09 44 25 19 51 11 40 5 11/15/09 48 30 18 49 10 39 3 10/18/09 45 26 19 48 12 36 7 9/12/09 46 30 16 48 12 36 6 8/17/09 45 27 18 50 10 40 5 *5/31/15: Change “making” to “that made” **1/16/11 to 3/26/10: "Overall, given what you know about them, would you say you support or oppose the changes to the health care system that have been enacted by (Congress) and (the Obama administration)?" ***2/8/10 and prior: "proposed changes...that are being developed by" 22. The U.S. Supreme Court is deciding a case that could undermine the entire health care law by blocking federal subsidies that help some low and moderate income 12 Americans pay for their health insurance. Do you think the court should or should not take this action? 5/31/15 Should 38 Should not 55 No opinion 8 Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what? 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/15/15 12/14/14 10/26/14 10/12/14 9/7/14 6/1/14 4/27/14 3/2/14 1/23/14 Democrat 30 30 30 26 32 31 33 33 32 30 32 Republican 22 22 24 23 24 24 23 24 21 22 25 Independent 36 38 37 41 36 36 38 35 38 40 37 Other (vol.) 6 7 6 7 5 6 4 5 6 4 5 No opinion 6 3 3 3 3 3 2 4 3 3 2 *** END *** METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish. This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as appears in this document. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical preceding the question identifies the group asked. Questions that contain parenthetical phrases indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered voters. A dual frame landline and cell phone telephone sample was generated using Random Digit Dialing procedures by Survey Sampling International (SSI). Interviewers called landlines and asked to interview the youngest male or youngest female who is at home at the time, with the male requested 75 percent of the time. A separate sample of cell phone numbers are dialed and screened for cell phone-only users who have no landline telephone. Both the landline and cellular phones are stratified by Census division according to area code. The survey was conducted with 666 respondents reached on landline phones and 335 among those who are cell phone-only, those with no landline phone. This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted using a raking procedure to match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education and race/ethnicity. The dual-frame sample design for landlines and cell phone-only respondents are weighted separately by Census region for each phone type to match targets for phone usage based on the National Health Interview Survey. The full sample is then weighted to match adult population estimates for four key demographics according to the latest Current Population Survey March Social and Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education. All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which is 1.30 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s 13 deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a design effect overstate their precision. Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post conducts polls. 14