This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 23 to 26, 2014,
among a random national sample of 1,204 adults, including landline and cell phone-only
respondents. Overall results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three
percentage points. The error margin is 3.5 points for the sample of 1,032 registered
voters, and four points for the sample of 758 likely voters. Sampling, data collection
and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.^
(Full methodological details appended at the end.)
*= less than 0.5 percent
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as
president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14
6/1/14
4/27/14
3/2/14
1/23/14
12/15/13
11/17/13
10/20/13
9/15/13
7/21/13
5/19/13
4/14/13
3/10/13
1/13/13
12/16/12
11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12
5/20/12
4/8/12
3/10/12
2/4/12
1/15/12
12/18/11
11/3/11
10/2/11
9/1/11
8/9/11*

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

-------- Approve -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
43
21
22
40
20
20
42
24
18
46
23
23
41
23
19
46
25
22
46
23
23
43
23
20
42
22
21
48
28
20
47
25
22
49
25
24
51
32
20
50
27
23
50
29
21
55
32
23
54
33
21
52
33
10
51
33
10
51
32
11
50
31
11
50
30
11
50
28
12
50
28
11
51
28
11
50
28
11
51
29
10
50
29
9
50
29
10
50
29
21
50
30
20
51
31
20
50
30
21
50
26
24
49
29
20
50
27
23
47
24
24
47
26
21
50
30
20
46
28
18
50
29
22
48
25
23
49
25
24
44
22
22
42
21
21
43
21
22
44
18
26

------- Disapprove -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
51
12
39
51
12
39
51
12
39
51
14
37
52
12
40
50
12
38
50
9
41
55
14
41
55
11
44
49
10
39
47
11
37
44
12
32
44
10
33
45
10
35
46
11
36
41
8
33
42
9
32
46
10
36
47
10
37
47
11
36
48
11
37
48
11
37
48
12
37
48
11
36
46
11
36
46
11
36
46
10
36
47
9
37
48
10
38
47
9
37
47
10
38
47
10
37
44
10
34
46
12
34
45
11
35
46
13
33
49
15
34
49
13
36
45
10
35
50
11
39
46
11
36
48
11
37
47
13
34
53
15
37
54
14
40
53
16
38
46
9
37

1

No
opinion
6
8
6
3
6
3
4
3
3
3
6
7
5
5
4
4
5
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
6
4
6
4
4
3
6
4
3
4
4
3
4
3
10

 7/17/11
47
25
22
6/5/11
47
27
20
5/2/11**
56
29
27
4/17/11
47
27
21
3/13/11
51
27
24
1/16/11
54
30
23
12/12/10
49
24
25
10/28/10
50
27
23
10/3/10
50
26
24
9/2/10
46
24
22
7/11/10
50
28
22
6/6/10
52
30
22
4/25/10
54
31
23
3/26/10
53
34
20
2/8/10
51
29
22
1/15/10
53
30
24
12/13/09
50
31
18
11/15/09
56
32
23
10/18/09
57
33
23
9/12/09
54
35
19
8/17/09
57
35
21
7/18/09
59
38
22
6/21/09
65
36
29
4/24/09
69
42
27
3/29/09
66
40
26
2/22/09
68
43
25
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center

48
49
38
50
45
43
47
45
47
52
47
45
44
43
46
44
46
42
40
43
40
37
31
26
29
25

14
13
14
12
12
15
15
11
13
14
12
12
11
8
12
13
13
13
11
12
11
9
10
8
9
8

35
37
24
37
33
28
32
34
34
38
35
33
33
35
33
32
33
29
29
31
29
28
22
18
20
17

5
4
6
3
4
3
4
5
3
3
3
4
3
3
3
2
4
2
3
3
3
4
4
4
5
7

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling the economy? Do you
approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14
6/1/14
4/27/14
3/2/14
1/23/14
12/15/13
11/17/13
10/20/13
9/15/13
7/21/13
5/19/13
4/14/13
3/10/13
1/13/13
12/16/12
10/13/12 RV
9/29/12 RV
9/9/12
RV
8/25/12
7/8/12
5/20/12
4/8/12
3/10/12
2/4/12
1/15/12
12/18/11

-------- Approve -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
42
21
20
44
25
19
42
22
19
43
21
21
42
20
21
43
23
20
43
22
21
42
24
18
41
22
20
44
23
20
45
25
20
45
22
22
48
26
22
44
22
22
44
24
20
50
24
25
50
27
23
47
26
21
47
23
25
45
24
21
44
20
23
44
21
23
42
20
22
44
23
21
38
20
18
44
23
22
41
19
22
41
17
24

------- Disapprove -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
52
14
38
51
12
39
54
15
39
53
15
38
54
13
41
54
14
41
55
13
42
55
14
40
57
14
42
54
12
42
51
14
37
49
14
35
48
10
37
53
12
41
52
10
42
47
10
37
48
10
38
51
10
41
52
10
41
53
8
45
54
12
42
54
13
41
55
11
44
54
12
42
59
9
50
53
11
41
57
11
46
56
13
43

2

No
opinion
7
4
5
4
4
2
3
4
2
2
4
6
4
3
4
3
3
2
1
2
3
2
2
2
2
3
2
2

 11/3/11
38
18
20
10/2/11
35
17
19
9/1/11
36
15
21
7/17/11
39
18
22
6/5/11
40
20
20
5/2/11*
40
18
22
4/17/11
42
23
19
3/13/11
43
22
21
1/16/11
46
22
24
12/12/10
43
21
22
10/28/10 RV
44
21
23
10/3/10
45
22
23
9/2/10
41
20
21
7/11/10
43
20
23
6/6/10
50
26
24
4/25/10
49
24
25
3/26/10
45
23
22
2/8/10
45
22
23
1/15/10
47
22
24
12/13/09
46
23
24
11/15/09
51
26
25
10/18/09
50
29
22
9/12/09
51
28
24
8/17/09
52
27
25
7/18/09
52
29
23
6/21/09
56
28
28
4/24/09
58
31
28
3/29/09
60
34
25
2/22/09
60
NA
NA
*Washington Post/Pew Research Center

61
61
62
57
59
55
57
55
51
54
54
53
57
54
49
49
52
53
52
52
47
48
46
46
46
41
38
38
34

13
13
15
15
10
16
11
13
13
15
15
13
13
13
12
10
12
15
13
12
12
13
13
13
10
13
13
12
NA

48
48
47
43
49
39
46
41
38
39
39
41
44
41
37
39
40
38
39
40
36
35
33
33
35
27
25
26
NA

2
4
2
3
2
4
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
4
2
2
3
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
3
3
4
3
6

3. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Thinking about the upcoming election for the U.S.
House and some U.S. Senate and governor seats, are you following the election very
closely, somewhat closely, not so closely or not closely at all?

10/26/14
10/12/14
10/28/10
10/3/10
11/4/06
10/22/06
10/8/06
9/7/06
8/6/06
5/15/06

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

------- Closely ------NET
Very
Somewhat
68
25
44
71
24
47
76
32
45
71
24
46
80
38
42
78
29
50
75
26
49
66
20
46
66
21
45
60
20
40

------ Not closely
NET
Not so
Not
31
16
29
18
23
14
29
18
20
13
22
13
25
17
34
20
34
23
39
23

-----at all
15
11
10
11
7
8
8
14
11
16

No
opin.
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*

4. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in
the Congressional election the week after next: Are you absolutely certain to vote,
will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
5. (IF ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN TO VOTE) Have you already voted by absentee ballot or early
voting, or not?

10/26/14
10/12/14*
9/7/14
6/1/14
4/27/14

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

-Certain/Already votedNET
Certain
Already
65
53
12
64
63
1
71
71
NA
74
74
68
68
“

Probably
15
15
16
12
15

3

50/50
11
15
9
9
12

Less
7
5
2
4
4

Not vote
(vol.)
1
2
1
1
1

No
opinion
*
0
*
*
*

 10/28/10 RV
71
56
15
13
11
5
1
0
10/3/10
RV
70
70
NA
15
9
5
2
*
9/2/10
RV
70
70
14
14
1
1
0
7/11/10
RV
73
73
13
11
2
*
*
6/6/10
RV
72
72
“
14
11
3
*
0
11/4/06
RV
76
63
12
11
7
4
2
*
10/22/06 RV
76
75
1
14
7
3
*
2
*10/12/14 “next month,” 9/7/14 and previous "in November," except for 10/28/10 and
11/04/06 "next week's Congressional election"
6. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives
were being held today, would you vote for (the Democratic candidate) or (the
Republican candidate) in your congressional district? Would you lean toward the
(Democratic candidate) or toward the (Republican candidate)? (ASKED IF ALREADY VOTED)
Did you vote for (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate in your
congressional district?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS

10/26/14
10/12/14

Dem
cand.
44
43

Rep
cand.
50
50

Other
(vol.)
1
1

Neither
(vol.)
1
2

Would not
vote (vol.)
-

No
opinion
4
4

Would not
vote (vol.)
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
*
1
1
*
*
*
1
2
1
1
1
*
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1

No
opinion
5
5
4
4
7
5
5
3
4
6
3
5
5
5
4
6
4
4
3
3
4
5
4
4
3
5
4
6
4
5
6
5
5
3

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REGISTERED VOTERS

10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14
6/1/14
4/27/14
3/2/14
1/23/14
12/15/13
10/20/13
5/19/13
10/28/10
10/3/10
9/2/10*
7/11/10
6/6/10
4/25/10
3/26/10
2/8/10
10/22/06
10/8/06
9/7/06
8/6/06
6/25/06
5/15/06
4/9/06
1/26/06
12/18/05
11/2/05
7/15/02
1/27/02**
9/6/00
7/23/00
2/27/00
10/31/99

Dem
cand.
47
46
46
47
45
46
45
47
48
48
49
47
45
46
47
48
48
45
54
54
50
52
52
52
55
54
51
52
47
43
49
46
45
50

Rep
cand.
44
44
44
45
44
45
46
45
40
40
44
43
47
47
44
43
44
48
41
41
42
39
39
40
40
38
41
37
46
50
42
45
46
43

Other
(vol.)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
*
2
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
NA

Neither
(vol.)
2
3
4
3
2
3
3
4
5
4
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
3
1
1
3
2
3
3
2
3
3
4
1
2
2
3
2
3

4

 9/2/99
3/14/99
2/14/99
1/30/99
11/1/98
10/25/98
10/18/98
9/28/98
9/13/98
8/21/98
7/12/98
1/31/98
1/19/98
10/8/96
9/29/96
9/22/96
9/15/96
9/4/96
8/29/96
8/28/96
8/27/96
8/26/96
8/25/96
8/24/96
8/19/96
8/18/96
8/15/96
8/14/96
8/13/96
8/12/96
8/11/96
8/10/96
8/5/96
6/30/96
5/22/96
3/17/96
3/10/96
1/21/96
11/13/95
10/1/95
11/6/94
10/31/94
10/23/94
10/9/94
9/11/94
8/7/94
3/27/94
2/27/94
10/21/91
7/28/91
6/2/91
11/4/90
10/14/90
9/9/90
7/24/90
5/21/90
10/10/88
9/19/88
6/22/85
10/16/84
9/11/84
7/8/84
10/27/82

48
50
48
49
51
48
49
49
49
48
47
49
47
51
48
50
49
48
53
51
51
51
48
47
49
45
46
48
49
49
49
49
48
49
52
48
51
52
51
49
47
48
50
46
50
49
49
50
51
49
48
51
50
47
51
47
52
51
48
52
53
58
58

44
41
41
39
43
43
44
44
43
45
45
40
44
41
41
43
45
44
39
40
41
41
43
43
42
46
43
42
43
42
40
41
45
44
41
48
43
43
43
44
42
44
45
47
45
42
35
40
41
41
42
41
41
46
41
45
41
39
44
44
45
40
39

3
2
3
8
4
3
3
2
3
3
2
2
3
2
3
2
1
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
4
3
3
3
4
4
2
3
3
2
2
3
4
3
5
4
2
3
1
4
6
8
4
6
4
5
5
3
4
5
2
3
5
2
2
2
NA

5

*
1
1
1
*
1
1
*
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
*
*
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
*
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
NA

5
6
7
3
2
4
4
4
4
3
6
8
5
5
7
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
6
5
6
5
5
6
5
4
3
3
2
4
1
2
3
5
3
2
2
4
4
9
2
4
3
5
3
3
3
4
2
4
6
3
5
1
1
3

 10/11/82
55
36
9/13/82
58
36
11/22/81
53
41
"
"
"
*9/2/10 and previous: "Will not vote (vol.)"
**1/27/02 and previous: No "other candidate" option recorded

9
6
7

7. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) As you know, this is a midterm election, with no presidential
contest. Is voting in mid-term elections something you do always, nearly always,
usually, or just sometimes?

10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14
10/28/10
10/3/10
11/4/06

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

------- Often ------Nearly
NET
Always
always
82
66
15
85
70
15
85
67
18
84
68
15
79
61
17
88
71
17

---------- Less often -----------Never
NET
Usually
Sometimes
(vol.)
18
8
9
1
15
7
7
*
15
8
6
1
16
9
7
1
21
9
11
1
12
7
4
1

No
opinion
0
0
0
0
*
0

8. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Will/was one reason for your vote for Congress [be] to
express (support for) Obama, to express (opposition to) Obama, or is/was Obama not a
factor in your choice? Do you feel strongly about that, or somewhat?

10/26/14 RV
10/12/14 RV

-------- Support -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
16
12
4
14
11
3

Support
Opposition
10/26/14 RV
16
26
10/12/14 RV
14
22
9/7/14
RV
19
27
1/23/14 RV
19
25
10/28/10 RV
25
24
9/2/10
RV
25
27
3/26/10 RV*
25
24
*"show" support and U.S. House

------ Opposition ------NET
Somewhat
Strongly
26
4
22
22
4
19

Not a factor
56
62
54
54
50
47
49

Not a
factor
56
62

No
opinion
2
1

No opinion
2
1
1
2
1
1
1

Compare to: Will/was one reason for your vote for Congress [be] to express (support
for) Bush, to express (opposition to) Bush, or is/was Bush not a factor in your
choice?
11/4/06
10/22/06
10/8/06
5/15/06
11/4/02
11/3/02
11/2/02
10/27/02

RV
RV
RV
All
LV
LV
LV
LV

Support
17
17
18
12
29
29
30
33

Opposition
31
31
35
30
15
17
15
18

Not a factor
50
50
47
58
55
52
54
49

No opinion
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1

Compare to: Is one of the reasons you support this candidate to express support for
Bill Clinton, to express opposition to Clinton, or would you say that Clinton is not a
factor?
11/1/98
11/1/98 LV
10/25/98

Support
13
10
14

Opposition
9
13
10

Not a factor
77
77
72

6

No opinion
1
*
4

 10/25/98 LV
10/18/98
10/18/98 LV
9/28/98
9/28/98 LV

15
13
12
14
14

15
9
12
13
18

70
75
76
71
67

1
3
1
2
1

9. Just your best guess - do you think the Republican Party will take control of the
U.S. Senate in the November election, or not?
10/26/14
9/7/14

Will take control
46
45

Will not
33
40

No opinion
20
14

10. If control of the Senate switched from the Democrats to the Republicans after this
election, do you think that would be a good thing, a bad thing, or wouldn't it make
any difference?
Good
Bad
10/26/14
33
24
9/7/14*
32
25
*November’s election

No difference
39
40

No opinion
4
3

Compare to: As you may know, control of the U.S. Senate is about to switch from the
Republicans to the Democrats. On balance, do you think the Democrats' taking control
of the Senate is a good thing or a bad thing for the country, or doesn't it make much
difference?
6/3/01

Good
41

Bad
20

No difference
38

No opinion
1

11. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Have you recently been contacted by any individual or
organization working in support of a candidate for Congress or the U.S. Senate, asking
for your vote?
Yes
No
No opinion
10/26/14 RV
22
76
2
10/12/14 RV
25
74
1
10/28/10* RV
34
65
1
11/4/06
RV
41
59
*
10/22/06 RV
29
70
1
*10/28/10 and previous: "Have you recently been contacted in person, by telephone, or
by e-mail by any organization working in support of a candidate for Congress, asking
for your vote?"
12. (ASKED IF CONTACTED) Were you asked to vote for a (Republican) candidate, for a
(Democratic) candidate or were you contacted by both sides?
Rep.
Dem.
Both
Other
No
cand.
cand.
Dem and Rep
(vol.)
opin.
10/26/14 RV
15
18
62
*
5
10/12/14 RV
21
14
60
1
5
10/28/10* RV
22
23
45
1
8
11/4/06
RV
29
20
41
1
8
10/22/06 RV
33
29
29
1
8
*10/28/10 and previous: "Were you asked to vote for a (Republican) candidate or for a
(Democratic) candidate?"

7

 13. Have the candidates in your Congressional district been mainly (discussing the
issues) or mainly (attacking each other)?

10/26/14

Discussing
the issues
26

Attacking
each other
50

No
opinion
23

On another subject...
14. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction)
or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?

10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14
4/27/14
1/23/14
11/17/13
10/20/13
7/21/13
5/19/13
1/13/13
10/31/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
8/25/12
7/8/12
4/8/12
1/15/12
11/3/11
9/1/11
6/5/11
1/16/11
12/12/10
10/28/10
6/6/10
3/26/10
1/15/10
11/15/09
10/18/09
8/17/09
6/21/09
4/24/09
3/29/09
2/22/09
1/16/09
12/14/08
10/25/08
10/11/08
9/22/08
8/22/08
6/15/08
5/11/08
1/12/08
11/1/07
6/1/07
1/19/07
11/4/06
10/22/06
10/8/06
5/15/06

LV
RV
RV
RV

RV

LV
RV
RV

RV

Right
direction
28
29
31
30
35
27
28
36
39
39
43
42
38
29
33
33
30
22
20
32
38
31
27
37
38
37
44
44
44
47
50
42
31
19
15
13
8
14
19
14
16
21
24
25
26
39
30
32
29

Wrong
track
68
66
65
66
62
70
68
60
57
57
55
56
60
69
63
64
68
74
77
66
60
67
71
60
60
62
55
54
55
50
48
57
67
78
82
85
90
83
78
84
82
77
74
73
71
59
68
66
69

No
opinion
5
5
5
4
2
3
4
4
4
5
2
3
2
2
4
3
2
3
3
2
3
2
2
3
2
1
2
2
1
3
2
1
2
3
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
2
2

8

 11/2/05
10/24/04
4/18/04
4/30/03
9/26/02
2/21/02
2/14/99
11/1/98
9/13/98*
8/21/98
7/12/98
4/4/98
1/31/98
1/30/98
1/19/98
8/27/97
6/8/97
3/9/97
10/17/96
10/16/96
10/15/96
10/14/96
10/13/96
9/04/96
8/21/96
6/30/96
3/17/96
1/21/96
1/3/96
4/5/95
1/4/95
10/31/94
7/20/94
3/27/94
1/23/94
11/14/93
8/8/93
6/20/93
4/26/93
3/11/93
2/28/93
1/17/93
12/14/92
10/27/92
10/4/92
6/7/92
4/9/92
3/11/92
1/15/92
11/10/91
10/29/91
8/27/91
7/28/91
6/2/91
4/9/91
2/26/91
1/27/91
10/14/90
9/9/90
8/20/90
7/24/90
5/21/90
3/26/90

LV

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

RV
RV

30
41
42
52
43
54
55
55
51
57
50
55
61
61
44
39
37
34
40
42
43
44
44
40
28
26
27
27
21
23
27
27
26
28
31
25
26
26
27
36
37
31
35
22
18
14
16
18
19
24
26
31
30
39
42
58
49
19
36
35
37
39
44

68
55
57
46
53
42
41
43
45
40
45
41
34
34
50
57
60
62
55
53
52
51
51
54
67
70
70
66
77
73
68
69
70
69
60
69
71
71
71
57
59
63
60
76
78
83
81
79
78
72
71
60
67
57
51
39
48
79
60
60
60
60
53

2
4
1
2
4
4
4
2
3
4
6
4
5
5
6
4
3
4
5
5
5
5
5
6
5
5
3
6
3
3
6
4
4
3
10
6
3
3
2
7
4
6
5
2
4
3
3
4
3
4
3
9
3
4
7
3
4
2
4
5
2
2
2

9

 2/4/90
49
1/16/90
48
5/23/89
42
3/16/89
46
1/16/89 LV
51
10/25/88 LV
49
9/27/88
48
7/11/88
40
5/25/88
35
3/21/88
40
1/23/88
39
12/13/87
49
12/2/87
35
9/23/87
43
6/29/87
35
4/13/87
37
3/9/87
38
1/18/87
39
9/8/86
50
1/26/86
45
7/29/85
52
1/16/85
59
5/22/84
47
12/13/83
43
11/7/83
51
4/12/83
41
3/2/83
43
10/11/82
35
1/30/82
39
2/80**
20
2/78
34
2/77
41
10/75
19
10/74
15
10/73
16
*Washington Post
**2/80 and previous: Roper

48
49
55
52
46
46
44
56
59
56
59
47
61
54
62
60
58
56
48
47
43
36
48
51
44
54
53
57
56
70
53
44
71
75
74

3
3
3
2
3
6
8
4
6
4
2
4
4
4
3
3
4
5
2
8
6
4
5
6
5
4
3
8
5
10
13
14
9
11
10

15. Overall, how much do you feel you can trust the government in Washington to do
what's right - a great deal, somewhat, not so much or not at all?
--------- Can trust --------NET
A great deal
Somewhat
10/26/14
39
6
33
10/20/13*
39
5
35
*ABC News-Fusion poll

-------- Cannot trust -------NET
Not so much
Not at all
60
29
31
60
29
31

No
opinion
1
1

16. Do you think the federal government’s ability to deal with the country’s problems
has gotten better in the last few years, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? (IF
WORSE) Has it gotten much worse or somewhat worse?

10/26/14

Better
11

------- Worse ------NET
Somewhat
Much
53
19
34

Stayed
the same
34

No
opinion
1

17. (IF WORSE) Who do you mainly blame for that – (Obama and the Democrats in
Congress), (the Republicans in Congress), or both equally?
Obama and
Democrats in Congress

Republicans
in Congress

10

Both

No
opinion

 10/26/14

31

11

56

2

16/17 NET:

10/26/14

Better
11

--------------------- Worse -------------------Obama and Dems
Republicans
No
NET
in Congress
in Congress
Both
op.
53
16
6
30
1

Stayed
the same
34

No
op.
1

18. Overall, which party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a
better job in coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years?

10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14
4/27/14
6/5/11
10/28/10
10/3/10
9/2/10
6/6/10
4/25/10
2/8/10
11/15/09
9/12/09
2/22/09
12/14/08
5/11/08
10/8/06
9/7/06
6/25/06
5/15/06
4/9/06
3/5/06
1/26/06
12/18/05
11/2/05
6/5/05
8/11/03
12/15/02
10/27/02
9/26/02
7/15/02
1/27/02
4/22/01
7/23/00
9/2/99
6/6/99
3/14/99
2/14/99
10/18/98
9/28/98
8/21/98
7/12/98
1/31/98
1/19/98
7/8/97
9/15/96
9/4/96
8/5/96

RV

LV

RV
RV

Democrats
39
39
39
40
41
45
42
40
44
46
43
47
48
56
56
53
54
47
48
50
51
42
51
47
49
46
39
41
39
39
42
40
47
42
45
45
47
48
44
49
48
45
47
45
44
45
45
43

Republicans
37
39
40
34
32
40
38
37
32
32
37
31
28
30
23
32
35
38
38
36
37
40
37
42
37
41
40
44
51
46
45
44
40
42
39
35
37
37
36
38
36
38
37
42
37
38
41
38

Both
(vol.)
4
3
3
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
3
1
3
2
2
3
2
3
4
2
4
3
5
4
3
2
4
3
4
2
2
3
2
3

11

Neither
(vol.)
14
15
14
17
20
11
15
18
18
18
17
17
19
9
15
10
7
10
10
11
9
14
8
8
9
9
10
11
5
8
7
10
7
9
9
13
9
7
12
8
9
8
6
7
14
11
8
11

No opinion
6
5
4
7
4
2
2
2
4
3
2
3
2
3
3
2
2
4
3
3
2
2
3
2
3
2
7
2
2
4
4
4
3
6
4
5
3
4
6
3
3
6
7
4
3
3
4
3

 6/30/96
5/22/96
11/6/94 RV
10/31/94
10/23/94
9/11/94
8/16/94
6/26/94
2/27/94
11/14/93
1/17/93
7/8/92
6/7/92
3/11/92
3/8/92
2/2/92
12/15/91
10/21/91
6/2/91
3/4/91
11/4/90 LV
10/14/90
5/21/90
1/16/90
8/21/89
10/10/88 RV
8/17/88
8/14/88
7/20/88
7/17/88
5/25/88
3/21/88
1/23/88
12/17/87
10/19/87
6/1/87
3/9/87
1/18/87
9/8/86
6/23/86
3/24/86
2/12/86
10/28/85
9/23/85
7/29/85
6/22/85
2/26/85
1/16/85
7/8/84
5/22/84
2/15/84
1/17/84
12/13/83
8/1/83
10/11/82
9/13/82

46
47
41
43
39
43
44
41
46
42
49
48
43
45
51
49
39
39
37
34
42
46
41
38
42
45
40
47
51
43
45
45
43
49
44
47
47
46
38
41
40
40
37
39
41
36
40
33
44
41
41
42
38
45
44
45

37
38
39
43
40
40
35
36
32
39
28
38
37
37
36
39
37
40
42
47
40
41
45
50
43
45
43
36
36
39
40
42
44
39
43
41
38
38
47
46
46
46
45
45
43
47
52
49
43
40
45
37
38
36
38
37

3
3
2
2
3
4
2
3
4
3
5
1
3
1
1
2
3
3
5
5
3
1
3
3
4
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
3
3
3
2
2
NA
2
NA
"
10
5
11
9
12
8
11
14
9
10
10

12
10
12
8
15
11
15
14
16
11
13
8
11
11
7
7
15
13
10
9
11
8
8
6
9
4
8
11
7
10
7
7
9
6
8
6
9
8
8
8
8
8
11
10
10
NA

"
2
NA
"

3
3
6
4
3
3
4
5
3
4
5
4
6
5
5
3
6
5
6
5
4
4
2
3
2
5
8
5
6
7
7
4
2
5
3
3
3
6
5
4
7
5
7
6
6
6
3
7
5
7
6
10
10
8
9
8

19. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Barack Obama? Do you
feel that way strongly or somewhat?
------- Favorable ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat

------ Unfavorable -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly

12

No
opinion

 10/26/14
1/23/14
11/17/13
10/20/13
6/23/13
3/24/13
1/27/13
11/2/12
10/21/12
10/7/12
9/9/12
9/2/12
8/26/12
8/5/12
5/27/12
4/15/12
3/25/12
2/26/12
1/22/12
12/11/11
9/18/11
4/17/11
4/25/10
1/15/10
11/15/09
9/12/09
4/24/09
1/16/09
11/2/08
10/23/08
10/11/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
6/15/08
4/13/08
1/10/08
11/1/07
2/25/07
1/19/07
12/11/06

LV
LV

LV
LV
RV
RV
RV

44
49
46
50
53
57
60
54
52
56
54
51
50
53
52
56
53
51
53
48
47
52
57
58
61
63
72
79
63
63
64
58
62
63
56
63
51
53
45
44

24
29
30
31
31
34
39
38
37
32
34
29
27
29
29
30
31
26
27
23
22
33
37
38
39
40
46
50
47
47
44
35
37
35
28
31
21
21
NA
21

20
20
16
19
22
23
21
16
15
24
21
22
24
24
23
26
23
25
25
25
25
20
21
20
21
23
26
29
16
16
20
23
25
28
28
32
30
33
NA
22

50
50
52
48
44
41
37
45
46
42
42
45
44
43
45
40
43
45
43
49
46
45
41
40
38
35
26
18
33
34
33
36
34
33
39
30
36
30
29
23

14
13
11
11
11
11
11
11
10
11
13
14
14
12
14
14
15
13
14
16
15
13
12
13
11
12
11
9
7
7
12
12
13
12
14
14
16
16
NA
17

36
37
41
37
33
30
26
34
36
31
29
31
29
31
31
26
28
32
29
33
31
32
29
27
27
24
15
9
26
27
21
24
21
21
25
16
20
14
NA
6

6
1
2
2
3
2
3
1
2
2
4
4
6
4
3
5
3
3
4
3
7
2
2
2
1
2
2
3
4
3
3
7
4
4
5
7
13
16
25
33

20. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Obama, or not: [ITEM]?
10/26/14 - Summary Table
a.
b.
c.
d.

He
He
He
He

is a strong leader
understands the problems of people like you
is a good manager
can be trusted in a crisis

Trend:
a. He is a strong leader
10/26/14
9/7/14
1/23/14
11/17/13
9/15/13
1/13/13

Yes
46
43
48
46
54
61

No
52
55
51
53
44
37

No opinion
2
2
1
1
2
2

13

Yes
46
46
45
49

No
52
51
51
47

No opinion
2
2
4
4

 1/15/12
11/3/11
6/5/11
6/6/10
3/26/10
1/15/10
7/18/09
4/24/09
1/16/09

51
48
55
57
65
63
71
77
72

48
51
44
43
33
35
27
22
18

1
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
10

b. He understands the problems of people like you
10/26/14
9/7/14
1/23/14
12/15/13
11/17/13
1/13/13
1/15/12
11/3/11
6/5/11
1/16/11
9/2/10
6/6/10
3/26/10
1/15/10
7/18/09
4/24/09
1/16/09

Yes
46
49
47
52
47
55
51
49
49
58
50
51
56
57
63
73
72

No
51
48
52
46
51
43
47
49
49
40
48
48
43
42
35
25
24

No opinion
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
4

c. He is a good manager
10/26/14
11/17/13

Yes
45
41

No
51
56

No opinion
4
3

d. He can be trusted in a crisis
10/26/14
4/24/09
1/16/09

Yes
49
73
69

No
47
21
18

No opinion
4
6
13

21. Do you think [ITEM] would or would not make a good president?
10/26/14 – Summary Table
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.

Hillary Clinton
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
Rick Perry
Rand Paul

Would
51
26
24
18
21

Would not
41
51
46
49
44

No opinion
8
23
30
34
34

22. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent,
good, not so good or poor?

10/26/14

------ Positive -----NET
Excellent
Good
27
1
26

------- Negative ------NET
Not so good
Poor
72
44
28

14

No
opinion
1

 9/7/14
4/27/14
3/2/14
10/20/13
9/29/12
8/25/12
8/5/12*
5/20/12
2/4/12
11/3/11
7/17/11
6/5/11
1/16/11
10/28/10
10/3/10
9/2/10
7/11/10
6/6/10
1/16/09
9/22/08
4/13/08
2/1/08
12/9/07
11/1/07
4/15/07
12/11/06
10/22/06
10/8/06
3/5/06
1/26/06
12/18/05
11/2/05
9/11/05
6/5/05
4/24/05
9/26/04
8/29/04
7/25/04
6/20/04
4/18/04
3/7/04
1/18/04
12/21/03
10/29/03
9/13/03
8/11/03
4/30/03
2/9/03
1/20/03
12/15/02
11/4/02
11/3/02
11/2/02
9/26/02
7/15/02
2/21/02
1/27/02
9/20/01
9/9/01
7/30/01
4/22/01
1/15/01
10/27/00

RV

RV
RV

LV
LV
LV

LV

30
29
27
24
18
15
13
17
11
10
10
11
13
9
9
8
10
12
5
9
10
19
28
35
42
50
55
47
43
40
45
35
40
44
37
46
45
46
45
43
39
42
42
33
30
32
35
28
25
35
28
27
29
31
39
30
31
38
33
50
50
70
86

1
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
*
1
*
1
1
3
3
5
7
10
7
5
5
5
3
3
3
2
3
3
4
4
4
2
3
4
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
1
1
3
1
3
3
10
24

29
27
26
23
16
14
12
16
11
9
9
10
12
9
8
7
9
11
5
9
9
18
25
32
37
42
45
40
38
35
39
32
37
40
35
43
41
42
41
39
37
39
39
32
27
30
34
27
25
33
27
26
28
28
36
29
29
35
32
46
47
59
61

69
71
72
75
81
84
87
83
89
89
90
89
87
90
90
92
90
88
94
91
90
81
72
64
57
50
45
53
57
60
55
65
59
56
63
53
55
53
55
57
60
58
57
67
70
68
64
72
74
65
72
72
71
69
61
69
69
60
66
50
50
29
14

42
40
44
45
42
39
42
47
46
43
40
46
45
41
40
40
44
43
32
34
39
43
40
39
37
36
28
37
37
37
38
36
37
38
44
38
37
39
38
39
38
42
41
45
45
43
46
49
48
44
55
56
54
50
44
51
50
47
47
39
40
24
11

15

27
31
28
30
39
45
44
36
42
47
50
44
41
49
50
53
46
45
62
57
51
38
32
26
20
14
17
16
19
23
17
29
22
19
20
15
18
14
17
18
22
16
16
23
25
25
19
23
26
21
17
17
17
19
17
18
19
14
19
12
9
6
3

1
1
*
1
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
0
0
0
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
1
0
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
*
*
2
*
*
*
1
*

 10/26/00 LV
86
24
61
14
6/11/00
74
17
57
26
2/27/00
80
25
55
20
10/31/99
74
18
56
26
9/2/99
76
19
57
23
3/14/99
80
22
58
19
11/1/98
73
12
61
26
11/1/98 LV
78
13
65
22
10/13/97
61
12
49
39
*Washington Post-Kaiser Family Foundation

11
19
14
18
16
15
21
19
27

3
6
5
7
6
4
5
3
11

*
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
*

23. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse or staying the
same?

10/26/14
4/27/14
10/21/12 LV

Getting
better
28
28
37

Getting
worse
31
36
36

4/17/11* RV
29
10/28/10
26
10/3/10
31
9/2/10
24
7/11/10
27
6/6/10
30
*"the national economy"
Call for full trend.

44
34
32
38
32
30

Staying
the same
40
35
25

No
opinion
1
1
2

27
39
37
38
41
39

*
1
*
1
*
1

24. Do you think the U.S. economic system (generally favors the wealthy) or (is fair
to most Americans)?

10/26/14

Favors
the wealthy
71

Is fair to
most Americans
24

No
opinion
5

Changing topics,
25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling the federal government’s
response to the outbreak of the Ebola virus? Do you feel that way strongly or
somewhat?

10/26/14
10/12/14

-------- Approve -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
49
26
23
41
19
22

------ Disapprove ------NET
Somewhat
Strongly
41
11
30
43
13
30

No
opinion
10
16

26. How about the U.S. Centers for Disease Control – do you approve or disapprove of
the way it’s handling the Ebola outbreak?
10/26/14

Approve
47

Disapprove
45

No opinion
9

27. How do you feel about the possibility that you or someone in your immediate family
might catch the Ebola virus - very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or not
worried at all?
------ Worried -----NET
Very
Somewhat

------ Not worried ------NET
Not too
Not at all

16

No
opinion

 10/26/14
10/12/14

36
43

13
20

23
23

63
57

Compare to H1N1 virus known as swine flu:*
10/18/09*
52
21
30
46
8/17/09
39
13
26
61
* 2 percent volunteered "already have"

29
27

34
29

1
*

26
30

20
31

*
*

Compare to bird flu:
3/5/06
41
13

28

59

36

23

*

Compare to SARS virus:
4/27/03
33
11
4/3/03
38
11

22
27

67
62

34
37

33
24

1
3

28. Apart from you and your family, how concerned are you about the possibility of a
widespread Ebola epidemic occurring in the United States - very concerned, somewhat
concerned, not so concerned or not concerned at all?

10/26/14
10/12/14

----- Concerned ----NET
Very
Somewhat
60
23
37
65
31
34

----- Not concerned ----NET
Not so
Not at all
40
21
18
35
19
15

No
opinion
*
*

29. How confident are you in the federal government's ability to respond effectively
to an outbreak of the Ebola virus in the United States - very confident, somewhat
confident, not so confident or not confident at all?

10/26/14
10/12/14

----- Confident ----NET
Very
Somewhat
63
18
44
62
19
43

----- Not confident ----NET
Not so
Not at all
36
22
14
37
21
16

No
opinion
2
*

Compare to H1N1 virus known as swine flu:
10/18/09
69
19
50
31
8/17/09
73
23
50
26

18
18

12
9

1
1

Compare to bird flu:
3/5/06
59
16

25

15

*

44

40

30. Do you think the United States is doing all it reasonably can do to try to prevent
further cases of Ebola in the United States, or do you think it should do more?

10/26/14
10/12/14

US doing
all it can
37
33

US should
do more
61
64

No
opinion
3
4

Compare to: Do you think the United States is doing all it reasonably can do to try to
prevent further biological attacks like this anthrax situation, or do you think it
should do more?

10/24/01

US doing
all it can
61

US should
do more
37

No
opinion
3

31. Do you think the United States is or is not doing enough to try to stop the spread
of Ebola in Africa?

17

 10/26/14

US doing
enough
37

US not
doing enough
46

No
opinion
17

32. Just your best guess, do you think the staff at hospitals in your area are or are
not adequately trained to deal with Ebola cases?

10/26/14

Are adequately
trained
29

Are not adequately
trained
61

No
opinion
10

33. In dealing with the Ebola outbreak, would you support or oppose restricting entry
to the United States by people who’ve been in affected countries?
10/26/14
10/12/14

Support
70
67

Oppose
25
29

No opinion
5
4

34. How well do you feel you understand the way the Ebola virus is transmitted between
humans? Would you say you understand this very well, somewhat well, not too well or
not well at all?

10/26/14

------- Well -------NET
Very
Somewhat
81
37
43

-------- Not well -------NET
Not too
Not at all
18
12
7

No
opinion
1

Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a
Republican), an independent or what?
10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14
6/1/14
4/27/14
3/2/14
1/23/14
12/15/13
11/17/13
10/20/13

Democrat
32
31
33
33
32
30
32
30
31
30

Republican
24
24
23
24
21
22
25
24
24
24

Independent
36
36
38
35
38
40
37
40
37
40

Other (vol.)
5
6
4
5
6
4
5
4
6
4

No opinion
3
3
2
4
3
3
2
2
2
3

***END***
METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS
This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as
appears in this document. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a
parenthetical preceding the question identifies the group asked. Questions that
contain parenthetical phrases indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for
respondents. Trended references to results with “LV” or “RV” indicate results among
likely voters or registered voters.
A dual frame landline and cell phone telephone sample was generated using Random Digit
Dialing procedures by Survey Sampling International (SSI). Interviewers called
landlines and asked to interview the youngest male or youngest female who is at home
at the time, with the male requested 75 percent of the time. A separate sample of cell
phone numbers are dialed and screened for cell phone-only users who have no landline

18

 telephone. Both the landline and cellular phones are stratified by Census division
according to area code. The survey was conducted with 830 respondents reached on
landline phones and 374 among those who are cell phone-only, those no landline phone.
This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the
survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for
differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult
sample is weighted using a raking procedure to match the demographic makeup of the
population by sex, region, age, education and race/ethnicity.
The dual-frame sample design for landlines and cell phone-only respondents are
weighted separately by Census region for each phone type to match targets for phone
usage based on the National Health Interview Survey. The full sample is then weighted
to match adult population estimates for four key demographics according to the latest
Current Population Survey March Social and Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity,
sex and education.
In estimating likely voters we build a variety of
variables including voter registration, attention
elections, vote certainty and excluding those who
all models and report results from the model that

models using a combination of
to the election, voting in recent
say they will not vote. We examine
best fits turnout estimates.

All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which
is 1.27 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s
deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision
due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a
design effect overstate their precision.
^NOTE: The sample of registered voters was incorrectly reported as 968. It was updated
on April 24, 2015.

19