Bendixen & Amandi International Poll for Univision Noticias/Fusion in Collaboration with The Washington Post Final Results – April 2015 1200 Completes INTRODUCTION I would like to ask you a few questions about some important issues. I assure you that I am not selling anything and that the survey will only take a few minutes. Your responses will remain strictly confidential. SCREEN 1. What is your age? (READ THE LIST) 1. Under 18 years old 2. 18-34 years old 3. 35-49 years old 4. 50-64 years old 5. Over 65 years old 9. No answer TERMINATE CONTINUE CONTINUE CONTINUE CONTINUE TERMINATE 39% 30% 19% 12% 2. Do you have a Cuban identity card? 1. Yes 2. No 9. No answer CONTINUE TERMINATE TERMINATE 100% WARM-UP 3. Thinking about your family, what would you like to accomplish in the next 5 years? (Accept multiple responses) 1. Travel abroad 2. Open my own business 3. Open a savings account 4. Buy a car 5. Buy an appliance 6. Buy a house 7. Change jobs 8. Go to college 9. Don’t know/No answer CONTINUE CONTINUE CONTINUE CONTINUE CONTINUE CONTINUE CONTINUE CONTINUE GO TO Q5 64% 37% 36% 34% 34% 25% 25% 7% 3% FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 1 4. Do you think you can achieve them in the next 5 years? 1. Yes 2. No 9. Don’t know/No answer 55% 22% 23% 5. Thinking about the next five years, name the main thing that you would like the Cuban government to do to improve your personal situation. (Accept only one response) 1. Improve economic opportunities 2. Reform the current political system 3. Improve quality of life 4. Other 9. Don’t know/No answer 54% 29% 7% 7% 3% 6. Thinking about your future and that of your family, do you feel optimistic or pessimistic? 1. Optimistic 2. Pessimistic 9. Don’t know/No answer 73% 20% 7% 7. In your opinion, what do the people of Cuba need the most at this time? 1. Improved economy 2. Open political system 3. Improved quality of life 4. Other 9. Don’t know/No answer 48% 24% 24% 1% 3% 8. Would you like to leave and go live in another country? 1. Yes 2. No 9. Don’t know/No answer CONTINUE GO TO Q10 GO TO Q10 55% 37% 8% 9. Which one? (Accept only one response) 1. United States 2. Spain 3. Canada 4. Italy 5. France 6. Brazil 7. England 8. Germany 9. Russia 10. Others 52% 7% 6% 6% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 16% 10. Do you have family in another country? 1. Yes 2. No 9. No answer CONTINUE GO TO Q13 GO TO Q13 33% 65% 2% FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 2 11. What country does most of your family live in? (Accept only one response) 1. United States 2. Spain 3. Italy 4. Canada 5. France 6. Venezuela 7. Others 9. No answer 56% 9% 6% 3% 2% 2% 11% 11% 12. How frequently do you communicate with your family members abroad – daily, once a week, once a month, a few times a year, rarely/never? 1. Daily 2. Once a week 3. Once a month 4. A few times a year 5. Rarely/Never 9. No answer 9% 38% 30% 14% 9% 0% REMITTANCES Now I would like to ask you some questions about remittances. 13. Do you receive money from a family member or friend that lives in another country? 1. Yes 2. No 9. No answer CONTINUE GO TO Q21 GO TO Q21 34% 64% 2% 14. What country is your family member or friend sending the money from? 1. United States 2. Spain 3. Italy 4. Germany 5. Venezuela 6. Canada 7. France 8. Others 61% 12% 6% 3% 3% 2% 2% 11% 15. Who sends you money? (Accept multiple responses) 1. Brother/Sister 2. Other relative 3. Friend 4. Son/Daughter 5. Mother/Father 6. Husband/Wife 9. No answer 43% 31% 21% 17% 13% 7% 1% FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 3 16. How frequently do you receive money? 1. Two times a month or more 2. Once a month 3. Every two to three months 4. Every four to six months 5. At least once a year 9. Don’t know/No answer 3% 44% 27% 12% 14% 0% 17. How many years have you been receiving this money? 1. Less than 1 year 2. 1-3 years 3. 3-5 years 4. More than 5 years 9. Don’t know/No answer 4% 22% 34% 39% 1% 18. Approximately, how much money does your family send you each year? (ATTENTION TO THE INTERVIEWER: IDENTIFY THE CURRENCY) 1. Less than $500 2. $500 to $1000 3. $1000 to $2000 4. More than $2000 9. Don’t know/No answer 28% 26% 29% 17% 0% 19. Do you share the money that you receive with someone else? If so, with how many people? 1. Yes, with one person 2. Yes, with two people 3. Yes, with three or more people 4. I don’t share the money 9. No answer 25% 34% 31% 10% 0% 20. What do you do with the money that you receive? Do you invest it in a business? Do you save it? Do you use it to buy property? Do you use it for everyday expenses like food, medicine, housing, or utilities payment? Do you use it to fund your education? To acquire luxuries? Or do you use it for something else? (Accept multiple responses) 1. Use it for every day expenses 2. Luxuries 3. Save it 4. Education costs 5. Invest it in a business 6. Buy a property 7. Other 9. No answer 94% 44% 39% 17% 11% 2% 9% 1% 21. Would you like to start your own business? 1. Yes 2. No 9. Don’t know/No answer 70% 23% 7% FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 4 22. Are any of your immediate family members business owners? 1. Yes 2. No 9. No answer 52% 44% 4% 23. How satisfied are you with the economic system that exists today in Cuba? 1. Very satisfied 2. Somewhat satisfied 3. Not too satisfied 4. Not at all satisfied 9. Don’t know/No answer 1% 18% 36% 43% 2% Satisfied 19% Not satisfied 79% 24. How satisfied are you with the education system that exists today in Cuba? 1. Very satisfied 2. Somewhat satisfied 3. Not too satisfied 4. Not at all satisfied 9. Don’t know/No answer 15% 57% 22% 6% 0% Satisfied 72% Not satisfied 28% 25. How satisfied are you with the health care system that exists today in Cuba? 1. Very satisfied 2. Somewhat satisfied 3. Not too satisfied 4. Not at all satisfied 9. Don’t know/No answer 16% 52% 22% 10% 0% Satisfied 68% Not satisfied 32% 26. How satisfied are you with the political system that exists today in Cuba? 1. Very satisfied 2. Somewhat satisfied 3. Not too satisfied 4. Not at all satisfied 9. Don’t know/No answer GO TO Q28 GO TO Q28 CONTINUE CONTINUE GO TO Q28 2% 37% 19% 34% 8% Satisfied 39% Not satisfied 53% 27. Why are you not satisfied with the political system that exists today in Cuba? 1. Lack of freedom 2. Lack of economic development 3. We need change 4. Other 9. Don’t know/No answer 49% 26% 19% 4% 2% FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 5 28. Do you think Cuba should have more political parties or is one political party enough? 1. Should have more political parties 2. One political party is enough 9. Don’t know/No answer 52% 28% 20% On a scale of very positive, slightly positive, slightly negative or very negative: how would you rate:? 29. The Communist Party of Cuba 1. Very positive 2. Slightly positive 3. Slightly negative 4. Very negative 9. Don’t know/No answer 6% 26% 24% 34% 10% Positive 32% Negative 58% 30. The Opposition Groups 1. Very positive 2. Slightly positive 3. Slightly negative 4. Very negative 9. Don’t know/No answer 14% 32% 24% 9% 21% Positive 46% Negative 33% 31. Do you always express yourself freely in public or do you feel that you have to be careful about what you say? 1. Express freely in public 2. Have to be careful about what to say 9. Don’t know/No answer 19% 75% 6% FOREIGN POLICY I am now going to mention some countries. For each country, please tell me if you think that the country mentioned is a friend or not a friend of Cuba. If you don’t recognize the country, please let me know. ROTATE 32-43 32. Venezuela 1. Friend of Cuba 2. Not a friend of Cuba 3. Neither VOLUNTEERED 4. Don’t recognize the country 9. Don’t know/No answer 93% 2% 3% 0% 2% FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 6 33. United States 1. Friend of Cuba 2. Not a friend of Cuba 3. Neither VOLUNTEERED 4. Don’t recognize the country 9. Don’t know/No answer 53% 10% 16% 0% 21% 34. Colombia 1. Friend of Cuba 2. Not a friend of Cuba 3. Neither VOLUNTEERED 4. Don’t recognize the country 9. Don’t know/No answer 79% 6% 13% 0% 2% 35. Mexico 1. Friend of Cuba 2. Not a friend of Cuba 3. Neither VOLUNTEERED 4. Don’t recognize the country 9. Don’t know/No answer 74% 5% 18% 0% 3% 36. Russia 1. Friend of Cuba 2. Not a friend of Cuba 3. Neither VOLUNTEERED 4. Don’t recognize the country 9. Don’t know/No answer 71% 6% 18% 0% 5% 37. Ecuador 1. Friend of Cuba 2. Not a friend of Cuba 3. Neither VOLUNTEERED 4. Don’t recognize the country 9. Don’t know/No answer 94% 1% 3% 0% 2% 38. Argentina 1. Friend of Cuba 2. Not a friend of Cuba 3. Neither VOLUNTEERED 4. Don’t recognize the country 9. Don’t know/No answer 84% 3% 11% 0% 2% FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 7 39. Spain 1. Friend of Cuba 2. Not a friend of Cuba 3. Neither VOLUNTEERED 4. Don’t recognize the country 9. Don’t know/No answer 72% 5% 21% 0% 2% 40. North Korea 1. Friend of Cuba 2. Not a friend of Cuba 3. Neither VOLUNTEERED 4. Don’t recognize the country 9. Don’t know/No answer 43% 21% 20% 2% 14% 41. Bolivia 1. Friend of Cuba 2. Not a friend of Cuba 3. Neither VOLUNTEERED 4. Don’t recognize the country 9. Don’t know/No answer 95% 1% 3% 0% 1% 1. Friend of Cuba 2. Not a friend of Cuba 3. Neither VOLUNTEERED 4. Don’t recognize the country 9. Don’t know/No answer 28% 29% 25% 4% 14% 42. Iran 43. Syria 1. Friend of Cuba 2. Not a friend of Cuba 3. Neither VOLUNTEERED 4. Don’t recognize the country 9. Don’t know/No answer 31% 28% 22% 3% 16% U.S.-CUBA POLICY On December 17th, 2014 the Cuban government and the United States government announced that they would begin to normalize their relations for the first time since 1961. 44. Do you think that the normalization of the relationship between Cuba and the United States is good for Cuba, bad for Cuba, or do you think that it is not of importance for Cuba? 1. It is good for Cuba 2. It is bad for Cuba 3. It is not of importance for Cuba 9. Don’t know/No answer 97% 1% 0% 2% FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 8 45. In your opinion, do you think the announcement favors Cuba more, favors the United States more, or favors both equally? 1. Favors Cuba more 2. Favors the United States more 3. Favors both equally 4. Doesn’t favor Cuba or the United States VOLUNTEERED 9. Don’t know/No answer 58% 5% 33% 0% 4% 46. Do you think this new relationship with the United States will change the economic system that exists today in Cuba or do you think the economic system will remain the same? 1. Will change the economic system 2. The economic system will remain the same 9. Don’t know/No answer 64% 30% 6% 47. Do you think this new relationship with the United States will change the political system that exists in Cuba today or do you think the political system will remain the same? 1. Will change the political system 2. The political system will remain the same 9. Don’t know/No answer 37% 54% 9% 48. Do you think that in this normalization of relations with the United States, the Cuban government would be willing to allow other political parties to exist in Cuba? 1. Yes 2. No 9. Don’t know/No answer 19% 62% 19% 49. Do you think the embargo between the United States and Cuba should continue or should it be eliminated? 1. Should continue 2. Should be eliminated 9. Don’t know/No answer 3% 96% 1% 50. Do you think President Barack Obama should visit Cuba? 1. Yes 2. No 9. Don’t know/No answer 89% 5% 6% 51. Do you think Comandante Raul Castro should visit the United States? 1. Yes 2. No 9. Don’t know/No answer 83% 10% 7% FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 9 52. Do you think that Cuban exiles will return to Cuba in order to reclaim the properties that they lost when they left the island? 1. Yes 2. No 9. Don’t know/No answer 24% 42% 34% Along with these changes, trade between the U.S. and Cuba will expand, and many American products would likely be available for purchase on the island. 53. Taking the expansion of trade into consideration, what American products or services would you most like to be offered in Cuba? (Accept a maximum of three responses) 1. Supermarkets 2. Housing 3. Pharmacies 4. Automobiles 5. Telephone industries 6. Department stores 7. Hotels 8. Television shows and radio 9. Restaurants 10. Computers 11. Other 99. Don’t know/No answer 43% 41% 40% 35% 34% 28% 16% 16% 15% 13% 4% 3% TOURISM 54. Some say that tourism can benefit Cuba because it can lead to the creation of jobs, bring wealth, and eventually improve the overall situation in the island. Others say that tourism will bring vices, corruption, and will ruin the values of the Revolution. Do you think that tourism will benefit or harm Cuba? 1. Will benefit Cuba 2. Will harm Cuba 9. Don’t know/No answer 96% 2% 2% MEDIA Now I would like to ask you some questions regarding the media. 55. What media source do you use most frequently to keep yourself updated with the latest news? 1. TV 2. Radio 3. Newspapers 4. Paquete semanal 5. Internet 9. None 80% 10% 5% 3% 1% 1% FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 10 56. What is your favorite American TV show? 1. _________________ 9. Don’t know/No answer 57. What celebrity would you like to visit Cuba? 1. __________________ 9. Don’t know/No answer 58. Think about international music, who is your favorite artist or singer? 1. ___________________ 9. Don’t know/No answer Please tell me if you have listened to any of the following radio stations in the last 7 days or not: 59. Radio Progreso 1. Yes 2. No 9. No answer 45% 54% 1% 60. Radio Rebelde 1. Yes 2. No 9. No answer 54% 46% 0% 61. Radio Marti 1. Yes 2. No 9. No answer 20% 77% 3% 62. Radio Taino 1. Yes 2. No 9. No answer 39% 59% 2% TECHNOLOGY 63. Do you have a landline phone in your house? 1. Yes 2. No 9. No answer 57% 43% 0% FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 11 64. Do you have a cell phone? 1. Yes 2. No 9. No answer 61% 39% 0% 65. Do you have access to the Internet? 1. Yes 2. No 9. No answer CONTINUE GO TO Q71 GO TO Q71 16% 84% 0% 66. Where do you access the Internet – at home, at work, at school or university, at Internet cafes or elsewhere? (Accept multiple answers) 1. At Internet cafes 2. At work 3. At school or university 4. At home 5. Elsewhere __________________ 9. No answer 43% 34% 22% 21% 8% 1% 67. How frequently do you access the internet – every day, several times a week, several times a month, or several times a year? 1. Every day 2. Several times a week 3. Several times a month 4. Several times a year 9. Don’t know/No answer 28% 31% 38% 2% 1% 68. Do you use social media? 1. Yes 2. No 9. No answer CONTINUE GO TO Q71 GO TO Q71 40% 58% 2% 69. Do you usually use social media to communicate with people in Cuba, to communicate with people abroad, or both? 1. Communicate with people in Cuba 2. Communicate with people abroad 3. Both 9. No answer 0% 77% 23% 0% 70. What social media outlet do you mostly use with the greatest frequency? 1. Facebook 2. Twitter 3. E-mail 9. No answer 91% 4% 3% 2% FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 12 RELIGION 71. What is your religion: Catholic, Evangelical, Protestant, Santeria or Order of Osha, another religion or are you not religious? 1. Not religious 2. Catholic 3. Santeria or Order of Osha 4. Evangelical 5. Protestant 6. Other 9. No answer 44% 27% 13% 5% 2% 2% 9% 72. Independent of your religious preference, do you have a positive or a negative opinion of the Catholic Church in Cuba? 1. Positive opinion 2. Negative opinion 9. Don’t know/No answer 70% 7% 23% Now I’m going to mention some names of various individuals. Let me know if you have a positive opinion or negative opinion about these people. If you don’t recognize the name, let me know. ROTATE 73-79 73. Do you have a positive or negative opinion of Pope Francis? 1. Very positive opinion 2. Somewhat of a positive opinion 3. Somewhat of a negative opinion 4. Very negative opinion 5. Don’t know him 9. Don’t know/No answer 53% 27% 6% 4% 3% 7% Positive 80% Negative 10% 74. Do you have a positive or negative opinion of Felipe VI of Bourbon? 1. Very positive opinion 2. Somewhat of a positive opinion 3. Somewhat of a negative opinion 4. Very negative opinion 5. Don’t know him 9. Don’t know/No answer 21% 44% 12% 1% 11% 11% Positive 65% Negative 13% FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 13 75. Do you have a positive or negative opinion of Nicolas Maduro? 1. Very positive opinion 2. Somewhat of a positive opinion 3. Somewhat of a negative opinion 4. Very negative opinion 5. Don’t know him 9. Don’t know/No answer 9% 53% 24% 7% 1% 6% Positive 62% Negative 31% 76. Do you have a positive or negative opinion of Raul Castro? 1. Very positive opinion 2. Somewhat of a positive opinion 3. Somewhat of a negative opinion 4. Very negative opinion 5. Don’t know him 9. Don’t know/No answer 8% 39% 34% 14% 0% 5% Positive 47% Negative 48% 77. Do you have a positive or negative opinion of Barack Obama? 1. Very positive opinion 2. Somewhat of a positive opinion 3. Somewhat of a negative opinion 4. Very negative opinion 5. Don’t know him 9. Don’t know/No answer 34% 46% 15% 2% 0% 3% Positive 80% Negative 17% 78. Do you have a positive or negative opinion of Enrique Peña Nieto? 1. Very positive opinion 2. Somewhat of a positive opinion 3. Somewhat of a negative opinion 4. Very negative opinion 5. Don’t know him 9. Don’t know/No answer 3% 30% 15% 4% 37% 11% Positive 33% Negative 19% 79. Do you have a positive or negative opinion of Fidel Castro? 1. Very positive opinion 2. Somewhat of a positive opinion 3. Somewhat of a negative opinion 4. Very negative opinion 5. Don’t know him 9. Don’t know/No answer 11% 33% 23% 27% 0% 6% Positive 44% Negative 50% FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 14 DEMOGRAPHICS 80. What is your current employment situation – do you work for the government, work in the private sector, are you unemployed/retired, are you a student or are you a homemaker? 1. Work in the government sector 2. Work in the private sector 3. Unemployed/Retired 4. Student 5. Homemaker 9. No answer 30% 30% 20% 11% 3% 6% 81. What is the highest level of education that have you have achieved – elementary school, high school graduate, two-year college or technical school graduate, or college graduate or higher degree? 1. Elementary school 2. High school graduate 3. Two-year college or technical school graduate 4. College graduate or higher degree 9. No answer 2% 19% 51% 25% 3% CODE WITHOUT ASKING A. Gender 1. Male 2. Female 52% 48% B. Race 1. White 2. Mulatto 3. Black 4. Other 64% 22% 14% 0% C. Region 1. Central 2. Oriental 3. La Habana & Occidental 31% 37% 32% Special thanks to our research partner: FINAL RESULTS – NATIONAL SURVEY OF CUBANS LIVING IN CUBA – APRIL 2015 15