This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Feb. 27-Mar. 2, 2014, among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. The margin of sampling error for overall results is 3.5 percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York. *= less than 0.5 percent 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? 3/2/14 1/23/14 12/15/13 11/17/13 10/20/13 9/15/13 7/21/13 5/19/13 4/14/13 3/10/13 1/13/13 12/16/12 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 5/20/12 4/8/12 3/10/12 2/4/12 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 10/2/11 9/1/11 8/9/11* 7/17/11 6/5/11 5/2/11** 4/17/11 3/13/11 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 46 25 22 46 23 23 43 23 20 42 22 21 48 28 20 47 25 22 49 25 24 51 32 20 50 27 23 50 29 21 55 32 23 54 33 21 52 33 10 51 33 10 51 32 11 50 31 11 50 30 11 50 28 12 50 28 11 51 28 11 50 28 11 51 29 10 50 29 9 50 29 10 50 29 21 50 30 20 51 31 20 50 30 21 50 26 24 49 29 20 50 27 23 47 24 24 47 26 21 50 30 20 46 28 18 50 29 22 48 25 23 49 25 24 44 22 22 42 21 21 43 21 22 44 18 26 47 25 22 47 27 20 56 29 27 47 27 21 51 27 24 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 50 12 38 50 9 41 55 14 41 55 11 44 49 10 39 47 11 37 44 12 32 44 10 33 45 10 35 46 11 36 41 8 33 42 9 32 46 10 36 47 10 37 47 11 36 48 11 37 48 11 37 48 12 37 48 11 36 46 11 36 46 11 36 46 10 36 47 9 37 48 10 38 47 9 37 47 10 38 47 10 37 44 10 34 46 12 34 45 11 35 46 13 33 49 15 34 49 13 36 45 10 35 50 11 39 46 11 36 48 11 37 47 13 34 53 15 37 54 14 40 53 16 38 46 9 37 48 14 35 49 13 37 38 14 24 50 12 37 45 12 33 1 No opinion 3 4 3 3 3 6 7 5 5 4 4 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 6 4 6 4 4 3 6 4 3 4 4 3 4 3 10 5 4 6 3 4 1/16/11 54 30 23 12/12/10 49 24 25 10/28/10 50 27 23 10/3/10 50 26 24 9/2/10 46 24 22 7/11/10 50 28 22 6/6/10 52 30 22 4/25/10 54 31 23 3/26/10 53 34 20 2/8/10 51 29 22 1/15/10 53 30 24 12/13/09 50 31 18 11/15/09 56 32 23 10/18/09 57 33 23 9/12/09 54 35 19 8/17/09 57 35 21 7/18/09 59 38 22 6/21/09 65 36 29 4/24/09 69 42 27 3/29/09 66 40 26 2/22/09 68 43 25 *Washington Post **Washington Post/Pew Research Center 43 47 45 47 52 47 45 44 43 46 44 46 42 40 43 40 37 31 26 29 25 15 15 11 13 14 12 12 11 8 12 13 13 13 11 12 11 9 10 8 9 8 28 32 34 34 38 35 33 33 35 33 32 33 29 29 31 29 28 22 18 20 17 3 4 5 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 2 4 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 7 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling [ITEM]? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? 3/2/14 - Summary Table ------ Approve -----NET Strngly Smwht 43 23 20 ---- Disapprove ----NET Smwht Strngly 54 14 41 No op. 2 a. The economy b. Implementation of the new health care law 38 20 19 57 11 47 4 c. International affairs 47 25 22 45 15 30 8 *Full sample asked item a; half sample asked item b; other half sample asked item c. Trend: a. The economy 3/2/14 1/23/14 12/15/13 11/17/13 10/20/13 9/15/13 7/21/13 5/19/13 4/14/13 3/10/13 1/13/13 12/16/12 10/13/12 RV 9/29/12 RV 9/9/12 RV 8/25/12 7/8/12 5/20/12 4/8/12 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 43 23 20 43 22 21 42 24 18 41 22 20 44 23 20 45 25 20 45 22 22 48 26 22 44 22 22 44 24 20 50 24 25 50 27 23 47 26 21 47 23 25 45 24 21 44 20 23 44 21 23 42 20 22 44 23 21 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 54 14 41 55 13 42 55 14 40 57 14 42 54 12 42 51 14 37 49 14 35 48 10 37 53 12 41 52 10 42 47 10 37 48 10 38 51 10 41 52 10 41 53 8 45 54 12 42 54 13 41 55 11 44 54 12 42 2 No opinion 2 3 4 2 2 4 6 4 3 4 3 3 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 3/10/12 38 20 18 2/4/12 44 23 22 1/15/12 41 19 22 12/18/11 41 17 24 11/3/11 38 18 20 10/2/11 35 17 19 9/1/11 36 15 21 7/17/11 39 18 22 6/5/11 40 20 20 5/2/11* 40 18 22 4/17/11 42 23 19 3/13/11 43 22 21 1/16/11 46 22 24 12/12/10 43 21 22 10/28/10 RV 44 21 23 10/3/10 45 22 23 9/2/10 41 20 21 7/11/10 43 20 23 6/6/10 50 26 24 4/25/10 49 24 25 3/26/10 45 23 22 2/8/10 45 22 23 1/15/10 47 22 24 12/13/09 46 23 24 11/15/09 51 26 25 10/18/09 50 29 22 9/12/09 51 28 24 8/17/09 52 27 25 7/18/09 52 29 23 6/21/09 56 28 28 4/24/09 58 31 28 3/29/09 60 34 25 2/22/09 60 NA NA *Washington Post/Pew Research Center 59 53 57 56 61 61 62 57 59 55 57 55 51 54 54 53 57 54 49 49 52 53 52 52 47 48 46 46 46 41 38 38 34 9 11 11 13 13 13 15 15 10 16 11 13 13 15 15 13 13 13 12 10 12 15 13 12 12 13 13 13 10 13 13 12 NA 50 41 46 43 48 48 47 43 49 39 46 41 38 39 39 41 44 41 37 39 40 38 39 40 36 35 33 33 35 27 25 26 NA 2 3 2 2 2 4 2 3 2 4 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 4 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 4 3 6 b. Implementation of the new health care law 3/2/14 1/23/14 12/15/13 11/17/13 10/20/13 9/15/13 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 38 20 19 37 19 17 34 18 15 33 18 16 41 25 15 34 20 14 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 57 11 47 59 10 50 62 13 50 63 12 52 53 10 43 55 12 43 No opinion 4 4 4 3 6 11 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 45 15 30 44 11 33 39 11 28 48 12 36 46 15 31 44 11 33 44 10 33 45 13 31 37 13 23 36 15 21 33 12 21 32 NA NA 27 No opinion 8 9 7 3 6 9 7 8 3 7 10 7 6 c. International affairs 3/2/14 9/15/13 12/16/12 9/29/12 RV 5/20/12 4/8/12 1/15/12 11/3/11 11/15/09 10/18/09 9/12/09 6/21/09 4/24/09 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 47 25 22 47 25 22 54 32 22 49 28 20 48 30 18 47 24 23 49 26 23 47 26 21 60 30 30 57 34 23 57 32 25 61 NA NA 67 3 3/29/09 62 " " 27 " " 11 3. Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling [ITEM]? 3/2/14 - Summary Table a. b. c. d. e. f. g. The economy Health care Immigration issues The federal budget deficit Helping the middle class Energy policy Taxes Democrats 41 44 44 37 47 43 42 Republicans 41 36 36 39 34 35 41 Both (vol.) 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 Neither (vol.) 12 15 13 17 13 11 11 Trend: a. The economy Both Democrats Republicans (vol.) 3/2/14 41 41 2 1/23/14 37 44 2 10/3/10 44 37 4 9/2/10 42 40 2 7/11/10 42 34 3 3/26/10 44 36 3 2/1/08 52 33 2 12/9/07 51 33 2 11/1/07 50 35 3 9/30/07 51 33 2 10/22/06 RV 50 41 2 10/8/06 54 37 3 9/7/06 50 39 1 6/25/06 52 39 1 5/15/06 52 34 3 4/9/06 49 43 1 3/5/06 49 40 2 1/26/06 55 37 2 11/2/05 56 34 1 12/15/02 44 45 4 10/27/02* LV 43 48 3 9/26/02* 47 39 3 7/15/02** 38 48 3 1/27/02** 39 48 5 4/22/01*** 47 43 4 9/28/98 53 40 NA 7/12/98 49 37 4 1/19/98 45 44 3 7/8/97 43 39 5 10/23/94 38 43 3 9/11/94 39 43 3 2/27/94 47 36 3 2/2/92 49 38 2 12/15/91 43 36 4 3/4/91 32 49 5 1/16/90 33 52 4 *"The economy and jobs" **"Improving the economy" ***4/22/01 and previous: "The nation's economy" 4 Neither (vol.) 12 15 14 15 17 16 10 9 9 11 5 6 7 5 9 4 8 5 8 6 3 6 6 6 4 NA 5 6 12 14 11 11 7 11 10 7 No opinion 3 3 2 2 5 1 3 5 4 3 2 1 4 3 2 3 2 2 1 1 2 5 5 3 3 7 6 3 2 2 4 3 4 5 4 4 No opinion 3 3 7 6 4 9 4 b. Health care Both Neither Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) 3/2/14 44 36 2 15 1/23/14 44 35 1 16 10/3/10 46 38 1 12 9/2/10 44 39 2 13 3/26/10 47 34 2 15 2/1/08 56 29 2 10 11/1/07 54 29 2 10 9/30/07 56 26 2 12 10/8/06 61 28 1 7 5/15/06 61 28 1 7 4/9/06 61 29 * 6 11/2/05 54 29 2 12 12/15/02* 53 33 3 7 10/27/02* LV 50 39 3 5 9/26/02* 50 35 4 5 7/15/02** 47 37 3 9 1/27/02** 50 35 5 5 1/19/98*** 54 33 2 7 10/23/94 46 29 2 21 9/11/94 51 29 3 12 2/27/94 58 22 5 11 2/2/92 60 25 3 8 12/15/91 57 23 3 11 *"The cost, availability, and coverage of health insurance" **"improving the health care system" ***1/19/98 and previous: "Providing affordable health care" No opinion 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 2 2 3 3 4 3 6 5 4 4 2 5 3 4 5 c. Immigration issues 3/2/14 1/23/14 10/3/10 9/2/10 3/26/10 2/1/08 11/1/07 10/8/06 6/25/06 5/15/06 4/9/06 Democrats 44 39 37 37 38 40 42 49 45 48 50 Republicans 36 37 37 40 35 37 35 36 40 34 38 Both (vol.) 1 2 3 5 3 2 4 4 1 1 1 Neither (vol.) 13 15 17 14 16 12 13 10 9 14 7 No opinion 7 7 6 4 8 9 6 3 5 4 4 Both (vol.) 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 Neither (vol.) 17 18 18 14 18 10 12 No opinion 6 3 1 3 2 6 5 d. The federal budget deficit 3/2/14 1/23/14 10/3/10 9/2/10 3/26/10 2/1/08 9/30/07 Democrats 37 34 39 38 43 52 52 Republicans 39 44 40 44 35 31 29 Compare to: The federal budget 5/15/06 54 11/2/05 48 7/15/02* 44 34 34 41 1 2 5 5 8 13 6 3 2 4 1/27/02** 38 46 5 7 3/14/99* 43 40 5 10 9/28/98* 49 42 NA NA 7/12/98* 42 39 4 7 1/19/98*** 41 43 3 8 7/8/97*** 39 36 5 17 10/23/94**** 36 37 3 21 9/11/94 39 40 4 14 2/27/94 44 28 5 20 2/2/92 40 39 4 14 3/4/91 35 43 5 14 1/16/90 35 42 4 15 *"Managing the federal budget" **"Keeping the federal budget balanced" ***"Balancing the federal budget" ****10/23/94 and previous: "Reducing the federal budget" 3 3 9 8 4 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 e. Helping the middle class 3/2/14 1/23/14 10/3/10 3/14/99 9/28/98 9/28/98 LV 7/12/98 1/19/98 7/8/97 10/23/94 9/11/94 2/27/94 2/2/92 12/15/91 3/4/91 1/16/90 Republicans 34 35 34 28 34 40 29 34 30 33 36 34 34 28 34 32 Both (vol.) 1 1 2 4 NA NA 2 1 3 2 3 2 2 3 5 3 Neither (vol.) 13 15 11 8 NA NA 8 6 14 14 10 14 7 10 9 9 No opinion 4 2 2 4 8 8 7 2 3 3 4 3 3 4 4 4 Democrats 43 49 Republicans 35 32 Both (vol.) 1 2 Neither (vol.) 11 12 No opinion 9 5 Democrats 42 40 39 41 48 46 52 48 46 44 38 40 43 47 42 Republicans 41 43 45 39 40 40 38 38 44 44 52 49 41 44 39 Both (vol.) 1 3 2 4 1 2 1 1 2 3 2 2 2 NA 3 Neither (vol.) 11 13 12 14 8 8 5 11 6 6 6 6 10 NA 8 No opinion 4 2 2 3 4 4 2 1 2 4 3 3 4 9 8 Democrats 47 46 50 55 57 52 55 57 51 48 46 47 55 56 48 53 f. Energy policy 3/2/14 3/26/10 g. Taxes 3/2/14 10/3/10 9/2/10 3/26/10 2/1/08 11/1/07 5/15/06 11/2/05 12/15/02 9/26/02 4/22/01* 9/2/99* 3/14/99** 9/28/98** 7/12/98** 6 1/19/98** 45 7/8/97** 41 10/30/95* 45 10/23/94** 37 9/11/94** 36 2/27/94** 35 2/2/92** 41 12/15/91** 40 3/4/91** 35 1/16/90** 37 *"Cutting taxes" **"Holding taxes down" 44 38 40 42 47 41 45 38 44 47 2 3 10 2 2 4 3 3 5 2 6 15 3 17 11 18 8 14 13 10 2 4 3 2 4 2 3 5 3 4 4. Do you think [ITEM] is in touch with the concerns of most people in the United States today, or is he/it out of touch? 3/2/14 - Summary Table a. Barack Obama b. The Republican Party c. The Democratic Party In touch 48 28 48 Out of touch 49 68 48 No opinion 2 4 4 Trend: a. Barack Obama 3/2/14 4/14/13 In touch 48 51 Out of touch 49 46 No opinion 2 2 b. The Republican Party 3/2/14 4/14/13 In touch 28 23 Out of touch 68 70 No opinion 4 7 c. The Democratic Party 3/2/14 4/14/13 In touch 48 43 Out of touch 48 51 No opinion 4 6 On another subject, 5. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor? 3/2/14 10/20/13 9/29/12 RV 8/25/12 8/5/12* 5/20/12 2/4/12 11/3/11 7/17/11 6/5/11 1/16/11 10/28/10 ------ Positive -----NET Excellent Good 27 2 26 24 2 23 18 2 16 15 1 14 13 1 12 17 1 16 11 * 11 10 1 9 10 1 9 11 1 10 13 1 12 9 * 9 ------- Negative ------NET Not so good Poor 72 44 28 75 45 30 81 42 39 84 39 45 87 42 44 83 47 36 89 46 42 89 43 47 90 40 50 89 46 44 87 45 41 90 41 49 7 No opinion * 1 * 1 * * * * * * * 1 10/3/10 9 1 8 90 9/2/10 8 * 7 92 7/11/10 10 1 9 90 6/6/10 12 * 11 88 1/16/09 5 1 5 94 9/22/08 9 * 9 91 4/13/08 10 1 9 90 2/1/08 19 1 18 81 12/9/07 28 3 25 72 11/1/07 35 3 32 64 4/15/07 42 5 37 57 12/11/06 50 7 42 50 10/22/06 55 10 45 45 10/8/06 47 7 40 53 3/5/06 43 5 38 57 1/26/06 40 5 35 60 12/18/05 45 5 39 55 11/2/05 35 3 32 65 9/11/05 40 3 37 59 6/5/05 44 3 40 56 4/24/05 37 2 35 63 9/26/04 RV 46 3 43 53 8/29/04 RV 45 3 41 55 7/25/04 46 4 42 53 6/20/04 45 4 41 55 4/18/04 43 4 39 57 3/7/04 39 2 37 60 1/18/04 42 3 39 58 12/21/03 42 4 39 57 10/29/03 33 1 32 67 9/13/03 30 2 27 70 8/11/03 32 2 30 68 4/30/03 35 1 34 64 2/9/03 28 1 27 72 1/20/03 25 1 25 74 12/15/02 35 1 33 65 11/4/02 LV 28 1 27 72 11/3/02 LV 27 1 26 72 11/2/02 LV 29 1 28 71 9/26/02 31 2 28 69 7/15/02 39 3 36 61 2/21/02 30 1 29 69 1/27/02 31 1 29 69 9/20/01 38 3 35 60 9/9/01 33 1 32 66 7/30/01 50 3 46 50 4/22/01 50 3 47 50 1/15/01 70 10 59 29 10/27/00 LV 86 24 61 14 10/26/00 LV 86 24 61 14 6/11/00 74 17 57 26 2/27/00 80 25 55 20 10/31/99 74 18 56 26 9/2/99 76 19 57 23 3/14/99 80 22 58 19 11/1/98 73 12 61 26 11/1/98 LV 78 13 65 22 10/13/97 61 12 49 39 *Washington Post-Kaiser Family Foundation 40 40 44 43 32 34 39 43 40 39 37 36 28 37 37 37 38 36 37 38 44 38 37 39 38 39 38 42 41 45 45 43 46 49 48 44 55 56 54 50 44 51 50 47 47 39 40 24 11 11 19 14 18 16 15 21 19 27 50 53 46 45 62 57 51 38 32 26 20 14 17 16 19 23 17 29 22 19 20 15 18 14 17 18 22 16 16 23 25 25 19 23 26 21 17 17 17 19 17 18 19 14 19 12 9 6 3 3 6 5 7 6 4 5 3 11 * 0 0 0 * * * 0 * * * * * * * * * * 1 * * 1 * * * * 1 0 1 * * * * * 1 1 1 1 * * 1 * * 2 * * * 1 * * * * 1 1 1 1 * * 6. Regardless of whether or not the recession is over, in terms of your own personal experience, do you feel the economy has or has not begun to recover? 8 Has Has not No opinion 3/2/14 56 42 1 12/15/13 59 39 2 5/19/13* 56 43 1 3/10/13 53 46 2 12/16/12 53 45 2 3/10/12 49 49 2 1/15/12 45 54 1 11/3/11 36 63 1 6/5/11 42 57 1 3/13/11 46 53 1 12/12/10 41 57 2 10/5/10** 34 63 2 2/8/10 45 53 1 12/13/09 50 49 1 11/15/09 44 54 1 *5/19/13, 3/10/13, 11/15/09, "Regardless of whether or not the recession is over..." was not used. **ABC News/Yahoo! News 7. (IF ECONOMY HAS BEGUN TO RECOVER) Do you think the economy's recovery so far has been a strong one or a weak one? 3/2/14 12/15/13 12/16/12 3/10/12 1/15/12 11/3/11 6/5/11 2/8/10 12/13/09 Strong 31 25 22 24 21 19 17 25 24 Weak 66 71 76 74 77 77 81 75 73 No opinion 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 1 3 6/7 NET: 3/2/14 12/15/13 12/16/12 3/10/12 1/15/12 11/3/11 6/5/11 2/8/10 12/13/09 -Recovery's begunNET Strong Weak 56 18 39 59 15 44 53 12 41 49 12 37 45 9 36 36 7 29 42 7 34 45 11 34 50 12 36 Has not 42 39 45 49 54 63 57 53 49 No opinion 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 8. Thinking about the next election in November, right now, are you inclined to vote to re-elect your representative in Congress, or are you inclined to look around for someone else to vote for? 3/2/14 1/23/14 10/20/13 2/4/12 11/3/11 7/17/11 Re-elect 22 27 24 34 31 30 Look around 68 63 66 53 59 63 Depends (vol.) 3 3 4 3 3 2 9 No opinion 8 7 6 9 8 5 6/5/11 10/28/10 10/3/10 9/2/10 7/11/10 6/6/10 4/25/10 RV 2/8/10 11/15/09 5/15/06 6/5/05 2/21/02 10/31/99 9/28/99 7/12/98 1/19/98 8/27/97 11/6/94 RV 10/31/94 10/23/94 9/11/94 6/26/94 3/27/94 1/23/94 11/14/93 8/21/92 RV 7/8/92 6/7/92 4/9/92 3/18/92 3/11/92 2/2/92 10/21/91 6/2/91 11/4/90 LV 10/14/90 5/21/90 5/23/89 34 32 29 31 25 29 32 36 38 35 40 40 41 44 42 47 34 37 35 32 36 35 32 32 38 35 34 36 33 35 36 38 31 37 41 36 43 45 55 50 55 58 60 60 57 56 50 55 50 48 47 46 44 41 52 47 56 58 53 54 56 46 52 48 54 53 56 56 54 51 55 49 50 57 50 44 4 7 9 5 6 5 7 4 6 6 8 7 8 NA 5 7 9 7 2 4 4 6 6 10 5 5 3 4 3 3 3 4 7 5 NA " 3 4 6 11 7 6 8 6 4 4 5 4 3 6 3 10 10 4 5 8 7 6 7 5 7 12 5 12 9 7 8 5 7 7 6 9 8 7 3 6 9. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate) in your congressional district? Would you lean toward the (Democratic candidate) or toward the (Republican candidate)? NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REGISTERED VOTERS 3/2/14 1/23/14 12/15/13 10/20/13 5/19/13 10/28/10 10/3/10 9/2/10* 7/11/10 6/6/10 4/25/10 3/26/10 2/8/10 10/22/06 Dem cand. 46 45 47 48 48 49 47 45 46 47 48 48 45 54 Rep cand. 45 46 45 40 40 44 43 47 47 44 43 44 48 41 Other (vol.) 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 * 2 1 1 * * Neither (vol.) 3 3 4 5 4 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 1 10 Would not vote (vol.) * 1 1 1 1 * 1 1 * 1 1 * * * No opinion 5 5 3 4 6 3 5 5 5 4 6 4 4 3 10/8/06 9/7/06 8/6/06 6/25/06 5/15/06 4/9/06 1/26/06 12/18/05 11/2/05 7/15/02 1/27/02** 9/6/00 7/23/00 2/27/00 10/31/99 9/2/99 3/14/99 2/14/99 1/30/99 11/1/98 10/25/98 10/18/98 9/28/98 9/13/98 8/21/98 7/12/98 1/31/98 1/19/98 10/8/96 9/29/96 9/22/96 9/15/96 9/4/96 8/29/96 8/28/96 8/27/96 8/26/96 8/25/96 8/24/96 8/19/96 8/18/96 8/15/96 8/14/96 8/13/96 8/12/96 8/11/96 8/10/96 8/5/96 6/30/96 5/22/96 3/17/96 3/10/96 1/21/96 11/13/95 10/1/95 11/6/94 10/31/94 10/23/94 10/9/94 9/11/94 8/7/94 3/27/94 2/27/94 54 50 52 52 52 55 54 51 52 47 43 49 46 45 50 48 50 48 49 51 48 49 49 49 48 47 49 47 51 48 50 49 48 53 51 51 51 48 47 49 45 46 48 49 49 49 49 48 49 52 48 51 52 51 49 47 48 50 46 50 49 49 50 41 42 39 39 40 40 38 41 37 46 50 42 45 46 43 44 41 41 39 43 43 44 44 43 45 45 40 44 41 41 43 45 44 39 40 41 41 43 43 42 46 43 42 43 42 40 41 45 44 41 48 43 43 43 44 42 44 45 47 45 42 35 40 * * * 1 1 * 1 1 1 1 NA 1 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 1 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 3 8 4 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 4 2 3 3 2 2 3 4 3 5 4 2 3 1 4 6 8 11 1 2 1 1 1 * 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 * 1 1 1 * 1 1 * 1 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 1 * 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 * 1 * * 1 * * 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 4 5 4 4 3 5 4 6 4 5 6 5 5 3 5 6 7 3 2 4 4 4 4 3 6 8 5 5 7 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 3 3 2 4 1 2 3 5 3 2 2 4 4 9 2 10/21/91 51 41 4 * 7/28/91 49 41 6 * 6/2/91 48 42 4 1 11/4/90 51 41 5 * 10/14/90 50 41 5 * 9/9/90 47 46 3 * 7/24/90 51 41 4 1 5/21/90 47 45 5 1 10/10/88 52 41 2 1 9/19/88 51 39 3 1 6/22/85 48 44 5 * 10/16/84 52 44 2 NA 9/11/84 53 45 2 7/8/84 58 40 2 10/27/82 58 39 NA 10/11/82 55 36 9/13/82 58 36 11/22/81 53 41 " " " *9/2/10 and previous: "Will not vote (vol.)" **1/27/02 and previous: No "other candidate" option recorded 4 3 5 3 3 3 4 2 4 6 3 5 1 1 3 9 6 7 10. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Now thinking about the U.S. Senate – if an election for the U.S. Senate were being held in your state today, would you vote for (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate) Would you lean toward the (Democratic candidate) or toward the (Republican candidate)? NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REGISTERED VOTERS Dem Rep cand. cand. 3/2/14 46 45 3/2/14* 42 50 *2014 Senate States Other (vol.) * * Neither (vol.) 3 2 Would not vote (vol.) * * No opinion 5 5 11. If a candidate for U.S. Congress supports [ITEM], would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely or wouldn't it make much difference in your vote? 3/2/14 - Summary Table More likely to vote for a. A path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants b. The federal health care law c. Increasing the minimum wage d. The Tea Party political movement e. Gay marriage Less likely to vote for 30 34 50 16 28 38 36 19 36 25 Wouldn't make much difference 29 27 28 41 46 Trend: a. A path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants More likely Less likely Wouldn't make No to vote for to vote for much difference opinion 3/2/14 30 38 29 3 1/23/14* 24 30 43 3 *”more likely to (vote for) that candidate, more likely to (vote against)” b. The federal health care law 12 No opin. 3 3 2 6 1 3/2/14 More likely to vote for 34 Less likely to vote for 36 Wouldn't make much difference 27 No op. 3 Compare to: If a candidate for U.S. Congress supports the federal health care law, would that make you more likely to (support) that candidate, more likely to (oppose) that candidate or wouldn't it make much difference in your vote? (IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE) Would that make you much more likely to support/oppose that candidate or somewhat more likely? ---- Support ------- Oppose ----No No NET Much Smwt NET Smwt Much difference opinion 11/17/13 21 14 6 37 9 29 40 2 7/8/12 28 18 10 28 9 20 41 2 7/11/10 RV* 39 25 15 37 6 31 21 2 3/26/10** 26 16 9 32 6 27 40 2 1/15/10*** 22 12 10 31 7 24 45 2 11/15/09 25 13 12 29 8 20 45 1 9/12/09 22 12 10 23 7 17 54 1 8/17/09 23 14 9 32 6 26 43 2 *Part of a list item: "the new health care reform law" **3/26/10: “Say a candidate for Congress voted FOR the changes to the health care system recently enacted by (Congress) and (the Obama administration). Would that…” ***1/15/10 and prior: "supports the proposed changes...being developed" c-e. No trend. Now thinking about the presidential election in 2016, 12. If (NAME) runs for president in 2016, would you definitely vote for (him/her), would you consider voting for (him/her), or would you definitely not vote for (him/her)? 3/2/14 - Summary Table a. b. c. d. e. f. g. h. i. j. Hillary Clinton Chris Christie Ted Cruz Rand Paul Marco Rubio Scott Walker Rick Perry Jeb Bush Mike Huckabee Mitt Romney Definitely would 25 6 4 9 5 4 3 6 6 12 Would consider 41 41 34 38 40 33 36 38 38 33 Definitely would not 32 39 38 38 32 28 40 48 40 49 No opinion 2 13 24 15 23 35 21 8 15 6 Trend where available: a. Hillary Clinton Definitely Would Definitely No would consider would not opinion 3/2/14 25 41 32 2 9/30/07* 30 28 41 1 4/15/07 27 26 45 1 5/15/06** 19 38 42 1 *2007: If Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic nomination for president…” **2006: "If (NAME) runs for president in 2008…" g. Rick Perry 13 Definitely Would Definitely No would consider would not opinion 3/2/14 3 36 40 21 10/2/11* 17 31 44 7 *”If Rick Perry wins the Republican nomination for president…” j. Mitt Romney Definitely Would Definitely No would consider would not opinion 3/2/14 12 33 49 6 10/2/11* 19 37 37 7 9/30/07 8 28 57 7 4/15/07 7 32 54 8 *2011 and previous: “If Mitt Romney wins the Republican nomination for president…” 13. What is your view of the Tea Party political movement - would you say you support it strongly, support it somewhat, oppose it somewhat or oppose it strongly? -------- Support ---------------- Oppose -------NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly 3/2/14 40 8 33 48 20 28 1/23/14 41 11 30 50 21 29 11/17/13 38 9 28 53 22 31 10/20/13 36 9 27 54 20 34 5/19/13 40 10 30 43 21 22 8/25/12 44 13 31 42 18 24 8/5/12* 41 12 29 46 19 27 4/8/12 41 12 29 45 21 24 3/10/12 44 15 29 43 17 26 2/4/12 43 12 31 45 20 25 1/15/12 40 13 28 50 23 27 12/18/11 42 13 28 45 20 26 11/3/11 43 14 29 44 20 24 10/2/11 42 12 30 47 20 27 9/1/11 47 13 35 45 18 27 7/17/11 44 13 31 46 23 24 6/5/11 46 13 33 44 21 24 4/17/11 42 16 26 49 21 27 *Washington Post/Kaiser Family Foundation No opinion 12 9 9 10 17 14 13 14 13 12 10 13 13 11 8 10 10 10 14. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) What do you think about Tea Party candidates running to unseat Republicans currently serving in Congress – on balance do you think this is a good thing or a bad thing for the Republican Party? 3/2/14 Good thing 41 Bad thing 47 Depends (vol.) 1 No opinion 10 Changing topics, 15. Overall, do you support or oppose allowing gays and lesbians to marry legally? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? -------- Support -------NET Strongly Somewhat 3/2/14 59 39 20 6/9/13 57 37 20 5/5/13 55 35 20 11/11/12* 51 33 17 *2012 "gay marriage" -------- Oppose --------NET Somewhat Strongly 34 10 24 40 11 30 40 9 32 47 11 35 14 No opinion 7 3 5 3 Compare to: Do you think it should be legal or illegal for gay and lesbian couples to get married? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? --------- Legal --------NET Strongly Somewhat 58 41 17 53 39 14 53 39 14 52 36 17 51 32 19 53 36 17 47 31 16 49 31 18 36 24 13 39 NA NA 32 18 14 38 24 14 39 25 13 41 NA NA 37 NA NA -------- Illegal -------NET Somewhat Strongly 36 6 30 42 11 32 39 7 32 43 7 36 45 9 36 44 9 35 50 9 42 46 7 39 58 7 51 58 NA NA 62 10 52 59 11 48 55 6 49 55 NA NA 55 NA NA No opinion 6 5 8 5 4 3 3 5 5 3 5 3 6 4 7 3/10/13 8/5/12* 5/20/12 3/10/12 7/17/11 3/13/11 2/8/10 4/24/09** 6/4/06 8/28/05 8/29/04 RV 3/7/04 2/22/04 1/18/04 9/7/03 *Post-Kaiser **2009 "gay and lesbian" and "homosexual" wordings half sampled. 2005 "gay and lesbian" 16. Regardless of your own preference on the issue, do you think that the part of the U.S. Constitution providing Americans with equal protection under the law does or does not give gays and lesbians the legal right to marry? 3/2/14 Does 50 Does not 41 No opinion 9 17. Do you favor or oppose allowing gay or lesbian couples to adopt a child? Favor Oppose No opinion 3/2/14 61 34 5 5/14/06* 49 48 3 3/12/06 Pew 46 48 6 3/30/04 LA Times 40 52 8 10/15/98 Time/CNN 35 57 8 6/16/94 Time/CNN 28 65 7 8/20/92 Time/CNN 29 63 8 6/20/77 Gallup 14 77 9 *"Thinking about adoption in general, would you…" Pew Research Center: …allowing gays and lesbians to adopt children? LA Times: Do you favor or oppose gay couples legally adopting children? Time/CNN: Do you think that homosexual couples should be legally permitted to adopt children, or don't you think so? ("or don't you think so" in 1998 only). Gallup: Do you think homosexuals should or should not be allowed to adopt children? 18. In general, do you think gay people can be as good parents as straight people, or not? Can be Cannot be No as good as good opinion 3/2/14 78 18 4 10/18/96* 57 31 12 *Newsweek: Did not include “or not?” 15 19. Do you think businesses should or should not be allowed to refuse service to gays and lesbians? 3/2/14 Should 16 Should not 81 No opinion 3 19a. (IF SHOULD NOT BE ALLOWED TO REFUSE SERVICE) What if the business says homosexuality violates its owners' religious beliefs - in that case do you think the business should or should not be allowed to refuse service to gays and lesbians? 3/2/14 Should 15 Should not 81 No opinion 4 19/19a NET: 3/2/14 ------------- Should -------------If it violates NET In general religious beliefs 28 16 12 --------- Should not --------Even if it violates No NET religious beliefs op. 69 65 4 No op. 3 20. Do you think being homosexual is something that people choose to be, or do you think it's just the way they are? 3/2/14 3/10/13 10/14/04 LV 6/26/94 Something that people choose 25 24 33 40 The way they are 65 62 57 49 No opinion 10 15 10 11 On another subject, 21. As you may know, there is a proposal to build the Keystone XL pipeline that would carry oil from Canada to Texas. Do you think the U.S. government should or should not approve the building of this pipeline? 3/2/14 6/17/12 3/11/12* *Gallup Should 65 59 57 Should not 22 18 29 No opinion 13 22 14 22. Do you think this pipeline would or would not [ITEM]? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 3/2/14 - Summary Table --------- Would --------NET Strongly Somewhat a. Create a significant number of jobs b. Pose a significant risk to the environment ------- Would not ------NET Somewhat Strongly 85 62 24 10 4 6 5 47 26 20 44 16 28 9 Trend: a. Create a significant number of jobs --------- Would --------- ------- Would not ------- 16 No No op. 3/2/14 6/17/12 NET 85 83 Strongly 62 51 Somewhat 24 32 NET 10 10 Somewhat 4 5 Strongly 6 5 opinion 5 8 ------- Would not ------NET Somewhat Strongly 44 16 28 No opinion 9 b. Pose a significant risk to the environment 3/2/14 --------- Would --------NET Strongly Somewhat 47 26 20 Compare to: significantly damage the environment 6/17/12 34 14 20 49 22 27 17 On one more subject, 23. Do you consider yourself a fan of college sports, or not? 3/2/14 Yes 56 No 44 No opinion * 24. Do you support or oppose allowing college athletes to form a union, like the professional sports unions, to negotiate their rights and working conditions? 3/2/14 Support 47 Oppose 47 No opinion 6 25. Beyond any scholarships they receive, do you support or oppose paying salaries to college athletes? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 3/2/14 -------- Support -------NET Strongly Somewhat 33 19 15 -------- Oppose --------NET Somewhat Strongly 64 17 47 No opinion 3 Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what? 3/2/14 1/23/14 12/15/13 11/17/13 10/20/13 9/15/13 7/21/13 5/19/13 4/14/13 3/10/13 Democrat 30 32 30 31 30 34 31 33 33 33 Republican 22 25 24 24 24 23 21 22 23 25 Independent 40 37 40 37 40 34 37 38 36 35 *** END *** 17 Other (vol.) 4 5 4 6 4 4 7 5 5 5 No opinion 3 2 2 2 3 4 4 2 3 2